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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

Diky H. Wirawan

27 September 2014
Kiwoom Securities Indonesia

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Proses Identifikasi Pola atau Tren:

-Memilih Grafik (candlestick, line, bar)

-Menentukan level support dan resistance

-Mencari Pola (continue, consolidation, reversal)

-Menambah Parameter (volume, RSI, momentum, moving average, porsi


asing)

*Parameter lainnya: Dow Theory, Elliot Wave, Bollinger Band, Fibonacci Retracement, Stochastic
Oscillator, MACD dll

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Menentukan Support & Resistance:

Volume (semakin tinggi volume semakin valid)

Waktu (semakin cepat terjadi semakin tidak/kurang valid)

Jumlah diuji (semakin sering suatu support / resistance diuji, semakin valid)

Sudut kemiringan (semakin terjal semakin tidak valid) 4

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis

Kategori Pola

Continuation: Flag, Cup & handle

Consolidation: Rectangle, Triangle, Wedge

Trend Reversal: Head & shoulder, Rounding top/bottom, Double


top/bottom

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Flag & Inverted Flag

Tinggi tiang bendera biasanya


separuh dari keseluruhan pola. Oleh
karena itu target price dihitung dari
seberapa tinggi tiang tersebut.

Bendera yang terbentuk biasanya


memiliki sudut yang terbalik dengan
arah tiang yang mendahuluinya.

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Cup with Handle

ISSP B

A. Cup
B. Handle
A

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Wedge

SMCB

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Rectangle

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Distribution Top
Merupakan proses perpindahan asset
dari knowledge-able investor ke
uninformed Investor.

Bottom Accumulation
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Merupakan proses perpindahan asset dari uninformed investor ke
knowledge-able investor

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis

Triangle

KLBF

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How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Head & Shoulder
Perhatikan garis neckline. Target Price
dari pola H&S diukur setinggi
head-neckline

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Head & Shoulder

LSIP

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How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Volume Goes With The Trend

Pada saat terbentuknya pola


pergerakan harga, volume
perdagangan cenderung
menysut.

Volume
perdagangan
cenderung
meningkat
menjelang
penembusan 14

pola.

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Rounding Top

Rounding
Bottom

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How To understand basic Technical Analysis

Reversal of Bull market: Lower


Bull market: Higher Peak 16
Peak and Lower Trough
and Higher Trough

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis

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Reversal of Bear Market: Higher Perhatikan major dan
Trough and Higher Peak minor trend

How To understand basic Technical Analysis

Candlestick

Cara singkat untuk


Menganalisa
pergerakan
saham harian dengan
membandingkan harga
open, high, low, dan close.
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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Pola Candlestick (simple)

(1) Big Black Candle (2) Big White Candle, (3) Black Body, sinyal (4) Doji, open dan close
sinyal bearish pola bullish bearish sama

(5) Dragonfly Doji (6) Gravestone Doji, (7) Long-Legged Doji, (8) Hanging Man, sinyal
sinyal reversal sinyal bearish pada saat sinyal reversal bearish pada saat
(terutama pada bottom) top uptrend

(9) Hammer, sinyal (10) Inverted Black (11) Shooting Star, (12) Marubozu, pola
bullish pada saat Hammer, sinyal bottom sinyal bearish pada bullish berlanjut
downtrend. reversal uptrend 19

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Pola Candlestick (complex)

(1) Bearish Harami, (2) Bullish Harami, (3) Engulfing Bullish (4) Engulfing Bearish
sinyal bearish pada saat sinyal bullish pada saat Line, sinyal kuat Line, sinyal kuat
uptrend downtrend reversal pada saat reversal pada top
bottom

(5) Dark Cloud Cover, (6) Evening Doji Star, (7) Morning Doji Star, (8) Three Black Crows,
sinyal bearish pada saat sinyal bearish sinyal bullish reversal pada saat top
uptrend

(9) Three White (10) Bearish 3-Method (11) Bullish 3-Method


Soldiers, reversal pada Formation, bearish Formation, bullish
saat bottom berlanjut berlanjut 20

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


A C
Pola candlestick

ASII B
A. Long legged
doji

B. Bearish
harami

C. Shooting star

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How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Parameter Tambahan

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Momentum

Moving Average

Aktifitas Asing

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Overbought
RSI

-kekuatan harga

-tren jenuh beli atau Oversold


jenuh jual

-sinyal buy atau sell

-sinyal reversal

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How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Momentum
?
-harga sekarang dgn
waktu lalu

-sinyal beli jika di


atas garis 0 atau
sebaliknya

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Moving Average ?
-harga rata-rata
SMA 50
-arah / tren
Sell
-sinyal buy atau sell
SMA 200
SMA 200
hari
Buy

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How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Real time use

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


IDR, Trillions IDX
15 5,500

Aktifitas Asing Foreign Net


5,000
Bulanan 10
IDX as of 19 September 2014 4,500
5
4,000

- 3,500
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

(5) 3,000

2,500
(10)
2,000

(15)
1,500

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(20) 1,000

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


IDR, Trillion IDX
Kumulatif Asing
(sejak 2011)

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis

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How To understand basic Technical Analysis

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis

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How To understand basic Technical Analysis

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PT KIWOOM SECURITIES INDONESIA

How To understand basic Technical Analysis


Penutup

-Follow market trend

-Bersifat universal

-Menentukan tingkat resiko

-Kombinasi beberapa parameter

-Membantu dalam keputusan investasi


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-Safe trading

Q&A Session
www.kiwoom.co.id
www.kiwoom-invest.co.id

KiwoomID 34

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