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SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 315
Is the Singapore property dream still economic growth and market demand.
relevant?
How sustainable is this in the long term?
In my book No B.S. Guide to Property
In the Business Times article, Knight Franks
Investment, I raise the question whether
Head of Residential Services Tay Kah Poh
exponential growth in the Singapore property
has this to say: Singapores economy is
market can repeat itself.
projected to grow at only one percent to three
Thanks to the stable government and robust percent in 2017 and the annual average
foreign direct investment, in the last 50 years overall unemployment rate in Singapore rose
Singapores infrastructure and economy has to 2.1 percent in 2016 from 1.9 percent in
experienced exploding growth. Prices of 2015. These factors will curtail property
landed properties in Singapore have jumped buying interest. All these considered, it may
75 to 100 times during this period. Many therefore make more sense to view real
dream of history repeating itself when they estate investment from a yield rather than a
buy properties in the Little Red Dot with a capital gains perspective. Going forward, real
limited supply of land. estate capital appreciation is likely to mirror
the growth trajectory of GDP and household
But in the last few years, the property
income. Against this backdrop, investors
markets in developed countries around the
would need to adopt a disciplined approach,
world are supported by money printing and
apply yield-based valuation methods to price
cheap financing, with little to do with real
What happen when dreams become the market corrected, they were caught
nightmares? unprepared. As Lee says, the properties on
mortgagee sale may have been vacant for a
A study conducted by The Edge
prolonged time or the monthly rents were
Property using URA caveat data shows that
unable to cover the mortgage payments.
there were 837 unprofitable non-landed
residential property transactions in 2016, The market is far from bottoming out. It is just
amounting to $236 million of loss. Owners of a matter of time before mortgagee sales
properties in Sentosa Cove, the high-end spread to properties bought after 2013, and
market, big penthouses and larger units smaller-sized properties outside the central
purchased near the peak of the market were region. Unemployment rates are going up.
hit the hardest. Expatriates are leaving faster than they are
coming. The Fed has indicated three key
Sharon Lee, Knight Franks Head of Auction,
interest rate raise this year. Yet more new
said that some owners who lost their jobs
projects are waiting for their turn to launch
have defaulted on their mortgages. Some
this year.
struggling business owners are trying hard to
hold onto their assets. Where can we find enough demand to catch
up with excess supply? Is demand ever going
Many investors entered the market during the
to catch up with supply?
property upturn between 2011 and 2013
before the introduction of the TDSR. When
On the other hand, according to the property Heres to the ones who dream
agencies, there is still healthy interest and a Foolish as they may seem
more sizeable-than-expected crowd at Heres to the hearts that ache
recent new launches due to pent-up demand Heres to the mess we make
for new projects in the neighborhood. Tiny She told me:
units are dissected into 2 or 3-bedrooms A bit of madness is key
selling at $1,350 to $1,700 psf. I dont think To give us new colors to see
anything is going to happen in the next one or Who knows where it will lead us?
two years, so I decided to buy the unit, said And thats why they need us.
one buyer. (La La Land Audition/The Fools Who
Dream)
Do you know that Singapore is known as La
La Land? Sorry lah but this is the way we end By guest contributor Property Soul, a
our sentences. No. Singaporeans are not successful property investor, blogger, and
living in our dreams. We dream because we author of the No B.S. Guide to Property
still have hope. Every buyer who picks up a Investment.
property at the new launch believes that lady
luck will shine on him. City of Stars, are you
Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of May 29 June 2