Understanding Seismo-Seodetic

Behavior of Basic Tectonic Elements

In Java Island
for PSHA map revision of 2016
Wahyu Triyoso
Global Geophysics Division
Geophysics Engineering Department
Bandung Institute of Technology
 Referring The Work Of ….

On the consistency of earthquake moment release and space geodetic strain rates: Europe
Steven N. Ward

A smoothed stochastic earthquake rate model considering seismicity and fault moment release
for Europe
S. Hiemer J. Woessner R. Basili L. Danciu D. Giardini S. Wiemer
 The Main Idea
Understanding Displacement Gradient

Seismic

Earthquakes !!!

Aseismic
 The Main Idea
Understanding earthquake and faulting processes requires investigating tectonic-related surface and
sub-surface movements through the Earth’s crust. In this context, the best way is to jointly investigate
geodetic and seismological data in order to understand well the dynamic (strain build up & released) at
the object
The seismic cycle - the simplest view
 Lesson Learned From Japanese
Earthquake & Earth-Dynamic Data
Understanding Pre-Co & Post Seismic
Quantifying and characterizing crustal deformation: the geometric moment

The geometric moment for faults is:

M f  UA f .
where U is the mean geologic displacement over a fault whose
area is Af.

Similarly, the geometric moment for earthquakes is:
M e  UAe .
where U is the mean geologic displacement over a fault whose
area is Ae. Thus, the geometry moment is simply the seismic
moment divided by the shear modulus.
 Quantifying and characterizing crustal deformation: brittle strain

Brittle strains are a function of the geometric moment as follows

[Kostrov, 1974]:

Geologic brittle strain:


1
f  M kf .
2V k

Seismic brittle strain:



1
e  M ek .
2V k


 Quantifying and characterizing crustal deformation: brittle strain
To illustrate the logic behind these equations, consider the simple
case of a plate of brittle thickness W* and length and width l1 and
l2, respectively, that is being extended in the x1 direction by a
population of parallel normal faults of dip .

The mean displacement of the right-

hand face is:
U k cosL2k sin
Û   ,
k
Wl2
which may be rearrange to give:



Û cos sin
 11  U k L2k .
l1 V k


 Quantifying and characterizing crustal deformation: brittle strain

Geodetic data may also be used to compute brittle strain:

Understanding Our Data ……
Tektonik aktif wilayah Indonesia, panah menunjukkan relatif pergerakan berdasarkan GPS
(Bock et al., 2003)
Jaring pengamatan GPS berkala BIG di Indonesia

Kondisi tektonik wilayah Indonesia berdasarkan data geodetik tahun 1995

hingga tahun 2016 (Susilo, 2016)
Strain Indonesia dari data GPS (Susilo, 2016)
Seismisitas dari katalog Pusgen 2016 di Jawa untuk gempa dengan magnitudo ≥ 4.5. Warna menunjukkan kedalaman gempa
De-clustered Selected Catalog
At The Depth: 0-60km

b ~ 0.9
TESTING STABILITY SEISMICITY PATTERN UNDER
ASSUMPTION OF POISONIAN DISTRIBUTION:
INDONESIA REGION
We divide catalog of 1963-2016 of The De-clustered Earthquake Catalog
to 1963-1990 & 1991-2016 by following Frankel’s Hypothesis
Tectonic Implication
Persebaran titik GPS yang digunakan dalam perhitungan model
blok Sesar Baribis dan Kendeng (Koulali dkk, 2016b)

Sesar Kendeng yang terletak memanjang sepanjang Jawa

Timur dan Jawa Tengah menurut Koulali dkk (2016)
Persebaran titik GPS di Pulau Jawa. Vektor berwarna biru adalah stasiun
kontinyu. Vektor berwarna merah adalah stasiun GPS berkala.
Sumber: Katalog PUSGEN
Sumber: Katalog PUSGEN di sekitar Semarang Thrust Fault
 Semarang Thrust Fault

Sumber: Zulfakriza et al. (2014) dari Ambient Noise Tomography

Peta Segmentasi Jawa
Our Basic & Main Data for PSHA
Input are Updated

Thus ….
We really Need to Update Our
PSHA Map
Fault PGA 2500y USGS
Subduction PGA 2500 year USGS
All Sources PGA 2500 years USGS
 What We Really Need to Care In The Near Future ….
Our Concern is to understand better he Most Possible Seismic Moment Rate to PSHA Updating, Thus …

• The Precise Segmentation is really Needed to be investigated more

detail in the future research
• The Most reliable slip-rate is really Needed to be investigated in the
near future
• Small Earthquake Monitoring is Really Needed to Done very soon
THANK YOU ……..