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False negatives also pose a major ethical chal- But, from a clinical perspective, what are we to do
lenge. It is no better, and perhaps worse, to inaccu- to help our patients and their families? First, we
rately tell a parent that their childs development is must clearly convey to parents the limits of our tests
fine, only to later find out that a diagnosis, and the and our ability to predict outcomes. Families will
opportunity for early intervention, were missed. vary in their tolerance for ambiguity, but it is
The first step in minimizing these ethical chal- nonetheless important to express that we are
lenges is to apply rigorous science to the identifica- currently better at predicting risk than making a
tion of early risk markers, so that we have a solid definitive diagnosis at these very early ages. There is
understanding of their base rates in the population a burgeoning literature on risk communication and
and their sensitivity, specificity, and positive and a working group has put together recommendations,
negative predictive values in high risk groups, as applicable across childhood disorders, on how to
articulated by Sheldrick and colleagues. Several communicate the difference between risk and diag-
papers in this Special Issue are devoted to identifi- nosis to parents (Yudell, Tabor, Dawson, Rossi,
cation of earliest risk markers (Dougherty et al.; Newschaffer, & Working Group in Autism Risk
Sullivan et al.; Thompson et al.), evaluation of psy- Communication and Ethics, 2013). Risk markers
chometric indices of early prediction (Ozonoff et al.; increase the likelihood of a diagnosis, but are not the
Sheldrick et al.), and development of better measure- same as a diagnosis. The concept of risk includes
ment tools for very young children (Mian et al.; the uncertainty that exists in the current state of
Petitclerc et al.). These papers advance our under- early detection science and measurement. Being
standing of the earliest red flags for different disor- open and transparent with parents about this
ders, how to measure them validly, and the kinds of uncertainty will promote trust and encourage long-
mistakes that may be made in applying predictive term engagement with the clinical care system, even
algorithms at very young ages. if the initial interpretation of the childs status
For some disorders, research on early markers has changes. We, and our science, can help parents
matured to the stage that there is clear empirical understand the range of outcomes, provide hope for
evidence of a prodrome that precedes the onset of the future, and address developmental concerns
frank symptoms. In schizophrenia, for example, a with practical advice applicable to children at risk,
great deal has already been written about the ethical even when early uncertainty exists about a specific
issues of identifying individuals who are asymp- diagnosis (Caronna, Augustyn, & Zuckerman,
tomatic or subthreshold in expression of later-onset 2007).
disease (Corcoran, Malaspina, & Hercher, 2005). We Finally, it is imperative that scientists are always
need to better understand both the benefits and the aware of the limitations of our studies. What we
costs of identifying such patients-in-waiting choose to publish, how we interpret our data, and
(Golden-Grant, Merritt, & Scott, 2015), especially the clinical implications we draw are, themselves,
when preventive interventions have not yet been ethical choices (Rysavy & Murph, 2015). Our work
developed. All the caveats just raised about the risks has great power to influence families. We must wield
of false positives and negatives and the limited this power carefully, always striving to help parents
toolbox of appropriate measures apply to identifica- make informed decisions about the best interests of
tion of pre-symptomatic markers as well. For most their child, as we move science forward.
diagnoses, there are not clear boundaries between
normality and disorder, and this will likely be even Sally Ozonoff
truer of prodromal markers, leading to the risk of JCPP Joint Editor and Special Issue Editor
pathologizing a minor variant or behavior that is
consistent with typical development. Furthermore, it
is not clear whether the parents of infants or toddlers Acknowledgement
who screen positive for a disorder, or for a marker of S.O. (a joint Editor of JCPP) acted as Guest Editor of
this Special Issue; she has declared that she has no
impending disorder, will choose to access further
competing or potential conflicts of interest in relation to
clinical services. For example, the rate of compliance
the Editorial or Special Issue, for which all the articles
with advice to pursue additional evaluation, after were subject to regular peer review and revision; the
screening positive for possible ASD at 14 months, is peer-review decision-making for the article by Ozonoff
relatively low (Dietz, Swinkels, van Daalen, van et al. was handled by the JCPP Editor-in-Chief (Ed-
Engeland, & Buitelaar, 2007). How invested will mund Sonuga-Barke). S.O. has no conflicts declared in
parents be in pursuing further medical attention her capacity as JCPP Joint Editor.
when a young child is not yet (very) symptomatic?
So where does this leave us? From a research Notes
perspective, it is clear that studies of early detection
must forge ahead swiftly, in order to improve and 1. JCPP Editorial: Sonuga-Barke, E. J. S. (2014),
mature the state of the science and permit the Editorial: Whats up, (R)DoC? can identifying
development and testing of early treatments and core dimensions of early functioning help us
preventive interventions. understand, and then reduce, developmental
risk for mental disorders? Journal of Child Golden-Grant, K., Merritt, J.L., & Scott, C.R. (2015). Ethical
Psychology and Psychiatry, 55, 849851. considerations of population screening for late-onset genetic
2. Articles that are in this issue (with itali- disease. Clinical Genetics. Advanced online publication. doi:
10.1111/cge.12566.
cised names on first mention) can be found at: Hewlett, J., & Waisbren, S.E. (2006). A review of the
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jcpp. psychosocial effects of false positive results on parents
2015.56.issue-9/issuetoc. and current communication practices in newborn
screening. Journal of Inherited Metabolic Disease, 29,
677682.
Nolen-Hoeksema, S., & Watkins, E.R. (2011). A heuristic for
References
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