Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • Production Foreacast Model For Oil & Gas: #Addin?

    Uploaded by

    rafiullah353
    30 views1 page
    The document presents a production forecast model for an oil and gas reserve with estimated reserves of 500,000 stock tank barrels (STB) and a 50,000 STB standard deviation. It forecasts production volumes and revenues over 10 years with prices escalating at 4% and 3% annually for oil and gas, respectively, and a 12% discount rate applied to calculate the net present value (NPV) of total revenues.

    Original Description:

    Oil production forecast spreadsheet.

    Original Title

    Oil Prod Forecast

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Available Formats

    XLS, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    Report this Document
    The document presents a production forecast model for an oil and gas reserve with estimated reserves of 500,000 stock tank barrels (STB) and a 50,000 STB standard deviation. It forecasts production volumes and revenues over 10 years with prices escalating at 4% and 3% annually for oil and gas, respectively, and a 12% discount rate applied to calculate the net present value (NPV) of total revenues.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    30 views1 page

    Production Foreacast Model For Oil & Gas: #Addin?

    Uploaded by

    rafiullah353
    The document presents a production forecast model for an oil and gas reserve with estimated reserves of 500,000 stock tank barrels (STB) and a 50,000 STB standard deviation. It forecasts production volumes and revenues over 10 years with prices escalating at 4% and 3% annually for oil and gas, respectively, and a 12% discount rate applied to calculate the net present value (NPV) of total revenues.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 1

    413092486.

    xls

    Production foreacast model for Oil & Gas


    (Note how NPV, as a sum, is approx normally distributed)
    Comment

    Reserves (STB) #ADDIN? 500,000 50,000 Assume a lognormal distribution for reserves
    Year 1 Production as % reserves (%) 10%
    Year 1 Production (STB/yr) #ADDIN?
    Decline rate (%) 12%
    Gas-oil ratio (GOR) (mcf/STB) 0.750
    PriceOil ($/STB) 40.0
    Price increase for Oil (% p.a.) 4%
    PriceGas year 1 ($/Mscf) 2.0
    Price increase Gas (% p.a.) 3%
    Discount rate (%) 12%

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
    Oil production (STB p.a.) #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN?
    Gas production (mcf p.a.) #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN?
    Oil price ($/STB) 40.0 41.6 43.3 45.0 46.8 48.7 50.6 52.6 54.7 56.9
    Gas price ($/mcf) 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6
    Oil revenue ($k) #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN?
    Gas revenue ($k) #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN?
    Total revenue #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN?
    Discounted total revenue #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN? #ADDIN?
    NPV of revenues (first 10 years) #ADDIN?

    Page 1 of 1

    You might also like