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Mid-Semester Test
(EC-2 Regular)
Q.1. If A and B are independent events, prove that A and B are also independent. [5]
Q.2. A box contains 9 blue and 6 red balls. Four balls are selected at random without replacement.
If X represents the number of blue balls in the selected 4 balls, then
(a) construct the probability density table.
(b) find the mean and standard deviation of X. [6]
Q.3. A random variable X has the Poisson distribution with parameter > 0, then
(a) find the mean and variance of X.
(b) if P(X = 2) = 3P(X = 4) , find P(X < 3) . [6]
Q.4. A rubber factory produces tires. Of the total production, 25% are of type D, 35% are of type
E and the remaining are of type F. It is known that 5% of type D tires, 4% of type E tires and
2% of type F tires are defective. A tire is chosen at random and found to be defective, find the
probability that it is of type F. [6]
Q.5. Two fair dice are thrown. Let X is a random variable that represents the sum of the numbers
shown up. Find the probability that X will differ from 7 by at most 3 using Chebyshev’s
inequality? [6]
Q.6. A product planner is working on plans for producing a new soap. He wishes to simulate a raw
material demand in order to plan for adequate materials-handling and storage facilities. On
the basis of a usage for a similar product introduced previously, she has developed a
frequency distribution of demand in tons per day for 2- month period. Using the data shown
in the table simulates the raw materials usage requirement for 7 periods (days).
Simulate the demands assuming the random numbers are: 61,49,33,11,60,54,10. [6]
Demand 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Frequency 14 18 16 12 20 14 6
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Birla Institute of Technology & Science, Pilani
Work-Integrated Learning Programmes Division
First Semester 2016-2017
Mid-Semester Test
(EC-2 Regular)
(Solutions and Marking Scheme)
Course No. : AAOC ZC111
Course Title : Probability & Statistics
Nature of Exam : Closed Book
Weightage : 35% No. of Pages = 1
Duration : 2 Hours No. of Questions = 6
Date of Exam : 25/09/2016 (AN)
Note:
1. Please follow all the Instructions to Candidates given on the cover page of the answer book.
2. All parts of a question should be answered consecutively. Each answer should start from a fresh page.
3. Assumptions made if any, should be stated clearly at the beginning of your answer.
4. All symbols carry the usual meaning as given in the text book.
x 0 1 2 3 4
4
E(X 2 ) = �x 2 .f (x) = 6.509; V(X) = E(X 2 ) - {E(X)}2 = 0.754; s(X) = 0.868 [2Marks]
x =0
e - . 2 e - . 4
(b) P(X = 2) = 3.P(X = 4) � = 3. � = 2 [1Mark]
2! 4!
P(X < 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = e -2 (1 + 2 + 2) = 5e -2 = 0.6766 [2Marks]
4. Let D, E and F respectively be the event that tire chosen is of type D, E and F. Let A be the event
that tire chosen is defective. [1Mark]
P(D) = 0.25, P(E) = 0.35,P(F) = 0.40, P(A | D) = 0.05, P(A | E) = 0.04, P(A | F) = 0.02 [1Mark]
P(A I F) P(F).P(A | F)
P(F | A) = =
P(A) P(D).P(A | D) + P(E).P(A | E) + P(F).P(A | F)
(0.4)(0.02) 0.008
= = = 0.2319 [4Marks]
(0.25)(0.05) + (0.35)(0.04) + (0.4)(0.02) 0.0345
35
5. m = E[X] = 7, V(X) = [2Marks]
6
Using Chebyshev’s inequality
1
�X - m < ks �
P� ��1 - k2
. For the given problem
3 6
�X - 7 < 3�
P� �, ks = 3, k = [2Marks]
35
1 35 19
�X - 7 < 3�
Now, P � ��1 - k 2 =1 - 54 = 54 [2Marks]
6.
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