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1. Evaluation of Uncertainty
The uncertainty of the result of a measurement generally consists of several
components. They can be grouped into two categories according to the
method used to estimate their numerical values:
Type A evaluation
Calculation of uncertainty is by statistical analysis through repetitive
observations.
Type B evaluation
Calculation of uncertainty is by means other than statistical analysis.
1 n
s(q k ) = (qk q )2
n 1 k =1
The standard deviation of the mean (estimate the spread of the distribution of
the means):
s(qk )
s(q ) =
n
Guidance Notes EL 001, May 02 Page 1 of 15
For an input estimate xi determined from n repeated observations, the Type A
standard uncertainty u(xi), with degrees of freedom v is given by:
u (xi ) = s(q )
vi = n 1
Note: the degree of freedom should always be given when Type A evaluation
of an uncertainty component is reported.
k 0. 1
u (x ) = = = = 0.051 V
k 1.96
When an uncertainty is given by maximum bound within which all values are
equally probable, the rectangular distribution can be assumed. For example, the
accuracy of a voltmeter of a specific range is quoted as 0.2 V. The standard
uncertainty of the voltmeter is given by:
a 0. 2
u (x ) = = = 0.115 V
3 3
f f f f
y = x1 + x2 + x3 + + x N
x1 x2 x3 x N
x1 x2 x3 x N
= c1 u 2 (x1 ) + c2 u 2 (x2 ) + c3 u 2 (x3 ) + + c N u 2 (x N )
2 2 2 2
uc (y )
4
eff =
ci u 4 (xi )
N 4
i =1 vi
Based on the calculated veff, obtain the t-factor tp(veff) for the required level of
confidence p from the t-distribution table.
kp = tp(veff)
7. Expanded Uncertainty
The expanded uncertainty defines an interval about the estimated result y within
which the true value of the measurand Y is confidently believed to lie. It is given
by:
U = kp uc(y)
Y=yU
It means that the true value of measurand Y is confidently believed to fall within
the following range:
yUYy+U
Measurement record:
Reading 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
R (m) 9.4 9.1 9.4 9.8 9.7 9.4 9.8 9.7 9.4 9.4
Rx = Rrdg + Rm
2. Uncertainty Equation
u c (R ) = c1 u 2 (R rdg ) + c 2 u 2 ( R m )
2 2
Rx Rx
Since c1 = = 1 and c2 = = 1 , the combined standard uncertainty is give
Rrdg (Rm )
by:
uc (R ) = u 2 (Rrdg ) + u 2 (Rm )
u(Rrdg) is the standard uncertainty due to the repeatability of the meter reading
Type A evaluation:
The best estimate of the measured resistance is given by the arithmetic mean:
1 10 1
R = Rk = (95.1) = 9.51 m
10 k =1 10
Standard deviation:
s( R) =
1 10
(Rk R )2 = 1
(2.449) = 0.522 m
10 1 k =1 9
Standard uncertainty:
u (Rrdg ) = s (R ) =
s( R) 0.522
= = 0.165 m
n 10
Degree of freedom, = 9
Type B evaluation:
The uncertainty of the calibration is 0.2 m with 95 % of confidence level (k =
1.96).
0.2
u (Rm ) = = 0.102 m
1.96
Degree of freedom, =
Note: The value of 0.2 m is used as a component for Type B evaluation on the
assumption that the drift and stability of the equipment is negligible.
7. Expanded Uncertainty
For veff = 17, the coverage factor of the combined standard uncertainty (kp) is equal
to 2.11 at 95 % level of confidence.
8. Reporting of Result
R = 9.51 0.409 m
The measured resistance of the current shunt resistor is 9.51 m. The expanded
uncertainty is 0.409 m with a coverage factor of 2.11, assuming a normal
distribution at a level of confidence of 95 %.
Accuracy = 0.6 oC
Thermocouple specifications:
Measurement record:
S/N 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
T 400.1 400.0 400.1 399.9 399.9 400.0 400.1 400.2 400.0 399.9
o
( C)
2. Uncertainty Equation
Type A evaluation:
The best estimate of the measured temperature is given by the arithmetic mean:
1 10
T =
10 k =1
Tk = 400.02 o C
Standard deviation:
1 10
s(T ) = (Tk T )2 = 0.103 o C
10 1 k =1
Standard uncertainty:
s(T ) 0.103
u (t rdg ) = s (T ) = = = 0.033 o C
n 10
Degree of freedom, = 9
Type B evaluation:
The accuracy of the digital thermometer = 0.6 oC. Assume rectangular distribution,
the standard uncertainty of the digital thermometer meter:
0.6
u (t dev ) = = 0.346 o C
3
Degree of freedom, =
o
The uncertainty of the temperature correction of the thermocouple = 1.0 C at 95
% confidence level (k =1.96). The standard uncertainty due to temperature
correction:
1.0
u (ttc ) = = 0.510 o C
1.96
Degree of freedom, =
Guidance Notes EL 001, May 02 Page 9 of 15
o
The uncertainty of the thermocouple due to immersion = 0.1 C. Assume
rectangular distribution, the standard uncertainty due to immersion:
0.1
u (timm ) = = 0.058 o C
3
Degree of freedom, =
The uncertainty of the thermocouple due to drift = 0.2 oC. Assume rectangular
distribution, the standard uncertainty due to drift:
u (t drift ) =
0.2
= 0.115 o C
3
Degree of freedom, =
8. Reporting of result
The measured temperature of the chamber is 400.52 oC. The expanded uncertainty
o
is 1.235 C with a coverage factor of 1.96, assuming a normal distribution at a
level of confidence of 95 %.
Measurement record:
o
Room temperature = 23 5 C
Reading 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Voltage 100.6 100.8 100.7 100.6 100.6 100.9 100.6 100.6 100.7 100.6
(mV) 8 3 9 4 3 4 0 8 6 5
V
I = f (V , R ) =
R
2 2 2 2
I 2 I 2 I 2 I 2
uc (I ) = u1 (V ) + u 2 (V ) + u3 (R ) + u 4 (R )
2
V V R R
2
[ 2 2
] 2
[
= c1 u1 (V ) + u 2 (V ) + c2 u3 (R ) + u 4 (R )
2 2
]
The sensitivity coefficients:
I 1 I V
c1 = = and c1 = = 2
V R R R
where
Type A evaluation:
The best estimate of the measured voltage is given by the arithmetic mean:
1 10 1
V = Vk = (1007.2 ) = 100.72 mV
10 k =1 10
Standard deviation:
s(V ) =
1 10
10 1 k =1 9
( )
(Vk V )2 = 1 1040 104 = 10.75 102 mV
Standard uncertainty:
s(V ) 10.75 10 2
u1 (V ) = s (V ) = = = 3.40 10 2 mV
n 10
Degree of freedom, 1 = 9
Type B evaluation:
8.07 10 6
u3 (R ) = = 4.12 10 6
1.96
Degree of freedom, 3 =
V 100.72 10 3
c1 = = = 989.70 V/ 2
R2 0.0100882
uc (I ) = c1 u1 (V ) + c1 u 2 (V ) + c2 u3 (R ) + c2 u 4 (R )
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
( ) (2
) ( 2
= 3.37 10 3 + 2.87 10 3 + 4.08 10 3 + 1.73 10 3 ) (
2
)2
uc (I ) = 3.92 10 5 = 6.26 10 3 A
eff =
(6.26 10 ) 3 4
9
= 107
7. Expanded Uncertainty
Since veff = 10& >100, the coverage factor of the combined standard uncertainty (kp)
approaches 1.96 at 95 % level of confidence.
-3
U = kp uc = 1.96 6.26 10 = 0.012 A
8. Reporting of Results
V 100.72 10 3
I= = = 9.984 A
R 0.010088
I = 9.984 0.012 A
References:
1. SAC-SINGLAS Technical Guide 1: Guidelines on the Evaluation and
Expression of Measurement Uncertainty, 2nd Edition, March 2001.
3. NIST Technical Note 1297: Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the
Uncertainty of NIST Measurement Results, 1994.