Professional Documents
Culture Documents
May 2016
GGP Overview
S&P 500 Real Estate Investment Trust(a)
NYSE Ticker GGP
Headquarters Chicago
Employees 1,700
Retail Properties 128
States 40
Total Retail GLA 121 million
Enterprise Value $46.1 billion Natick Mall, Natick, MA
Leased 95.9%
Lease Spreads(c) 12.0%
A Attitude
D Do The Right Thing
T Together
O Own It
a) All Same Store operating metrics as of March 31, 2016.
b)
c)
All tenant sales less anchors on a rolling 12 months ended March 31, 2016. Inline sales growth is 2.1% including Christiana Mall, which has had unusual changes in sales productivity.
Lease spreads are suite-to-suite and represent 2016 commencements.
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Irreplaceable Retail Properties in the U.S.
GGP owns 100 of the top 500 malls in the U.S.
Sales
Volume
Source: U.S. Census Nov. 2015 and GGP. GAFO stands for General Merchandise, Apparel and Accessories, Furniture and Other Sales.
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Traffic Across The GGP Portfolio Is Steady,
With YoY Increases Across All Classes Of
Assets Estimated Total Visits to GGP Centers
4% 3% - 2%
Source: GGP.
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Redevelopment of Department Store Boxes
Since 2011, 82 of 83 vacant department stores have been redeveloped for a
total cost of $1.4 billion generating an 11% annual return
17 department stores - Nordstrom (3), Von Maur (3), Macys (2), Boscovs (2),
Dillards (2), Belk, Lord & Taylor, Bloomingdales, Carsons and Bon Ton
10 entertainment venues - theaters (3), trampoline parks (2), Dave & Busters (3)
and Round One (2)
11 sporting goods stores Dicks Sporting Goods / Field & Stream (5), Sports
Authority (4) and Scheels (2)
5 fast fashion retailers - Forever 21 (3) and H&M (2)
4 restaurants Perrys, Yard House, Old Town Pour House and Harry Carays
4 grocery stores - Sprouts, Fresh Market, Wegmans and Total Wine
3 fitness centers 24 Hour Fitness, City Sports and Family Fitness
3 DSW
3 Container Stores
2 Pirch
185,000 square feet of inline space including, but not limited to, Apple, Nike,
Lululemon, Tommy Bahama and Aritzia
20 other uses including, but not limited to, Nordstrom Rack, Crate& Barrel, Petco,
Ulta and HH Gregg
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Department Store Performance
Over the past decade, department store performance has lagged that of inline shops
within the GGP portfolio.
On a rolling 12 month basis as of March 2016, Anchor sales are down 1.9% while total inline
sales are up 4.0%.(a)
a) Inline sales growth is 2.1% including Christiana Mall, which has had unusual changes in sales productivity.
Sources & Notes: U.S. Census Bureau, FactSet, GGP Intel, GGP Strategy & Analytics. Years reflect calendar years. 8
GGP figures reflect properties consistently open from 2005 to 2015.
Regional Mall Visitation by Generation
Millennials have the highest propensity of any generation to visit regional malls on a
regular basis.
PROPENSITY TO SHOP AT LEAST ONCE EVERY THREE MONTHS, 100 = AVG SHOPPER
140
120 116
107
100 92
83
80
60
40
20
0
Millennials Gen Xers Baby Boomers Silents
18-34 35-49 50-65 Over 65
Sources: GGP Strategy & Analytics, Nielsen Local, 2014-2015. 400,489 respondents.
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Department Store Consolidation Timeline
SELECTED RETAILERS
Associated Dry Goods Allied Federated May Carter Hawley Hale Mercantile Dillard's
Lord & Taylor Jordan Marsh A&S Famous Barr Broadway Bacon's
JW Robinston Bon March Lazarus Kaufmann's Emporium Castner Knott
Goldwater's Donaldson's Filene's Hecht's Thalheimers Gayfers Acquired
Stix Baer Fuller Block Bloomingdale's G Fox Wanamakers Glass Block Lowensteins
Denver Dry Goods Joske's Burdine's Meier & Frank Neiman Marcus JB White Diamonds
Robinsons FL Maas Brothers Rich's Strawbridge's Bergdorf Goodman Jones Store Joske's
LS Ayres Miller & Rhoad's Foley's ZCMI Joslins Higbee's
Horne's Pomeroy's Sanger Harris Lion DH Holmes
Caldor Stern's Bullocks Maison Blanche Ivey's
I Magnin Acquired by Federated McAlpins
Acquires Associated in 1995
in 1986 Neiman Group spun
1986 Sold to May Dept. 1986 Acquired by Campeau to General Cinema Aquired Mercantile
Acquired Allied in Sold to Dillard's 1998
1988 1998
Acquires Dayton Hudson
Becomes Federated 1988 Acquired by Federated Marshall Field's Becomes Macy's, Inc.
2005 in 2004 2007 Operate as Dillard's
Acquired Macy's in
1994
Becomes Macy's, Inc.
Becomes Macy's, Inc. 2007 Sold to Federated At the peak of department
2007 2005
Becomes Macy's, Inc. store nameplates, there were
2007 56 different department store
Becomes Macy's, Inc.
brands
2007
Conversions
Former Store New Stores
Sears TBD Dining/Entertainment
Pirch, Aritzia, Boss, lululemon,
Bloomingdale's
Tommy Bahama
Neiman Marcus Perry's Steakhouse,
(Lower Lev el) Old Town Pour House
Productivity
Store Category 2010 2015 Change
I nline Retail $668 $911 +36%
Anchors $233 $271 +17%
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Natick Mall
Conversions
Former Store New Stores
JCPenney Wegmans
Sears TBD Entertainment
Productivity
Store Category 2010 2015 Change
I nline Retail $552 $671 +22%
Anchors $181 $201 +11% 12
Cumberland Mall
Conversions
Former Store New Stores
JCPenney Costco
Productivity
Store Category 2010 2015 Change
I nline Retail $379 $610 +61%
Anchors $275 $306 +12% 13
Omni-Channel Generates Higher Sales
Source: ICSC
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eCommerce Retailers are Opening Brick
and Mortar Stores
Electronics Furniture/Home Apparel Consumers still desire a sensory, tactile
Apple Essentia Trunk Club experience, particularly when shopping
Microsoft ModCloth for goods for which comfort is a
Dyson Accessories NastyGal paramount point of consideration.
Warby Parker Rent the Runway
Sportswear Just Fab Combatant The conversion rate of browsers to
Athleta Shinola Gentlemen buyers is multiples higher in a physical
Fabletics Classic Specs Duluth Trading Co. store environment versus a digital
Adore Me Refinery29
environment averaging around 20%
Beauty The Tie Bar 1701 Bespoke
Birchbox
(and as high as 60% depending on store
Raden Weddington Way
The Honest Frank & Oak type) compared to less than 5% online
Company Jewelry Untuckit resulting in significantly lower customer
Baublebar Chubbies acquisition costs and SG&A per unit.
Food/Candy Blue Nile Everlane
Vosges Indochino Physical stores play an increasingly
Haut-Chocolat Other Bonobos pivotal role in fulfilling shoppers need
Try the World Amazon for discovery and instant gratification
through reserve-online/buy-online and
Childrens Apparel pick-up in-store models and/or
Services Grocery
Monica & Andy distributed fulfillment across the store
network while reducing retailers initial
outlays for inventory, reducing out-of-
stock incidents, and avoiding
aggressive markdowns at the end of
Restaurants Entertainment seasonal cycles.
Sources of Mall
Demand
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In the Press
Weve been blown away by the
economics of our stores. Dave
Gilboa, co-chief executive of Warby
Parker
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In the Press
Its hard for brands to engage with their customers in a purely digital way. Simon Mottram,
CEO of Ralpha
When you look at retailers who are striving in It can be hard and expensive to get
this environment, its the brands focused on noticed online now. But if you spring up
delivering a strong service experience. It is one offline even for a short time shoppers will
of the ironies of our time that a digital medium, love the interaction and share their
the Internet, is making the in-person shopping experience of going there by tweeting or
experience a more humane one. Andy Dunn, sharing an image online. You can create a
founder and chief executive of Bonobos storm. Ross Bailey, founder and chief
executive of Appear Here
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Annual EBITDA Growth of 4% to 5%
Contractual Fixed
Increase in Rents + 2% - 3%
Occupancy Growth
Positive Releasing
1%
Spreads
Developments 1.5%
Acquisitions 0.5%
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Durable, Long-Term Cash Flow Growth
High-quality malls continue to be in demand by retailers, restaurants and
entertainment venues
Virtually no new supply of mall space since 2006 and negligible amount
expected to deliver over next 10 years primarily from expansions
Company FFO per Diluted Share $1.52 - $1.56 $1.44 $1.32 $1.16 $0.98 11.7%
AFFO per Diluted Share $1.21 $1.09 $1.00 $0.88 $0.72 13.7%
a) Figures represent mid-point of guidance that is current as of May 3, 2016, the date of GGPs 1st quarter 2016 earnings call.
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Financial Flexibility
Financing philosophy
Obtain property-secured debt; minimize corporate recourse and cross-collateralization
Debt Overview(a) ($ in millions at GGP share) Debt Maturity Ladder(c) ($ in billions at GGP share)
a) As of March 31, 2016. Net Debt / EBITDA based on Net Debt as of March 31, 2016 and guidance for 2016 EBITDA as issued on May 2, 2016. Interest
Coverage and Fixed Charge Coverage are based on estimate for 2016.
b) Fixed rate debt has a weighted average interest rate of 4.4% and variable rate debt has a weighted average interest rate of 2.6%.
c) As of March 31, 2016, and additionally including the $1.4B term loan extension discussed on May 3, 2016, the date of GGPs 1st quarter 2016 earnings
call. The Debt Maturity Ladder schedule assumes maturity extension options are exercised and approved. 21
Sustainability
Committed to being an environmentally responsible
business
Lighting
Water usage
Waste Management
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a) GRESB stands for Global Real Estate Sustainability Benchmark.
2016 Earnings Guidance
Current as of May 3, 2016, the date of GGPs 1st quarter 2016 earnings conference
call.
The guidance reflects managements view of current and future market conditions, including assumptions with respect to Same Store NOI growth, rental rates, occupancy levels, retail
sales, variable expenses, interest rates and the earnings impact of the events referenced in the Companys 1st quarter 2016 earnings press release and previously disclosed. The
guidance also reflects managements view of capital market conditions. The estimates do not include possible future gains or losses, or the impact on operating results from other
possible future property acquisitions or dispositions or capital markets activity. Earnings per share estimates may be subject to fluctuations as a result of several factors, including any
gains or losses associated with disposition activity. By definition, FFO and Company FFO do not include real estate-related depreciation and amortization, provisions for impairment, or
gains or losses associated with property disposition activities. This guidance is a forward-looking statement and is subject to the risks and other factors described in the Companys 1st
quarter 2016 earnings press release and in the Companys annual and quarterly periodic report filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Actual results for 2016 could vary
materially from the amounts presented if any of managements assumptions are incorrect. Each amount shown represents the approximate midpoint of a range of possible outcomes
and reflects managements best estimate of the most likely outcome. For a reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures shown to their respective GAAP measure please refer to GGPs
1st quarter 2016 earnings release and Supplemental Information available at www.ggp.com and as furnished with the Securities and Exchange Commission. 23
Contact Information:
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Certain statements made in this presentation may be deemed "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although the Company believes the expectations reflected in any
forward-looking statement are based on reasonable assumption, it can give no assurance that its expectations will be
attained, and it is possible that actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking
statements due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors. Such factors include, but are not limited to, the
Company's ability to refinance, extend, restructure or repay near and intermediate term debt, its indebtedness, its
ability to raise capital through equity issuances, asset sales or the incurrence of new debt, retail and credit market
conditions, impairments, its liquidity demands, and economic conditions. The Company discusses these and other risks
and uncertainties in its annual and quarterly periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The
Company may update that discussion in its periodic reports, but otherwise takes no duty or obligation to update or
revise these forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future developments, or otherwise.
Investors and others should note that the Company posts this Investor Presentation on the Investors page of its website
at www.ggp.com. From time to time, the Company updates the Investor Presentation and when it does, it will be
posted on the Investors section of its website at www.ggp.com. It is possible that the updates could include information
deemed to be material information. Therefore, the Company encourages investors, the media and others interested in
the Company to review the information posted on the Investors section of its website at www.ggp.com from time to
time.
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