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Carlyle A. Thayer
54 Academic Papers to International Conferences
on the South China Sea, 2009-July 2017

1. The South China Sea: Lynchpin of the Shifting Strategic Balance, Presentation to
International Conference on South China Sea: Impact on Major Power Relations and
Regional Security, co-sponsored by the Centre on Asia and Globalisation, Lee Kuan Yew
School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore and the Australia-China Relations
Institute, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, February 10-11,
2017.
2. The Militarization of the South China Sea: Regional Implications, Presentation to
Inaugural Southeast Asian Trilateral Forum, Session III, Cooperation on Maritime Security,
co-sponsored by The German Marshall Fund of the United States and the Westerwelle
Foundation, Novotel Yangon Max, Yangon, Myanmar, February 25-26, 2016.
3. Managing Security Tensions in the South China Sea, Presentation to Indo-Pacific
Maritime Security Conference: Challenges & Cooperation, co-sponsored by the National
Security College, Crawford School of Public Policy, College of Asia & Pacific, The Australian
National University and Embassy of Japan, Crawford Building, Canberra, March 16-17,
2016.
4. South China Sea: The Strategic Implications of Chinas Artificial Islands, Presentation to
Conference on Conflict in the South China Sea, co-sponsored by the Council on Southeast
Asian Studies and Institute for Vietnamese Culture and Education, MacMillen Center for
International Area Studies, Yale University, New Haven, May 6-7, 2016.
5. Military Modernization and Capacity Building in the Philippines and Vietnam,
Presentation to the 6th International Conference on the South China Sea, Center for
Strategic and International Studies, Washington, D.C., July 12, 2016.
6. The Role of Arbitration in the Settlement of Maritime Disputes in the South China Sea,
Presentation to the International Conference on the Law of the Sea, Legal Issues Relating
to Awards of the Arbitral Tribunal Established Under Annex VII of UNCLOS 1982, organized
by the University of Law Ho Chi Minh City and the Vietnam Lawyers Association,
Reunification Palace, Ho Chi Minh City, July 23, 2016.
7. The Militarisation of the South China Sea, Presentation to International Conference on
The Challenges to Peace and Security in the South China Sea, co-organised by the
Malaysian International Affairs Forum in collaboration with HELP University,. The Westin,
Kuala Lumpur, July 28, 2016.
8. Sovereignty Assertion in the South China Sea: Militarization and the Construction of
Artificial Islands, Presentation to International Workshop on the Legal Status of Islands
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and Rocks in International Law and Practice in the East Sea, co-hosted by Pham Van Dong
University and Nha Trang University, Nha Trang City, Vietnam, August 18, 2016.
9. The Southeast Asia Claimant States, ASEAN and the South China Sea Dispute,
Presentation to International Conference on The South China Sea in the Broader
Maritime-Security of the Indo-Pacific, co-sponsored by the Diplomatic Academy of
Vietnam, Japan Institute of International Affairs and The University of New South Wales
Canberra, Australian Defence Force Academy Canberra, 28-30 September 2016.
10. Acquiescing to Chinas Assertiveness in the South China Sea: U.S. and Australian Policies
of Not Taking Sides, Paper presented to International Conference on the South China Sea
jointly sponsored by VOICE, US Pinoys for Good Governance, Pinoy Patriots United
Movement, Democratic Assembly for Vietnam, National Congress of Vietnamese
Americans and Institute for Maritime Affairs & Law of the Sea, University of the
Philippines, Teehankee Rule of Law Center, Ateneo Law School, Manila, The Philippines,
March 27, 2015.
11. Chinas Land Reclamation and Lack of Self-Restraint: Implications for the DOC and
Proposed COC in the South China Sea, Presentation to the Foreign Service Institute, The
Mabini Dialogue Series, Carlos P. Romulo Library, Department of Foreign Affairs, Republic
of the Philippines, Pasay City, May 13, 2015.
12. Review of the Implementation of the 2002 ASEAN-China DOC and COC and Challenges,
Presentation to Seminar-Workshop on the Implementation of the 2002 ASEAN-China
Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea (DOC-SCS), ASEAN-China
Joint Working Group on the Implementation of the DOC, hosted by the Department of
Foreign Affairs, Republic of the Philippines, Manila, The Philippines, May 14-15, 2015.
13. Strategy and Maritime Power in a Contested Environment: National, Military, Maritime
Strategy and the South China Sea, Presentation to 66th Current Strategy Forum, U.S.
Naval War College, Newport, Rhode Island, United States, June 17-18, 2015
14. ASEAN and the South China Sea: A Dual Track Approach? Presentation to High-Level
International Workshop 2015, Managing South China Sea from ASEAN Perspective,
Center for Southeast Asian Studies, Jakarta, Indonesia, June 26, 2015.
15. Presentations to South China Sea Short Course, Prime Ministers Office, Bandar Seri
Begawan, Brunei Darussalam, August 11-12, 2015.
a. South China Sea General Introduction and Overview
b. Key Developments in the South China Sea (1992-2015)
c. Current Geostrategic Context: China and the South China Sea
d. Current Geostrategic Context: External Powers and the South China Sea
e. Current Geostrategic Context: ASEAN and the South China Sea
16. Submarine Acquisitions in Southeast Asia: Vietnam Case Study, Presentation to
Submarine Acquisitions in Southeast Asia: Problems and Prospects, Maritime Security
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Programme Workshop, Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Marina Mandarin


Singapore, November 13, 2015.
17. The Code of Conduct in the South China Sea and Beyond: Foolish Consistency or Holy
Grail? Presentation to the 7th South China Sea International Conference, Cooperation for
Regional Security and Development, co-sponsored by the Diplomatic Academy of
Vietnam, Foundation for East Sea Studies and Viet Nam Lawyers Association, The
Imperial Hotel, Vung Tau, Vietnam, November 23-24, 2015.
18. Fishing Fleets and Other Maritime Commercial and Scientific Activities, Presentation to
Session 2 Maritime Forces and Players, The 6th International South China Sea
Conference, Cooperation for Regional Security and Development, co-sponsored by
Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam, Foundation for East Sea Studies and Vietnam Lawyers
Association, Pullman Hotel, Da Nang, Vietnam, November 17-18, 2014.
19. Vietnams East Sea Strategy and China-Vietnam Relations, Paper delivered to the 2nd
International Conference on Chinas Maritime Strategy, co-sponsored by the Institute of
Global and Public Affairs, The University of Macau and Shanghai Maritime Strategy
Research Center, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, held at The University of Macau,
Macau Special Administrative Region, Peoples Republic of China, September 19-20, 2014.
20. Navigating Uncharted Waters: Maritime Confidence Building Measures and the
Expanded ASEAN Maritime Forum, Presentation to Topic 3, EAMF: Enhancing Regional
Maritime Security, Freedom of Safety of Navigation through Practical Implementation of
Confidence Building Measures as well as Regional Instruments to Prevent and Manage
Incidents at Sea, 3rd ASEAN Expanded Maritime Forum, Furama Resort Hotel, Da Nang,
Vietnam, August 28, 2014.
21. An Early Harvest Package for the Code of Conduct in the South China Sea,
Presentation to International Conference on the East Sea Disputes, sponsored by Ton Duc
Thang University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, July 25-26, 2014.
22. Vietnams Maritime Forces, Presentation to Conference on Recent Trends in the South
China Sea and U.S. Policy, 4th CSIS Conference on the South China Sea, Center for Strategic
and International Studies Washington, D.C., July 10-11, 2014.
23. The Paracel Islands Dispute: Geo-Strategic Issues and the Role of International Law in
Promoting Cooperation, Paper presented to international conference on Paracel-Spratly
Archipelagoes: Historical Truth, co-sponsored by the University of Da Nang and Pham Van
Dong University, Da Nang, Vietnam, June 19-21, 2014.
24. Beyond Territoriality: Managing the Maritime Commons in the South China Sea, Paper
delivered to Plenary Session 7, the 28th Asia-Pacific Roundtable, International Institute of
Strategic Studies, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, June 2-4, 2014.
25. Maritime Security and the 2014 ASEAN Agenda, Presentation to Public Forum on
ASEANs Role in Providing Maritime Security, CNAS Maritime Security Project, Center for
a New American Security, Willard International Continental Hotel, Washington, D.C.,
February 13, 2014.
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26. South China Sea Developments in 2013: ASEAN Unity Restored, Sino-Philippine Tensions
and ASEAN-China Consultations on a Code of Conduct, Presentation to the 5th
International Conference on The South China Sea: Cooperation for Regional Security and
Development, co-sponsored by the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam and Vietnam
Lawyers Association, Melia Hotel, Hanoi, Vietnam, November 11-12, 2013.
27. ASEAN and China Consultations on a Code of Conduct in the South China Sea: Prospects
and Obstacles, Presentation to the International Conference on Security and
Cooperation in the South China Sea, sponsored by the Institute of Oriental Studies,
Russian Academy of Sciences, Radisson SAS Slavyanskaya Hotel, Moscow, Russian
Federation, October 18, 2013.
28. Incorporating a Code of Conduct for the South China Sea into ASEANs Political-Security
Community: The Road Ahead, Presentation to Regional Conference on ASEAN and the
South China Sea: Achievements, Challenges and Future Direction, Cambodian Institute for
Cooperation and Peace, Raffles Le Royal Hotel, Phnom Penh, September 19-20, 2013.
29. Taiwans East China Sea Peace Initiative and ASEANs Code of Conduct in the South China
Sea, Presentation to Roundtable, 2013 East China Seas Peace Forum, co-sponsored by
The Prospect Foundation and Fu Jen Catholic University, Taipei, Taiwan, August 5, 2013.
30. U.S. AirSea Battle Concept and Chinese Asymmetric Challenges to Maritime Security in
the South China Sea, Presentation to 64th Current Strategy Forum, American Grand
Strategy: Power and Purpose in the 21st Century, U.S. Naval War College, Newport,
Rhode Island, USA, June 18-19, 2013.
31. South China Sea in Regional Politics: Indonesias Efforts to Forge ASEAN Unity on a Code
of Conduct, Presentation to Third Annual CSIS Conference on Managing Tensions in the
South China Sea, Center for Strategic & International Studies, Washington, D. C., June 5-
6, 2013.
32. The Philippines Claim to the UNCLOS Arbitral Tribunal: Implications for Viet Nam,
Presentation to International Workshop on The Sovereignty Over Paracel and Spratly
Archipelagoes Historical and Legal Aspects, Pham Van Dong University, Quang Ngai City,
Vietnam, April 27-28, 2013.
33. Securing Maritime Security in the South China Sea: Norms, Legal Regimes and
Realpolitik, Presentation to the Panel on Fault Lines and Security Dynamics Along Asias
Lifeline, International Studies Association, Hilton Union Square, San Francisco, U.S.A.,
April 6, 2013.
34. "Deference/Defiance: Southeast Asia, China, and the South China Sea," Presentation to
the panel Difference/Diffusion, Deference/Defiance: Unpacking China-Southeast Asia
Relations, International Studies Association, Hilton Union Square, San Francisco, U.S.A.,
April 5, 2013.
35. Chinese Assertiveness and U.S. Rebalancing: Confrontation in the South China Sea?,
Presentation to the panel The South China Sea: The New Crucible in U.S.-China Relations?,
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Association for Asian Studies 2013 Annual Conference, Hyatt Manchester Hotel, San
Diego, California, U.S.A., March 21-24, 2013.
36. Can the Centre Hold? ASEAN in the Midst of China-United States Strategic Rivalry, Paper
to China in Transition, The Asan China Forum 2012, sponsored by The Asan Institute for
Policy Studies, The Westin Chosun Hotel, Seoul, South Korea, December 11-12, 2012.
37. Maritime Security and the Role of Naval Diplomacy in the South China Sea, Paper to
MIMA Conference on the South China Sea: Recent Developments and Implications for
Peaceful Dispute Resolution, The Maritime Institute of Malaysia, Royal Chulan Hotel,
Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, December 12-13, 2012.
38. Chinas Naval Modernization and U.S. Strategic Rebalancing: Implications for Stability in
the South China Sea, Paper to The South China Sea: Cooperation for Regional Security
and Development, 4th International Conference on the South China Sea, co-sponsored by
the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam and the Vietnam Lawyers Association, Ho Chi Minh
City, Vietnam, November 18-21, 2012.
39. "Deference/Defiance: Southeast Asia, China, and the South China Sea," Paper to the
workshop The Deer and the Dragon: Southeast Asia and China in the 21st Century, co-
sponsored by Southeast Asia Forum, Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, Stanford
University and the China Programme, Institute of Defence and Security Studies, S.
Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore,
November 15-16, 2012.
40. Vietnam and the United States: Convergence but not Congruence of Strategic Interests
in the South China Sea, Keynote Address to The Fourth Engaging With Vietnam An
Interdisciplinary Dialogue Conference, Australian Night, co-sponsored by the Australian
Consulate General, Monash University, and the East-West Center, Wailana Room, The
Hawaii Imin International Conference Center, East-West Center, Honolulu, Hawaii,
U.S.A., November 8-9, 2012.
41. A New Wave of Chinese Assertiveness: Roping off Scarborough Shoal, Oil Leases in
Vietnams EEZ, Military Garrison on Land and Fishing Armada at Sea, Paper presented to
the 2nd MIMA South China Sea Conference on Geo-Strategic Developments and Prospects
for Disputes Management, sponsored by the Malaysian Institute of Maritime Studies,
Double Tree by Hilton Hotel, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, September 4-5, 2012.
42. From Aggressive Assertiveness to All Quiet on the East Sea Front: The South China Sea
as an Issue in China-Vietnam Relations, Paper to 2nd Conference on The South China Sea
and Asia Pacific in Transition: Exploring Options for Managing Disputes, sponsored by
the Center for Strategic & International Studies, Washington, D.C., June 27-28, 2012.
43. Sovereignty Disputes in the South China Sea: Diplomacy, Legal Regimes and Realpolitik,
Paper to International Conference on Topical Regional Security Issues in East Asia, co-
sponsored by the Faculty of Asian and African Studies and the Ho Chi Minh Institute, St.
Petersburg State University, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation, April 6-7, 2012.
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44. Efforts to Ensure Maritime Security, Presentation to 2nd Tokyo Defense Forum Seminar,
organized by the Ministry of Defense, Galaxy Hotel, Chinzan-so, Tokyo, Japan, March 16,
2012.
45. "The Rise of China and Maritime Security in South East Asia," Presentation to 11th IDE
Forum, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO)
Headquarters, Ark Building, Akasaka, Tokyo, Japan, February 9, 2012.
46. "The Rise of China and Maritime Security in South East Asia," Presentation to IDE Policy
Seminar, Research Project on The Rise of China and India and the Implications for East
Asia, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO),
Tokyo, February 8, 2012.
47. The South China Sea Disputes and Their Impact on the Security Environment of
Southeast Asia: What Lies Ahead?, Presentation to the International Conference on the
Political and Security Implications of the South China Sea Dispute, co-sponsored by the
Center for Asia-Pacific Area Studies and the East-West Center, Academia Sinica, Taipei,
Taiwan, January 12-13, 2012.
48. Navigating the Currents of Legal Regimes and Realpolitik in East Asias Maritime
Domain, Paper to International Conference on Cooperation for the Safety of Navigation
in East Asia: Legal Arrangements and Political Implications, organized by the National
Institute for South China Sea Studies, Haikou City, Hainan Island, Peoples Republic of
China, November 17-18, 2011.
49. Will the Guidelines to Implement the DOC Lessen Tensions in the South China Sea? An
Assessment of Developments Before and After Their Adoption, Paper to 3rd International
Confernce on the South China Sea, co-sponsored by the Vietnam Lawyers Association
and Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam, Hanoi, November 3-5, 2011.
50. China-ASEAN and the South China Sea: Chinese Assertiveness and Southeast Asian
Responses, Paper to international conference on Major and Policy Issues in the South
China Sea: European and American Perspectives, co-sponsored by Institute of European
and American Studies and Centre for Asia-Pacific Studies, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan,
October 6-9, 2011.
51. Chinas New Wave of Aggressive Assertiveness in the South China Sea, Paper to 1st
International Conference on Maritime Security in the South China Sea, Center for
Strategic and International Studies, Washington, D.C., June 20-21, 2011.
52. Security Cooperation in the South China Sea: An Assessment of Recent Trends, Paper
to the First Manila Conference on the South China Sea: Toward a Region of Peace,
Cooperation, and Progress, co-sponsored by the Foreign Service Institute, Diplomatic
Academy of Vietnam and National Defense College, Dusit Thani Hotel, Makati City, Metro
Manila, The Philippines, July 5-6, 2011.
53. Recent Developments in the South China Sea: Implications for Regional Peace and
Prosperity, Paper presented to the 2nd International Conference on the South China Sea:
Cooperation for Regional Security and Development, co-sponsored by the Diplomatic
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Academy of Vietnam and the Vietnam Lawyers Association, New World Saigon Hotel, Ho
Chi Minh City, Vietnam, November 12-13, 2010.
54. Recent Developments in the South China Sea Implications for Peace, Stability and
Cooperation in the Region, Paper presented to the 1st International Conference on The
South China Sea: Cooperation for Regional Security and Development, co-organised by
the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam and the Vietnam Lawyers Association, Hanoi,
November 27-28, 2009.

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