Professional Documents
Culture Documents
July/March 2017/18
Preface
The External Position of the Egyptian Economy Report is a series
produced by the Economic Research Sector in the Central Bank of
Egypt (CBE). The report tracks, on a quarterly basis, the international
transactions that the Egyptian economy conducts with the rest of the
world. It relies, for this purpose, on the national statistics that are
regularly compiled in line with the SDDS prescriptions.
Table of Contents
Page
Overview
Appendix I
1- Balance of Payments 19
2- International Investment Position (IIP) 21
3 3- Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey
(CPIS) 22
4- NIR & NFA at Banks 23
5- External Debt by Type 24
6- External Debt Indicators 25
7- External Debt by Debtor 26
8- Foreign Exchange Rates 27
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position
Appendix II
A- Outstanding External Debt 31-42
B- Outstanding External Debt By Currency 43
C- Disbursed and Undisbursed Amounts for
Signed Loans & Deposits 44
D- Projected Medium- and Long-Term Public
and Publicly Guaranteed External Debt
Service 45-56
E- Projected Short-Term Debt 57
Appendix III
Box. (1): Egypt's Subscription to SDDS and
Data Quality Dimensions 61
Box. (2): Egypt's Data Quality Dimensions 62
Box. (3): Doing Business in Egypt 63
Box. (4): Tourism Sector Performance 64
Glossary 65
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position
Overview
Aiming to place Egypt's external and liabilities achieved a net outflow
position on a more sustainable of about US$ 8.5 billion.
footing and encourage foreign Egypt’s International Investment
investors back to the country, the
CBE decided on 3 November 2016 to Position (IIP) at end of March 2018
recorded net external liabilities
unpeg the Egyptian pound, allowing (assets minus liabilities) of about
its value to float. Accordingly, bid
and ask exchange rates would be US$ 144.7 billion, up by 10.5 percent
compared to end of June 2017.
determined by forces of demand and
supply. By floating the pound, the Net International Reserves (NIR)
Central Bank would eventually be increased by US$ 11.3 billion to
able to fully dismantle FX reach US$ 42.6 billion, thus covering
restrictions, reducing disruptions to 8.2 months of merchandise imports at
activity. Such a courageous move end of March 2018.
aims to quash the currency parallel
market and attract the much-needed The increase was a result of the
foreign capital. rise in foreign currencies by about
US$ 11.1 billion and of gold by
This Decision helped replenish US$ 0.2 billion. During the Report’s
international reserves through the preparation, NIR reached US$ 44.3
official market. billion at end of July 2018.
Egypt's transactions with the Banks’ net foreign assets increased
external world recorded an overall by around US$ 1.0 billion during
BOP surplus of about US$ 5.6 July/March 2017/2018.
billion during the first half of FY
2017/2018 (against about US$ 7.0 Foreign currency deposits with
billion in the corresponding period). banks increased by 2.4 percent during
The current account deficit the period concerned, reaching US$
narrowed by 64.0 percent to about 39.4 billion at end of March 2018. As
US$ 3.4 billion (from about US$ 9.4 a percentage of total deposits, they
billion). The capital and financial made up 23.7 percent.
account recorded a net inflow of
about US$ 10.4 billion (against about Total external debt recorded US$
US$ 18.7 billion). 88.2 billion at end of March 2018, up
by 11.6 percent (compared with
The decline in the current ac- about US$ 79.0 billion at end of June
count deficit was mainly traceable
to the following developments: the 2017).
services surplus surged by 138.2 The external debt remains within
percent, recording about US$ 7.8 manageable limits, and its position
billion, net unrequited current continues to have a favorable struc-
transfers scaled up by 23.2 percent to ture, as 87.0 percent of the debt are
about US$ 19.5 billion, the trade medium- and long-term.
deficit narrowed by 1.3 percent to
about US$ 28.0 billion, and the The weighted average of the inter-
income balance ran a deficit of about bank foreign exchange market rate
US$ 4.7 billion. revealed that the Egyptian pound
The capital and financial account interbank rate appreciated by 2.5
revealed the following develop- percent during July/March
ments: the net inflows of FDI in 2017/2018, as the EGP reached
Egypt registered about US$ 6.0 17.6441 per US dollar at end of
billion, portfolio investment in Egypt March 2018, against EGP 18.0911
accelerated, registering a net inflow per US dollar at end of June 2017.
of US$ 14.9 billion, and other assets
Section I
BOP Performance
transfers scaled up by 23.2 percent oil exports non-oil exports oil imports
non-oil imports trade balance
to about US$ 19.5 billion (versus
about US$ 15.9 billion), the trade
deficit narrowed by 1.3 percent to The following charts illustrate the
distribution of commodity exports by
about US$ 28.0 billion (from about degree of processing and imports by
US$ 28.4 billion), and the income degree of use during July/March
balance ran a deficit of about US$ 2017/18.
4.7 billion.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 2
Financial sector
2.1%
Tourism sector 0.4%
Services Sector
11.8% Communication sector
3.9%
Petroleum sector
66.3%
Other Services
2.9%
Assets Liabilities Net IIP The increase was mainly due to the
Source: Appendix I, table (2). following developments:
- Reserve assets increased by 36.8
Egypt's preliminary IIP data at end percent to about US$ 41.9 billion.
of March 2018, showed an increase
in both Egypt's total assets and - Other investment assets increased
liabilities compared to the position at by about 8.3 percent, to reach
end of June 2017, to record net about US$ 28.9 billion.
liabilities of about US$ 144.7 billion - Foreign direct investments
versus US$ 131.0 billion. increased by 2.7 percent to about
US$ 7.5 billion.
- However, portfolio investments
abroad decreased by 13.2 percent
to about US$ 1.5 billion.
External Liquidity
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 9
External Liquidity
A-Net International Reserves (NIR) During the Report’s preparation, NIR
The remarkable improvements in the reached US$ 44.3 billion at end of
banking system's financial position July 2018.
by foreign currency led to the steady
(US$ mn)
accumulation of foreign currency
reserves through the formal channels. June March
End of
2017 2018
During July/March 2017/2018, NIR Net International
remained on the rise, increasing by Reserves (1-2) 31305 42611
1- Gross Official Reserves 31307 42614
US$ 11.3 billion (against US$ 11.0
Gold 2602 2825
billion in the corresponding period a SDRs 770 749
year earlier) to reach US$ 42.6 Foreign Currencies 27904 39018
billion, thus covering 8.2 months of Loans to IMF 31 22
merchandise imports at end of March 2- Reserve Liabilities 2 3
2018. Reserves/Months of
Imports 6.6 8.2
Chart (1): NIR & Months of Imports Covered
Foreign currency deposits with banks Chart (3): Developments in Deposits by Local and
increased by 2.4 percent during the LE bn
Foreign Currencies
(End of the Month) %
period concerned, reaching US$ 39.4 3500.0 35.0
External Debt
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 11
External Debt
External debt recorded US$ 88.2 By residual maturity1, medium- and
billion at end of March 2018, up by long-term external debt decreased to
11.6 percent (compared with about represent 72.2 percent of the total
US$ 79.0 billion at end of June debt. In comparison, they accounted
2017). This increase came as a result for 87.0 percent of the total by
of the rise in net disbursements of original maturity. Meanwhile, short-
loans and facilities by US$ 7.4 term debt showed an increase, as it
billion, alongside the depreciation of represented 27.8 percent, compared
most currencies of borrowing versus to 13.0 percent classified by original
the US dollar by US$ 1.7 billion. maturity.
________________________
Including the Liquidity Support Facility (LSF)
from China Development Bank (CDB) to CBE .
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 13
Chart (4)
Other important currencies ac- External Debt by creditor
counted for 32.8 percent of the total End of March 2018
Kuwaiti Japanese
dinar yen
Other
currencies
E- Breakdown by Debtor
2.8% 2.7%
1.6%
Chinese
The structure of Egypt’s external
yuan debt by debtor reveals that:
3.2%
US dollar
- Central and local government
SDRs
10.2% 65.6% remains the main debtor, with a
Euro share of 49.6 percent of external
13.9%
debt at end of March 2018. Its
debt increased by US$ 8.9 billion
D- Breakdown by Creditor to amount to US$ 43.8 billion.
Distribution by creditor country - Banks' external debt increased by
indicates that 25.7 percent was owed about US$ 1.2 billion to US$ 5.3
to Arab countries (mainly Saudi billion.
Arabia, UAE, and Kuwait), and that
30.7 percent was owed to - Other sectors' debt increased by
international organizations** (mainly about US$ 2.0 billion to US$ 11.8
IBRD 10.1 percent, IMF 8.6 percent, billion.
ADF & AFDB 3.0 percent, and EIB - However, the monetary authority's
2.8 percent). Meanwhile, 16.4 external debt decreased by about
percent of Egypt's external debt with US$ 3.0 billion to US$ 27.3
a value of US$ 14.5 billion came billion at end of March 2018.
from five members of Paris Club
countries; namely Germany (8.6 Chart (5)
External Debt by Debtor
percent), Japan (2.6 percent), France % End of
(2.3 percent), USA (1.6 percent), and 100
__________________________________ 15
* For more indicators, refer to appendix I,
table No. 6.
** Source: World & Regional Economic Outlook 5
Reports, April 2018, and CBE database. 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018
*** Debt-Service Ratio: The ratio of debt service
(interest and principal payments due) during a Debt Service/ Current Receipts (including transfers)
year, expressed as a percentage of exports Debt Service/ Exports of Goods and Services
(typically of goods and services) for that year.
This ratio is considered to be a key indicator of
a country’s debt burden.
Section V
_________________________
1
The inter-bank foreign exchange market was
launched in Egypt in December 2004.
Section VI
Statistics
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position
Appendix I
Table Page
I- Balance of Payments
V- External Debt
(US$ mn)
July /March
2016/2017* 2017/2018*
Trade Balance -28363.3 -28003.4
Exports** 15994.0 18810.9
Petroleum 4656.6 6014.1
Other Exports 11337.4 12796.8
Imports** -44357.3 -46814.3
Petroleum -8528.8 -9394.6
Other Imports -35828.5 -37419.7
Services Balance 3291.1 7838.8
Receipts 10319.3 15784.5
Transportation 5481.5 6384.5
of which: Suez Canal 3716.6 4158.2
Travel 2840.7 7250.6
Government receipts 191.3 433.3
Other 1805.8 1716.1
Payments 7028.2 7945.7
Transportation 931.5 1102.5
Travel 2189.7 1703.4
Government Expenditures 700.1 1227.5
Other 3206.9 3912.3
Income Balance -3318.7 -4703.9
Income receipts 305.3 624.7
Income payments 3624.0 5328.6
of which: Interest paid 888.6 1216.9
Transfers (Net) 15872.1 19548.4
Private Transfers (Net) 15789.6 19454.9
of which: Workers' Remittances 15891.3 19536.9
Official Transfers (Net) 82.5 93.5
Current Account Balance -12518.8 -5320.1
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 20
(US$ mn)
July /March
2016/2017* 2017/2018*
Capital & Financial Account 27076.4 19044.6
Capital Account -98.6 -118.3
Financial Account 27175.0 19162.9
Direct Investment Abroad -147.7 -200.0
Direct Investment in Egypt (Net) 6565.0 6019.2
Portfolio Investment Abroad (Net) 178.7 -25.1
Portfolio Investment in Egypt (Net) 7801.2 14924.7
of which: Bonds 3190.2 3191.4
Other Investment (Net) 12777.8 -1555.9
Net Borrowing 9669.9 6949.4
M&L-Term Loans (Net) 5166.5 4297.2
Drawings 7137.8 6045.9
Repayments -1971.3 -1748.7
MT-Suppliers' Credit (Net) 2167.2 532.6
Drawings 2247.5 683.8
Repayments -80.3 -151.2
ST-Suppliers' Credit (Net) 2336.2 2119.6
Other Assets -5635.4 -5200.2
Central Bank -1997.8 -59.8
Banks -3091.9 -857.3
Other -545.7 -4283.1
Other Liabilities 8743.3 -3305.1
Central Bank 7737.4 -3348.1
Banks 1005.9 43.0
Net Errors & Omissions -3572.9 -2756.8
Overall Balance 10984.7 10967.7
Change in CBE Reserve Assets ,Increase(-) -10984.7 -10967.7
* Preliminary.
** Include free zones exports and imports.
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 21
Table (3) Egypt's Coordinated Portofolio Investement Survey (CPIS) at end of March 2018
(US$ mn)
Country of non-resident issuers Equities long-term debt securities short-term debt securities Total
Net International Reserves (1-2) 20082 16561 17546 28526 31305 42611
Loans to IMF 63 52 47 36 31 22
2- Reserve Liabilities 22 25 24 19 2 3
Banks' Net Foreign Assets 3481 -2636 -4844 -2798 3171 4127
23
Liabilities 7969 12789 14130 15136 15575 15617
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Table (5) External Debt by Type
(US$ mn)
24
*
The difference from World Bank data is in short-term debt .
**
According to the agreement signed with Paris Club countries on May 25, 1991.
Table (6) External Debt Indicators
External Debt /GDP* (at current market prices) % 14.8 11.9 15.9 31.5 36.8
External Debt / Exports (G&S) (annually) % 103.4 88.4 147.7 210.1 194.3
Short-term Debt / Net International Reserves % 15.9 19.4 41.3 44.2 27.0
**
Debt Service (Principal & Interest) (US$ mn.) 2669.1 5193.6 4221.7 4986.8 10965.1
External Debt per Capita (US$) 497.9 425.8 549.3 705.0 841.2
25
+ Provisional
* The GDP for the year ended in each quarter is calculated according to the quarterly data provided by the Ministry of planning,
Monitoring and Adminstrative Reform. It is evaluated in US dollar according to the average exchange rate during the same period.
** Includes interest payments on US dollar-denominated bonds and notes holding by nonresidents
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 26
(US$ mn)
* *
End of June 2017 % March 2018 % Change +/ (-) %
27
* The interbank rates were launched on December 23, 2004.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position
Appendix II
Table Page
I- Outstanding External Debt
Outstanding Stock ……………………………………………………….. 1 31
Outstanding Stock by Creditor Country ………………………………….. 2 33
- Medium- and Long-Term Public & Publicly Guaranteed External
Debt By Creditor:
a. Rescheduled Debt…………………………………………………... 3 35
b. Non-Rescheduled Debt………………………………...................... 4 36
c. Multilateral Institutions…………………………………………….. 5 37
d. Bonds & Notes …………………………………....………………. 6 39
e. Deposits……………………………………………………………. 7 40
- Medium- and Long-Term Private Sector Non-Guaranteed External
Debt by Creditor Country. ……………………………………...……… 8 41
- Short-Term External Debt ……………………………………...……… 9 42
II- Outstanding External Debt By Currency…….………………………… 10 43
III- Disbursed and Undisbursed Amounts for Signed Loans & Deposits…. 11 44
IV- Projected Medium- and Long-Term Public and Publicly External
Debt Service………………………………………………………………. 12 45
a- Rescheduled Debt ………………………………………….…............... 13 47
b- Non-Rescheduled Debt………… ……………………………………... 14 48
c- Multilateral Institutions………………………………………................. 15 49
d- Bonds & Notes:
- Sovereign Notes……………………………………………………... 16 51
- Euro bonds…………………………………………………………... 17 52
e- Deposits
- Medium- and Long-Term Deposits for Kuwait..…………………..... 18 53
- Medium- and Long-Term Deposits for Libya..……………………... 19 54
- Medium- and Long-Term Deposits for Saudi Arabia……………….. 20 55
- Medium- and Long-Term Deposits for United Arab Emirates……… 21 56
V- Projected Short-Term Debt……………………………………………… 22 57
VI- Exchange Rates of the Currencies of External Debt Versus US Dollar... 23 58
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 31
Table ( 1 )
(US$ million)
Total Debt
2015 2016 2017 2018
1- Medium-and Long-Term Public
& Publicly Guaranteed Debt 36,860.56 46,583.28 61,128.79 76,258.30
A. Rescheduled Debt 6,179.68 5,182.45 4,166.99 3,870.80
(1)
B. Non Rescheduled Debt 6,054.28 9,176.72 11,216.72 15,540.93
(2)
C. Multilateral Institutions 12,050.97 13,810.12 21,174.46 27,020.68
D. Bonds &Notes 3,575.63 3,513.99 6,683.22 12,175.89
1-Guaranteed Notes 1,250.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2-Sovereign Notes 825.63 798.82 978.22 977.78
3-Saudi Bond 500.00 500.00 500.00 0.00
4-Euro-Medium Term Notes ( E.M.T.N.) 1,000.00 1,000.00 0.00 0.00
(3)
5- Euro-bond 0.00 1,215.17 5,205.00 11,198.11
(4)
E. Deposits 9,000.00 14,900.00 17,887.40 17,650.00
2- Medium and Long-Term
Private Sector Non-Guaranteed 25.00 25.44 155.51 400.72
3- Short-Term Debt 2,967.58 6,836.15 12,604.26 11,504.88
(5)
Currency and Deposits (Non-Residents) 1,238.66 4,545.41 4,374.78 3,947.07
Trade Credits 1,717.92 1,526.24 2,781.83 3,783.35
Loans 11.00 764.50 3,447.65 674.46
Repo 0.00 0.00 2,000.00 3,100.00
Grand Total 39,853.14 53,444.87 73,888.56 88,163.90
Using end of period exchange rate.
(1) Includes US$ 7,878.33 million buyer credits and US$ 1,000 million representing China facility agreement and US$ 5.32 million Supplier credits.
(2) Includes US$ 6,248.29 million representing extended fund facility by IMF ( First Tranch amounted SDR 1,970.05 million, Second Tranch amounted SDR 895.48 million,
Third Tranch amounted SDR 1,432.76 million) and US$ 1,306.05 million representing SDR allocation by IMF to its member countries, Egypt’s share is SDR 898.45 million.
(3) Representing Euro-bond with nominal value US$ 12,500 million (non-residents' subscriptions amounted US$ 11,198.11 million) .
(4) Representing Saudi, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait & Libya deposits amounted to US$ 7500, 5900, 4000 and 250 million respectively .
(5) Includes US$ 2862.06 million representing Chinese Currency Swap Arrangement .
Figure 1-1
External Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
( US$bn )
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
2015 2016 2017 2018
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Figure 1-2
Deposits
20.02% Bonds & Notes
13.81%
32
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 33
Table ( 2 )
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
(1)
(US$ million)
Total Debt
Creditor Countries
Germany 2,726.64 3,378.03 4,665.23 7,338.35
Japan 2,231.77 2,258.29 2,226.02 2,306.46
China 332.29 1,951.17 1,926.52 2,165.62
France 1,526.64 1,227.24 1,085.28 1,760.73
United States 2,026.01 1,761.16 1,490.28 1,207.34
Italy 350.57 347.47 511.99 997.43
Kuwait 915.89 929.37 933.26 995.92
Saudi Arabia 106.03 121.55 439.54 747.94
United Arab Emirates 40.83 590.78 632.71 683.06
United Kingdom 62.68 34.00 265.34 263.92
Spain 313.11 245.88 192.29 262.15
Bahrain 0.00 253.51 242.33 260.81
Belgium 20.20 12.43 47.20 102.68
Denmark 150.20 132.71 102.65 101.74
Austria 115.95 67.89 66.00 72.69
The Netherlands 63.69 64.88 57.46 60.33
Canada 76.56 52.87 37.89 36.00
Qatar 0.00 48.14 34.67 25.88
Switzerland 127.60 62.41 22.96 18.78
Finland 0.00 1.91 2.95 3.01
Norway 2.60 1.67 1.07 0.83
Sweden 7.41 2.83 0.07 0.06
Turkey 1,000.00 800.00 400.00 0.00
Australia 37.29 12.98 0.00 0.00
Medium and Long-Term Private Sector Non-Guaranteed 25.00 25.44 155.51 400.72
Short-Term Debt 2,967.58 6,836.15 12,604.26 11,504.88
African Export - Import Bank 0.00 3,200.00 3,200.00 0.00
Currency Swap Agreement (China) 0.00 0.00 2,612.09 2,862.06
REPO Transactions 0.00 0.00 2,000.00 3,100.00
Arab Trade Financing Program 0.00 0.00 29.62 139.99
Others 2,967.58 3,636.15 4,762.55 5,402.83
Deposits
20.02%
Multilateral Institutions
30.65%
Bonds &Notes
13.81%
Japan
2.62%
Short-Term Debt
Germany 13.05%
8.32%
Others
China France 7.07%
2.46% 2.00%
34
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 35
Table ( 3 )
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt By Creditor Country
Rescheduled Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
(US$ million)(1)
Total Debt
Country
2015 2016 2017 2018
8.0
6.0
( US$bn )
4.0
2.0
0.0
2015 2016 2017 2018
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 36
Table ( 4 )
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt By Creditor Country
Non-Rescheduled Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
(US$ million)(1)
Total Debt
Country
2015 2016 2017 2018
Figure 4
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt
Non-Rescheduled Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
20.0
15.0
( US$bn )
10.0
5.0
0.0
2015 2016 2017 2018
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 37
Table ( 5 )
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt
Multilateral Institutions
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
(US$ million)(1)
Total Debt
Creditor
2015 2016 2017 2018
Figure 5-1
Medium and Long-Term
Public & Publicly Guaranteed External Debt
Multilateral Institutions
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
30.0
25.0
( US$bn )
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
2015 2016 2017 2018
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Figure 5 - 2
IMF
27.96%
IBRD
32.88%
I.D.A
2.65%
38
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 39
Table ( 6 )
Bonds & Notes
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
(US$ million)
Total Debt
2015 2016 2017 2018
Figure 6
14.0
12.0
10.0
( US$bn )
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2015 2016 2017 2018
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 40
Table ( 7 )
Medium and Long-Term
Deposits
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
(US$ million)
Total Debt
Country
2015 2016 2017 2018
Figure 7
20
15
( US$bn )
10
0
2015 2016 2017 2018
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 41
Table ( 8 )
Medium and Long-Term
Private Sector Non-Guaranteed External Debt By Creditor Country
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
(US$ million)(1)
Total Debt
Country
2015 2016 2017 2018
Figure 8
450.0
400.0
350.0
300.0
( US$mn )
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
2015 2016 2017 2018
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 42
Table ( 9 )
Short-Term Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
(US$ million)(1)
Total Debt
2015 2016 2017 2018
(2)
Currency and Deposits (Non-Residents) 1,238.66 4,545.41 4,374.78 3,947.07
Figure 9
Short-Term Debt
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
14
12
10
( US$bn )
8
6
4
2
0
2015 2016 2017 2018
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 43
Table ( 10 )
Outstanding Stock as at End of March
Total Debt
Currency
2015 2016 2017 2018
Table ( 11 )
Medium and Long-Term
Disbursed and Undisbursed Amounts for Signed Loans and Deposits
from 1/04/2015 to 31/03/2018
(US$ million)(1)
Signed Amount Disbursed Undisbursed
1- Medium and Long-Term Public
& Publicly Guaranteed Debt 42,689.88 35,174.31 7,436.17
18,000.0
16,000.0
14,000.0
( US$mn )
12,000.0
10,000.0
8,000.0
6,000.0
4,000.0
2,000.0
0.0
Non-Rescheduled Debt Multilateral Institutions Deposits Private Sector Non-
Guaranteed Debt
Table ( 12 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Public & Publicly Guaranteed
External Debt Service
as of April 1, 2018
(US$ million)(1)
Period Principal Interest Total Period Principal Interest Total
2018/H1 3183.69 390.30 3,573.99 2036/H2 184.31 215.40 399.72
2018/H2 6122.71 1131.48 7,254.19 2037/H1 171.79 213.30 385.09
2019/H1 4201.32 1087.62 5,288.95 2037/H2 167.18 211.59 378.77
2019/H2 5549.29 993.50 6,542.79 2038/H1 144.15 209.68 353.83
2020/H1 4671.51 930.85 5,602.36 2038/H2 114.88 208.29 323.18
2020/H2 1847.73 865.86 2,713.58 2039/H1 99.46 206.92 306.38
2021/H1 2846.74 831.94 3,678.67 2039/H2 97.49 205.95 303.44
2021/H2 2840.55 798.66 3,639.21 2040/H1 467.88 204.84 672.72
2022/H1 4124.67 755.90 4,880.57 2040/H2 93.33 191.03 284.36
2022/H2 2816.76 657.81 3,474.57 2041/H1 89.41 189.81 279.22
2023/H1 3106.15 625.26 3,731.41 2041/H2 88.98 188.92 277.89
2023/H2 2994.42 574.72 3,569.14 2042/H1 83.62 187.77 271.39
2024/H1 1880.13 529.85 2,409.98 2042/H2 77.43 186.91 264.33
2024/H2 1765.03 513.07 2,278.10 2043/H1 74.51 185.84 260.35
2025/H1 2697.53 491.97 3,189.50 2043/H2 73.15 185.05 258.20
2025/H2 1703.74 450.12 2,153.86 2044/H1 70.10 184.10 254.20
2026/H1 1687.89 450.32 2,138.21 2044/H2 69.89 183.27 253.17
2026/H2 1671.01 419.72 2,090.73 2045/H1 69.59 182.24 251.82
2027/H1 2919.84 402.98 3,322.82 2045/H2 69.59 181.46 251.05
2027/H2 1185.00 330.08 1,515.08 2046/H1 68.73 180.45 249.18
2028/H1 1954.51 318.75 2,273.27 2046/H2 66.24 179.68 245.92
2028/H2 775.61 274.98 1,050.59 2047/H1 2565.00 178.68 2,743.68
2029/H1 720.03 266.60 986.63 2047/H2 64.89 71.67 136.56
2029/H2 674.29 260.45 934.73 2048/H1 1564.23 70.72 1,634.95
2030/H1 486.74 253.76 740.51 2048/H2 62.94 10.65 73.59
2030/H2 378.00 249.57 627.57 2049/H1 54.74 9.67 64.41
2031/H1 341.68 245.91 587.58 2049/H2 54.74 9.00 63.74
2031/H2 333.72 242.73 576.45 2050/H1 54.45 8.11 62.56
2032/H1 327.68 239.62 567.30 2050/H2 52.19 7.43 59.63
2032/H2 319.54 236.44 555.98 2051/H1 36.49 6.58 43.06
2033/H1 289.93 232.90 522.84 2051/H2 34.59 6.15 40.74
2033/H2 278.90 230.20 509.10 2052/H1 19.89 0.61 20.50
2034/H1 274.61 227.39 502.00 2052/H2 17.59 0.29 17.89
2034/H2 262.65 224.85 487.50 2053/H1 0.58 0.01 0.59
2035/H1 252.06 222.21 474.28 2053/H2 0.58 0.00 0.58
2035/H2 242.40 219.82 462.21 2054/H1 0.58 0.00 0.58
2036/H1 199.01 217.36 416.37
(2) (3)
Grand Total 74,952.25 21,857.59 96,809.84
(1) The exchange rate of March 31, 2018 .
(2) Excludes US$ 1306.05 million representing SDR allocation by IMF to its member countries, Egypt’s share is SDR 898.45 MN.
(3) Includes US$ 336.96 million representing forecast interest of SDR allocation.
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Figure 12
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
46
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 47
Table ( 13 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Public & Publicly Guaranteed
External Debt Service as of April 1, 2018
Rescheduled Debt
(US$ million)(1)
Table ( 14 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Public & Publicly Guaranteed
External Debt Service as of April 1, 2018
Non-Rescheduled Debt
(US$ million)(1)
Period Principal Interest Total Period Principal Interest Total
2018/H1 563.31 62.48 625.79 2036/H2 36.75 1.52 38.27
2018/H2 611.97 184.66 796.64 2037/H1 34.29 1.38 35.67
2019/H1 624.34 168.56 792.89 2037/H2 31.89 1.24 33.14
2019/H2 775.39 165.81 941.20 2038/H1 29.86 1.12 30.98
2020/H1 702.42 145.09 847.51 2038/H2 25.11 1.00 26.11
2020/H2 943.42 140.61 1084.03 2039/H1 21.57 0.91 22.48
2021/H1 682.62 117.39 800.01 2039/H2 20.93 0.84 21.77
2021/H2 724.94 112.98 837.92 2040/H1 19.82 0.76 20.59
2022/H1 644.29 95.34 739.63 2040/H2 19.37 0.69 20.06
2022/H2 669.15 90.95 760.10 2041/H1 18.01 0.62 18.63
2023/H1 665.55 76.59 742.14 2041/H2 17.58 0.55 18.13
2023/H2 742.10 71.50 813.60 2042/H1 15.50 0.49 16.00
2024/H1 639.00 56.14 695.14 2042/H2 13.46 0.44 13.89
2024/H2 541.26 51.67 592.93 2043/H1 13.37 0.39 13.75
2025/H1 517.78 42.97 560.76 2043/H2 12.50 0.34 12.84
2025/H2 499.27 41.34 540.61 2044/H1 9.95 0.29 10.24
2026/H1 471.64 33.80 505.44 2044/H2 9.74 0.26 10.00
2026/H2 479.59 32.38 511.97 2045/H1 9.43 0.23 9.66
2027/H1 469.09 26.28 495.36 2045/H2 9.43 0.19 9.62
2027/H2 466.58 24.24 490.82 2046/H1 8.58 0.15 8.73
2028/H1 416.52 18.93 435.44 2046/H2 6.09 0.13 6.21
2028/H2 413.51 16.75 430.25 2047/H1 4.85 0.10 4.95
2029/H1 390.02 12.64 402.66 2047/H2 4.73 0.09 4.82
2029/H2 362.05 10.15 372.20 2048/H1 4.33 0.07 4.40
2030/H1 198.21 7.06 205.27 2048/H2 4.16 0.05 4.21
2030/H2 119.16 5.97 125.13 2049/H1 1.90 0.04 1.95
2031/H1 96.76 5.27 102.03 2049/H2 1.88 0.03 1.92
2031/H2 90.85 4.83 95.68 2050/H1 1.59 0.03 1.62
2032/H1 89.93 4.41 94.33 2050/H2 1.57 0.02 1.59
2032/H2 85.49 3.99 89.48 2051/H1 0.58 0.02 0.60
2033/H1 69.85 3.36 73.21 2051/H2 0.58 0.01 0.59
2033/H2 67.30 3.07 70.37 2052/H1 0.58 0.01 0.59
2034/H1 65.82 2.79 68.61 2052/H2 0.58 0.01 0.59
2034/H2 63.14 2.52 65.66 2053/H1 0.58 0.01 0.59
2035/H1 61.87 2.24 64.11 2053/H2 0.58 0.00 0.58
2035/H2 54.20 1.98 56.18 2054/H1 0.58 0.00 0.58
2036/H1 50.27 1.74 52.00
Grand Total 15,540.93 1,862.49 17,403.42
(1) The exchange rate of March 31, 2018 .
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 49
Table ( 15 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Public & Publicly Guaranteed
External Debt Service as of April 1, 2018
Multilateral Institutions
(US$ million)(1)
Period Principal Interest Total Period Principal Interest Total
2018/H1 935.49 129.93 1065.41 2035/H2 188.20 39.52 227.72
2018/H2 1104.53 272.17 1376.70 2036/H1 148.74 37.31 186.05
2019/H1 835.81 254.03 1089.84 2036/H2 147.67 35.56 183.23
2019/H2 1361.86 241.86 1603.72 2037/H1 137.60 33.61 171.21
2020/H1 614.34 227.35 841.68 2037/H2 135.29 32.03 167.32
2020/H2 586.23 219.12 805.35 2038/H1 114.30 30.24 144.54
2021/H1 843.68 212.34 1056.02 2038/H2 89.78 28.98 118.75
2021/H2 820.91 202.17 1023.08 2039/H1 77.98 27.70 105.68
2022/H1 1103.50 195.82 1299.32 2039/H2 76.56 26.80 103.36
2022/H2 1084.22 184.19 1268.42 2040/H1 75.94 25.76 101.70
2023/H1 1103.71 173.71 1277.41 2040/H2 73.96 24.82 98.78
2023/H2 1083.87 163.26 1247.13 2041/H1 71.40 23.67 95.07
2024/H1 1070.31 153.21 1223.52 2041/H2 71.40 22.84 94.24
2024/H2 1055.29 142.98 1198.27 2042/H1 68.13 21.76 89.89
2025/H1 1037.07 132.56 1169.63 2042/H2 63.97 20.95 84.92
2025/H2 1030.80 123.00 1153.80 2043/H1 61.14 19.93 81.07
2026/H1 1040.02 132.80 1172.81 2043/H2 60.65 19.19 79.84
2026/H2 1016.05 105.78 1121.83 2044/H1 60.15 18.28 78.43
2027/H1 747.84 97.10 844.94 2044/H2 60.15 17.49 77.64
2027/H2 718.42 90.09 808.51 2045/H1 60.15 16.49 76.64
2028/H1 401.49 84.08 485.57 2045/H2 60.15 15.75 75.90
2028/H2 362.10 79.92 442.03 2046/H1 60.15 14.77 74.92
2029/H1 330.01 75.65 405.66 2046/H2 60.15 14.03 74.18
2029/H2 312.24 71.98 384.22 2047/H1 60.15 13.05 73.21
2030/H1 288.54 68.39 356.92 2047/H2 60.16 12.31 72.47
2030/H2 258.84 65.28 324.13 2048/H1 59.88 11.39 71.27
2031/H1 244.91 62.32 307.24 2048/H2 58.79 10.60 69.39
2031/H2 242.87 59.59 302.46 2049/H1 52.86 9.63 62.49
2032/H1 237.75 56.90 294.65 2049/H2 52.86 8.97 61.82
2032/H2 234.05 54.13 288.18 2050/H1 52.86 8.08 60.94
2033/H1 220.08 51.23 271.32 2050/H2 50.61 7.41 58.02
2033/H2 211.61 48.81 260.42 2051/H1 35.91 6.56 42.47
2034/H1 208.79 46.28 255.07 2051/H2 33.91 6.14 40.04
2034/H2 199.52 44.01 243.53 2052/H1 19.21 0.60 19.80
2035/H1 190.19 41.66 231.85 2052/H2 16.91 0.28 17.19
(2) (3)
Grand Total 25,714.63 5,026.17 30,740.80
(1) The exchange rate of March 31, 2018 .
(2) Excludes US$ 1,306.05 million representing SDR allocations by IMF to its member countries; Egypt’s share is SDR 898.45 MN.
(3) Includes US$ 336.96 million representing forecast interest of SDR allocation.
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position
Figure 15
Total Medium and Long-Term Public and Publicly Guaranteed External Debt Service
Multilateral Institutions
as of April 1, 2018
US$ mn
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043 2045 2047 2049 2051
50
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 51
Table ( 16 )
Projected Sovereign Notes (*)
Debt Service as of April 1, 2018
(US$ million)
Period Principal Interest Total Period Principal Interest Total
2018/H1 0.00 30.33 30.33 2029/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79
2018/H2 0.00 30.21 30.21 2030/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79
2019/H1 0.00 30.21 30.21 2030/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79
2019/H2 0.00 30.21 30.21 2031/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79
2020/H1 605.66 30.21 635.86 2031/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79
2020/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79 2032/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79
2021/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79 2032/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79
2021/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79 2033/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79
2022/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79 2033/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79
2022/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79 2034/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79
2023/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79 2034/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79
2023/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79 2035/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79
2024/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79 2035/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79
2024/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79 2036/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79
2025/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79 2036/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79
2025/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79 2037/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79
2026/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79 2037/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79
2026/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79 2038/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79
2027/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79 2038/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79
2027/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79 2039/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79
2028/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79 2039/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79
2028/H2 0.00 12.79 12.79 2040/H1 372.12 12.79 384.91
2029/H1 0.00 12.79 12.79
Table ( 17 )
(*)
Projected Euro-Bond
Debt Service as of April 1, 2018
(US$ million)
Period Principal Interest Total
2018/H1 0.00 30.99 30.99
2018/H2 0.00 397.12 397.12
2019/H1 0.00 395.88 395.88
2019/H2 0.00 395.88 395.88
2020/H1 0.00 395.88 395.88
2020/H2 0.00 395.88 395.88
2021/H1 0.00 395.88 395.88
2021/H2 0.00 395.88 395.88
2022/H1 2,215.98 395.88 2,611.86
2022/H2 0.00 328.02 328.02
2023/H1 1,171.00 328.02 1,499.02
2023/H2 0.00 295.36 295.36
2024/H1 0.00 295.36 295.36
2024/H2 0.00 295.36 295.36
2025/H1 971.72 295.36 1,267.08
2025/H2 0.00 266.82 266.82
2026/H1 0.00 266.82 266.82
2026/H2 0.00 266.82 266.82
2027/H1 1,702.91 266.82 1,969.73
2027/H2 0.00 202.96 202.96
2028/H1 1,136.50 202.96 1,339.46
2028/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2029/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2029/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2030/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2030/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2031/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2031/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2032/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2032/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2033/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2033/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2034/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2034/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2035/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2035/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2036/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2036/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2037/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2037/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2038/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2038/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2039/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2039/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2040/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2040/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2041/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2041/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2042/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2042/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2043/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2043/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2044/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2044/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2045/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2045/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2046/H1 0.00 165.52 165.52
2046/H2 0.00 165.52 165.52
2047/H1 2,500.00 165.52 2,665.52
2047/H2 0.00 59.27 59.27
2048/H1 1,500.00 59.27 1,559.27
Grand Total 11,198.11 12,918.36 24,116.47
(*) Euro Bond Nominal Value Amounted US$ 12,500 MM, detailed as:
US$ 1500 MM issued on 11/6/2015 and due on 11/6/2025 with Fixed Interest Rate 5.875%
US$ 2500 MM (US$ 1750 MM issued on 31/1/2017 and US$ 750 MM issued on 31/5/2017) due on 31/1/2022 with Fixed Interest Rate 6.125%
US$ 2000 MM (US$ 1000 MM issued on 31/1/2017 and US$ 1000 MM issued on 31/5/2017) due on 31/1/2027 with Fixed Interest Rate 7.50%
US$ 2500 MM (US$ 1250 MM issued on 31/1/2017 and US$ 1250 MM issued on 31/5/2017) due on 31/1/2047 with Fixed Interest Rate 8.50%
US$ 1250 MM issued on 21/2/2018 and due on 21/2/2023 with Fixed Interest Rate 5.577%
US$ 1250 MM issued on 21/2/2018 and due on 21/2/2028 with Fixed Interest Rate 6.588%
US$ 1500 MM issued on 21/2/2018 and due on 21/2/2048 with Fixed Interest Rate 7.903%
Central Bank of Egypt - External Position 53
Table ( 18 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Deposits for Kuwait
as of April 1, 2018
(US$ million)
(*)
Grand Total 4,000.00 111.19 4,111.19
Table ( 19 )
Projected Medium Term Deposit for Libya
as of April 1, 2018
(US$ million)
(*)
Grand Total 250.00 0.00 250.00
(*) Amounted US$ 2000 MM, no Interest Rate, deposited on 12/4/2013 and due from 11/7/2016 up to 11/4/2018
Table ( 20 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Deposits for Saudi Arabia
as of April 1, 2018
(US$ million)
(*)
Grand Total 7,500.00 281.55 7,781.55
Table ( 21 )
Projected Medium and Long-Term Deposits for United Arab Emirates
as of April 1, 2018
(US$ million)
(*)
Grand Total 5,900.00 630.45 6,530.45
Table ( 22 )
Projected Short-Term Debt
Debt Service as of April 1, 2018
(US$ million)(1)
Table ( 23 )
Exchange Rates of the Currencies of External Debt Versus US Dollar
as at End of March
Appendix III
Box Page
I- Egypt's Subscription to SDDS and Data Quality Dimensions……………… 1 61
II- Egypt's Data Quality Dimensions…………………………………………... 2 62
III- Doing Business in Egypt…………………………………………………… 3 63
IV- Tourism Sector Performance …...…. …………..…………………………… 4 64
- Glossary……………………………………………………………………. 65
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 61
In 1996, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) introduced the Special Data Dissemination
Standard (SDDS). The SDDS is intended to guide countries that have, or seek to have, access
to international capital markets in their provision of economic and financial statistics.
Subscription to SDDS is voluntary and it requires subscribers to observe the standard and
provide information on data and dissemination practices (the metadata) to the IMF for re-
dissemination. The standard identifies 4 dimensions of data dissemination: coverage,
periodicity, and timeliness; access by the public; the integrity of the disseminated data; and
the quality of the data themselves. In particular, the data dimension lists 18 data categories,
providing coverage for 4 sectors (real, financial, fiscal and external) of the economy and
prescribes minimum timeliness and frequency standards, summarized in the table below.
On January 31, 2005, Egypt became the 59th subscriber to the International Monetary Fund's
Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS). The report of the External Position contains
external sector data that cover external debt, balance of payments, international reserves,
merchandise trade, international investment position (IIP) and exchange rates. Such data are
published in compliance with the requirement under the Special Data Dissemination
Standard (SDDS) of the IMF. The Central Bank of Egypt compiles these statistics and
disseminates them through press releases, its website, and at the same time, on the IMF's
Dissemination Standards Bulletin Board (DSBB). Also, these data are included in the CBE's
main publications: quarterly Economic Review, Annual Report and Monthly Statistical
Bulletin. As the title indicates, the most comprehensive and complete databases are those
available from national sources, supplying high quality, timely and accurate data to
international financial community to support investment activity.
th
Egypt ranked 25 on World Bank's Bulletin Board on Statistical Capacity index on 146 developing
st
countries and 1 on the MENA and African regions, with an overall statistical capacity index of 83.3
points, compared to 87.8 in 2016.
A country's statistical capacity means its ability to extract and publish reliable and timely statistical
data, easily accessible by the public. The statistical capacity index, issued annually by the World
Bank, consists of three sub-indicators which include: methodology, data sources, and its periodicity
and timeliness. The latter measures the degree of information and data dissemination concerning
changes in government policy, and how easily that information can be accessed by the public. It is
worth mentioning that, aiming to improve the statistical capacity of 146 developing countries, the
World Bank provides information on various aspects of national statistical systems through the
BBSC indicator at its website.
As can be seen from the table and its chart, Egypt’s score outpaced the average score of all countries,
either on the level of the overall index, or on the level of its three sub-indicators.
_______________________________________
* Source: bbsc.Worldbank.org, accessed in November, 2017.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 63
During 2016/2017, Egypt made starting a business easier by merging procedures at the one-stop
shop and strengthened minority investor protections by increasing shareholder rights and role in
major corporate decisions and by clarifying ownership and control structures.
Area of Reform DB Year Reform Actions
It was made easier by reducing the paid-in minimum capital requirement by more
2009
than 80%, abolishing bar association fees, and automating tax registration.
2010 The minimum capital required to start a business was removed.
Starting a Business 2011 Egypt reduced the cost to start a business.
Egypt made starting a business easier by merging procedures at the one-stop shop
2017 by introducing a follow-up unit in charge of liaising with the tax and labor authority
on behalf of the company.
A new building code was introduced in 2008 aimed at reducing the procedures and
Dealing with 2009 time required to deal with construction permits by establishing a single window for
Construction processing construction-related approvals.
Permits Construction permits were made easier by issuing executive articles for the 2008
2010
construction law and eliminating most pre-approvals for construction permits.
Enforcing Contracts 2010 Contract enforcement was expedited with the creation of commercial courts.
Thanks to new regulations issued by the Central Bank, borrowers have the right to
2009
inspect their data in the private credit bureau.
Getting Credit
Access to credit information has expanded with the addition of retailers to the
2010
database of the private credit bureau.
Registering Simplified administrative procedures for registering property and new time limits have
Property 2009 reduced the time to transfer property in Cairo from 193 days to 72.
Alexandria port continued to upgrade its facilities and speed customs clearance,
2009
Trading Across reducing the time to export by 1 day and the time to import by 3 days.
Borders Egypt made trading easier by introducing an electronic system for submitting export
2011
and import documents.
New listing rules for the Cairo Stock Exchange strengthened protections for minority
2009 shareholders: now an independent body must assess transactions between
interested parties before they are approved.
Additional requirements have been introduced to strengthen minority investor
2015 protections; An approval of related-party transactions and greater requirements for
Protecting Minority disclosure of such transactions to the Egyptian Exchange.
Investors
2016 by barring subsidiaries from acquiring shares issued by their parent company.
by increasing shareholder rights and role in major corporate decisions and by
2017
clarifying ownership and control structures.
2018 by increasing shareholder rights and role in major corporate decisions.
upgrading port facilities at Alexandria and speeding up customs clearance, while
2009 greater competition in the banking sector led to a reduction in the time to open a letter
Trading Across
of credit.
Borders
Egypt made trading easier by introducing an electronic system for submitting export
2011
and import documents.
Source: www.doingbusiness.org, accessed in November 2017.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 64
The average expenditure per night scaled up to US$ 95.6/night in Q2 of 2017/2018 from US$ 82.5/
night in the corresponding quarter a year earlier (line 7 in the following table). This increase was
mainly attributed to the pickup in the number of tourist arrivals and the huge increase in the number
of tourist nights.
Spurred by the increase in the number of tourist nights (53.97 percent), combined with the increasing
effect of the average expenditure per night (15.89 percent), travel receipts' data in the balance of
payments recorded an increase of US$ 1457 million or 176.4 percent to US$ 2282.5 million in the
second quarter of 2017/18.
During Q2 of 2017/2018, data show that visitors stayed longer on average with10.4 nights per
person compared to 6.4 nights per person in the same period of the previous year (line 6). Moreover,
African tourists headed the list in terms of the length of stay per visitor, with an average of 17.1
nights/visitor. The Middle East countries and the Americas followed with 13.2 and 12.7 nights per
visitor, respectively, then the European countries with 9 nights/visitor, and Asia & the Pacific region
with 8.8 nights/visitor.
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
Indicators of Tourism Activity 2015/16 2016/17
Q2 Q2 Q1 Q2
1. Tourism Receipts (USD mn) 3,767.5 4,380.0 981.1 825.8 2,697.0 2,282.5
2. Stay-over Visitors (x 1.000) 6,874.0 6,623.0 1,908.1 1,557.5 2,334.0 2,398.2
3. Market Shares (% of Tourist Arrivals) 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
a. European Countries 62.8 51.2 68.1 54.4 54.5 62.2
b. Middle East Countries 20.7 26.9 17.3 24.2 28.1 19.0
c. African Countries 6.6 8.4 5.4 7.3 7.6 7.0
d. The Americas 4.1 4.7 3.7 4.7 4.0 4.1
e. Asia & the Pacific 5.5 8.5 5.2 9.0 5.5 7.5
f. Other Countries 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
4. Market Shares (% of Tourist Nights) 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
a. European Countries 65.2 49.9 71.0 54.3 46.3 54.8
b. Middle East Countries 21.5 29.6 17.6 28.6 33.6 24.0
c. African Countries 5.4 8.5 4.2 5.6 9.7 9.9
d. The Americas 3.8 5.5 3.5 4.8 6.0 4.8
e. Asia & the Pacific 4.0 6.4 3.6 6.6 4.2 6.3
f. Other Countries 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3
5. Visitor Nights (x 1.000) 51,779 50,897 14,535 10,010 28,209 23,876
6. Average Nights Spent (per Visitor) 7.5 7.7 7.6 6.4 12.1 10.4
7. Receipts per Visitor Nights
72.8 86.1 67.5 82.5 95.6 95.6
(USD/night)
8. Contribution to Current Receipts % 7.2 7.8 7.9 6.1 15.2 12.3
Sources: CBE, MOT, and CAPMAS.
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 65
Glossary
Balance of Payments: a statistical from future restructuring (subordi-
statement that summarizes, for a nation strategy). In exceptional cases,
specific period of time, the economic arrears on post-cutoff-date debt can
transactions of an economy with the be deferred over short periods of time
rest of the world. in restructuring agreements.
Bilateral Debt: Loans extended by a Debt Instruments: Existing debt
bilateral creditor. instruments typically arise out of
contractual relationships under which
Bilateral Rescheduling Agree- an institutional unit (the debtor) has
ments: Rescheduling agreements an unconditional liability to another
reached bilaterally between the institutional unit (the creditor) to
debtor and creditor countries. These repay principal with or without
are legally the equivalent of new loan interest, or to pay interest without
agreements. After a Paris Club principal. These instruments include
rescheduling, such agreements are debt securities, loans, trade credit,
required to put the debt restructuring and currency and deposits. Debt
set forth in the multinational Agreed instruments may also be created by
Minute into effect. the force of law—in particular,
Buyer’s Credit: A financial ar- obligations to pay taxes or to make
rangement in which a bank or other compulsory payments— or
financial institution, or an export through rights and obligations that
credit agency in the exporting result in a debtor accepting an
country, extends a loan directly to a obligation to make future payment(s)
foreign buyer or to a bank in the to a creditor.
importing country to pay for the Debt Service: Refers to payments in
purchase of goods and services from respect of both principal and interest.
the exporting country (also known as Actual debt service is the set of
financial credit). This term does not payments actually made to satisfy a
refer to credit extended directly from debt obligation, including principal,
the buyer to the seller (for example, interest, and any late payment fees.
through advance payment for goods Scheduled debt service is the set of
and services). payments, including principal and
Capital Account: a BOP account interest, which is required to be made
that covers capital transfers and the through the life of the debt.
acquisition or disposal of non- Debt Sustainability Analysis: A
produced non-financial items, such as study of a country’s medium- to
patents.
long-term debt situation. A country’s
Current Account: a BOP account eligibility for support under the HIPC
that covers all transactions in goods, Initiative is determined on the basis
services, income, and current of such an analysis, jointly under-
transfers between residents and non- taken by the staffs of the IMF, the
residents. World Bank, and the country
Cutoff Date: The date (established at concerned.
the time of a country’s first Paris External Debt: Gross external debt,
Club debt reorganization / restruc- at any given time, is the outstanding
turing) before which loans must have amount of those actual current, and
been contracted in order for their not contingent, liabilities that require
debt service to be eligible for payment(s) of interest and/or prin-
restructuring. New loans extended cipal by the debtor at some point(s)
after the cutoff date are protected
Central Bank of Egypt – External Position 66
in the future and that are owed to element of at least 25 percent (using
non-residents by residents of an a fixed 10 percent rate of discount).
economy. By convention, ODA flows comprise
contributions of donor government
Financial Account: a BOP account agencies, at all levels, to developing
that covers transactions between countries (“bilateral ODA”) and to
residents and non-residents in multilateral institutions. ODA
direct, portfolio, other investment, receipts comprise disbursements by
financial derivatives, and reserve bilateral donors and multilateral
assets. institutions. Lending by export credit
agencies - with the pure purpose of
Gross Domestic Product (GDP): export promotion - is excluded.
the value of an economy's total
output of goods and services, less Original Maturity: the period of
intermediate consumption, plus net time from when the financial
taxes on products and imports. It can
be broken down by output, ex- asset/liability was created to its final
penditure, or income components. maturity date.
The main expenditure aggregates are
final consumption of household and Paris Club: An informal group of
government, gross fixed capital creditor governments that has met
formation, changes in inventories and regularly in Paris since 1956 to
imports and exports of goods and reschedule bilateral debts; the French
services. treasury provides the secretariat.
International Investment Position Creditors meet with a debtor country
(IIP): The IIP is the stock of external to reschedule its debts as part of the
financial assets and liabilities on a international support provided to a
specified reference date, usually the country that is experiencing debt
end of the quarter or year. The servicing difficulties and is pursuing
change in position between two end- an adjustment program supported by
periods reflects financial trans- the IMF. The Paris Club does not
actions, valuation changes, and other have a fixed membership, and its
adjustments occurring during the meetings are open to all official
period. creditors that accept its practices and
Long-Term External Debt: Ex- procedures. The core creditors are
ternal debt that has a maturity of mainly OECD member countries, but
more than one year. Maturity can be other creditors attend as relevant for a
defined either on an original or debtor country. Russia became a
remaining basis. member in September 1997.