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BRIEFING
5 PM CDT
Thursday August 24 2017
th
Prepared by:
Barry Goldsmith
NWSBrownsville weather.gov/rgv
Overview Brownsville/RGV
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Harvey
330 PM Center Location: 230 miles east-
southeast of Brownsville, moving northwest at
around 10 mph
Steady to rapid strengthening as it moves east
of Lower TX coast tonight. Will be at least a Dry Air
Cat 3 before landfall along Coastal Bend
Glancing blow for the RGV
Prime Impacts include:
Flooding of poor drainage areas Friday; possible
life-threatening in worst drainage areas
Cameron/Willacy
Tide run-up will flood beach by sunset. Water
into the dunes overnight peaking at sunrise
Friday. Should not overtop seawall
60 to 70 mph gusts at beach/bay with some
damage and power outages; 45 to 50 mph gusts
in Brownsville/Raymondville Corridor
Main Rainfall timing: Friday, Sunrise through 5
PM (buffer: 3 AM through Sunset)
Main Wind Timing: Sunrise through Sunset
(buffer: 3 AM through 10 PM)
I
Follow the “nose”(black line)
for strongest wind potential
and not just the “center” line
Coastal Cameron, Willacy
have a 3 to 4 in 10 chance of
57 to 73 mph mainly in gusts.
Inland
Cameron/Willacy/Brooks, a 1
to 3 in 10 chance
Marginal chances for Hidalgo
These are cumulative
probabilities; the best chance
for gusts will be from pre-
dawn through 3 PM Friday
I
Follow the “nose” (black
line) for strongest wind
potential and not just
the “center” line
Coastal Bend (Corpus,
Aransas, Matagorda)
have signficant chances
A 5 percent probability
for SPI, but 10 to 30
percent for Kenedy Co.
Coast
Should look like this on SPI Thursday Night/Fri Noon (no sunshine, though)
Additional 0.5 to 1”, locally 2+ in heavier bands, for parts of RGV over weekend
Could cause or exacerbate any flooding from prior rains Friday/Friday evening
Area of concern Hebbronville through Sarita for heavier bands as Harvey “spins around” in South
Texas
8/24/2017 5:20 PM weather.gov/rgv
Potential Impact/Actions - Wind Brownsville/RGV
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Harvey
Coastal Cameron/Willacy:
Favoring Friday all day. Sustained winds during peak period (9 AM to
5 PM) likely to be 45 to 55 mph with gusts 60 to 65 mph. Minor
damage to unfastened lightweight objects is possible along the shore.
Damage to some trees and poorly built structures (trailers, etc.)
Damage significant to unfastened/tied down object such as tents and
temporary structures. Scattered power outages
Remainder of Cameron/Willacy: Tie down or move
indoors tents, volleyball nets, trampolines, beach
furniture, temporary structures by Thursday
afternoon. 25 to 35 mph gusts 40 to 50 mph likely in
frequent rain bands.
Hidalgo/Brooks: Tie down other lightweight objects (lawn
furniture, etc) inland in case of 35-45 mph gusts in stronger
cells Friday (into Friday night in Brooks)
8/24/2017 5:20 PM weather.gov/rgv
Summary Brownsville/RGV
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Harvey
You can get the latest graphics and information on this storm at hurricanes.gov
NWSBrownsville weather.gov/rgv