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Definition:
Example 1:
In Example 1 you used a formula to determine a Poisson probability. You can also
use a table to find Poisson probabilities. Table 4 lists the Poisson probability for
selected values of x and . You can also use technology tools, such as MINITAB,
Excel, and the TI-83/84, to find the Poisson probabilities as well.
Example 2:
A population count shows that there is an average of 3.6 rabbits per acre living in
a field. Use a table to find the probability that two rabbits are found on any given
acre for the field.
Step3; With poissonpdf ( on the HOME screen, type the value of mean, followed
by the number of successes, x.
If cars arrive at McDonald’s at the rate of 2 per minute between 12:00 noon and
1:00 p.m., how many cars would you expect to arrive between the hours of 12:00
noon and 12:05 p.m.? Considering that 2 cars arrive every minute (on average)
and we are observing the arrival of cars for 5 minutes, it might seem reasonable
that we expect 2(5)=10 cars to arrive. Since the expected value of a random
variables is the mean of the random variable, it seems reasonable that
for interval t. (the Greek letter Lambda) represents the average number of
occurrences of the event in some interval of length 1.
A random variable x that follows a Poisson process with parameter has mean (or
expected value) and standard deviation given by the formulas
Example 3:
a) Assuming that the beetles spread evenly throughout the enclosed area,
how many beetles are expected to be within each subsection?
b) What is the standard deviation of x, the number of beetles in a particular
subsection?
c) What is the probability of finding exactly 8 beetles in a particular
subsection?
d) Would it be unusual to find more than 16 beetles in a particular subsection?
If the beetles spread evenly throughout the enclosed region, we can model the
distribution of the beetles using the Poisson probabilities.
and σ=
P(8) =0.1126