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The Arbitral Tribunal ruled there were no islands in the Spratlys in the legal sense. An
island is entitled to a 12 nm territorial sea and a 200 nm Exclusive Economic Zone.
Having said this, the recent FONOP is to be welcomed as a sign that the United States
under Trump will remain engaged in the region. The risk is that China will follow
through on its past statements that it will further militarise its features in response to
increased threats.
Thayer Consultancy provides political analysis of current regional security issues and
other research support to selected clients. Thayer Consultancy was officially
registered as a small business in Australia in 2002.