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Common HOLD Fundamental research indicates a 6% upside in the common stock over the next 6-24 months. We
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have calculated theto theprice
target fullbased
report free of charge
on fundamental at a weighted average of target
factors using
Stock http://www.iirgroup.com/researchoracle/viewreport/show/20274
prices obtained by using DCF and comparative valuation methodologies.
Ticker: NG.L
Target price: GBp720.69
We reiterate the common stock a BUY with a 6-24 months target price of GBp720.69.
Current price: GBp679.00
ADR BUY The ADR is expected to appreciate by approximately 21% over the next 6-24 months as the
fundamental upside further augmented by the 15 percentage points upside attributable purely to the
anticipated appreciation of the GBP against the US dollar over the long term.
Ticker: NGG
Target price: US$81.08 We reiterate the ADR (1 ADR= 5 common shares) a BUY with a 6-24 month target price of US$81.08.
Current price: US$66.83
National Grid PLC (National Grid) registered strong top-line growth in FY 2008 marginally above our
expectation for the period, reflecting healthy growth witnessed across all of its segments. Margins were
however, impacted by rising operating, finance and tax expenses. Going forward, we are encouraged by
the company’s efforts to expand its business and cut costs through a number of organic and inorganic
measures. The company has recently completed the disposal of its UK and the US wireless business as
well as its Basslink interconnector in order to reduce operating costs in its non-core businesses. In
addition, the company has reached an agreement to sell Ravenswood, a prerequisite for the
completion of its KeySpan acquisition, which has allowed National Grid to become the second largest
electricity and gas company in the US in terms of customer base. Furthermore, the company has an
impressive capital expenditure plan of GBP3.0 bn per year over the next four years, which is largely
directed toward building new electricity and gas transmission infrastructure, the replacement of ageing
assets, and to increase its share of renewable energy in the company’s portfolio. However, we expect
the company’s margins to remain under pressure in the medium term given rising fuel prices. Given
that we have revised our estimates and target price downwards, we view the National Grid’s common
stock as fairly valued and do not anticipate a significant upside from current levels.