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Estimates by the World Bank in 2011 put the size of the Uk labour force at 32.1m workers out of an
estimated population of 62m. The labour market includes the supply of labour by households and
the demand for labourby firms. Wages represent the price of labour, which provide an income to
households and represent a cost to firms. In a hypothetical free market economy, wages are
determined by the unregulated interaction of demand and supply. However, in real mixed
economies, governments and trade unions can exert an influence on wage levels.
Nominal and real nominal wages
Nominal wages are the money wages paid to labour in a given period of time. Real wages are nominal wages,
adjusted to take into account changes in the price level. Most workers expect at least an annual increase in
their money wages to reflect price increases, and so maintain their real wages.
The demand for labour
The main factors affecting the demand for labour are:
The wage rate
The higher the wage rate, the lower the demand for labour. Hence, the demand for labour curve slopes
downwards. As in all markets, a downward sloping demand curve can be explained by reference to
the incomeand substitution effects.
At higher wages, firms look to substitute capital for labour, or cheaper labour for the relatively expensive
labour. In addition, if firms carry on using the same quantity of labour, their labour costs will rise and their
income (profits) will fall. For both reasons, demand for labour will fall as wages rise.
1. Firstly, unions can attract workers into the labour market because of the benefits of
becoming a member. This will shift the supply curve to the right.
2. Secondly, unions exert control over the labour supply and can withdraw labour by limiting
working hours or going on strike. A strike will shift the supply curve of labour to the left.
3. Thirdly, by influencing wages through collective bargaining the supply curve for unionised
workers is moreinelastic than one for non-unionised workers.
Go to: Unite - The UK's largest trade union
Tax and benefit incentives and disincentives
Tax and benefit rates can lead to increases and decreases in the effective labour supply. When income taxes
are excessive and benefits too generous, a stay-at-home culture may be encouraged.
Labour subsidies
If the government gives a subsidy to workers to look for work, or to train, then the supply of labour will
increase, and the supply curve will shift to the right.
The actual and potential labour supply
The actual labour supply includes those workers who are both willing and able to supply their labour, including
the unemployed. The potential labour supply also includes those who, for one reason or another, are currently
inactive.
Source: www.statistics.gov
The equilibrium wage rate
The market wage, or market clearing wage rate, is the wage that brings the demand and supply of labour into
equilibrium.
The equilibrium wage rate can change following changes in the demand or supply of labour, such as:
Labour productivity
An increase in labour productivity will shift the demand curve to the right, and increase employment (Q to Q1)
and increase the wage rate wage rate (W to W1).
1. Possible differences in the level of human capital development, especially formal education
because women may invest less in their own human capital development than men.
2. There may be productivity differences (in manual work), although this is clearly a minor
factor in a service sector economy.
3. The number of hours worked, and career breaks will affect labour productivity. On average,
women work fewer hours than men (35 hours per week, for women and 40 hours for men. It is
estimated that this alone contributes around 12.5% of the difference). (Source: OECD)
4. Women are often crowded into low-paid jobs, with low skill levels.
5. Women are also often crowded into part-time jobs, with lower pay relative to full-time
employees.
6. In contrast, women are often crowded out of higher paid jobs through discrimination, or are
discriminated against in terms of promotion. Females often make up a very small percentage of senior
jobs.
Female pay as a percentage of male pay has been rising over the last 15 years. Despite the differences that still
exist, the gap between male and female pay is narrowing.
Possible explanations for this include:
1. The human capital of females is catching up with that of males because female
performance in formal education has improved. Girls achieve higher GCSE and ‘A’ level grades
and are rapidly catching up in terms of degree performance.
2. A decline in the impact of discrimination, due to the gradual impact of the Equal Pay
Act, 1970, and other legislation.
3. More females are becoming employers, and this reduces the likelihood of
discrimination.
4. Government support for equal opportunities initiatives, such as Opportunity 2000 (now
calledOpportunity Now.)
5. The growth of the service sector and decline in the manufacturing sector has also
contributed to a narrowing of the pay gap. Changes in the structure of the economy may have
benefited females in relation to males. The growth of the service sector has led to a relative
increase in demand for service sector workers, which has also increased wages in parts of the
service sector in comparison with declining relative wages in the manufacturing sector.
6. The introduction of the national minimum wage in 1997 had a proportionately bigger effect
on female wages, compared with male wages.
The national minimum wage
The government can also influence the wage rate by setting a national minimum wage.
The effect is that demand contracts from Q to Q1 and supply extends from Q to Q2 creating a surplus of
labour.
Competitive labour markets
The demand for labour - marginal productivity
The demand for factors of production is derived from the demand for the products these factors
make. For example, if mobile phones are in greater demand, then the demand for workers in the mobile
phone industry will increase, ceteris paribus.
The demand for labour will vary inversely with the wage rate. To understand this we need to consider the law
of diminishing returns. This states that if a firm employs more of a variable factor, such as labour, assuming
one factor remains fixed, the additional return to extra workers will begin to diminish. To explore this process,
we need to consider the total physical product (output) produced by a series of workers, which will enable us
to measure the individual output from each additional worker – the marginal physical product (MPP).
Consider the following data for a small firm producing handmade wax candles.
Marginal
Total physical
Workers physical
product
product
1 1000
2 1900 900
3 2700 800
4 3400 700
5 4000 600
6 4500 500
7 4900 400
8 5200 300
Demand is based on the value to the firm of the marginal physical product produced by each worker. For
example, if candles are £2 each, the firm can calculate the revenue derived from each worker's physical
output. The value of the extra output is called marginal revenue product (MRP), and this is calculated by
multiplying MPP and price, as follows:
Total Marginal Marginal
Workers physical physical revenue
product product product
1 1000
The competitive market wage rate, and the quantity of labour employed, is determined by the interaction of
demand and supply. The equilibrium wage rate is the rate that equates demand and supply, as illustrated
below.
Equilibrium wage rate
Labour supply for the whole market is assumed to be positively related to the wage rate, and the market
supply curve slopes upwards.
Labour supply can change under a number of circumstances, including changes in:
The length of the working week.
Participation rates.
Demographic factors, such as migration, and changes in the age structure of the population.
Qualifications and skills required.
The length of training.
Shifts in the supply curve
Unemployment types and causes
There are several types of unemployment, each one defined in terms of cause and severity.
Cyclical
Cyclical unemployment exists when individuals lose their jobs as a result of a downturn in aggregate
demand (AD).If the decline in aggregate demand is persistent, and the unemployment long-term, it is called
either demand deficient, general, or Keynesian unemployment. For example, unemployment levels of 3
million were reached in the UK in the last two recessions, between 1980 and 1982, and between 1990 and
1992. In the most recent recession of 2008-2010, unemployment levels rose to 2.4m in the last quarter of
2009, and are likely to peak at over 2.5m during 2010. (Source: ONS).
Demand deficienct unemployment
This is caused by a lack of aggregate demand, with insufficient demand to generate full employment.
Structural
Structural unemployment occurs when certain industries decline because of long term changes in market
conditions. For example, over the last 20 years UK motor vehicle production has declined while car
production in the Far East has increased, creating structurally unemployed car workers. Globalisation is
an increasingly significant cause of structural unemployment in many countries.
Regional
When structural unemployment affects local areas of an economy, it is called ‘regional’ unemployment. For
example, unemployed coal miners in South Wales and ship workers in the North East add to regional
unemployment in these areas.
Classical
Classical unemployment is caused when wages are ‘too’ high. This explanation of unemployment dominated
economic theory before the 1930s, when workers themselves were blamed for not accepting lower wages, or
for asking for too high wages. Classical unemployment is also called real wage unemployment.
Seasonal
Seasonal unemployment exists because certain industries only produce or distribute their products at certain
times of the year. Industries where seasonal unemployment is common include farming, tourism, and
construction.
Frictional
Frictional unemployment, also called search unemployment, occurs when workers lose their current job and
are in the process of finding another one. There may be little that can be done to reduce this type of
unemployment, other than provide better information to reduce the search time. This suggests that full
employment is impossible at any one time because some workers will always be in the process of changing
jobs.
Voluntary
Voluntary unemployment is defined as a situation when workers choose not to work at the current
equilibrium wage rate. For one reason or another, workers may elect not to participate in the labour
market. There are several reasons for the existence of voluntary unemployment including excessively
generous welfare benefits and high rates of income tax. Voluntary unemployment is likely to occur when the
equilibrium wage rate is below the wage necessary to encourage individuals to supply their labour.
The natural rate of unemployment
This is a term associated with new Classical and monetarist economists. It is defined as the rate of
unemployment that still exists when the labour market it in equilibrium, and includes seasonal, frictional and
voluntary unemployment. The US economist Milton Friedman first used the concept to help explain the
connection between unemployment and inflation. Friedman argued that if unemployment fell below
the natural rate there would be an increase in the rate of inflation.
The different types of unemployment can be illustrated through the AJ-LF model.
See also: the Phillips Curve.
Over the last 30 years, employment in the service sector has increased to over 70% of total employment, while
employment in manufacturing has decreased to under 20%. Since the 1940s employment in the primary
sector, including agriculture, has been less that 3% of the workforce.
Recent changes have created two speed economy, with a relatively bouyant service sector and a declining
manufacturing one.
The main reasons are:
1. Globalisation and the rise of new ‘low cost’ overseas competitor countries.
2. Increased competition within the domestic product market.
3. The increasing comparative advantage of the UK as an international supplier of financial
services.
Structural unemployment and labour mobility
Labour immobility is likely to increase structural unemployment. This is because those industries that are
growing and need labour, often called sunrise industries, are not necessarily able to employ the same workers
who have been displaced in the declining, sunset industries.
There are three types of labour immobility:
Geographical immobility
Geographical immobility occurs when workers are not willing or able to move from region to region, or town
to town. Geographical mobility is made worse by immense house price variation between regions. It may be
extremely difficult for workers in Yorkshire to sell their home and buy an equivalent one in London.
Other factors also contribute to geographical immobility, such as strong social and family ties, and parents
being unwilling to disrupt their children’s education by changing schools. The stresses of moving home can
also be a deterrent to mobility for some.
Industrial immobility
Industrial immobility occurs when workers do not move between industries, such as moving from
employment in motor industry to employment in the insurance industry. Industrial immobility has affected the
UK, and many other industrial countries, as the growth of service industries, and the decline of manufacturing
industries, has increased the need for mobility.
Occupational immobility
Occupational immobility occurs when workers find it difficult to change jobs within an industry. For example, it
may be very difficult for a doctor to retrain to be a dentist.
Industrial and occupation immobility are most likely to happen when skills are not transferable between
industry and job.
Information failure also contributes to labour immobility because workers may be immobile because they do
not know where all the suitable jobs for them are.
A resulting problem with labour market immobility is that it can create regional unemployment, which is a type
ofstructural unemployment. This means that a change in the structure of industry leaves some people unable
to respond by changing job, industry, or location and as a result, they remain temporarily or permanently
unemployed.
Immobility can also lead to rising labour costs, as firms have to increase wages to encourage workers to re-
locate.
Labour market or government failure?
New Classical economists would tend to see structural unemployment as an example of government failure.
Labour markets do not clear, they argue, because wages are not allowed to adjust effectively, and the price
mechanism is distorted. By removing distortions and imperfections in the labour market workers would move
more quickly from job to job.
For example, by keeping welfare benefits to a minimum there is an incentive to retrain and look for paid work.
Welfare benefits can trap individuals into a life of unemployment because of the effects of moral hazard and
the disincentive effect it creates. This increases labour immobility, and hence contributes to structural
unemployment.
However, labour immobility can also be addressed from the perspective of labour market failure. Training and
re-training are regarded as merit goods, where individuals under perceive the long term benefit to themselves.
They also fail to appreciate the positive externalities that training and re-training generate for the wider
community. This means that there is a significant role for the state in providing free or subsidised training and
retraining programmes.
In addition, there is the potential situation of labour market poaching. Why should a firm in the booming
service sector provide free training to a displaced worker from the manufacturing sector if the worker will
leave for another job shortly after training? Why should firms do any training at all if they believe that workers
will be poached by higher wages? The poacher can, of course, afford to pay higher wages because of savings in
training costs.
If the wage rate is pushed up from W to W1, demand for labour contracts and labour supply extends, creating
1
a surplus of labour at the higher rate. Wage rate W is, therefore, a non-market clearing wage rate. This
diagram can be used to illustrate the potential effects of a national minimum wage.