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IIDSS-UNHAN: International Defence

Science Seminar

Defence ‘and’ Development:


The Case of Indonesia

Prof. Ron Matthews


Cranfield University
Structure of Talk
• Introduction

• Economic downsides of defence

• Highlighting the positives

• Habibie: Ahead of his time!

• Policy implications
Introduction
• Getting your (defence) cake and eating it!

• Problems magnified for emerging nations

• Significance of Defence Economics


Economic Downside of
Defence
• Opportunity cost

• Keynes ‘crowding-out’

• Detached from civil economy?

• Rapid obsolescence
The Positives!
• Hybrid product structure

• Potential for spin-off

• Dual-use technology

• Civil-military value chains


Habibie: Ahead of his time!?
• Economic / industrial take-off

• Strategic industry model

• Transformation into PMP


- Captive market
- Dual-use technology
- Civil-military integration
- Technology spearhead
CN-235
Habibie’s Progressive Manufacturing
Plan

Stage Capability Stage Technology Stage Technology Stage Basic Research


Development Integration Development on Large Scale
1 2 3 4

Savitri, Curie M (2017). Contribution of offset to defence industrialisation in Indonesia. PhD dissertation,
Cranfield University, UK
Habibie: Ahead of his time!?
• Economic / industrial take-off

• Strategic industry model

• Transformation into PMP


- Captive market
- Dual-use technology
- Civil-military integration
- Technology spearhead
Condor 4x4
Ten Strategic Industries in Indonesia
No Industry Founded Product

1 PERUM DAHANA 1966 Explosives

2 PT Boma Bisma Indra (BBI) 1971 Machine tools, construction equipment

3 PT Barata Indonesia 1971 Machinery and engineering service

4 PT Industri Telekomunikasi (INTI) 1974 Telecommunication

5 PT IPTN 1976 Aircraft, weapon systems

6 PT Krakatau Steel 1978 Integrated iron and steel product

7 PT PAL Indonesia 1980 Shipbuilding, general engineering

8 PT Industri Kereta Api (INKA) 1981 Rolling stock

9 PT PINDAD 1983 Small arms and heavy equipment

10 LEN Production Unit 1965 Electronics and communication

Savitri, Curie M (2017). Contribution of offset to defence industrialisation in Indonesia. PhD dissertation,
Cranfield University, UK
Habibie: Ahead of his time!?
• Economic / industrial take-off

• Strategic industry model

• Transformation into PMP


- Captive market
- Dual-use technology
- Civil-military integration
- Technology spearhead
Strategic Industry and Spill over Effects

Savitri, Curie M (2017). Contribution of offset to defence industrialisation in Indonesia. PhD dissertation,
Cranfield University, UK
Policy Implications
• What goes around, comes around!
• Policy focus on wider DIB
• Identify and nurture strategic sector
• Develop Indonesian technology strategy to sponsor/exploit higher
level technology ambitions, creating a world class defence industry.

Chang Bogo-class
Terima Kasih / Thank You

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