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The Sun Power Energy Limited is a company associated with energy generation which is mainly
focused on producing electricity through solar photovoltaic technology. Though Nepal has high
potential for the hydro-electricity generation but it has not been harnessed to even its economical
potential. The demand for energy is ever growing but the production rate is still crawling.
Solar energy has emerged as the best alternative solution for the electricity generation due to the
topographical and climatic advantage of Nepal. The advancements in the technology has made it
cheaper and affordable.
In a country starved of energy and craving for the industrialization, sufficient availability of
electricity is desperately wanted. We, Sun Power Energy Limited commit for the generation of
25MW power-plant to address this energy issue to some extent.
A Solar Electricity generation plant with annual production capacity of 41062.5MWhrs needs a
capital investment estimated of NRs. 3,246,912,560 for construction, purchasing equipments and
machineries. In addition to this, an estimated sum of NRs. 4,587,342.500 is needed as the working
capital. The total project cost is estimated at NRs. 3,251,499,902.
Projected IRR and WACC are 15% and 12% respectively, whereas Net Present Value (NPV) and
Payback period of the project are NRs. 788165557.31 and 7.21 years respectively. Since all the
required criterions for a successful investment are met by this project, it is a desirable project to
invest into both economically and socially.
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METHODOLOGY
2. Analysis of data
After estimating we then analyze with different economical tool like finding net present value, net
future value, minimum attractive rate of return, internal rate of return annual equivalent worth,
payback period.
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INTRODUCTION
The earth receives more energy from the sun in just one hour than the world uses in a whole
year. The surface receives about 47% of the total solar energy that reaches the Earth. Only this
amount is usable. The Earth receives 174 Petawatts (PW) (1015 watts) of incoming solar
radiation at the upper atmosphere. Approximately 30% is reflected back to space while the rest
is absorbed by clouds, oceans and land masses.
Solar power is the conversion of sunlight into electricity, either directly using Photovoltaic
(PV), or indirectly using concentrated solar power (CSP).Photovoltaic Technology is a
process of generating electrical energy from the energy of solar radiation. PV remained the
world’s fastest growing power-generation technology.
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Introduction of solar energy:
The energy from the sun can be exploited directly in the form of heat or first converted into
electrical energy and then utilized. Accordingly the solar energy is classified into solar thermal
and solar photovoltaic (PV).
Solar thermal has numerous applications like water heating, drying vegetables and agricultural
products, cooking etc. In Nepal the solar water heaters are being extensively used in urban
areas. The applications of solar dryers and cookers have found moderate use simply because
of the low level of dissemination of these technologies.
The solar PV, on the other hand, is extensively used not only in the developing countries but
also in highly developed countries. The application of solar PV is virtually unlimited. Countries
like Germany, Japan and United States of America have initiated highly subsidized rooftop
programs for solar PV. The level of subsidy is up to 65% of the total system cost. In Nepal
solar PV is extensively used for communications, home lighting, drinking water pumping etc.
The installed capacity of Solar PV in Nepal now exceeds 3.4 MWp mark and over 93,000
households are electrified using this technology. Considering the positive impact that solar PV
can bring to the rural population of the developing countries like Nepal, the Government of
Kingdom of Denmark has supported Energy Sector Assistance Program (ESAP) to promote
alternative energy sources, including PV. ESAP target was to subsidize installation of 25,000
Solar Home Systems within a time span of 5 years. Similarly, a sizeable project with assistance
from European Union (EU) is being implemented to promote institutional Solar PV in Nepal.
The solar PV can be considered the only form of electricity that can be generated anytime and
anywhere provided sunshine is available. The earth receives more energy from the sun in just
one hour than the world uses in a whole year. The annual total amount of solar energy incident
on the surface of the earth is estimated to be about 795 x 1012MWh, which is 8300 times greater
than the global energy demand in 1991. The Environmental savings from the Photovoltaic
modules are highlighted in table 3.1 below:
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Table 1.1 Environmental Savings from Photovoltaic Modules
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History and development of solar PV technology
Photovoltaic (PV) Technology is a process of generating electrical energy from the energy of
solar radiation. The principle of conversion of solar energy into electrical energy is based on
the effect called photovoltaic effect. The smallest part of the device that converts solar energy
into electrical energy is called solar cell. Solar cells are in fact large area semiconductor diodes,
which are made by combining silicon material with different impurities. The sand, a base
material for semiconductor, is the most abundantly available raw material in the world. The
ordinary sand (SiO2) is the raw form of silicone.
The solar energy can be considered as a bunch of light particles called photons. At incidence
of photon stream onto solar cell the electrons are released and become free. The newly freed
electrons with higher energy level become source of electrical energy. Once these electrons
pass through the load, they release the additional energy gained during collision and fall into
their original atomic position ready for next cycle of electricity generation. This process of
releasing free electrons (generation) and then falling into original atomic position
(recombination) is a continuous process as long as there is the stream of photons (solar energy)
falling onto the solar cell surface.
The PV effect was observed as early as 1839 by Alexandre Edmund Becquerel, and was the
subject of scientific inquiry through the early twentieth century. In 1954, Bell Labs in the U.S.
introduced the first solar PV device that produced a useable amount of electricity, and by 1958,
solar cells were being used in a variety of small-scale scientific and commercial applications.
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Development of solar PV technology
Solar cell was US$ 25 (or US$ 1,785 per Watt). The efficiency of commercially available solar
cell increased to 9% in 1958.
The first PV powered artificial satellite of the earth, Vanguard I, with 0.1 W of solar cell
occupying an area of approximately 100 cm2 and powering a 5 mW back-up transmitter was
launched in 17 March 1958. Three more PV powered satellites were launched in the same year.
The first PV powered telephone repeater also was built in Americus, Georgia, USA in the same
year.
Sharp Corporation was the first company to develop the first usable PV module (group of solar
cells put together in a single module) in 1963.
By 1974 the cost of PV power came down to US$ 30 per watt from US$1785 per watt in 1955.
With the dramatic reduction in the cost, the PV power once affordable only in space vehicle
became an alternative source of electrical energy for terrestrial applications. The fig. 3.1 below
illustrates the decrease in price (US$ per peak watt) of solar PV with time.
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As the price started falling down the demand and production of the PV modules started
growing. In 1980 ARCO Solar became the first manufacturer to produce PV modules with
peak power of over 1 Mega Watt (MW). By 1983 worldwide production of PV modules
exceeded 21.3 MW with a business volume of 250 million US$. The total installed capacity of
PV modules exceeded 1000 MW worldwide in 1999. As of end of 2002, total installed capacity
of PV power exceeds 2000 MW and a business volume of about 2 billion US$ (400 MW @
5$/Wp).
Nepal could not remain in isolation with development pace of PV technology. With only 8
Solar Home System (SHS) installations in 1992/93, it increased to over 93,362 SHS by end of
2006. The fig. 3.2 below highlights the trends in growth of SHS installations in Nepal which
constitute above 3414 kWp as of December, 2006. The trend of SHS installation shows a steep
rise after 2000 due to the subsidy policy implemented by AEPC/ESAP. Till December 2004,
51 solar PV pumping systems have been installed, of which 28 were installed after 2000 with
subsidy provided from AEPC.
The estimated market potential is huge and about 4,750 kWp of photovoltaic power is currently
being used in various public and private sectors (telecommunication, utility supply, stand-
alone, water supply, aviation etc.) in Nepal are shown in Table 3.2.
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Table 1.2: Application of PV Power by Sector
In near future more and more PV systems will be used for various types of services. There is a
plan to install 150,000 solar home systems in areas where national grid will not reach within
second phase of ESAP (March 15 2007 – March 15 2012. These facts indicate that time has
come to pay special attention for PV powered systems for income generating activities.
COMPANY INFORMATION
Sun Power Energy Limited is the only company in Nepal offering the electricity generated
from solar PV power in such a large scale. It is a company consisting of a dedicated and
experienced personnels in the energy sector. Highly ambitious and diligent group of promoters
have made Sun Power Energy Limited a powerful company in the electricity generation sector.
We intend to extend our production systems based on the response of this system. Highly efficient
solar panels and equipments having very low loss are selected for the operations. No less than
Optimum performance is desired for generation of electricity and highly efficient production and
distribution is ensured.
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ASSUMPTIONS
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ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY
How Solar Cells Work
The smallest part of the device that converts solar energy into electrical energy is called
solar cell. Formed by a light sensitive P-N junction semiconductor
Light
energy
p-n junction
Fig 1.4: How Solar Cells Work
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Photo-voltaic Arrays:
In many applications the power available from one module is inadequate for the load. Individual
modules can be connected in series, parallel, or both to increase either output voltage or current.
This also increases the output power.
When modules are connected in parallel the current increases. For example, three modules which
produce 15 volts and 3 amps each, connected in parallel, will produce 15 volts and 9 amps (Figure
1.13).
A diode is used to stop this reverse current flow. Diodes are electrical devices which only allow
current to flow in one direction (Figure 2-22). A blocking diode is shown in the array in Figure 2-
23.
Diodes with the least amount of voltage drop are called schottky diodes, typically dropping .3 volts
instead of .7 volts as in silicon diodes.
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Fig 1.14: Basic Operation of a Diode
Because diodes create a voltage drop, some systems use a controller which opens the circuit instead
of using a blocking diode.If the same three modules are connected in series, the output voltage will
be 45 volts, and the current will be 3 amps.
If one module in a series string fails, it provides so much resistance that other modules in the string
may not be able to operate either. A bypass path around the disabled module will eliminate this
problem (Fig1.14). The bypass diode allows the current from the other modules to flow through in
the "right" direction.
Many modules are supplied with a bypass diode right at their electrical terminals. Larger modules
may consist of three groups of cells, each with its own bypass diode.
Built in bypass diodes are usually adequate unless the series string produces 48 volts or higher, or
serious shading occurs regularly.Combinations of series and parallel connections are also used in
arrays (Figure 1.15). If parallel groups of modules are connected in a series string, large bypass
diodes are usually required.
Fig1.15: Three Modules Connected in Series with a Blocking Diode and Bypass Diodes
Isolation diodes are used to prevent the power from the rest of an array from flowing through a damaged
series string of modules. They operate like a blocking diode. They are normally required when the array
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produces 48 volts or more. If isolation diodes are used on every series string, a blocking diode is normally
not required
Fig 1.16: Twelve Modules in a Parallel-Series Array with Bypass Diodes and Isolation Diodes
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SWOT ANALYSIS
Strength:
Plenty of sun shine
Carbon credits
Government subsidies and Incentives
Easy to maintain
Long life
Weakness
Needs greater support through a national policy
Costly
Weather dependent
Lack of technical support for remote locations
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Opportunity:
Increasing energy requirement of the country
Lead via a large scale project
Development of human resources
Improving livelihoods
Job opportunities
Threat:
Long term return of investments
Change in long term government policy
Technological challenges(storages)
Lack of cooperation from local distribution utility
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ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Human Resource Management
Number of Monthly salary Annual salary
SN Position person (Rs) (Rs)
1 CEO 1 80000 1040000
2 Manager 3 50000 1950000
Sn.
3 Engineers(Electronics) 2 45000 1170000
4 Sn.Engineer(Electrical) 2 45000 1170000
5 Sn.Mechanical Engineer 1 45000 585000
6 Electrical Engineer 1 30000 390000
7 Mechanical Engineer 1 30000 390000
8 Overseer 5 22000 1430000
9 Accountant 2 18000 468000
10 HR 2 20000 520000
11 Receptionist 2 16000 416000
12 Helpers 10 10000 1300000
13 Guards 5 10000 650000
14 Total 36 341000 10,439,000.00
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S Unit price
N Description Unit QTY (NRS.) Total cost(NRs.)
25,000,000.
1 Solar Plant watt 00 90 2,250,000,000.00
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Total Investment (A+B) 3,251,499,902.50
Initial Financing Rs
Debt 64.50%
Equity 35.50%
TotaL 100.00%
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REQUIRED CALCULATIONS
S.N Particulars/years 0
1 Total Investment 3,659,406,192.80
Tax 20%
2 Rd 8%
3 Debt(64.5I) 2,360,316,994.36
4 Equity(35.5 I) 1,299,089,198.44
5 Risk Free,Rf 2%
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6 Market Interest Rate,Rm 12%
7 Company's Risk B 2.00
9 Re(From Capam) 22%
10 WACC 12%
NPV=0
O r, -I +∑25
𝑗=1 Pj(F/Pj, i ∗, Nj) =0
F
NPV= -I+∑25
𝑗=1 Pj(Pj , 12%, Nj)
The future worth analysis is another tool for evaluating the project. We evaluate the project for its
feasibility according to the sign of net future worth. The net future worth of our project is calculated
according to following formula
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NFV = NPV (F/P,i,N)
= Rs. 788,165,557.31 *(F/P, 12%, 25)
= Rs. 788,165,557.31 * 17.01
= Rs. 13,398,893,290.81
Annual equivalent worth calculation
The annual equivalent worth analysis is the basis for measuring the present worth by determining
the equal payments on an annual basis. The annual equivalent worth is calculated by following
formulae.
AE =PW (A/P, 12%, 25)
= 788,165,557.31 * 0.1275
=Rs. 450,999,323.33
= 3,251,499,902.50 /450,999,323.33
= 7.21 years
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Calculation of IRR:
If IRR>MARR, accept the project
As we know MARR is related to either borrowing interest rate or the Lending interest Rate. In
our project we have borrowed Nrs. 2,360,316,994.36 the loan from the ADB at the interest rate
of 8%.Hence the MARR Is calculated as 12%. So in this project, we have calculated the
IRR=15% i.e,
IRR>MARR
Hence the project is accepted
14,000.00
NPV verses Interest rate
Millions
12,000.00
10,000.00
Net Present Value
8,000.00
6,000.00
15%
4,000.00
IRR NPV verses interest rate
2,000.00
-
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
(2,000.00)
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Net Cash Flow
1,000.00
Millions
500.00
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
(500.00)
(1,000.00)
Series1
(1,500.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,500.00)
(3,000.00)
(3,500.00) Years
500.00
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
(500.00)
(1,000.00)
Series1
(1,500.00)
(2,000.00)
(2,500.00)
(3,000.00)
(3,500.00)
Years
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RATIO ANALYSIS
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
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Return on Equity(ROE) Return on…
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Assets…
0.25
Assets Turnover
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
12
Current Ratio Curre…
10
8
6
4
2
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
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Quic…
12.00
Quick Ratio
10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
-
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
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CONCLUSION
Solar energy is one of the cleanest and fastest growing power sources in the world. Solar energy
will play a pivotal role in the energy mix of the future which is aimed at near CO2 free
electricity. However in the context of Nepal large scale solar power generation is useful where
there is not available of grid connection. From the technical, economic and financial analysis
of large scale solar power generation it seems that the technology is feasible to the rural areas
of Nepal which has potential for good solar irradiation over the year.
The crippling shortage of energy in the Nepal has compelled the government to seek out
alternative sources to meet the energy demand. From the financial, economic and risk analysis
we have found that the project of installing 25MW solar electricity generation in Surkhet is
feasible.
During the preparation of this report we learnt many things to check the feasibility using
different economic methods like present worth value method, future worth method, annual
equivalent worth method, Internal rate of return method. We can conclude that:
We learned present worth analysis, future worth analysis, annual equivalent worth
analysis and internal rate of return analysis.
We learned how to estimate the investment costs, annual operating costs and minimum
attractive rate of return.
We also calculated NPV, NFV, AEW, and IRR. When the all worth values came
positive, the project is feasible.
The company gets profit 7.21 years later, which is acceptable for case of renewable
energy company.
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