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Oscar Altimir
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SWP522 5
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WORLD BANK STAFF WORKING PAPERS
Number 522
Oscar Altimir
Altimir, Oscar.
The extent of poverty in Latin America.
This work, the author of which is the Chief, Statistics and Quantitative
Analysis Division of the Economic Commission for Latin America (ECLA),
originated in a research project for the measurement and analysis of
income distribution in the Latin American countries, undertaken jointly
by the Commission and the World Bank. The opinions expressed are those
of the author alone and may not coincide with the points of view taken
by the sponsoring institutions.
I. INTRODUCTION
ANNEXES
BIBLIOGRAPHY
I
INTRODUCTION
Latin American countries. To that end, it establishes poverty lines for the
levels of purchasing power below which the basic needs of a household would be
each of the countries separately and the region as a whole. The extent of
poverty is assessed in terms both of the number of poor persons and the income
best endowed with the pertinent statistics, the idea being to test the method
assumptions, some of them quite forced, and the turning of a blind eye to a
anyone who follows it from the methodical examination of those assumptions and
cautious researchers.
of values different to some extent from that held by the rest of the society.
greatly influenced by the social and economic environment and the general
goals of the social project of which the prevailing anti-poverty policies form
part.
been very poor. The exception ... has been the last few generations in the
poverty of the working masses are confused with reflections on wages and
employment (Smith, 1776, Book I, Chap. VIII; Marx, 1867, Book I, Chap. XXIII)
and why only the"pauperism" of the most disfavored segments of society was
regarded as a special situation, one in which the wage earned barely allowed
mere subsistence. Even after the marked improvement in the conditions of the
working population of the industrialized nations during thd 19th century, the
prevailing thought could conceive only of the possibility that the poverty of
the following decades raised living standards to the point where the existence
of huge masses of unemployed and semi-employed during the crisis of the 30s
minorities in affluent societies became more visible and shocking, giving rise
centuries been the lot of the largest part of the population. The perceptions
that followed the Second World War gave birth at the centers of world power to
an awareness of the iniquity of poverty and the possibilities that existed for
nations and the opportunity to bridge the gap separating them from the rich
nations, the confident view being held that such growth would progressively
wash away the structures of underdevelopment, and with them poverty itself.
The rapid advance of the developing world over those two decades, without any
(United Nations, 1972; Chenery et al., 1974; World Bank, 1975b; Hammarskjold
influenced by the perception of the poverty in which the great mass of the
center of gravity of poverty has been moving slowly from the countryside to
the cities, so that by now urban poverty in the region is considerable and
development of the post-war economy of the Latin American countries, have been
focused more specifically in the concern which emerged over a decade ago, with
the ambiguity in the theory which underlies that concept becomes a fundamental
difficulty in any studies on poverty, and that justification for use of the
and extreme facet of the problem of the uneven distribution of social goods,
explained in its entirety!/, taking into account the whole range of symptoms
that indicate its presence; we can manage no more than an explanation of each
are frequently confused, they are neither equivalent nor mutually inclusive.
They are separate problems, both conceptually and in the political sense.2 !
Also, the relationship between them differs depending on whether the societies
problem of welfare, the result of a value judgment, for which a precise slot
cannot even be found among the propositions of the theory of welfare used in
economic situations.
industrial reserve army in constant equilibrium with the volume and intensity
however be articulated with the theory of the Marxist system. Although Marx's
1/ Valid hypotheses of this type will be found in Bjerke (1970) and Cline
(1975)-
- 7 -
exploited and not the poor who constitute a significant analytical category.
in levels of living among the exploited form part of the explanatory argument
of Marxist theory.
theories, but attempts to meet those requirements have so far produced only
ambiguous results.
growth that followed World War II has led to the recognition that it is
associated with critical shortages of physical and human capital and basic
services (Chenery et al., 1974), and also to the view that the style of
still a long way from incorporating the concept of poverty into the theory of
that direction are perhaps the theories that endeavor to explain the most
are the basic obstacles to increased productivity and the growth capable of
overwhelmingly rural0
1963; Utria, 1966a) were concerned with describing the poverty syndrome as
only by the lack of participation in social goods, but essentially by the lack
by applying it to that part of the work force not absorbed by the predominent
mode of production and therefore kept on the fringes of the labor market
"informal" sector (ILO, 1972; Bienefeld, 1975; Souza and Tokman, 1975). As
Bienefeld points out, this reformulation has done nothing of itself to confirm
this new concept as anything more than a basically descriptive term, the
p. 53).
studied within the setting of some theory of the distribution of income, and
common origins, behavior and relationship with the rest of society. The
the large group of "the poor" smaller groups that might constitute the targets
of public policy, by means of definitions which reflect the causes rather than
the symptoms of poverty and which are also homogeneous with respect to the
identify the different human groups which would be the targets of the policies
quest for theoretical relationships into which the concept of poverty can be
descriptive and the explanatory and while the value judgments in which the
One can indeed agree with Wolfe when he says that "to prefer the
background certain preconceived ideas on the nature of the problem and what
acceptable solutions would be; it also coincides with the blurring of the
of basic needs
judgments as to what the minimum adequate levels of welfare and the absolutely
essential basic needs are and what degree of deprivation is intolerable. Such
judgments consequently imply a reference to some norm of the basic needs and
are poor and those who are not. The concept of poverty is essentially
normative, and its actual content varies as does the norm of basic needs or
who share them that they are transformed into social valuations. In a
poverty usually exist side by side: that of the governing authorities, that
differences in criteria and norms emanating from different moral and political
valuations of the existing social order and the way in which society should be
organized.
attack it that the latter come to prevail in the definition, giving rise to
what Sen (1978) calls the "public policy approach" to the concept of
poverty. Without going quite so far, there is little doubt nevertheless that
on the value system and the political intentions used in examining the poverty
respect, and to claim that one's own definition is neutral is to fall to some
other extreme, conservative value systems tend to establish a poverty norm low
identify and explain that consensus. The doing so should be "...an objective
academic but closely linked to the other components of the valuation, namely
the judgment on the existing social order and the policies regarded as
affluent societies.
Poverty is relative only to the extent that the norm against which
dividing society into those who are regarded as poor and those who are not.
reference groups with which one compares oneself. The subjective perception
of this welfare, relative to that enjoyed by others, may give rise to feelings
- 14 -
(1957) and Runciman (1966) refers. Townsend (1974), on the other hand,
other persons. But that would require definition of the style of living
"point in the scale of the distribution of resources below which families find
resources) to share in the customs, activities and diets comprising that style
society's predominant style of living, which creates the desires and imposes
the expectations that give rise to needs. In this sense, the concept of
content varies over time, to the degree that basic needs change historically
in the same society in step with alterations in its lifestyle and with
underlie the definition of poverty adopted2/. But that does not mean the
absolute dimension to poverty which, without going beyond the context, cannot
be defined only in terms of that context. Like Sen, we believe that "there is
societies, and which we believe every human being should have the right to.
The absolute norm we follow in defining this irreducible core, whatever the
particular national environment, flows from our present idea of human dignity
1/ This relativity of basic needs and of poverty may be observed even within
a single society, in the sense that relatively autonomous communities or
particular groups may take as their reference point lifestyles that
differ markedly from that prevailing in the national society. But such
differences are gradually declining in importance, given the growing
inter-relationships among communities and groups that are the result of
various economic, political, communications and welfare-service
subsystems (Townsend, 1974). At the other extreme, what is specific in
national needs is also becoming less and less marked, to the extent that
culture is universalized and the style of living predominant in the
developed countries pervades the Third World more and more.
and from that universality we ascribe to basic human rights, whlich ought to be
in each community.
contrary, do prejudge the extent of poverty and imply that it will be always
present, since they are not based on criteria of relative deprivation which
take account of the distance between the lower segment of the pyramid and the
of the problem and concentrate on inequality at the bottom of the income scale
(Ahluwalia, 1974).
to pinpoint the absolute deprivation levels that may result from prevailing
adequate for the satisfaction of basic needs. Even though in formulating such
- 17 -
norms local conditions and the cultural features of the population are taken
into account, this type of definition of poverty is less tied to the levels of
ideas of human dignity and basic human rights. In very dependent societies,
on the other hand, this constitutes the normative correlate of the orientation
of the style of development toward the patterns of consumption and the forms
of welfare found in industrial societies and in the local upper strata, which,
more than the average level of the traditional lifestyle in these societies,
technical reasoning does not preclude their incorporating a value element when
dietary norms (Rein, 1970). The norms used in establishing other needs than
food are even less likely to be based on scientific knowledge and therefore
problem of poverty, diverting attention from the broader debate on the most
industrialized societies, and are probably not unrelated to the fact that
official poverty lines in the United States have been based on absolute
European countries minimum welfare benefits are also based on this type of
definitions of poverty, since they are connected with the average availability
considerations of human rights and basic needs. On the other hand, in such
significance stemming simply from the condition of being human; the relative
the two concepts have been employed indiscriminately, whereas, as has already
been pointed out, they are in fact different. It is plain that income
distinction between the two may appear irrelevant. But it is also plain that
become the way of discussing the more disturbing issues of inequality", and
examination of the issues of inequality" (Miller, Rein, Roby and Ross, 1967;
cit. in Sen, 1978). But, as Sen (1978) argues, the latter provides a good
economic growth. But poverty defined in relative terms also focuses solely on
the inequality between the poor and the rest of society, sidestepping the
inequalities that exist in the latter group and which can change --
or wealth are simply different (Bauer and Prest, 1973; cit. in Atkinson, 1975)
broader than those underlying the "rights" and "needs" in which the concept of
poverty is rooted.
situations which both attempt to express are related causally. The causes of
- 20 -
poverty lie in the same mechanisms that determine the general inequalities
pragmatism, a simplistic diagnosis of its causes and for that reason carries
within itself the seed of the failure of actions geared ot its definitive
eradication.
situations obscure these facts: that there exists a stratification within the
universe of poverty; that, below the minimum thresholds set for the
deprivation -- are found among the poor; that, from the poverty threshold to
III
has brought little benefit to the poor in those countries has given a new
was first seen in the strategies devised for the creation of employment (ILO,
1977a), which emphasizes the satisfaction of those needs among the mass of the
satisfaction of the basic needs of the population are one and the same
thing. Both concepts are normative, and may be defined according to the same
norms.
percentage of the population at the base of the income pyramid. The attack on
affect not only the incomes of the poor, but also -- and very particularly --
of the concept of poverty with the more conservative policies for mitigating
it, while use of the basic needs concept is associated with the more radical
However, when it is accepted that the causes of poverty are rooted in the
no more than form part of broader programs for the satisfaction of basic
needs, the final objective of which would be the eradication of poverty, with
all the changes in the style of development that such a goal implies.
eradication.
target of specific policy packages,as Bell and Duloy suggest (1974). The
basic needs concept, on the other hand, focuses on satisfaction levels in each
from sharing the same normative content, so long as they fit within the same
value system and are situated in the same position with regard to the
prevailing social order. This would make it possible to take advantage of the
analytical benefits in the use of the poverty concept and the instrumental
benefits belonging to the basic needs concept when formulating strategies for
the eradication of poverty and the establishment of more just societies. The
In its wider sense, the concept includes psychological and political as well
development: the emphasis on economics has tended to blot out the ultimate
policy goal, which is not only to eradicate physical poverty but also to
provide all human beings with the opportunity to realize their potential
fully. The current demand is for development to be centered on man and his
From this viewpoint, the concept of basic human needs could bring
together a more precise and wider range of norms for a juster society than
The basic needs that serve to define poverty. are, like poverty
itself, relative to the environment. They are specific to each country and
- 24 -
current idea of human dignity than of the levels of welfare and resource
foundation for much analytic work on poverty from Rowntree's time (1901) to
our own. In Western industrial societies, the extent of the needs viewed as
minimal has varied with increasing economic and social progress and the
physiological needs for the maintenance of life and ability to work, the
content of the minimum or basic needs concept has expanded to the point where
what are regarded as minima at the present day cover not only the
physiological but also the sanitary and social requirements dictated by the
insufficiency a household may suffer does not affect the normal physiological
their self-respect or that of the community in which they live (Lamale, 1958;
health programs.
which the industrial societies measure basic needs forms part of the common
property of mankind. But this does not mean that it would be valid simply to
recognized that there exist here and now certain absolutely minimum levels for
content of the basic needs concept may not be specific to each country, or
that it may not vary as social progress is achieved. But there is litle doubt
that the evolution of the basic needs concept in the industrialized societies
perhaps reflects the consensus already reached on the content of the basic
articles; and in the second place, such essential services -- provided for and
employment also forms part of any basic needs policy, as both a means and an
end, since it not only provides the individual with an income but allows him
basic needs such as this, although the concept can be broadened to include
The actual content of the central core of minimum basic needs should
economic differences shape such needs, although not perhaps to the point where
and that the sovereignty of the consumer and the utility functions of the
fundamental human rights. These are at least the rights and liberties
as Ghai and Alfthan (1976) point out, three other important values are also
sufficiency and participation. To the extent that basic needs are socially
given the present international situation and the need to break away from
essential means of securing basic needs efficiently and with the necessary
social mobilization. In the final instance, only the people themselves should
decide the extent, content and priority of their own basic needs (Ghai and
Alfthan, 1977).
IV
regarded as poor.
satisfies its needs in accordance with its preferences. To reach this level
of utility, the household can put into practice a set of feasible decisions on
not always efficient optimizers or that the information on which they base
goods and services and foster the consumption of others, thus inducing choices
that lead to lower levels of living than could in fact be attained with the
same resources.
2/ Which are concerned more with not taking into consideration all the
resources that have an impact on the level of living.
- 29 -
terms of household resources. From this standpoint, the dimension of the set
determined by factors beyond the immediate control of the household, and the
depending on the constraints imposed both by the labor market which they have
access to and by the social environment. Or they may own businesses or assets
which, in any event, give them security and social recognition. Finally, the
households obtain the current income and allowances -- in cash, in kind and in
needs.
how much and what they decide to consume, on the effective access they have to
the markets in which the required goods are sold, on the prices they face and
impact on both the dimension of the resources that will be available to the
households.
Proposals have been put forward for composite indicators that take
into consideration in some fashion not only the purchasing power available to
a household but also the dimension of its resources and its actual access to
specific goods and services. Townsend (1970)' proposes that account be taken
not only of current money income, but also of social security benefits, assets
benefits, the value of the public social services received, production for
self-consumption and gifts in kind or help received from others. Weisbrod and
Hansen (1968) have proposed an index combining income and net worth. Morgan
and Smith (1969) combine real income indicators with an evaluation of the time
and whether they are receipts in cash, in kind or in imputed gains from goods
produced for self-consumption. It may also be defined net of taxes and other
exclude a definition of household income that takes account of the real value
of the free or subsidized public services to which each household may have
benefits from those services, nor do they provide any indication at all on the
Even when these measurement problems can be overcome and the concept
household decisions on participation in the work force but does not take note
of the amount of free time resulting from them. Secondly, because it reflects
assets in accordance with their current yield and consequently does not
base of the social pyramid, where, on the one hand, the supposed
the level of living -- and where, on the other hand, not many options exist
the latter reaches any .decision on how much to consume and how much to save.
taking account of the degree to which savings increase the present value of
permanent income with data from Latin America for one-year reference periods
income.
which have to pay different prices. Whenever such differences do exist, they
1/ To the extent that the reference period for measurementx of income and
consumption can be extended, the transitory variations diminish in
importance and both measurements approach their permanent levels. In
fact, according to the permanent income hypothesis, if the reference
period used were sufficiently long expected consumption values would
approach permanent income levels so closely that both would provide the
same indication on levels of living.
- 33 -
available purchasing power but also on the number and characteristics of the
family members who endeavor to satisfy their needs through that power.
sense to the expression of levels of living on a per capita basis, even though
this is not the sole factor determining intra-family welfare. It may also be
argued that family members of different age groups make different demands on
adult-equivalent unitsl/.
benefit large households, but they are very difficult to estimate. Finally,
the assumption that all the resources of all the members of the household are
degrees, since some members may keep back part of their personal income to
B. Poverty lines
the population at the base of the distribution pyramid to represent the poor
does not serve to express levels of living, not even in terms of the
poverty itself, despite many claims to the contrary (e.g. Szal, 1977). It is
levels of living.
satisfy needs or through the resources disposable for the acquisition of those
deprivation with regard to each group of needs, since it does not call for
individual preferences are passed over in the ranking of the different needs,
hand, the measurement of poverty from the standpoint of resources does give
this flexibility but assumes that the household optimizes its welfare under
accordance with their current or imputed market yields, also assuming perfect
far -- the household resource base which dictates the family level of
that it does not take account -- unless a special measurement effort is made
situations. As Streeten (1977b) points out in this regard, consumers are not
Further, the poor may be confronted with prices different from those paid by
other groups and with special difficulties of access to specific goods and
services.
expenditure therefore implies the setting of norms for the minimum quantum of
poverty lines synthesize a judgment as to what the minima would be below which
of poverty and their magnitude, since they are drawn according to heuristic
different data bases and through a range of analytical methods reveals the
whose levels of living are not directly comparable. Such sets should at least
include the various lines produced by application of the same normative and
the U.S. (BLS, 1960) and currently employed in Canada (Love and Oja, 1977),
(calories, protein, housing, household articles, etc.) that will satisfy each
the specific goods required!/ and evaluating these at the prices the
Another method has been developed which takes food as the basis for
each family type. The income corresponding to the poverty line can be
acquires only the minima stipulated on the basic items (Kahn, 1976). Bardhan
(1970) has utilized this method for India, but applying relationships between
required expenditure on food and total actual consumption. Dandekar and Rath
E. Poverty measures
The count of the number of households below the poverty lines is the
the magnitude of the problem. This measure of the "incidence of poverty" does
not take account, however, of either the degrees to which the incomes of the
poor fall below the poverty line or the inequalities between households at
incomes of the poor, this being the aggregate resource gap of the poor as a
group with respect to the poverty line. This measurement -- and the
normalized version of it, the average percentage income gap -- does not take
methods, Sen (1976) has axiomatically derived a poverty measure that combines
when they are applied in evaluating the dimensions of poverty in the Latin
American countries.
The method chosen here for drawing poverty lines depends very much
The view taken was that this initial, regionally focused approach to
the problems of estimating basic needs, identifying the poor and assessing the
inaccuracy provided the results obtained for each country were basically
country.
The poverty lines drawn were based on diet, an estimation being made
The lines correspond to a figure put at double that minimum food cost, on the
grounds that such a sum would cover the value, at current prices, of the goods
required to satisfy the basic needs which are usually satisfied in these
satisfy basic needs, and they imply that households are classified as poor if
their purchasing power is less than twice the cost of a nutritionally adequate
food basket.
these estimates, which allow only for the private consumption expenditure
public services.
in each food group, per-calorie prices for each food type and dietary
first of all, the purchasing power necessary for the satisfaction of basic
needs rather than what is actually spent by those who satisfy -- inter alia --
consumption item, since few surveys indicate prices and quantities. Finally,
it enables poverty lines to be drawn for any country and period even if the
The contents of the minimum food basket for each country are
the real availability of each type of food in the particular country, but
The minimum energy and protein needs utilized by sex and age (see
Annex A) were selected according to the standards recommended by the Food and
The assumptions currently used in studies of this type (FAO, 1962 and 1963,
for instance) were also adopted: a moderately active population and average
weights of 65 k for adult males and 55 k for adult females; no account was
This was the basis on which minimum daily per capiLa calorie and
protein requirements were established for the average composition by sex and
age of the population of each country around 1970. The results obtained,
maximum, by four percent (between 2,260 and 2,350 calories per day per capita)
and protein requirements that differ by less than eight percent (between 40.2
and 43,3 grams pe, day per capita). It should be remembered that on applying
these results uniformly within each country, the needs of households with a
composition older than the national average are somewhat underestimated, while
household size, the tendency for larger households to show a younger age
composition than the average means that the procedure utilized is likely to
TABLE 1
For each country, the minimum food basket that would satisfy the
standard basis, even when account was also taken of the relative availability
of foods and consumer habits in each case. In theory, the minimum-cost diet
could consist of the pair of foodstuffs with the lowest per-calorie price and
the lowest protein price, respectively, but this would be completely unreal.
In order to avoid this trivial conclusion, the base taken was the composition
- 44 -
average diet. The first step in identifying the minimum standard diet was to
reconcile the caloric and protein intakes obtained from the average diet with
the minimum requirements established in each case2/. At the same time, the
role of foods with higher per-calorie and protein prices was reduced in favor
of lower priced items, in accordance with the values shown in Tables 2 and 3.
(iii) meat consumption should not be less than the equivalent of five
1/ As shown by the FAO Food Balance Sheets issued in 1975 for the period
1960-1975.
consumption;
(v) sugar intake should not be over the equivalent of 270 calories per
whichever is greater;
(viii) adopt the same proportions for calories obtained fromn oils and fats
which they are a culinary complement to other foods and the fact
cereals;
(ix) cereals and legumes should not exceed 60 percent of total energy
requirements.
circumstances which those habits reflect and which may not be discernible in
-46
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- 48 -
in which such recommendations have been issued and were applicable to present
cases, care was taken not to go too far beyond apparent consumption averages,
on the grounds they are indicative 6f the actual availability of each food in
cases -- the majority -- in which it responded to the price ratios per calorie
and per protein unit. Whenever that did not occur, the nutritive contribution
cheapest food in it, up to the limit allowed by the habits of the lower income
food.
segments of the rural population are concerned, even though, in overall terms,
It would be ideal for our purposes if the minimum food basket could
be valued at the actual prices paid by each low income group. For that, it
would be necessary to have detailed data on prices and quantities from surveys
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- 50 -
application of implicit prices to the standard basket. For this reason, and
those usually sporadic surveys, estimation of the cost of the minimum basket
In most Latin American countries, these prices are those prevailing in the
obtain budgets that could be broadly applied firstly to the urban population
For all foods, the prices selected were those of the lowest quality
varieties included in retail price surveys. In the case of foods for which
that source did not include prices, recourse was had to other sources or to
the prices of the nearest substitutes with similar nutrient content. Annex B
lists consumer prices in each capital city as of mid-1970, since it was these
that were used in assessing the minimum food budgets given in Table 5.
Although these results are expressed in expenditure per day per person, they
of living indexes can affect the level of the poverty lines, a validation
exercise was carried out to ensure as far as possible that those prices were
application of implicit prices to the standard basket. For this reason, and
those usually sporadic surveys, estimation of the cost of the minimum basket
In most Latin American countries, these prices are those prevailing in the
obtain budgets that could be broadly applied firstly to the urban population
For all foods, the prices selected were those of the lowest quality
varieties included in retail price surveys. In the case of foods for which
that source did not include prices, recourse was had to other sources or to
the prices of the nearest substitutes with similar nutrient content. Annex B
lists consumer prices in each capital city as of mid-1970, since it was these
that were used in assessing the minimum food budgets given in Table 5.
Although these results are expressed in expenditure per day per person, they
of living indexes can affect the level of the poverty lines, a validation
exercise was carried out to ensure as far as possible that those prices were
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o0 ON 0of 0 -4 -4 N N - 4
1-4 N C' C'4 CN C' 0 CD 0 N 0 4 '0
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.. o-4
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1°; Q sD ¢' _l
n -i C4 ~ na1- 0 O
0-4 0 0 0 0 0 0 C
44
oC
U) 2 C>0 0 0 0 C0 0 0) 0 0 0
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om c
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O ~ ~
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N N en
0D - ~
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0 C
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' 0 . 0 - 0 e N 0 o 0 r-
8~~~~' o- o c-s
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in 0 0 0 0D 0 0 0 C) 0D 0 0 0 . (4
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co~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~'
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CA
- 52 -
Latin American Economic Integration (ECIEL) investigated 1968 and 1973 prices
in the member countries of the Latin American Free Trade Association, the work
for 1968 giving prices for two, and sometimes three, qualities of each food.
Re-costing of minimum food baskets at the average prices for each product
given by that Progranm2/ resulted in budgets somewhat higher than those based
on cost of living indexes for the same period. However, these are themselves
between 6 percent and 10 percent higher than the budgets obtained by re-
costing minimum baskets on the lowest ECIEL price in each case3/. To the
extent that ECIEL figures accurately reflect the spectrum of consumer food
prices in the Latin American metropolitan areas, the prices currently employed
in drawing up cost of living indexes tend to fall in the lower half of the
spectrum, and therefore are not the lowest prices available on each market.
appropriate, since it is not reasonble to assume that these groups always have
access to the lowest market prices or, by the same token, that they pay
groups.
1/ Or, in more rigorous terms, the lowest prices that current statistical
surveys can capture.
3/ Despite this, they are below the minimum food budgets obtained by
Arellano (1975) for the LAFTA countries at 1968 prices. For all
countries, he made uniform use of the diet established by the Chilean
National Health Service (1974) and applied ECIEL price data to it;
although, as indicated, the latter tend to be somewhat lower than those
applied in the present work, the basket utilized is between 10 percent
and 15 percent more expensive -- depending on the particular country --
than the baskets here estimated for each country.
- 53 -
have been carried out in certin provincial cities at the same time as the
(1964) collected price data on urban and rural areas in the major states. In
both urban and rural areas3/. Tejo Jimenez (1976) collated these sets of
common to all countries, fresh foods and those making up the staple diet
products, fish and shellfish) or which are imported tend to show higher
minimum baskets, the food budgets obtained for non-capital cities are somewhat
lower than those estimated for capital citie94/. In Brazil, the existence of
calculated on average prices taken over 87 cities is three percent higher than
that estimated for Rio de Janeiro but six percent lower than that calculated
minimum food budgets for non-capital urban areas to be five percent lower than
the rural areas of the three countries for which there is data available,
fresh food prices are seen to be systematically lower than those recorded in
urban areas, and therefore even lower than those prevalent in capital
prices gives the following results: in Mexico, a budget 13 percent lower than
in the Federal District (and 10 percent lower than in other urban areas); in
Peru, 15 percent lower than in Lima (and nine percent lower than in other
evidence availablel/ tends to indicate that the imputed prices for own-account
produced staple foods rarely differ by more than 20 percent fromn those
percent below the budget estimated for the capital city of the particular
country.
these criteria for the capital cities, for urban households as a whole and for
would be valid for specific segments of the rural population, given the
concerned. For that reason, each estimated rural-area budget will be used
implications.
items. Actual consumption patterns, however, reveal that when their incmne
TABLE 6
Urban
Metro- Other
politan Urban Average Rural b National c
areas a areas b Urban c Averages
aFrom Table 5.
bEstimated as per the criteria discussed in the text.
cWeighted averages for each national population.
(Orshansky, 1965) implies a view that households which rise above the poverty
seems more appropriate to use the proportions spent by those households in the
group where food expenditure is somewhat higher than the minimum budget
established.
consumption (based on available survey data) for the groups of households that
are closest to that definition and which therefore constitute the groups most
relevant for the purposes in view. Percentages are also given for all the
given in Table 7 should take account of the location of the group selected as
relevant and the relationship between its average expenditure on food and the
minimum food budget established in each case. For Argentina, Chile and
considerably more on food than the minimum budget, the most pertinent group of
households for this analysis is a sub-group with an even lower income, which
probably has a higher coefficient of food expenditure than the larger group it
which spend somewhat more on food that the minimum budget allows will devote
development of the part of the economy being observed, which in some cases is
c C1. . . 0
4.I co Ltn CO '0 -T CO a' a
C. - C~
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- 59 -
food budget.
higher than the food coefficient at the income levels in question. There are
that allows the method evolved to be applied even where no recent, reliable
1/ Orshansky (1965) uses different coefficients for the US: 0.27 for two-
person households and 0.33 for those with three or more members; for one-
person households, she assumes the poverty line to be 80 percent of that
drawn for a couple, on the grounds that "the lower the income, the more
difficult it would be for a single person to reduce sur-h items as housing
and household appliance costs below the minimum for a couple".
- 60 -
only and would have no relation to the degree of accuracy achieved in other
household consumer patterns2/ suggests that the groups which are relevant for
this analysis devote more than half their total expenditure to food, depending
values of the own-account produced food consumed and by the higher prices
these households pay for certain non-food goods. Even so, and in line with
the evidence referred to, the norm adopted in estimating rural-area poverty
value of the corresponding minimum food budgets. The poverty lines applicable
The norm underlying the drawing of poverty lines accepts that a sum
similar to the minimum food budget adequately covers the other basic needs
generally satisfied through private consumption, the grounds for this being
the assumption that households above the minimum food threshold are also above
the minimum thresholds for other basic needs. There is a risk, however, in
2/ Coming from national surveys in Mexico and Peru and set out in Annex E.
- 61 -
work. Poverty lines should cover the resources needed to ensure access to a
easy task to express this need with precision or in a way which accomnmodates
in the social values of those formulating the standards (Mabogunje, Misra and
arguable than the establishment of minimum food needs, and the use of national
may have at the micro-economic level, family housing situations when taken
dwelling demanded by the middle and upper strata of the population, which have
the main voice in this market), block access to it for large sectors of the
are of very limited scope and are still inaccessible to the groups at the
cities, between a third and a half of the total population (World Bank, 1975;
access to locations with services is denied to them by high urban land prices.
poverty defined in terms of a minimum purchasing capacity, and may also affect
large segments of the working and urban middle classes, in the sense that
1/ See, for example, Utria (1966b), Altimir (1969), Tabak (1973), Rosenbluth
(1976).
2/ This factor may give rise to marked biases when the poor are identified
principally on the basis of housing indicators.
- 63 -
(World Bank, 1975) (Mabogunje, Misra and Hardoy, 1976), and also when note is
taken that "the majority of peripheral settlements are the result of ingenious
their own needs for housing and security ... " by means of non-conventional
supply of housing, building materials and serviced urban land. However, the
reply will be valid only in the individual case. Solution of the housing
problem for all families that might consider themselves -- even on the most
market -- on a scale beyond the possibilities that exist for making stop-gap
on which poverty lines are based allow reasonable coverage of the resources
the ratios between food and other expenditure covers the annual cost of a
Computation of that annual amount, the results of which are set out
costs brought below the private market average by design econamies, and on the
assumption that the cost of serviced land equals 25 percent of basic structure
exists for the total purchase price -- the most favorable terms available.
one percent of the value of the purchase price of the dwelling, which is the
this is due to the fact that these averages include imputed rents for owner-
which are the source of the data. Taking this into consideration, actual
frame of reference for the extremely wide range of specific situations and
unfavorable environment.
1/ For information on the grounds underlying this assumption, see World Bank
(1975a), Annex 4, and United Nations (1977), Table 14. 100 m2 lots at
2
prices between US$4 and US$9 per m are envisaged. These figures apply,
in the majority of cases, to semi-urbanized areas where only essential
services are provided.
- 65 -
0 co
ow
o)
w X $4 4-I
0
}o 0 0
0 ) 0X Qo n HT o
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g~~~~~~- IT --
t -4 C
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4
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cD X aj~~~~c :j C
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o)
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0m
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T "0 '
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4-X) 0)
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A: r- = o4no m
En 0 pw r- -H C) Ln C) C) 0 Ln C) 3 0 co
4~
5~~f
00 H 10 M w~q0) CDC1 C L C 10 H
44>
0D o ^ a^a) g H-
HU)fi oHO'
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rz~~~~~~~~H 4-)~~~~~~~~~~~
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- 66 -
lines drawn at double the minimum food budget allow reasonable coverage -- in
the fact that this type of financing is scarce, and that the rental market for
This suggests the need to take account of the actual access of each
household to these services when minimum private consumption budgets are being
public services and are therefore less poor than households with the same
purchasing power but no access to them. Perhaps more significant still is the
the estimated poverty lines while being deprived of education, health and
related expenditure of US$30-80 per year per household in 1970. These amounts
probability that the poor have access to them. In itself, this question is
that probability is less in one country than in another, the former may have
more instances of non-satisfaction of basic needs than are apparent fran the
poverty lines.
would be the same for all social strata. However, everything points to the
below the average. And perhaps that probability diminishes even further the
tend to favor access by the middle and higher groups in the population.
which shows that children from poor households in Argentina or Chile have a
triple (in Argentina and Uruguay) or double (in Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica and
a au d - 0
* C
v n- s 0 * Cs CO
w d b-e L( ) OC -ST0t O a u oO I) H 'D
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cs0 H O -4 Cs
:3 C'4 c l ' H
r.0 cn LA H cn .T
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C.
cQ ~ '- r- i- 00o a' a' I- O r-. a co
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CO0) C4
Cl~~~~~~l
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0 il
v)~~~$ XQ) na soo
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co. 00 )
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0) M 04-i -H '0 H U w ~0 0)
C
wf 0o is 0 ~N . p a
- 70 -
Panama) those observed elsewhere (in Colombia, Mexico and Peru); confirmation
of this is seen in the differences in the probability of death between one and
four years of age. The probability that the low-income urban population will
have potable water supply is considerably less than 70 percent in almost all
countries in the region, while the probability they will have sewerage service
is barely 35 percent.
the situation as regards probable access among the poor to public services
education and health care among low-income population groups in the various
they are not typical of the housing deficit situations which affect more
households in each country than those lying below the national poverty lines.
access by the poor to each type of public service so that the present figures
procedures explained. Given for each country in its own currency at 1970
- 71 -
Cd o Ln N cn o Ln < n C1 C N
O d -t 00 14 't CS rb U) CS CS4 %D 0
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p <zr c c 0D L PI c'S C C' PI .
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a a'0 ei a' e e C) H4 0 cc Ca4
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C X CO C0)
CO u H CO C C) O X Q. S
- 72 -
prices, they signify the levels below which households are regarded as being
households with total incomes below these levels suffer severe nutritional
deficitsl/.
the Latin American countries both among themselves and with those employed in
worldwide studies (World Bank, 1975b; ILO, 1976), conversion into dollars is
constituting destitution lines -- vary from US$70 to US$130 (at 1970 prices)
per capita per year, depending on the country. This relative uniformity can
0 0 N N C 0' N '
0> C
CO U
C .~~~~~O
4.4 0
mm m 04
C' ) -
04C
oa, C:
CO 04,,0 r4 a, I- .6 . 0
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0 04 - - -4 N - -~
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0W
E n1 )
- 74 -
US$1$50 and US$250 (1970 prices) of annual household consumption per person,/.
For the most part, the differences are ascribable to the fact that the present
The World Bank (1975b) uses two arbitrary lines of US$50 and US$75
(1969 prices) per capita to estimate the numbers of the poor in the developing
conditions prevailing in the rural areas of Asia and Africa, where 80 percent
of the developing world's poor are concentrated (World Bank, 1975b, p. 79) and
ILO (1976) sets a minimum subsistence income of US$50 per capita and
a poverty line of US$100 for Asia, and on that basis estimates a "destitution"
line of US$90 per capita and a "serious poverty" line of US$180 per capita per
be needed to purchase the staple basket within the particular country, but
they may be deceptive to the extent they suggest a lesser quantum of goods --
1/ It may be useful to know that these sums would be US$205 and US$340,
respectively, at 1975 prices.
2/ Similar estimates, from the same source, on the minimum nutritional needs
of the rural population of certain Latin American countries are
comparable in value to the minimum food budgets employed in the present
text for rural areas and which vary between US$65 and US$100 (1970) per
capita.
involved. For instance, they are not directly comparable with real per capita
income in the countries to which they apply when that incomne has been
country's price levels with those of the US up to the point at which they
represent the same purchasing power (Gilbert and Kravis, 1954; Kravis,
Kennessey, Heston and Summers, 1975). Even less do they represent the sums
that would be required in the U.S. to pay for an"equivalent" staple basket.
In all the Latin American countries in 1970, purchasing power parities with
the U.S. were lower than the respective exchange rates (ECLA, 1977) as a
result of lower relative price levels for the goods which make up the
power of the local currency equivalent of one dollar at the exchange rate was,
the present time by ECLA (1977). According to this second criterion, the
estimated minimum food budgets would be between US$90 and US$150 per capita
and the lines of poverty between US$160 and US$300 per capita per annum.
price levels in each country and in the U.S. Private consumption price levels
in the Latin American countries may prove to be 30 percent and even 40 percent
below the U.S. level (Braithwaite, 1968; Grunwald and Salazar, 1975).
prices, the purchasing power of the same currencies in relation to this class
baskets at the prices paid in the U.S. for goods as nearly similar as possible
resulted in food budgets of between US$240 and US$300 (1970 prices) per capita
per annum, and over US$400 for Argentina and Uruguay1/ (V. Annex D). Although
baskets, they do demonstrate that in Latin America the latter probably cost
Latin American countries may leave an impression they are too high. From the
that may be true. But the poverty lines estimated here correspond to a
of the distinction drawn by Sen (1978), these lines are more "cultural" than
local habits, and the estimation of standard minimum budgets based on actual
poverty lines have been drawn with reference to the predominant style of
living.
population of Latin America aspires -- in actual fact, and from a deep sense
1/ Compared to the $330 per capita minimum food budget covered by the
poverty line of $992 per capita per annum estimated in 1970 for a four-
person family by the U.S. Social Security Administration (1975).
- 77 -
America, is transmitted through consumer marketing, the mass media and the
to which the mass of the population in almost any Latin American country
facilitated the drawing of poverty lines based on specific norms for each
was the poverty lines applicable to urban areas that were drawn on a specific
basis; the lines applicable to the rural population were derived from the
Apart from the scant nature of the data available on levels of living in rural
areas, already referred to, it might be argued that rural communities do not
share the lifestyle seen in the cities of Latin America. This is undoubtedly
the case as far as average levels of living are concerned, but the extent of
rural emigration to urban areas demonstrates that the lifestyle which may be
reference and aspiration for the majority of the rural population. In those
exert an attraction -- though at welfare levels which are higher than the
present average -- our poverty lines will tend to overestimate the magnitude
poverty. They may also provide the starting point for closer research in each
country, but for that purpose they would of course have to be verified through
of policy, although in that case the particular Government should review the
underlying normative criteria to ascertain whether they coincide with its own
judgments.
VI
poverty, meaning that they cannot purchase the minimum basket of goods
required for the satisfaction of their basic needs, and that 20 percent of all
households live in destitution, meaning that they lack the means of buying
even the food that would provide them with a minimally adequate diet.
The reasons why per capita household consumption provides the best
Therefore, the poverty lines estimated as per capita figures for all
more household surveys conducted about 1970, are available for each of the
countries considered (V. Annex E). For some countries, it was also possible
- 79 -
level and per capita income level, and on data showing the ratio existing
differ depending on the type of income (Altimir, 1975). Such biases lead to
according to the type of income, they also affect the measurement of poverty
by income levels when they show significant bias, in an attempt to cancel out
its effects.
the incidence of poverty, provided they were reasonably reliable; these are
the surveys listed in Annex E. A number of them cover urban areas only,
although there is at least a survey having national coverage for almost all
in force during the period of reference of each survey so that they could then
poverty and destitution obtained when drawing those lines across the original
utilized, and, in the majority of cases, because they are based on total
that would be more precise and more easily compared, survey results were
for each income type were adjusted to the corresponding estimates from the
and omission in each survey. Further corrections were then made to reconcile
below the poverty line is generally lower than the proportion of households in
which total income falls below the corresponding lines of poverty per
per household figures to per capita figures may have some influence on this
direction. But what does deternine that result, in almost all the household
budget surveys analyzed, is that the households at the base of the pyramid
show more expenditure than income. Even allowing for the general
receipt of transitory income (Musgrove and Howe, 1973; Prieto Duran, 1977).
in periods of inflation. But even so, the impression lingers that consumption
is measured more accurately than income -- even after more or less general
adjustments are made to this variable -- or that income measurement does not
surveys were used as the basis for transforming distributions by income level
pyramid.
the basis for estimating the indexes of the incidence of poverty presented in
Table 12. These reveal the percentage of poor and destitute households in the
urban areas of each country examined and at the national level. The table
also slhows the percentages of incidence deduced residually for rural areas,
but, given the limited nature of the basic data and the procedures utilized,
TABLE 12
% of households % of households
below the poverty line below the destitution line
Urban Rural National Urban Rural National
Argentina 5 19 8 1 1 1
Brazil 35 73 49 15 42 25
Colombia 38 54 45 14 23 18
Costa Rica 15 30 24 5 7 6
Chile 12 25 17 3 11 6
Honduras 40 75 65 15 57 45
Mexico 20 49 34 6 18 12
Peru 28 68 50 8 39 25
Uruguay 10 --- --- 4 --- ---
Venezuela 20 36 25 6 19 10
Latin America 26 62 40 10 34 19
be said that two thirds of the population was living in poverty around 1970.
all households. In Mexico, over a third of the total population was poor,
were poor, while in Uruguay the proportion was probably lower; in Argentina,
it is very likely that less than 10 percent of the population was poor.
rural incomes are less reliable than those measuring urban incomes.
poverty included in Table 12 and derived from the incidence estimated to exist
at the national and urban levels provide a fairly good indication of the
poverty would certainly not be less than 20 percent in Argentina, Costa Rica,
a third and a half of the rural population. In Brazil and Peru, over two-
attempts have also been made to isolate the probable incidence of situations
cover even the cost of minimum food needs. The figures given in Table 12 may
be taken as relatively more reliable for urban areas than for rural areas,
where such situations are more difficult to assess using an overall yardstick.
- 84 -
the other countries, there was thought to be 5 percent destitution, the one
negligible. As a general rule, between a third and a half of the urban poor
Colombia and Peru, the number of destitute households may have amounted to and
that roughly a third of the poor were destitute. In both Costa Rica and
Argentina, only a very minor proportion of the poor were also destitute.
It would also seem from Table 12 that in countries like Honduras the
lines can be applied uniformly to all the rural areas of a country, mainly in
view of the effect that production for self-consumption can have in enabling a
problem arises from the fact that adjustments made to the original data base,
were based on general criteria that may not reflect the diversity of
destitution given in Table 12 are still an indication that in some cases the
households in Colombia, Mexico and Venezuela. Only in Costa Rice and Chile
obtained are the lowest that can result from application of the normative
standards formulated. Annex E sets out the figures that would be obtained in
the first instance if poverty lines were directly applied to the original data
them into the concept of per capita household consumption. In all cases,
these figures would give percentages of incidence of poverty higher than those
in the adjustments based on the average ratios for each type of income and
of the components omitted by the poor when reporting the size of their
incomes.
percent of the regional population. The results obtained for each of them
served as the basis for estimating functions of the incidence of poverty among
- 86 -
the urban population and in the population as a wholel, which were then
households were poor, the incidence of poverty among urban households being 26
As may be seen from Table 13, these estimates are close to those put
forward by ILO (1976) for the region as a whole. On the other hand, they are
considerably higher than those used by the World Bank (1975), which result
conditions prevailing in Asia, and which reflects standards that prove very
were almost 40 million urban poor, and, if one accepts that there were also 68
million rural poor, in the region as a whole 107 million persons -- 21 million
even with a minimum adequate diet, let alone their other basic needs.
C~~~~~~L U) 0
ol o0 C
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U
ur X X
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- 88 -
population that is poor without indicating the extent to which the incomes of
H = i1
n
But for each individual i,
9 z Yi-
an equation that defines his income gap with respect to the poverty line. The
T = 9g = q(z - m)
i=
This measure does not show the number of poor persons, but only the
aggregate income shortfall of all the poor taken as a group, or, in other
words, the total amount of income that would bring all the poor -- whatever
normalised as a percentage per capita gap which indicates the average income
T z-m
qz z
Sen (1976) has called attention to the fact that T and I are
insensitive to the distance at which the poor stand below the poverty line.
given in this text are based on grouped data, this index may prove deceptive,
since only income differences between groups of the poor could really be taken
p = i [I + (1 - I)G]
P = II x 1 - q/n(z-m/z) .
P = H x I =
n
Z-m
z
= T
nz
;
in other words, the aggregate income gap of the poor is being expressed as a
fraction of the total inccme required to maintain the entire population at the
acceptable minimum level represented by the poverty line. This index takes
into consideration both the proportion of the poor within the population (H)
indicators. Since the poverty lines represent consumption levels, and since
T the poor would need to raise themselves to the poverty level as a fraction
of aggregate consumption.
A more frequently used index relates the poverty gap T to the GNP
as Sen (1976) points out and as Anand (1977) in fact does -- the poverty gap
M = T P
nm* m*
which expresses the poverty gap as a percentage of the total income of the
non-poor:
F =
nm* - qm
- 91 -
Nevertheless, as Anand (1977) points out, these indexes are not so much
alleviate it, since they are sensitive to any change in the aggregate income
of the population above the poverty line, even though the income of the poor
national scale for each of the countries examined, in terms of the various
TABLE 14
H I P M F
minimum levels of purchasing power that would enable them to satisfy their
financing. Secondly, allowance would have to be made for the size of the
efficiency. In the third place, allowance would have to be made for the
diversions which may well prove less effective in satisfying their basic needs
over the longer terunJ/. When general policy measures that call for indirect
action are being considered, thought would likewise have to be given to the
proportion of the resources mobilized for those measures that benefit other
which afflicts the poor, so that they consequently given no indication of the
size of the social resources that would have to be applied in providing such
services.
all the countries in question, the poor as a group have an average purchasing
power from 40 to 55 percent below the poverty line. Only in Argentina, where
the national incidence of poverty (H) is considerably less than that observed
25 percent.
its average depth (I), shows that in some countries (Brazil, Colombia,
Honduras, Peru) the aggregate income gap of the poor amounts to between 20 and
30 percent of the total income the poor as a group would need to put them
uniformly at the level of the poverty line. In others (Costa Rica, Mexico),
even more significantly, of the total household income of the non-poor (F),
than 10 percent of the income of the non-poor. Even in Mexico, and also in
Costa Rica, this indicator is around five percent. In countries with a lower
incidence of poverty, the aggregate poverty gap is still less: a little over
two percent in Chile and Venezuela, and below one percent in Argentina.
services.
that allow for a dignified existence and for participation in the predominant
style of living.
- 95 -
of the problem when viewed from the standpoint of a relative definition which
each society.
such important facets of the problem in each country as: how much inequality
there is in absolute poverty; how far the norms of basic needs satisfaction
lie from average resource availability in that country; the extent to which
existing inequalities may give rise to relative deprivation that goes beyond
in each country has been used to draw lines of relative poverty according to
defined as less than half the average per capita income of all households.
usually have an income five times the average. The results obtained are set
defined according to absolute norms. Even in those countries with the highest
number of households regarded as poor by between two and five percent. Where
households that would fall below the relative norm, linked, as it is, to the
TABLE 15
Argentina 27 28
Brazil 52 54
Colombia 43 48
Costa Rica 34 36
Chile 38 39
Honduras 40 58
Mexico 44 48
Peru 34 48
Uruguay 25 --
Venezuela 37 38
severe.
half of the social pyramid and the rest of it. In the countries where those
inequalities are greater, half the population live below the relative norm,
and in the remaining countries -- with the exception of Argentina, and perhaps
average urban income. It will be observed from Table 15 that, in almost all
norm. Only in the urban areas of Brazil can somewhat over half the population
Annex A
Table A-1
Table A-2
Children
1-3 16 23
4-6 20 29
7-9 25 35
Adolescent males
10-12 30 43
13-15 37 53
16-19 38 54
Adolescent females
10-12 29 41
13-15 31 45
16-19 30 43
Adult males 37 53
Adult females 29 41
Supplement pregnant woman 5.5 7.9
Supplement nursing mother 17 24.3
b/ Assumed that the quality of the protein obtained from the diet in
the Latin American countries is about 70 percent of that obtained
from milk or eggs.
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Annex e
ESTIMATES OF THE INCIDENCE OF POVERTY AROUND 1970, BY COINTRY, BASED ON ORIGINAL PATA_/
OBTAINED FROM AVAILABLE HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS
(percentages of ill households covered by each survey)
Chile Encoesta Nacionai sobre Ingresos Fa=iliares INE N 196R 29.5 Q.,
U I%6R 16.6 4.2
AM 1960 9.9 I.
Encoesta de Fresupoestos Fa=ilJares INE/ECIEL AM IQ68 8.2 1.6 0.7 1.1
Mexico Estodis de InBresos y Gastos de las Fa=iliaa FCOYFX.SA N 1067 39.0 15.6 0O.1t'/ s oe/
I 1967 24.0 5.7
Per. Encuesta do Presopoestos Familiares CISEPA/ECIEL AM 1968 17.7 4.5 12.4 1.q
Encuenta do Hogares OTEMO U 1970 31.8 14. 3
At 1970 23.7 7.2
Encoenta Nacianal do Conoomo de Ali.eetos ENCA N 1072 60.1 30.7
1! 1972 36.7 14.R
AM 1972 19.2 2.H 20.8 6.0 17.° 1.0
Veoezuela Encoesta do Presopaestos Faxiliares BCY/ECIEL AM 1966 5.6 0.0 9.6 1.2
Estodio del Mercado Real de Vivienda
ax Vexe.oela BNA y P U 1970 22.3 7.8
A.M 1970 10.3 3.0
Eac.eeta de Hogares DGEC N 1971 28.R 10.5 28.0 11.7
b/ N - entire country; U - total popalation or all orhan areao in the country; AM - oetropolit.n area of capital or cqnctrys m-in rban nucleas;
(N)CP - (nomber of) major cities In the country; (NA) - non-agricultural popolation.
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