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Department of Mathematics,
University of Delhi
Contents
1. Introduction ................................................................................. 3
2. Discrete Distributions .................................................................... 3
Discrete Uniform Distribution ............................................................... 3
Binomial Distribution and Bernoulli distribution ...................................... 4
Poisson Distribution ............................................................................ 7
Geometric Distribution ...................................................................... 10
Negative Binomial Distribution ........................................................... 12
Some Solved Problems ..................................................................... 15
3. Continuous Distributions .................................................................. 17
Uniform Distribution ......................................................................... 17
Exponential Distribution .................................................................... 19
Normal Distribution .......................................................................... 21
Exercises ........................................................................................... 26
References ........................................................................................ 27
1. Introduction
Till now, we have studied the concepts of random or non-deterministic experiments,
classical definition of Probability function and the axiomatic approach to the Probability
Theory. Further, discrete distributions, probability mass functions, continuous distributions
and probability density functions have also been studied.
In the present chapter, we will study some of the probability distributions which have
extremely important applications in the field of statistical theory. Further, we shall study
their parameters, i.e., the quantities that are fixed for one distributions but changes or
takes different values for different members of families of distributions of the same kind.
The most common parameters are the lower moments, mainly mean and variance .
Various forms of discrete distributions such as uniform, binomial, Poisson, geometric,
negative binomial and continuous distributions such as uniform, normal, exponential will be
studied with the help of various examples and solved problems.
2. Discrete Distributions
In this section, we will study some of the discrete probability distributions, their
mean , variance and the associated m.g.f.
The next result gives the mean, variance and m.g.f. of discrete uniform distribution.
and .
Proof. We have
Here, and such that and are the two parameters of the Binomial
distribution, where represents the probability of success and represents the probability
of failure in a single trial.
Note that the name Binomial distribution comes from the fact that the values of
(or ) for are nothing but the successive terms of the Binomial expansion of
i.e.,
Here, and .
The next result gives the mean, variance and m.g.f. of discrete Binomial distribution.
and .
Proof. We have
Therefore,
Now,
The next result gives the mean, variance and m.g.f. of Bernoulli distribution.
and .
Proof. We have
This gives
Example 2.6 If Six dice are thrown times, then how many times do you expect at least
three dice to show a or ?
Then,
Poisson Distribution
Definition 2.8 A discrete random variable is said to have Poisson Distribution if the
discrete density function of is given by
The next result gives the mean, variance and m.g.f. of Poisson distribution.
and .
Proof. We have
Therefore,
Now,
Value Addition
Then,
Example 2.10 The manufacturer of scarf pins knows that of his product is defective. If
he sells scarf pins in a box of and guarantees that not more than pins will be
defective, what is the approximate probability that a box will fail to meet the guaranteed
quality?
Solution. We have
and
Therefore, .
Geometric Distribution
Definition 2.11 A random variable is said to have geometric distribution if the discrete
density function of is given by
Where and
Note that since the various terms in the discrete density function of are
which clearly form a geometric series, the distribution is known as geometric
distribution.
The next result gives the mean, variance and m.g.f. of geometric distribution.
and
Proof. We have
Therefore,
Now,
Now,
Therefore,
Example 2.13 A die is thrown until a side with a six appears. Then, find the probability that
it must be thrown more than four times?
If denotes the number of throws required for the first success, then
for
Value Addition
2. Consider
The next result gives the mean, variance and m.g.f. of negative binomial distribution
distribution.
and
Therefore, we have
and
Therefore, we have
Thus,
Then, find
Thus,
Problem 10 Suppose that the average number of customers phone calls at the customer
care centre of a well-known telecom company regarding complaints about the network issue
related problems is calls per hour. Use Poisson distribution to answer the following
questions:
(i) What is the probability that no calls will arrive in a -minute interval?
(ii) What is the probability that more than five calls will arrive in a -minute interval?
Probability that more than five calls will arrive in a -minute interval is
Now, consider
3. Continuous Distributions
In this section, we will study some of the continuous probability distributions, their
mean , variance and the associated m.g.f.
Uniform Distribution
Definition 3.1 A continuous random variable is said to have uniform distribution over
the interval , where , if its probability density function p.d.f. is given
by
Theorem 3.2 If a continuous random variable has a uniform distribution over , then
and
Proof. We have
Now,
Example 3.3 If a random variable has a uniform distribution over . Then, find
for which
Also compute .
Now,
Now,
Exponential Distribution
Definition 3.4 A continuous random variable is said to have an exponential
distribution with parameter , if its p.d.f. is given by
and , for
Proof. We have
Now,
Solution. We have
Solution. We have
Since , so we have
Thus,
Normal Distribution
Definition 3.8 A continuous random variable is said to have normal distribution if its
probability density function is given by
Random variable is known as normal variate and and are the parameters of normal
distribution . We denote normal distribution by .
Value Addition
If we increases numerically, then decreases rapidly and we note that the maximum
value of is which occurs at One may note that since the ordinate at
divides the area under the normal curve into two equal parts, the median of the curve is
at the and in fact, mean, median and mode of the normal distribution coincides.
and
Therefore,
Thus,
Therefore,
Proof. We have
Taking
If put
and if put
This gives
Now, consider
Corollary 3.12 Let denotes the standard normal distribution i.e., , then
Value Addition
The area under the standard normal curve between the ordinates to is given
by the definite integral
Note that
Therefore,
This gives
Thus,
(by symmetry)
Example 3.13 Let be a normal variate with mean and standard deviation .
Then,
Example 3.14 The life of LED bulbs of a certain brand may be assumed to be normally
distributed with mean days and standard deviation days. What is the probability
(i) that the life of a randomly chosen LED bulb is less than days.
(ii) that the total life of a randomly chosen LED bulb is between 136 days and 174 days.
Solution. (i) We have
(by symmetry)
(ii) We have
Exercises
1. What is the probability of obtaining heads in a toss of coins and then
repeating this experiment two times in the next five tosses ?
2. A family has children. Find the probability that this family has at least one girl,
given that they have at least one boy. Assume that either sex-birth is to equally
likely to occur and all births were independent.
3. Suppose balls are distributed at random into boxes. Find the probability that
there are exactly balls in the first boxes.
4. Assume that you have a fair die. How many times should you roll it so that with a
probability of at least the frequency of sixs will differ from by less than
5. The number of criminals being hanged in a week is a Poisson variate with mean .
However, itself is a variate which takes on one of the values with
respective probabilities What is the probability that no criminal is hanged.
6. Suppose that the number of trucks passing an intersection obeys Poisson
distribution. If the probability of no truck in one minute is , what is the
probability of more than one car in two minutes ?
7. and shoot independently until each has hit his own target. They have
probabilities and of hitting the targets at each shot respectively. Find the
probability that will require more shots than
8. Find the probability that a person tossing coins will get either all heads or all tails
for the second time on the sixth toss.
9. A man and a woman agree to meet at a certain place between PM and PM.
They agree that one arriving first will wait hours, , for other to arrive.
Assuming that the arrival times are independent and uniformly distributed, find the
probability that they meet.
10. The daily consumption of milk in excess of gallons is approximately
exponentially distributed with . The city has a daily stock of gallons.
What is the probability that of two days selected at random, the stock is insufficient
for both the days ?
11. In a large group of men, are under inches in height and are between
inches. Assuming a normal distribution, find the mean height and standard
deviation.
12. If is , for what value of , is minimized.
References
1. Robert V. Hogg, Joseph W. McKean and Allen T. Craig, Introduction to Mathematical
Statistics, Pearson Education, Asia, 2007.
2. Irwin Miller and Marylees Miller, John E. Freunds Mathematical Statistics
with Applications (7th Edition), Pearson Education, Asia, 2006.
3. Sheldon Ross, Introduction to Probability Models (9th Edition), Academic Press,
Indian Reprint, 2007.