Professional Documents
Culture Documents
North-Holland
Robert L. KELLOGG*
Southern Methodist University, Dallas, TX 75275, USA
Provisions in the securities acts provide incentives to purchasers of common stocks to initiate class
action lawsuits when stock prices decline at and preceding announcements that directly reduce, or
imply a reduction in, previously reported accounting book values. Reported common stock returns
associated with alleged misrepresentations in financial statements are consistent with incentives
provided by the law. Classification of misrepresentations based on hypothesized relations between
announcements and security returns results in observed differences in the association between
litigated accounting announcements and common stock returns.
I. Introduction
Expected legal costs, including costs of class action lawsuits under the
federal securities acts, are thought to be an important variable in the market
for audited financial statements)Although the legal cost variable has been
incorporated in models of accounting decision-making, the only empirical
evidence of the nature of the function relating legal costs to accounting
activities has been presented in subjective terms culled from statutes and
reported judicial decisions. 2 Class action lawsuits against preparers and audi-
tors of financial statements are based primarily on sections of the securities
acts that explicitly condition liability on security prices and their relationships
to accounting announcements. This study analyzes observed associations be-
tween stock prices and accounting announcements in light of these legal
provisions.
In the next section, analysis of the sections of the securities acts most
frequently used to assert class action liability for accounting misrepresenta-
tions (activities alleged to have misled investors) derives two predictions about
the relationship between misrepresentations and stock returns: (1) abnormal
* The timely and incisive comments of George Foster contributed greatly to the completion of
this study.
1See, e.g., Antic (1982) and Wallace (1980).
2St.Pierre and Anderson (1984) reference interpretive studies and present their own analysis
based on published reports.
Both Section 11 and Rule 10b-5 require causal relationships between misrep-
resentations and damages, although the burden of proof differs. Under Section
3 The sampling procedures described in Section 2 produced 106 lawsuits by classes defined as
common stock purchasers and 14 by sellers of common stock.
415 U.S.C. 78a-jj (1970) and 17 C.F.R. 240.10b-5 (1980). These sections of the law are cited
in 105 out of 106 lawsuits identified for this study.
R.L Keliogg~ Class action lawsuits 187
11, defendants can avoid liability for any stock price declines that they can
prove were caused by something other than the misrepresentations with which
they are charged. Under Rule 10b-5, plaintiffs must prove that defendants'
misrepresentations caused the stock price declines that constituted plaintiffs'
damages.
Plaintiffs in an accounting buyers' suit meet the causation requirement by
pleading that stock prices conditioned by 'false' accounting data (those pub-
fished prior to misrepresentation discovery) were higher than those conditioned
by 'true' accounting data. True accounting data are those announced when a
misrepresentation is corrected or those implied when discovery of a misrepre-
sentation occurs other than by explicit correction of accounting data. 5 In
effect, plaintiffs are claiming: 'Had we but known these true accounting data,
we would not have paid what we did for these securities.' A rapid stock price
adjustment at discovery seems critical to this legal theory.
SSee, e.g., Ball and Brown (1968), Brown (1970), Foster (1975).
R.L. Kellogg, Class action lawsuits 189
(1) all stockholder lawsuits reported in firms' filings with the SEC between
1967 and 1976 as reported in the Disclosure Journal.
(2) all cases filed in the United States District Court for the Southern District
of New York between 1971 and 1976 that named large accounting firms
(the 20 largest) as defendants. 9
(3) Wall Street Journal reports of lawsuits against large accounting firms (the
20 largest).
(4) litigation footnotes in firms' 1976-1979 annual reports listed on Mead
Data's National Automated Accounting Research System.
(5) reported opinions of the federal courts that included the words '10b-5' and
'account' and were listed on Mead Data's LEXIS system.
(6) lawsuits mentioned in previous studies of accountants' liability.
The litigation sample is limited to one lawsuit involving the financial state-
ments of any given corporation. Frequently, there are several lawsuits initiated
roughly contemporaneously against a single corporate defendant, each case
involving a separate class of stock purchasers, defined by dates of purchase or
the federal district court in which they are being represented. In these instances,
the earliest lawsuit filed among those for which the class of plaintiffs could be
determined was included in the sample.
One hundred and six accounting buyers' class actions, each involving the
financial statements of a different corporation, were identified in which particu-
lar accounting practices were alleged to have misled common stock purchasers.
The stock returns analysis to be performed on the sample requires available
returns data and a discovery date for each firm. Seventy-six of the 106 firms
named in these lawsuits were listed on the daily security price tapes published
by the Center for Research on Security Prices (CRSP) for periods of at least six
months prior to the filings of the class action complaints based on their
financial statements. It was possible, from the sources available, to identify the
alleged dates of discovery in cases against 72 of these 76 firms.
The period over which damages are to be assessed (the Damage Computa-
tion Period) in buyers' class actions involving publicly traded securities is
defined by the courts as extending from the date on which a misrepresentation
occurs through the date on which the market (not an individual plaintiff)
learns of the existence of the misrepresentation (the discovery date). Security
returns during the damage computation period are directly related to stock
price changes that are used to compute the legal damages that are associated
with accounting misrepresentations. The returns analysis in the next section
focuses on this period of time.
Legal complaints that are filed in class action lawsuits must include a
statement of the damage computation period; it defines the class of plaintiffs.
Unfortunately, the periods stated in complaints cannot be relied upon to
identify the discovery date. It is in plaintiffs' interest to name a long damage
computation period and often damages are claimed not to the discovery date,
but to the date on which a lawsuit is filed. The Wall Street Journal lndex, firms'
financial statements, and SEC filings were searched to identify public dis-
closures of the existence of misrepresentations made prior to the dates of
discovery alleged by plaintiffs This resulted in a unique damage computation
period for each of 72 CRSP firms identified as either (1) the period over which
damages were claimed, or (2) the period from the date of alleged misrepresen-
tation occurrence through the date on which public disclosure first was made
of the existence of a misrepresentation. Analysis of returns data focuses on
these damage computation periods.
Returns analysis uses a market model estimation period (described below)
preceding each firm's discovery date. The estimation period is limited to
periods preceding the event of interest (discovery) by severe sample deteriora-
tion at and following discovery dates due to trading suspensions and delistings.
Monthly returns during damage computation periods and daily returns during
months of discovery are analyzed. To insure reasonable estimation periods, 56
of the 72 CRSP firms meet at least one of the following two requirements:
(1) Continuous stock returns data are available for at least 24 months prior to
the damage computation period and through the damage computation
period. This provides at least a 24-month market model estimation period
and returns through the damage computation period. 43 firms meet this
requirement.
(2) Continuous stock returns data are available from 220 days prior to the day
of misrepresentation discovery up to two days before the day of discovery.
This provides a 200-day market model estimation period and at least 18
days of returns. 48 firms meet this requirement. 1
Return statistics are reported for the two intersecting subsets of the 56 firms
meeting at least one requirement. The firms are listed in an appendix with
lo Only 42 of 48 firms had daily returns available through the day of discovery. The remaining
six firms were included to provide the largest possible sample for generating return statistics for
days close to discovery.
R.L Kellogg, Class action lawsuits 191
industry classification (SIC code), the lengths (in months) of associated damage
computation periods and market capitalization (stock price times number of
shares outstanding) at the beginnings and ends of damage computation peri-
ods. 11
Null 1. the mean market model prediction error at dates (months or days) of
discovery (MPEo) equals zero, and
Null 2. the mean cumulative prediction error through months immediately
preceding months of discovery (MCPE n _ 1) equals zero.
where
Rj~ t = return to firm j common stock in period t,
~, b = estimated coefficients, and
R m , t = NYSE value weighted index in period t. 12
Prediction error and cumulative prediction error statistics for each of the
two observation periods are reported in tables 1 and 2, respectively. In
Table 1
Mean monthly prediction errors (MPE) for the last 25 months of damage computation periods
with mean cumulative prediction errors (MCPE) for 43 firms with monthly data.
Month
( D = discovery
month) M P E ( + , - )a Z M C P E ( + , - )a Z
a Number of cases with positive prediction errors and number of cases with negative prediction
errors in parentheses.
discussing the first null hypothesis (MPE n = 0), I will refer to the left-hand
column of each of these tables; and in discussing the second null hypothesis
( M C P E n - 1 = 0), I will refer to the right-hand column of table 1.
Mean monthly prediction errors (MPE) are cross-sectional averages. In
calculating the mean monthly cumulative prediction errors ( M C P E ) reported
in table 1, prediction errors are cumulated in a way that differs from the
standard approach and that results in only returns for which plaintiffs claim
indemnification being included in the reported averages. This makes possible a
comparison of M C P E o _ t with MCPE n that provides an estimate of the
average percentage of the returns on which plaintiffs base their claims that
occurs t months or more before a misrepresentation is discovered. The mean
cumulative prediction errors are average 'abnormal performance indices' or
R . L . Kellogg, Class action lawsuits 193
Table 2
Mean daily prediction errors (MPE) and mean cumulative prediction errors ( M C P E ) from 20
days before through 10 days after the day of discovery (D) for 48 firms with daily data.
Day MPE ( +, - ) Z MCPE ( +, - ) Z
API [see Ball and Brown (1968)]. They represent the average percentage
declines in firms' stock prices from the beginnings of damage computation
periods. Since each lawsuit involves a unique damage computation period, the
individual abnormal performance indices that are being averaged include
differing numbers of months. If a firm's damage computation period is T + 1
months long, both M P E o _ t and M C P E o _ t contain the prediction error from
the first month of the damage computation period for that firm. For example,
the averaging that results in MCPED_ 6 includes a 76-month API for Genesco
(82-month damage computation period) and a 2-month API for Sanitas Service
(8-month damage computation period); it does not include an API for Kleinerts
(6-month damage computation period). Table 1 reports average monthly
194 R.L Kellogg, Class action lawsuits
13Incorporation of lead and lag factors in daily market model regressions in order to take into
account non-synchronous trading [see Scholes and Williams (1977)] also produced statistically
significant negative prediction errors on days of discovery.
14Note, however, that, given the existence of legal liability for accounting misrepresentations,
the validity of this theory does not depend upon accounting data's being a timely source of
information about firms' operations. Purchasers of securities prior to discovery are eligible to be
included as plaintiffs in accounting buyers' suits, while purchasers subsequent to discoveries of
misrepresentations are not. This means that post-discovery security prices are analogous to
ex-dividend prices; transactions subsequent to discoveries involved securities that lack an economi-
cally valuable right that is included in pre-discovery trades.
15Fischell (1982, p. 17) states: 'The market model makes it possible to test whether false
information caused a security to trade at an artificially high or low price by measuring whether
investors earned any abnormal returns at the time the correct information was released to the
public.'
R.L Kellogg Class action lawsuits 195
16Six of the 56 cases exhibited positive predictions errors over the damage computation period.
Unadjusted returns also were positive in five of these cases. It is difficult to understand plaintiffs'
incentives to invest in these lawsuits. In one of these cases (Mohawk Data) the court decided in
favor of plaintiffs and awarded zero damages.
X7See Foster (1980) and Kaplan (1978) for reviews of studies associating security returns with
accounting announcements.
J.A.E.-- B
196 R.L. Kellogg. Class action lawsuits
XSLewis v. Black, CCH Fed Sec. L. Rep. P95, 312 (EDNY, 1976) at pages 90, 167.
19polin v. Conductron Corp., 552 F. 2d 797 (8th Cir. 1977) at page 806.
2Marx v. Computer Sciences Corp. 507 F. 2d 458 (9th Cir. 1974) at note 5.
R.L. Keliog~ Class action lawsuits 197
21Verrecchia (1980) theorized that the degree of precision of information, which he defined as
the inverse of the variance, is positively related to the concentration in time of capital market
reaction. Holthausen and Verrecchia (1983) have suggested that the precision of information
relative to previously available information is positively related to security price variability when
the information is announced.
198 R . L Kellogg, Class action lawsuits
Table 3
Mean monthly prediction errors (MPEo) for the last 25 months of damage computation periods
with mean cumulative prediction errors M C P E o classified by type of information announced at
discovery (D).
Panel A : Changes in realizable values ( T~'pe 4 information )
Month
( D = discovery
month) M P E ( + , - )a Z M C P E ( + , - )~ Z
aSee footnote t o t a b l e 1.
Table 4
Mean daily prediction errors (MPE) and mean cumulative prediction errors (MCPE) classified
by type of information announced at discovery (D).
Day M P E ( + , - )a Z M C P E ( + . - )~ Z
% = MCPE o_ x/MCPED.
The test is conducted using only the 16 cases involving realizable values and
the 21 cases involving the other three types of discovery information for which
cumulative prediction errors were negative at the end of the month of dis-
covery. For these firms the mean percentages are 92% and 83%, respectively.
The T-statistic is 1.33 which does not permit rejection of the null hypothesis of
no difference between the mean percentages with less than a 5% chance of
error (one-tailed test with 35 degrees of freedom). The null hypothesis can be
rejected at the 10% level. The chi-square statistic for the association of the sign
( + or - ) of prediscovery returns with type of misrepresentation is not
significantly different from zero (X 2= 1.15).
Appendix
The firm name, four-digit SIC code, market values of outstanding common
shares at beginning and end of damage computation period (DCP), number of
months in damage computation period, and type of information announced at
discovery (as discussed in section 4), for each of the 56 firms for which returns
data are reported, are listed below. Based on the available sources, classifica-
tion by information type was not straightforward. For example, the Kleinerts
lawsuit involved 'inventory problems in the Danoca Division'. This was
classified as Type 2 (mistake) since there is no explicit mention of intentional
or illegal acts. Distinguishing Type 1 from Type 2 cases does not affect the
returns data that are reported. But correctly distinguishing Type 4 (changes in
asset realizable values) is important to any interpretation of the results in
section 4. Difficult Type 4 classification decisions involved Alaska Interstate
('cost overruns and inventory adjustments'), Lockheed (contract bid was 'so
low it insured a loss') and Mortgage Growth Investors (allegations of con-
spiracy involving advisory fees in addition to inadequate reserves for risky
Table A.1
Market value
(in $ millions)
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