Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SPECIAL ISSUE
10 Emerging
Technologies
2007
Peer-to-Peer Video
Quantum-Dot Solar Power
Neuron Control
Metamaterials
Nanohealing
Optical Antennas
Compressive Sensing
Personalized Medical Monitors
Single-Cell Analysis
Mobile Augmented Reality
Page 45
A Smarter Web
The much-hyped “Web 3.0”
is for real. By John Borland p64
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Contents
Volume 110, Number 2
Features
45 COVER STORY 10 Emerging Technologies, 2007
Peer-to-peer video. Metamaterials. Nanohealing. This year, as every year,
we present the 10 technologies we find most exciting—and most likely to
alter industries, fields of research, and even the way we live. By the Editors
64 A Smarter Web
New technologies will make online search more intelligent—and may even
lead to a “Web 3.0.” By John Borland
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De Technologia non multum scimus. Scimus autem, quid nobis placeat. necessarily those of MIT.
6 T E CH N O L O G Y R E V I E W march/april 2007
TechnologyReview.com
2ontario.com /innovation
1- 8 0 0 - 8 19 - 8 7 0 1
Charles Simonyi and Programming used only for “sketching” an architec- is astounding. It reminds me of the
In your otherwise excellent coverage ture or design, people have for years prediction of scientists that the four-
of Charles Simonyi and his pioneer- been successfully employing the full minute mile was a human physio-
ing concept of intentional program- capabilities of UML “all the way logical barrier. Every single scientific
ming (“Anything You Can Do, I Can down” to executing systems. breakthrough has received that sort of
Do Meta,” January/February 2007), Richard Mark Soley dismissal before it was achieved.
you unfortunately included a throwa- Needham, MA Also, the complaint from program-
way remark about the Unified Mod- mers that it distances them from the
eling Language (UML): “But UML Intentional programming might be a “raw code” is ludicrous. Being stuck
diagrams can’t be transformed into great help to those who must maintain with the raw code is exactly the prob-
finished software, which is Simonyi’s software, as original “intent” is often lem that intentional software is aiming
dream for intentional programming.” lost. However, I suspect there may be to solve. The complaint sounds like a
This would come as quite a sur- too many potential dimensions to the concern over job security.
prise to a large and growing com- task. One can only hope the effort Richard Odessey
munity of software architects and won’t run off the rails. As I wrote in Lawrenceville, GA
developers. While it is true that UML, the March 1990 issue of C Users Jour-
now a staple of every major software- nal, “Complexity is neither created or Charles Simonyi’s intentional program-
development tool worldwide, is often destroyed—it only changes its appear- ming is a great idea, but Simonyi’s
ance or location and distribution.” huge programming background un-
How to contact us Scott Maley fortunately ties him so much to con-
E-mail letters@technologyreview.com Condon, OR ventional programming techniques
Write Technology Review, One Main Street,
that, no matter how hard he tries, he
7th Floor, Cambridge MA 02142
Fax 617-475-8043
I found the criticism of the intentional- will never be able to conceive of the
Please include your address, telephone number, software idea referred to in the article truly radical approach to programming
and e-mail address. Letters may be edited for amusing to ludicrous. The notion that’s needed to solve the software cri-
both clarity and length. that Simonyi’s idea is “implausible” sis. We need someone not steeped in
AmericanAirlines, AA.com and We know why you fly are marks of American Airlines, Inc.
current programming methods to de- not see that spirit in Simonyi’s pro- utes. That has been my standard ever
vise a totally new, unfettered approach. posal. What I think is more in line since. Around 1991, one could put
I wish Simonyi the best of luck in his with Mr. Dertouzos’s agenda is what together a LAN with Macs and print-
endeavor, but I fear we’re only going is known as Business Process Man- ers just by plugging wires together. On
to get a marginal reduction in program agement (BPM) systems. Most BPM a PC system, it took full-time admin-
obfuscation and a still further slow- solutions offer a Lego-like graphical istrative personnel to set up and keep
down in run-time speed. Let’s hope programming paradigm that allows the such a system running. In 1991 and
it’s not a C+++. user to define his organization’s pro- 1992 I worked in two different offices
Bill Earle cesses and computations. I think this is with networked PC systems, and no
Scituate, MA the paradigm we should follow. one at either place could tell me how to
Luis Fernando Flores Oviedo print in landscape format from Lotus
I liked editor in chief Jason Pontin’s Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes, 1-2-3. I had to print in portrait format,
most recent column about program- Mexico cut out and tape the pieces together,
ming languages (“On Rules”), but I and put them on a copy machine to get
am a little bit disappointed that he did Uninspiring Vista the format I needed. No such antics
not mention Prolog, a rule-based soft- It’s a shame that writer Erika Jonietz were ever needed on a Mac.
ware language model that is really ele- has only now discovered that “Macs are Daniel Whitney
gant in terms of expressing solutions simple” (“Uninspiring Vista,” January/ Cambridge, MA
to problems. Once upon a time, I used February 2007). I discovered this in
a mixture of Prolog and C, and I can 1984, when they first came out. Correction: In the January/February
tell you it was a real delight. On the Many people in the academic and 2007 essay “The Alchemist,” we inac-
other hand, I remember an article in business communities still wonder why curately described the Institute of Food
Technology Review by the late Michael this discovery has been, and continues Technologists, which is a scientific
Dertouzos about making all comput- to be, so elusive and rare. I turned on society made up of 22,000 members
ing matters simpler [“Creating the my first Mac, opened Macword, and working in academia, government,
People’s Computer,” April 1997]. I do was working productively in five min- and the food industry.
On Science Fiction
How it influences the imaginations of technologists
I
once wrote on this page, “Science fiction is to technology present day); but nonetheless, the accurate predictions of
as romance novels are to marriage: a form of propa- many science fiction writers are justly famous. Geosta-
ganda” (see “Against Transcendence,” February 2005). tionary telecommunications satellites were first proposed
This represents my sincere view, but stated so baldly, by Arthur C. Clarke in a paper titled “Extra-Terrestrial
without elaboration, the remark implies a contempt I do Relays: Can Rocket Stations Give World-Wide Radio
not feel. For I adore science fiction. If it is propaganda, I Coverage?” published in Wireless World in October 1945.
am its happy dupe; and if I am a technology editor and Space travel has been a staple of science fiction since Jules
journalist today, it is because between the ages of seven Verne published De la Terre à la Lune in 1865. Robots first
and fourteen, I read little but science fiction. appeared in Karel C̆apek’s play R.U.R. in 1921. Indeed, it
I grew up on a farm on the North Coast of California is more useful to ask, What hasn’t SF predicted?
that had at one time been a kind of hippie commune. But the prescriptive power of science fiction has func-
Around the various cabins on the property were dozens tioned both positively and negatively. Older computer sci-
of yellowed paperbacks of the sort that the counterculture entists and electrical engineers such as Marvin Minsky
loved; and when I recall my childhood all at once, it is per- and Seymour Cray, born in the mid-1920s, pursued a
petually summer, and I am alone in a field or a tree house, vision of humanlike artificial intelligence and mainframe
reading Alfred Bester, Algis Budrys, Samuel R. Delany, computing popularized by science fiction after World War
Philip K. Dick, or Robert Heinlein. II (see Isaac Asimov’s “Multivac” stories). These scientists
I grew out of science fiction—which is to say that I remained committed to the glamour of big computing long
learned to enjoy other, more literary writing and to dis- after research suggested that it would not soon produce
guise my passionate fandom. But science fiction continues the thinking machine for which they pined. Here, science
to influence me. To this day, my tastes and choices as an fiction’s predictions were wrong, but still influential.
editor and journalist are bluntly science fictional: I look By contrast, consider the influence of science fiction on
for technologies that are in themselves ingenious and that the development of the personal computer and the Inter-
have the potential to change our established ways of doing net. It is often said that SF missed both, but that isn’t really
things. Best of all, I like technologies that expand our true. The “cyberpunks” and their precursors began dream-
sense of what it might mean to be human. ing of the Net in the late 1970s. Algis Budrys’s highly lit-
In this, I believe, I am an entirely conventional tech- erate 1977 novel, Michaelmas, describes a worldwide
nologist. Most of us came to technology through science web of telecommunications and computer data. Vernor
fiction; our imaginations remain secretly moved by Vinge, in 1981’s True Names, anticipated a cyberspace that
science-fictional ideas. Only the very exalted are honest is recognizably our own. Most notably, William Gibson
about their debt. In his collection of lectures on the future invented the “consensual hallucination” of the Matrix in
of technology, Imagined Worlds, the great theoretical Neuromancer, published in 1984. These fictions were
physicist Freeman Dyson writes, “Science is my territory, greatly influential on younger technologists, such as Tim
but science fiction is the landscape of my dreams.” Berners-Lee and Jaron Lanier. The Web would not be the
Science fiction’s influence on technologists’ imagina- demotic, freewheeling society it is without the cyberpunks.
tions can be observed in its successful and unsuccessful One can go further. In his survey of science fiction,
predictions. Discerning a causal relationship between what The Dreams Our Stuff Is Made Of: How Science Fiction
science fiction has predicted and what technologists have Conquered the World, Thomas M. Disch writes, “It is my
created might be an instance of the logical fallacy post hoc contention that some of the most remarkable features of
ergo propter hoc (“after this, therefore because of this”), the present historical moment have their roots in a way
except for a curious fact: SF writers not only describe cur- of thinking that we have learned from science fiction.” I
rent research and extrapolate its likely development but think he’s right, and so we’re publishing some science
also prescribe cool things that enthralled technologists later fiction of our own: a story by David Marusek, author of
make or try to make. In short, life imitates art. the acclaimed 2005 novel Counting Heads (see “Osama
MAR K O STOW
Fans decry any emphasis on their favored genre’s pre- Phone Home,” p. 72). Write and tell me what you think at
dictive power (science fiction, they say, is really about the jason.pontin@technologyreview.com. Jason Pontin
As Spain has grown economically in recent decades, its aero- invented the autogiro, a type of aircraft, in 1919. He contin-
space industry has taken flight. Buoyed by an unusually ued experimenting for four years and eventually flew the
strong investment in research, and by local representation world’s first stable rotary-wing aircraft, the forerunner of
from major international aerospace companies, smaller today’s helicopter.
engineering, design, and technology companies have formed Shortly thereafter, in March 1923, José Ortiz de Echagüe,
and grown to support the aviation and space sectors. Spanish the third Spaniard to be issued a pilot’s license and the first
firms have particularly advanced in the area of carbon fiber Spaniard to fly a military plane, joined forces with colleagues
composites, a growing field in the push to decrease the weight to found CASA (Construcciones Aeronáuticas Sociedad
and increase the efficiency of aircraft. At the same time, uni- Anónima), one of the country’s first aviation companies.
versity research has increased in partnership with private They built a production plant at Getafe near Madrid that same
PHOTO COURTESY OF ESA
companies to meet the needs of the aerospace industry in year and began construction of military aircraft. By the 1930s
Spain and around the world. the company had begun developing its own models.
After the Second World War and through the 1970s, CASA
History established itself as a leader in transport aircraft. By the 1980s
Spaniards began taking to the air in the early part of the 20th it had produced a popular design, the C-212, that it exported to
century. Aeronautical engineer and pilot Juan de la Cierva air forces around the world.
www.technologyreview.com/spain/aero S1
Special Advertising Section
such as the CN-235 for the U.S. Coast These composites consist of plastic building major parts for planes out of car-
Guard. The Airbus plant in Seville that has been impregnated with filaments bon fiber and titanium, Aernnova created
houses the final assembly line for a of carbon fiber to form a thin fabric. To new methods and techniques to ensure
modern military airlifter, the A400, create structures such as those used in product strength and safety.
which replaces older planes like the C- airplane parts, these fabrics are layered The company today is taking its exper-
130 Hercules and provides twice the into a mold, with the weave aligned in tise to American aviation giant Boeing,
load and volume. particular directions to ensure optimal with hundreds of engineers in both Seattle
S2 www.technologyreview.com/spain/aero
Special Advertising Section
and Madrid working to make planes pany’s research department has devel- aerospace for SENER. “It’s like a big
lighter (thus more environmentally oped proprietary tools to analyze and fashion shop; there are literally hundreds
friendly) and designing structures for the test the structural integrity of these of people placing those composite textiles
fuselage. As part of its continuing work, parts. Through its success in designing into the molds and so on.”
Aernnova is part of a new European and manufacturing major composite EADS-CASA focuses on a similar
consortium working on “clean skies”— pieces, produced both in fiber molds issue in carbon fiber production.
the design and production of environmen- and in sandwich panels in a honeycomb Through research on the best methods
tally friendly aircraft. structure, SACESA predicts 33 percent for designing and producing curved and
“From a technological point of view, growth this year. complex carbon fiber airplane products,
we are developing and continuously In the past five years in Andalusia scientists settled on the technique of
applying R&D to new product develop- alone, the turnover of all these support simple stitching. Employing people to
ment,” says Ignacio López Gandásegui, companies has nearly tripled. do the stitching would be prohibitively
president of Aernnova. “Logically these One of the issues with carbon fiber expensive, however, so engineers cre-
activities are primarily taking place in production is keeping costs down. ated industrial robots to do the handi-
structures, which is our main activity. We “Carbon fiber itself was very difficult to work—at up to 100 stitches per minute.
are continually working with new mate- obtain—there were few suppliers,” says After sheets are joined together, they’re
rials and new production systems for Jesús Marcos, director of Tecnalia Aero- draped in alternate directions over a
these materials.” space. “It cost a great deal, and there were mold and then pressed at very high heats
The focus on carbon fiber has also very unique applications. Today, there are to harden.
led a number of supplier companies to more suppliers, and the challenge remains SENER specializes in designing com-
develop expertise in designing and the cost of production.” posite material structures for aircraft.
manufacturing components out of this SENER, an engineering technology Recently, the company worked with
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Special Advertising Section
“You need to lay different textiles in spe- Tecnalia Aerospace is working with a totally new technology,” says Quintana.
cific positions in order for the fibers to carbon nanotubes, mixed with alloys of “Right now, any change in wings, such as
provide the strength and resistance for the other metals, to dissipate heat as effi- landing flaps that are extended in order
finest finished piece.” ciently as possible. Another future appli- to increase the wing surface, is done by
The company designs parts requested cation of nanotechnology, perhaps more moving rigid surfaces. The idea will be
by large manufacturers such as Airbus. suited to the world of science fiction in for the shape of the wing to change with-
“They make the overall systems design, the public’s eye, is the creation of invis- out moving parts.”
and specify the different components ible aircraft. “It’s complicated,” says Despite its maturity as a composite,
they require in composites,” says Marcos of Tecnalia Aerospace, “but carbon fiber remains a relatively young
Quintana. “We figure out a way to make basically these particles would absorb addition to aviation. “The industry’s
those parts.” some specific frequencies—radar, or experience with composites has not been
“Spain is one of the leaders in Europe visual frequencies. So when the fre- that long—only about 15 years, which
in terms of carbon fiber due to our quency is absorbed, the aircraft would for the aeronautic industry is a short
experience in the sector,” says Francisco become basically invisible.” He explains period of time,” says Quintana. The
Mencía, administrator of Aeropolis, the particles could be nano-sized or products have certainly been tested for
an aerospace technology park in slightly larger, but this technology is all safety, but Quintana says the industry
Andalusia. still under investigation. still is eyeing the materials’ performance
Nanotechnology, a hot field for a Tecnalia Aerospace is also working over the next decade.
variety of boundary-pushing innovations on a combination of advanced materials,
in science, has a place in the manufacture advanced heat dissipation, and flexible Testing
of carbon fiber aircraft parts as well. electronics to create systems such as the To help the aerospace industry speed up
Nanoparticles added to synthetic material electronics box for aircraft. In their both innovation and the necessary test-
can immensely increase the finished prod- design, the electronics could become ing, major companies in the Basque
uct’s strength and resiliency. Nanoparticles part of the structure of the plane, sig- region of northern Spain, with local gov-
may also serve as a fire retardant, increas- nificantly reducing the system’s weight ernment assistance, developed the Aero-
ing the material’s ability to withstand heat and volume. nautics Technologies Center (known by
and burning without generating toxic SENER is researching the use of car- its Spanish initials, CTA) in 1998. The
gases. These technologies are in the early bon nanotubes in a flexible composite center focuses both on developing new
stages, however, and still cost too much to that could enable an aircraft’s wings to technologies and on testing products
gain widespread use. literally change shape during flight. “It’s and designs.
One of the products CTA has devel-
oped is a method of using infrared sensors
to discover cracks and other defects in
both metal and composite parts. Aernnova,
one of the companies behind the founding
of CTA, is already successfully using this
new technology.
Another advance in testing is one of
the most significant services CTA pro-
vides. There are already four facilities
that deal with fire, structures, fluid
dynamics, and acoustics. A facility now
under construction will employ highly
accelerated life testing, a cutting-edge
technology that can save companies
about 20 percent of the time used in
typical product testing—time savings
that can, over the development of a
PHOTO COURTESY OF AERNNOVA
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Special Advertising Section
a number of alternatives. In only 15 rials; propulsion, with research both on tions using thermal sprays. Researchers
years, the region’s investment, employ- engines and on fuel; and equipment, there are working in partnership with
ment, and production in the aerospace avionics, and other onboard systems. European counterparts to investigate
industry skyrocketed. The center will also work with EADS- reducing the use of metals such as cad-
“In 1990, we had virtually zero sales CASA on research into unmanned mium, chromium, and nickel in repair
in the aerospace industry,” says José aerial vehicles. work. They are also developing new
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Special Advertising Section
Control
coatings and improving laser welding greater percentage of carbon fiber com- All over the world, the Spanish informa-
techniques. At the milling center, posites in helicopters. tion systems company Indra ensures a
researchers focus on how to reduce the Carbon fiber parts for these aircraft plane’s safe takeoff, travel, and landing.
thickness of the casings for large compo- have also figured prominently in Its air traffic management systems have
nents while protecting their strength. Aernnova’s work; the company has been sold to more than 20 countries; its
They are also examining ways to enhance designed and provided structural parts parts and products are found in many
the performance of milling tools by using in both metal and composites to more, thanks to sales to international
nanotechnology in their coatings. American -based helicopter leader companies such as Raytheon. In fact,
ITP is one of the top companies in the Sikorsky. Aernnova is also part of a about 20 percent of flights in the world
sector in terms of R&D investment. European initiative examining ways to cross a center with an Indra system
“Years ago there was a value in Spain by reduce helicopter weight, fuel use, installed. The systems process and inte-
being low-cost compared to other Euro- noise, and emissions. grate information such as a plane’s flight
pean countries, but today that is not the The growing focus on helicopters plan, its real-time location and move-
case,” says Ulizar. “So now in Spain there has prompted some companies and ment, the weather, flight changes, and
is an increased understanding that the research institutions to pursue initia- the general flow of plane traffic in a
only way to stay competitive is by invest- tives in this field as well. SENER is given area.
ing in research.” beginning to investigate methods of “One of the reasons our system is one
reducing helicopter noise. “Helicopter of the most advanced in the world is the
Helicopters design and research is becoming more algorithms we use to determine the
Eurocopter, part of the EADS family, is of a target for us as the Spanish industry plane’s trajectory, the accuracy of the
setting up a manufacturing center in is developing a great deal in this area, trajectory according to the route, mete-
Spain that will provide helicopter mod- particularly with the new Eurocopter orological conditions, and performance
els such as Tigers and EC135s for the production center,” says aerospace of the aircraft,” says Javier Ruano,
Spanish army. “Between the army and director Quintana. director of air traffic management for
the civil protection unit, we see a big At the Polytechnic University of Cata- Indra. Originally, the job of traffic con-
PHOTO COURTESY OF EADS - CASA
potential market in Spain,” says Jesus lonia in Barcelona (the Catalan acronym trollers was largely based on radar, but
Ruiz, spokesperson for Eurocopter- is UPC), a group of researchers is working today, as flight zones are becoming
España. Ruiz says that research at the to increase the autonomy of unmanned increasingly crowded, this planning has
moment remains in the field of industrial helicopters, a type of unmanned aerial gained in importance.
transfer, building up a manufacturing vehicle (UAV). “There are UAVs all over Research at Indra, and in fact the cut-
base. But research facilities will soon the world, but helicopters are a very dif- ting edge of flight control around the
investigate the possibility of using a ficult aerodynamic system, much more world, involves using satellite informa-
S6 www.technologyreview.com/spain/aero
Special Advertising Section
Countries Where
Spanish Aerospace
Companies Operate
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Special Advertising Section
S8 www.technologyreview.com/spain/aero
T E C H N O LO GY R E V I E W M A R C H /A P R I L 2 0 07
H A R DWA R E
Fast, Bendable
Computers
A
lready, flexible-but-slow poly-
mer electronics have made
their way into technologies like
roll-up digital displays. If superfast
silicon electronics could also be made
flexible, we might be able to do things
like weave computing devices into
clothing, or mold antennas around an
airplane’s fuselage, making for more
precise radar. Now researchers at the
University of Wisconsin–Madison
have made ultrathin silicon transis-
tors that are 50 times as fast as their
predecessors.
Previously, researchers at the
University of Illinois at Urbana-
Champaign showed that nanometer-
thin films of single-crystal silicon
transistors could be made flexible.
But Wisconsin researchers Zhenqiang
Ma, professor of electrical and com-
puter engineering, and Max Lagally,
professor of materials science and
physics, improved the transistors’
performance by putting strain on the
silicon’s crystalline structure, increas-
Z H E N QIAN G MA, U N IVE R S ITY O F W I S C O N S I N–MAD I S O N
P NAS (TU M O R); J O NATHAN E. G R E E N AN D HAB I B AH MAD (NAN O); C O U RTE SY O F S ET C O R P O RATI O N (B O M B)
Burns, CEO of SET, says the
device, dubbed CounterBomber,
could be ready for sale by this
fall. —Karen Nitkin
N A N OT E C H of which has two components. One is barbell
Analysis of
video and radar
data from this
R esearchers at Caltech and the University
of California, Los Angeles, have reached
a new milestone in the effort to use individual
information. It’s a big step forward from earlier
prototype arrays of just a few thousand bits. “We
thought that if we weren’t able to make some-
device reveals
bombs under molecules to store data, an approach that could thing at this scale, people would say that this is
clothing. dramatically shrink electronic circuitry. One hun- just an academic exercise,” says James Heath,
dred times as dense as today’s memory chips, professor of chemistry at Caltech and one of the
the Caltech device is the largest-ever array of project’s researchers. He cautions, however, that
memory bits made of molecular switches, with “there are problems still. We’re not talking about
160,000 bits in all. In the device, information technology that you would expect to come out
is stored in molecules called rotaxanes, each tomorrow.” Kevin Bullis
T
he iPhone may be getting lots of Once fingers or other objects touch
attention, but Steve Jobs has no the acrylic, though, the light diffuses boards, for instance, or animation
corner on “multi-touch” displays, at the point of contact and scatters sessions joined by many artists.
which allow a person to use multiple outside the surface. A camera behind Versions of multi-touch technology
fingers to do things like zoom in and the screen detects these changes. have been around since the 1980s,
out of pictures. At New York Univer- Simple image-processing software but they never took off commercially.
sity’s Courant Institute of Mathemati- can interpret the scattering, in real Multi-touch screens “never com-
C O U RTE SY O F P E R C E PTIVE P I X E L, I N C.
cal Sciences, research scientist Jeff time, as discrete touches and strokes. pletely went away, but they’re com-
Han has developed an effective way “The new iPhone is too small ing back in different ways,” says Bill
to make large, very high-resolution to be a very interesting multi-touch Buxton, principal researcher at Micro-
screens that accommodate 10, 20, device,” says Han. With larger soft Research. Han’s company, Percep-
or even more fingers. Applications screens, multiple users could collabo- tive Pixel, shipped its first wall-size
could include interactive white boards, rate—in brainstorming sessions that screen to an undisclosed U.S. military
touch-screen tables, and digital walls. use networked, interactive white customer this winter. Kate Greene
I M AG I N G
Seeing
Greenland
T
here’s enough fro-
zen water in Green-
land to raise global
sea levels seven meters,
and enough in Antarctica to
raise levels 65 meters. But
M I C R O M AC H I N E S
the rate of melting is poorly
Tiny Robotic understood, partly because
ice-sheet surfaces look so
Hand inscrutably white and fea-
tureless in ordinary satellite
In a UCLA School of Engi- images and to the human
neering lab, a mechanical eye. Now, a new image-
hand only one millimeter processing technique gives
wide plucks a single fish egg a clearer view of critical fea-
from an underwater clutch. tures of inland ice. Thanks to new image-processing tech-
nology, fine-grained features of ice flow are
“It is the world’s smallest The technology starts visible within this eyedropper-shaped 600-
by-50-kilometer ice formation in Greenland.
robotic hand and could be with as many as 94 red and
used to perform microsur- infrared images of the same
gery,” says Chang-Jin Kim, region, taken by two NASA tion of the entire ice sheet overly-
who led its development. satellites, Terra and Aqua, ing Greenland to detect important
C HAN G-J I N K I M (HAN D); NATI O NAL S N OW AN D I C E DATA C E NTE R, U N IVE R S ITY O F C O LO RAD O AT B O U LD E R (G R E E N LAN D); TYM O N BARW I C Z (LI G HT)
Unlike other tiny machines of with orbits that cross Green- short-term changes. “What we’ve
its kind, the device (depicted land several times a day. By got is a map that shows details
above) is flexible yet strong aligning and averaging val- much further inland, much better
and is controlled by air, not ues within areas of pixel overlap, research- than before,” says Scambos. “Other images
electricity. The microhand has ers tightened resolution from 250 meters just show the interior of the ice sheet as a
four “fingers” made of several per pixel to as little as 150 meters, says Ted blank white surface.” Mark Fahnestock, a
pieces of silicon each, with Scambos, the lead scientist and glaciologist geologist at the University of New Hamp-
polymer balloons serving as at the National Snow and Ice Data Cen- shire in Durham who collaborated with
“muscles” at the joints. Each ter at the University of Colorado at Boul- Scambos, says the technology is key to
balloon is connected to nar- der, who was one of the developers. The understanding today’s accelerating ice-
row channels through which new approach also allows rapid reëvalua- sheet melting. David Talbot
air is pumped. When a bal-
loon is inflated or deflated, P H OTO N I C S
the angle between joints
changes, making a finger Light Twister
contract or relax. The device 3
The data-carrying light waves in optical fibers have either
is one to two years from horizontal or vertical polarities. Both types of waves are easily
practical use; Kim is working processed in today’s millimeter-scale photonic devices, but
with a company to develop 2
polarization differences may lead to signal loss in future
a new version, with optical micrometer-scale devices on chips. This submicrometer
fibers on the palm—a micro- structure from MIT’s Research Laboratory of Electronics 1
hand with an eye—that would can be etched into silicon. Light enters a waveguide (1) and
enable a doctor to see, allow- is split (2) into horizontal and vertical components. Vertical
ing better control during an beams are rotated (3) to horizontal for processing and later recombined. —Kevin Bullis
operation. —Amitabh Avasthi
F
orget corn-derived biofuels. Think land, WA, is now being commercialized that the engineered cells are far
J E F F W E ST (GAR BAG E); U N IVE R S ITY O F C I N C I N NATI (S K I N)
garbage. The process shown above by Integrated Environmental Technologies from clinical use: the true test of
uses lightning-like arcs of plasma to (IET), also in Richland. There’s enough their bacteria-fighting proper-
transform garbage and other waste into energy in U.S. municipal and other waste ties will come in the complex
gases from which methanol and ethanol to replace as much as a quarter of the gaso- environment of a real wound.
can be made. Unlike conventional incin- line the country uses, says Daniel Cohn, The researchers are planning
eration, it doesn’t generate toxic pollut- cofounder of IET and senior research sci- experiments in animal models.
ants, and it yields up to six times as much entist at the MIT center. IET is in talks The technique could eventually
energy as it consumes. Since its fuel—gar- with a utility and several municipalities to be used to make skin that can
bage—would be brought to a landfill or construct the first such plants, says CEO sweat and tan after implantation.
incinerator anyway, the technique would Jeff Surma. Kevin Bullis —Emily Singer
makes electric
vehicles. EEStor
says its tech-
nology is a cross
between a bat-
tery and an ultra-
capacitor (which
E N E R GY quickly stores and T E LE C O M
R O B OT I C S
Power Bot
J
ust three inches high, this robot
Z E N N M OTO R (BATTE RY); J E F F R EY TS E N G (O PTI C S); C O U RTE SY O F MAM I S H EV LAB (R O B OT)
could help keep the power grid
humming by diagnosing faulty
power lines in difficult-to-access tun-
nels and pipes. The robot hugs under-
ground power cables, rolling along
them on small plastic wheels; it car-
ries a thermal sensor to locate hot professor of electrical engineering the 10 percent of underground cables
spots, an acoustic sensor to listen for at the University of Washington, that are found in pipes or tunnels (as
the crackle of sparks, and a dielec- Seattle. The technology “looks very opposed to those buried directly in the
tric sensor to detect moisture. The promising,” says Dave Hawkins, a ground), those are often the ones that
battery-powered robot also has a gyro- project manager at the California suffer damage from water and other
scope to help maintain its balance and Independent System Operator, a causes. The robot was recently tested
stabilizing arms to right it if it slides nonprofit organization that manages in New Orleans, where it was sent
off track. The gadget is the fruit of a much of the state’s power grid. underground to search for Hurricane
project led by Alexander Mamishev, Though the robot can access only Katrina damage. Kate Greene
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Register Now for 2007 2007 KEYNOTE SPEAKERS
Lock in a full-conference pass for just $995, a $400 Connect directly with this important audience of business
savings (on-site $1,395). leaders, venture capitalists, and technology innovators.
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on Display DNA
C
hristopher Voigt and his research part-
ners at the University of California, San
Francisco, and the University of Texas
at Austin hacked the genes of E. coli bacteria,
making each altered cell photosensitive. (Voigt
is a member of the current TR35, our annual Response regulator
list of 35 exceptional innovators under the age
of 35. He and the others were featured in the
September/October 2006 issue.) Their first LacZ gene
2 Phytochromes have two functional parts: a photore-
application of the technology, shown here, was ceptor, which is a sensor that responds to light, and a
a lawn of bacteria that acts like a photographic response regulator, which receives a signal from the sen-
plate: when exposed to red light, the lawn sor and triggers further reactions inside the cell. Voigt and
reproduces an image inscribed into a sten- his team fused the photoreceptor from the cyanobacte-
cil held between it and the light source. But rium to molecular machinery within E. coli that commu-
this isn’t the goal of Voigt’s research—it’s just nicates with a gene-regulating protein (see above). This
an example of the powerful possibilities raised created a tiny organic circuit that responds to light.
by the young field of synthetic biology. The
ability to precisely engineer and control micro-
örganisms could lead to new bacterial factories
that produce complex drugs or materials.
LI N DA NYE (E. C O LI); J E F F TAB O R (LAB); B I O P H OTO AS S O C IATE S/ P H OTO R E S EAR C H E R S, I N C. (CYAN O BACTE R IA); AAR O N C H EVALI E R (DARW I N)
F
or many years a partner at the tion, too. If large-scale compressed- and economists who are not used to
blue-blooded venture capital air energy storage [CAES] works, rapid improvements in technology.
firm of Kleiner Perkins Caufield then wind power will become scal- Does nuclear energy have a place
and Byers, Vinod Khosla has been able. So I think there will be a horse in a clean-energy future? After all,
called the best venture capitalist in race between clean coal with carbon France generates 75 percent of its
the world by both Forbes and Red sequestration, wind with CAES, and power through nuclear energy.
Herring magazines. Certainly, he has solar thermal power generation with Nuclear could have a future. That
succeeded more grandly and more storage. I think carbon capture and said, I suspect we are unlikely to go
reliably, and has failed less spectacu- sequestration will be difficult, making to mostly nuclear power in the U.S.,
larly, than any of his peers. In 2004, clean coal more expensive than CSP. because the political and regulatory
he founded Khosla Ventures, which Today, I would put my money on CSP. risks are too high and the time line
advises entrepreneurs and invests in What are the benefits of biofuels? to build plants is too long. What we
his latest area of interest: the clean Biodiesel is a good product, but really need is to build a big, high-
energy technologies that might it’s nonscalable unless it can be made voltage DC power grid, and let
replace the burning of coal and oil. from biomass instead of seed prod- nuclear, wind, solar photovoltaics,
uct. Ethanol is a good start, and it solar CSP, electricity from biomass
TR: Whence this newfound preoccu- will transition quickly to cellulosic- and waste, and anything else innova-
pation with clean energy generation? based production. But I believe new tors can think of get on the grid. We
Khosla: I enjoy looking at hard, fuels like butanol will come along. need to kick-start the alternatives and
important problems that are still I would not be surprised to see bio- let the competitive ones prosper.
manageable. gasoline either, initially made from Do you believe in the hydro-
Funding new energy technologies has corn and later from biomass. gen economy that President Bush
been the work of governments and When will solar cells, or photovoltaics, and others have promoted?
big businesses. Do you really think be sufficiently efficient to contribute sig- Hydrogen makes no sense to
energy a good investment for VCs? nificantly to the globe’s energy needs? me. There are forces that like
Not every energy project can Don’t equate solar with photovol- any technology that is far enough
be funded by venture capital- taic. I think CSP, leveraging the large away that they don’t have to make
ists; some have very long time investment in traditional, steam-based any real changes. We will want to
lines and big budgets. But there power generation, and using pas- reëvaluate hydrogen in 10 years,
are plenty of opportunities that are sive mirrors to concentrate heat, can but it does not look like a win-
amenable to a venture approach. get to 35 percent efficiency today at ning option to me today.
Why are you skeptical about efforts $500 per kilowatt. For photovoltaics Apart from energy, you’ve also shown
to make coal-based energy genera- to compete, we’ll need multijunction some interest in investing in new
tion cleaner and more efficient? thin-film solar cells produced with markets for microloans. Why?
How fast do you think existing cheap mass-production technologies, Microloans are the most effective
energy vendors will move to these and efficiencies above 30 percent. tool in addressing poverty. I am not
clean coal technologies? Alternatives to Does building wind turbines a big believer in the aid and devel-
coal and oil can get here much faster. using coal power vitiate their opment programs that big govern-
That said, clean coal is one option for value as an alternative energy? ments favor. But if entrepreneurs
future power generation. We need reli- Many technologies today have long use microloans to make biomass an
able, predictable power; many people payback periods before the energy important feedstock, for instance,
believe that coal can provide that. But invested in them is returned. If it we will do more to address pov-
concentrating solar power [CSP] is takes so much coal power to pro- erty than all the foreign aid from all
also a real option for large-scale, high- duce the solar cell or wind turbine the developed world. And biomass
capacity, dispatchable power. Thermal that we are not clean-energy positive can be used to produce fuels, elec-
BART NAG E L
underground storage of heat can be for four or five years, is that really a tricity, plastics, and much more.
used for utility-grade power genera- problem? But technology is not static, JASON PONTI N
OPEN SOURCE In this respect, an open-source A final way in which open source
Open Source community is similar to a conven- has changed things is that now, for
tional user group, in which consumers the first time, there is lots of source
and You discuss (or complain about) a compa- code publicly available for aspir-
Sun Microsystems’ Ron Goldman ny’s proprietary product. But unlike a ing programmers to read and study.
says the real value of open-source user group, the open-source commu- Much like writers studying literature,
software is the community it fosters. nity includes the developers who are or architects analyzing great build-
creating the next version of the prod- ings, programmers examining source
uct. This direct connection between code can see examples of good design
Before becoming a neuroscientist, neural prosthesis, and cognitive aug- Startup companies have no dif-
I trained as a physicist and an engi- mentation. The question of how we ficulty at all in treasuring innova-
neer. So I decided to try to invent subjectively experience reality is one tion, since that is the foundation of
tools to help solve the old, unyielding of the great unsolved problems of all their enterprise. But in order to keep
problems of the normal and patho- time and will require new tools, and a culture of innovation alive in estab-
logical brain. I have launched a new collaboration across disciplines, to lished private companies, that cul-
research group at the MIT Media Lab answer. I believe that in this quest, the ture must be deeply embedded in
to develop technologies for control- skills and efforts of neuroengineers the board of directors. Its importance
ling neuronal activity and to use them will be essential. must be stressed when top manage-
to find and engineer the circuit ele- Edward Boyden is an assistant professor at ment is selected and evaluated; it
ments mediating specific states and the MIT Media Lab, where he leads the new must be central when
behaviors. We will also apply these Neuroengineering and Neuromedia Lab. the board sets the
technologies to devising more-tar- company’s goals and
I N N OVAT I O N
geted and noninvasive strategies for direction. Established
correcting brain disorders. These Corporate Fountain companies, how-
efforts may enable neuroscientists to
understand better the links between
of Youth ever, seldom use this
seemingly obvious
Corporate support for innovation
neural-circuit activity and conditions criterion in selecting
needs to begin at the board level,
such as depression (see “Neuron Con- their board mem-
says Sheldon Buckler.
trol,” p. 50). bers. Instead, board
In 2005, I was able, along with my members are gener-
colleagues at the Max Planck Insti-
tute of Biophysics and Stanford Uni-
versity, to cause specific neurons to
A deeply ingrained culture of inno-
vation is vital for all companies,
but particularly for those that are tech-
ally sought for their financial, legal,
and other worthy skills. Innovation
then typically declines, which in turn
fire spikes precisely in response to nology based; it is innovation that shortens corporate life spans—to less
brief pulses of blue light, by express- allows a technology company to con- than 40 years on average.
ing in the neurons a unique mem- tinually generate new business. For To test my feeling about this, I
brane protein from green algae this kind of culture to take hold, all asked members of two executive-
(see “Artificially Firing Neurons,” the microcultures in a company— search practices whether experi-
September/October 2006). My lab including those devoted to busi- ence in and passion for innovation
is developing automated protocols ness planning, marketing, operations, were often among the qualifica-
for using this technique and other and developing new ideas—must be tions sought in prospective board
neural-control tools understood, supported, members. Both said they recalled
we’re inventing to and (though they may at no request for such qualifications,
systematically reveal times seem incompatible) although they did get requests for
the patterns of circuit brought together under backgrounds in academia and tech-
activity and behav- leadership that truly cares nology. This response clearly sug-
ior that are mediated about creativity. gests that those who are responsible
by a specific neuron When such a culture for making board selections in
or set of neurons. We is in place and creating a established companies inadequately
are also exploring the steady stream of innova- understand innovation and lack com-
systematic use of neural- tions, a company enjoys mitment to it.
control technologies to correct an institutional value beyond Wall I am convinced that all technology
neurological and psychiatric defi- Street appraisals based on financial companies stand to gain in both
cits and to improve cognition. metrics. In my experience serving on vitality and longevity if they focus on
Our brains are the ultimate inter- the boards of a variety of companies, bringing people who support innova-
face between us and the world. this outcome is easiest to achieve in tion to the enterprise in many roles,
Directly engineering this interface private companies, where manage- but particularly at the board level.
may give us new insights into how we ment can focus on creating long-term
Sheldon Buckler is chairman of Lord Corpo-
feel sensations, decide upon actions, value without fretting about a few ration, a private technology-based company
and become aware of ourselves—and pennies per share with every quar- in Cary, NC. (A minority share is owned by a
enable new modes of communication, terly report. foundation that exclusively benefits MIT.)
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Executive Director, Center Chairman, Founder, & Professor of International Professor of Business Chairman, Chief Executive Chairman & Chief
for Open Innovation, President, X-Prize Business and director of Administration, Harvard Officer, & President, Executive Officer,
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Berkeley & Best Selling – Zero Gravity Leadership at Dartmouth & Best Selling Author Entertainment Inc.
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treat cancers more effectively. Finally, by combining location sensors and advanced visual algorithms with cell
phones, mobile augmented reality technology could make it easier to just figure out where we are.
T
ed Stevens, the 83-year-old senior thanks to the exploding popularity of for piracy, and millions have used P2P
senator from Alaska, was widely digital video. networks such as Gnutella, Kazaa,
ridiculed last year for a speech TV shows, YouTube clips, anima- and BitTorrent to help themselves to
in which he described the Internet as tions, and other video applications copyrighted content. But Zhang thinks
“a series of tubes.” Yet clumsy as his already account for more than 60 per- this black-sheep technology can be
metaphor may have been, Stevens was cent of Internet traffic, says CacheLogic, reformed and put to work helping
struggling to make a reasonable point: a Cambridge, England, company that legitimate content owners and Internet-
J O H N H E R S EY
the tubes can get clogged. And that sells media delivery systems to content backbone operators deliver more video
may happen sooner than expected, owners and Internet service providers without overloading the network.
Francis is testing a P2P system called about volume,” he says. “Of course, we Francis’s Cornell lab, even as they
Chunkyspread that combines the best don’t want the service providers to dic- build devices designed to help con-
features of trees and meshes. Members’ tate what they will carry on their infra- sumers download video and other files
PCs are arranged in a classic tree, but structure. On the other hand, if P2P over P2P networks. Manufacturers
they can also connect to one another, users benefit from transmitting and Asus, Planex, and QNAP, for example,
reducing the burden on the branches. receiving more bits, the guys who are are working with BitTorrent to embed
Just as important, Chunkyspread actually transporting those bits should the company’s P2P software in their
reassembles files in “slices” rather be able to share in that.” home routers, media servers, and
than blocks. A slice consists of the Networking and hardware compa- storage devices. With luck, Senator
nth bit of every block—for example, nies have their eyes on technologies Stevens’s tubes may stay unblocked a
the fifth bit in every block of 20 bits. emerging from places like Rinera and little longer.
Alice’s PC might obtain a commitment
from Bob’s PC to send bit five from E N E R GY
every block it possesses, from Carol’s
PC to send bit six, and so forth. Once
these commitments are made, no more
Nanocharging Solar
metadata need change hands, saving Arthur Nozik believes quantum-dot solar power could boost
bandwidth. In simulations, Francis output in cheap photovoltaics. By David Talbot
says, Chunkyspread far outperforms
simple tree-based multicast methods.
Zhang thinks new technology can
N
o renewable power source has postulated that quantum dots of certain
also make carrying P2P traffic more as much theoretical potential semiconductor materials could release
palatable for ISPs. Right now, opera- as solar energy. But the prom- two or more electrons when struck by
tors have little idea what kind of data ise of cheap and abundant solar power high-energy photons, such as those
flows through their networks. At remains unmet, largely because today’s found toward the blue and ultraviolet
his Pittsburgh-based stealth startup, solar cells are so costly to make. end of the spectrum.
Rinera Networks, Zhang is developing Photovoltaic cells use semiconduc- In 2004, Victor Klimov of Los
software that will identify P2P data, tors to convert light energy into electri- Alamos National Laboratory in New
let ISPs decide how much of it they’re cal current. The workhorse photovoltaic Mexico provided the first experimen-
willing to carry, at what volume and material, silicon, performs this conver- tal proof that Nozik was right; last year
price, and then deliver it as reliably as sion fairly efficiently, but silicon cells he showed that quantum dots of lead
server-based content distribution sys- are relatively expensive to manufacture. selenide could produce up to seven
tems do—all while tracking everything Some other semiconductors, which electrons per photon when exposed to
for accounting purposes. “We want to can be deposited as thin films, have high-energy ultraviolet light. Nozik’s
build an ecosystem such that service reached market, but although they’re team soon demonstrated the effect in
providers will actually benefit from cheaper, their efficiency doesn’t com- dots made of other semiconductors,
P2P traffic,” Zhang explains. Heavy pare to that of silicon. A new solution such as lead sulfide and lead telluride.
P2P users might end up paying extra may be in the offing: some chemists These experiments have not yet
fees—but in the end, content owners think that quantum dots—tiny crystals produced a material suitable for com-
and consumers won’t gripe, he argues, of semiconductors just a few nano- mercialization, but they do suggest that
since better accounting should make meters wide—could at last make solar quantum dots could someday increase
the Internet function more effectively power cost-competitive with electricity the efficiency of converting sunlight
for everyone. from fossil fuels. into electricity. And since quantum dots
If this smells like a violation of the By dint of their size, quantum dots can be made using simple chemical
Internet’s tradition of network neutrality— have unique abilities to interact with reactions, they could also make solar
the principle that ISPs should treat all light. In silicon, one photon of light cells far less expensive. Researchers
bits equally, regardless of their origin— frees one electron from its atomic orbit. in Nozik’s lab, whose results have not
LAN C E W. C LAYTO N
then it’s because the tradition needs In the late 1990s, Arthur Nozik, a senior been published, recently demonstrated
to be updated for an era of very large research fellow at the National Renew- the extra-electron effect in quantum
file transfers, Zhang believes. “It’s all able Energy Laboratory in Golden, CO, dots made of silicon; these dots would
observation to active intervention and tool but a treatment in itself, used to find safe gene-therapy methods for
control,” says Gero Miesenböck, a neu- alongside therapies that electrically delivering the switch to the target cells,
roscientist at Yale University. By evok- stimulate large areas of the brain to as well as a way to shine light deep
ing sensations or movements directly, treat depression or Parkinson’s dis- into the brain. “It’s a long way off,” says
he says, “you can forge a much ease. By activating only specific neu- Deisseroth. “But the obstacles aren’t
stronger connection between mental rons, a specially engineered light switch insurmountable.” In the meantime, neu-
activity and behavior.” could limit those therapies’ side effects. roscientists have the use of a powerful
E LAI N E K U R I E
Deisseroth hopes his technology will Of course, the researchers will need to new tool in their quest to uncover the
one day become not just a research solve some problems first: they’ll need secrets of the brain.
N A N OT E C H N O LO GY
Nanohealing
Tiny fibers will save lives by
stopping bleeding and aiding
recovery from brain injury,
says Rutledge Ellis-Behnke.
By Kevin Bullis
I
n the break room near his lab in
MIT’s brand-new neuroscience
building, research scientist Rutledge
Ellis-Behnke provides impromptu nar-
ration for a video of himself perform-
ing surgery. In the video, Ellis-Behnke
makes a deep cut in the liver of a rat,
intentionally slicing through a main
artery. As the liver pulses from the pres-
sure of the rat’s beating heart, blood
spills from the wound. Then Ellis-
Behnke covers the wound with a clear
liquid, and the bleeding stops almost at
once. Untreated, the wound would have
proved fatal, but the rat lived on.
The liquid Ellis-Behnke used is a
novel material made of nanoscale pro-
tein fragments, or peptides. Its ability to
stop bleeding almost instantly could be
invaluable in surgery, at accident sites,
or on the battlefield. Under conditions
like those inside the body, the peptides
self-assemble into a fibrous mesh that had been studying a repeating DNA self-assemble into curved ribbons.
to the naked eye appears to be a trans- sequence that coded for a peptide. He The process transforms a liquid pep-
parent gel. Even more remarkably, the and a colleague inadvertently found tide solution into a clear gel.
material creates an environment that that under certain conditions, copies Originally, Ellis-Behnke intended
may accelerate healing of damaged of the peptide would combine into to use the material to promote the
brain and spinal tissue. fibers. Zhang and his colleagues began healing of brain and spinal-cord inju-
Ellis-Behnke stumbled on the mate- to reëngineer the peptides to exhibit ries. In young animals, neurons are
rial’s capacity to stanch bleeding by specific responses to electric charges surrounded by materials that help
chance, during experiments designed and water. They ended up with a 16- them grow; Ellis-Behnke thought that
to help restore vision to brain-damaged amino-acid peptide that looks like a the peptide gel could create a simi-
hamsters. And his discovery was itself comb, with water-loving teeth project- lar environment and prevent the for-
P H OTO G RAP H S BY AS IA K E P KA
made possible by earlier serendipitous ing from a water-repelling spine. In a mation of scar tissue, which obstructs
events. In the early 1990s, Shuguang salty, aqueous environment—such as the regrowth of severed neurons. “It’s
Zhang, now a biomedical engineer at that inside the body—the spines spon- like if you’re walking through a field
MIT, was working in the lab of MIT taneously cluster together to avoid the of wheat, you can walk easily because
biologist Alexander Rich. Zhang water, forming long, thin fibers that the wheat moves out of the way,” he
T E LE C O M
Augmented
Reality
Markus Kähäri wants to
superimpose digital
information on the real
world. By Erika Jonietz
C O U RTE SY O F R UTLE D G E E LLI S-B E H N K E (B LE E D I N G); P H OTO I LLU STRATI O N BY J EAN P R O B E RT (R EALITY)
Not only would it stop the bleeding can save a lot of people.” Ellis-Behnke added a GPS sensor, a compass, and
caused by surgical incisions, but it and his colleagues are also continuing accelerometers to a Nokia smart phone.
could also form a protective layer over to explore the material’s nerve regen- Using data from these sensors, the
wounds. And since the new material eration capabilities. They’re looking for phone can calculate the location of just
is transparent, surgeons should be able ways to increase the rate of neuronal about any object its camera is aimed at.
to apply a layer of it and then operate growth so that doctors can treat larger Each time the phone changes location,
through it. “When you perform sur- brain injuries, such as those that can it retrieves the names and geographical
gery, you are constantly suctioning and result from stroke. But such a treat- coördinates of nearby landmarks from
cleaning the site to be able to see it,” ment will take at least five to ten years an external database. The user can then
says Ram Chuttani, a gastroenterolo- to reach humans, Ellis-Behnke says. download additional information about
gist and professor at Harvard Medi- Even without regenerating nerves, a chosen location from the Web—say,
cal School. “But if you can seal it, you the material could save countless lives the names of businesses in the Empire
can continue to perform the surgery in surgery or at accident sites. And State Building, the cost of visiting the
with much clearer vision.” The hope already, the material’s performance is building’s observatories, or hours and
is that surgeons will be able to oper- encouraging research by demonstrat- menus for its five eateries.
ate faster, thus reducing complications. ing how engineering nanostructures to The Nokia project builds on more
The material may also make it possible self-assemble in the body could pro- than a decade of academic research
to perform more procedures in a mini- foundly improve medicine. into mobile augmented reality. Steven
T
cost of the sensors the Nokia team he announcement last November it through the fabric, the threads are
used, some engineers believe that of an “invisibility shield,” created distorted, making a hole in the fabric.
they introduce too much complexity by David R. Smith of Duke Uni- Light, forced to follow the threads, is
for a commercial application. “In my versity and colleagues, inevitably set the routed around the hole. John Pendry
opinion, this is very exotic hardware to media buzzing with talk of H. G. Wells’s at Imperial College in London calcu-
provide,” says Valentin Lefevre, chief invisible man and Star Trek’s Romulans. lated what would be required of a meta-
technology officer and cofounder of Using rings of printed circuit boards, the material that would accomplish exactly
Total Immersion, an augmented-reality researchers managed to divert micro- this. The waves are transmitted around
company in Suresnes, France. “That’s waves around a kind of “hole in space”; the hole and combined on the other side.
why we think picture analysis is the even when a metal cylinder was placed So you can put an object in the hole, and
solution.” Relying on software alone, at the center of the hole, the microwaves the waves won’t “see” it—it’s as if they’d
Total Immersion’s system begins with a behaved as though nothing were there. crossed a region of empty space.
single still image of whatever object the It was arguably the most dramatic
camera is aimed at, plus a rough digital demonstration so far of what can be And then you made it?
model of that object; image-recognition achieved with metamaterials, compos- Yes—once we had the prescription,
algorithms then determine what data ites made up of precisely arranged pat- we set about using the techniques we’d
should be superimposed on the image. terns of two or more distinct materials. developed over the past few years to
The company is already marketing a These structures can manipulate electro- make the material. We did the experi-
mobile version of its system to cell- magnetic radiation, including light, in ment at microwave frequencies because
phone operators in Asia and Europe ways not readily observed in nature. For the techniques are very well estab-
and expects the system’s first applica- example, photonic crystals—arrays of lished there and we knew we would
tions to be in gaming and advertising. identical microscopic blocks separated be able to produce a demonstration
Nokia researchers have begun work- by voids—can reflect or even inhibit the quickly. We printed millimeter-scale
ing on real-time image-recognition propagation of certain wavelengths of metal wires and split rings, shaped
algorithms as well; they hope the algo- light; assemblies of small wire circuits, like the letter C, onto fiberglass cir-
rithms will eliminate the need for loca- like those Smith used in his invisibility cuit boards. The shield consisted of
tion sensors and improve their system’s shield, can bend light in strange ways. about 10 concentric cylinders made up
accuracy and reliability. “Methods that But can we really use such materials of these split-ring building blocks, each
don’t rely on those components can be to make objects seem to vanish? Philip with a slightly different pattern.
more robust,” says Kari Pulli, a research Ball spoke with Smith, who explains
fellow at the Nokia Research Center in why metamaterials are literally chang- So an object inside the shield is actually
Palo Alto, CA. ing the way we view the world. invisible?
All parties agree, though, that mobile More or less, but when we talk about
augmented reality is nearly ready for the TR: How do metamaterials let you make invisibility in these structures, it’s not
market. “For mobile-phone applications, things invisible? about making things vanish before our
the technology is here,” says Feiner. One Smith: It’s a somewhat complicated eyes—at least, not yet. We can hide them
challenge is convincing carriers such as procedure but can be very simple to from microwaves, but the shield is plain
Sprint or Verizon that customers would visualize. Picture a fabric formed from enough to see. This isn’t like stealth
pay for augmented-reality services. “If interwoven threads, in which light is shielding on military aircraft, where
some big operator in the U.S. would constrained to travel along the threads. you just try to eliminate reflection—
launch this, it could fly today,” Pulli says. Well, if you now take a pin and push the microwaves seem literally to pass
through the object inside the shield. If One of the most provocative and con- Making a negative-index material
this could work with visible light, then troversial predictions came from John that works for visible light is more dif-
you really would see the object vanish. Pendry, who predicted that a material ficult, because the building blocks have
with a negative refractive index could to be much smaller—no bigger than 10 to
Could you hide a large object, like an focus light more finely than any conven- 20 nanometers. That’s now very possible
airplane, from radar by covering its sur- tional lens material. The refractive index to achieve, however, and several groups
face with the right metamaterial? measures how much light bends when are working on it. If it can be done, these
I’m not sure we can do that. If you it passes through a material—that’s what metamaterials could be used to increase
look at stealth technology today, it’s makes a pole dipped in water look as the amount of information stored on
generally interested in hiding objects though it bends. A negative refractive CDs and DVDs or to speed up trans-
from detection over a large radar band- index means the material bends light the mission and reduce power consumption
width. But the invisibility bandwidth is “wrong” way. So far, we and others have in fiber-optic telecommunications.
inherently limited in our approach. The been working not with visible light but We can also concentrate electro-
same is true for hiding objects from all with microwaves, which are also electro- magnetic fields—the exact opposite of
wavelengths of visible light—that would magnetic radiation, but with a longer what the cloak does—which might be
certainly be a stretch. wavelength. This means the compo- valuable in energy-harvesting applica-
nents of the metamaterial must be corre- tions. With a suitable metamaterial, we
How else might we use metamaterials? spondingly bigger, and so they’re much could concentrate light coming from
Well, this is really an entirely new easier to make. Pendry’s suggestion was any direction—you wouldn’t need direct
approach to optics. There’s a huge confirmed in 2005 by a group from the sunlight. Right now we’re trying to
amount of freedom for design, and as is University of California, Berkeley, who design structures like this. If we could
DAVI D D EAL
usual with new technology, the best uses made a negative-refractive-index meta- achieve that for visible light, it could
probably haven’t been thought of yet. material for microwaves. make solar power more efficient.
shot, each of its four million image sen- sensor to collect just enough informa- has produced an advanced demonstra-
sors characterizes the light striking it tion to let a novel algorithm reconstruct tion in a relatively short time, says Dave
with a single number; together, the num- a high-resolution image. Brady of Duke University. “They’ve
really pushed the applications of the technology could find its way into con- set out to improve the detection of epi-
theory,” he says. sumer products, allowing tiny mobile- leptic seizures; ultimately, Guttag and
Kelly suspects that we could see the phone cameras to produce high-quality, graduate student Ali Shoeb designed
first practical applications of compres- poster-size images. As our world personalized seizure detectors. In 2004,
sive sensing within two years, in MRI becomes increasingly digital, compres- the team examined recordings of the
systems that capture images up to 10 sive sensing is set to improve virtually brain waves of more than 30 children
times as quickly as today’s scanners any imaging system, providing an effi- with epilepsy, before, during, and after
do. In five to ten years, he says, the cient and elegant way to get the picture. seizures. They used the data to train a
“classification algorithm” to distinguish
M E DICI N E between seizure and nonseizure wave-
forms. With the help of the algorithm,
I
n late spring 2000, John Guttag came challenge. “Health care just seemed like nerve. The implant typically works in
home from surgery. It had been a an area that was tremendously in need one of two ways: either it turns on every
simple procedure to repair a torn liga- of our expertise,” he says. few minutes, regardless of a patient’s
ment in his knee, and he had no plans The ripest challenge, Guttag says, brain activity, or patients sweep a mag-
to revisit the hospital anytime soon. But is analyzing the huge amounts of data net over it, activating it when they sense
that same day his son, then a junior in generated by medical tests. Today’s a seizure coming on. Both methods have
high school, complained of chest pains. physicians are bombarded with physio- their drawbacks, so Guttag is designing
Guttag’s wife promptly got back in the logical information—temperature and a noninvasive, software-driven sensor
car and returned to the hospital, where blood pressure readings, MRI scans, programmed to measure the wearer’s
their son was diagnosed with a col- electrocardiogram (EKG) readouts, and brain waves and determine what pat-
lapsed lung and immediately admit- x-rays, to name a few. Wading through terns—specific to him or her—signify
ted. Over the next year, Guttag and his a single patient’s record to determine the onset of a seizure. Once those pat-
wife spent weeks at a time in and out of signs of, say, a heart attack or stroke terns are detected, a device can auto-
the hospital with their son, who under- can be difficult and time consuming. matically activate an implant, stopping
went multiple surgeries and treatments Guttag believes computers can help the seizure in its tracks.
for a series of recurrences. doctors efficiently interpret these ever- Guttag plans to test the sensor, essen-
During that time, Guttag witnessed growing masses of data. By quickly per- tially a bathing cap of electrodes that fits
what became a familiar scenario. “The ceiving patterns that might otherwise over the scalp, on a handful of patients
doctors would come in, take a stetho- be buried, he says, software may pro- at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Cen-
scope, listen to his lungs, and make a vide the key to more precise and per- ter this spring. Down the line, such a
pronouncement like ‘He’s 10 percent sonalized medicine. “People aren’t sensor could also help people without
better than yesterday,’ and I wanted good at spotting trends unless they’re implants, simply warning them to sit
to say, ‘I don’t believe that,’” he says. very obvious,” says Guttag. “It dawned down, pull over, or get to a safe place
“You can’t possibly sit there and listen on me that doctors were doing things before a seizure begins. “Just a warn-
with your ears and tell me you can hear that a computer could do better.” ing could be enormously life changing,”
a 10 percent difference. Surely there’s a For instance, making sense of the says Guttag. “It’s all the collateral dam-
way to do this more precisely.” body’s electrical signals seemed, to age that people really fear.”
It was an observation that any con- Guttag, to be a natural fit for computer Now he’s turned his attention to pat-
cerned parent might make, but for science. Some of his earlier work on terns of the heart. Like the brain, car-
Guttag, who was then head of MIT’s computer networks caught the atten- diac activity is governed by electrical
Department of Electrical Engineering tion of physicians at Children’s Hospital signals, so moving into cardiology is a
and Computer Science, it was a personal Boston. The doctors and the engineer natural transition for Guttag.
clinician to use it,” says Kannry. to get around the diffraction limit in the device by first depositing an insulat-
Still, Guttag feels he is well on his lab—but the systems they’ve devised ing layer onto the light-emitting edge of
way toward integrating computing into have been too fragile and complicated the laser. Then they add a layer of gold.
medical diagnostics. “People have very for practical use. Now Harvard Univer- They carve away most of the gold, leav-
different reactions when you tell them sity electrical engineers led by Kenneth ing two rectangles of only 130 by 50
computers are going to make decisions Crozier and Federico Capasso have nanometers, with a 30-nanometer gap
for you,” he says. “But we’ve gotten to discovered a simple process that could between them. These form an antenna.
the point where computers fly our air- bring the benefits of tightly focused light When light from the laser strikes the
planes for us, so there’s every reason beams to commercial applications. By rectangles, the antenna has what
to be optimistic.” adding nanoscale “optical antennas” to Capasso calls a “lightning-rod effect”: an
W
requires a large machine that costs mil- e all know that focusing on cell is stuffed with mysterious compo-
lions of dollars and is too slow to be the characteristics of a group nents. So Dovichi has helped pioneer
used in mass production. “This is a hell can obscure the differences ultrasensitive techniques to isolate cells
of a lot simpler,” says Kino of Crozier and between the individuals in it. Yet when and reveal molecules inside them that
Capasso’s technique, which relies on a it comes to biological cells, scientists no one even knew were there.
laser that costs about $50. typically derive information about their Dovichi’s lab—one of a rapidly grow-
But before the antennas can be used behavior, status, and health from the col- ing number of groups that focus on
for lithography, the engineers will need to lective activity of thousands or millions single cells—has had particular success
make them even smaller: the size of the of them. A more precise understanding at identifying differences in the amounts
antennas must be tailored to the wave- of differences between individual cells of dozens of distinct proteins produced
length of the light they focus. Crozier and could lead to better treatments for can- by individual cancer cells. “Ten years
Capasso’s experiments have used infra- cer and diabetes, just for starters. ago, I would have thought it would have
red lasers, and photolithography relies The past few decades have seen the been almost impossible to do that,” says
on shorter-wavelength ultraviolet light. In advent of methods that allow astonish- Robert Kennedy, an analytical chem-
order to inscribe circuitry on microchips, ingly detailed views of single cells—each ist at the University of Michigan–Ann
the researchers must create antennas of which can produce thousands of dif- Arbor, who analyzes insulin secretion
just 50 nanometers long. ferent proteins, lipids, hormones, and from single cells to uncover the causes
Capasso and Crozier’s optical metabolites. But most of those meth- of the most common type of diabetes.
antennas could have far-reaching and ods have a stark limitation: they rely on And Dovichi has a provocative
unpredictable implications, from super- “affinity reagents,” such as antibodies that hypothesis: he thinks that as a can-
dense optical storage to superhigh- attach to specific proteins. As a result, cer progresses, cells of the same type
resolution optical microscopes. researchers can use them to study only diverge more and more widely in their
Enabling engineers to simply and what’s known to exist. “The unexpected protein content. If this proves true, then
cheaply break the diffraction limit has is invisible,” says Norman Dovichi, an vast dissimilarities between cells would
E LAI N E K U R I E
made the many applications that rely on analytical chemist at the University of indicate a disease that is more likely to
light shine that much brighter. Washington, Seattle. And most every spread. Dovichi is working with clini-
has an unprecedented sensitivity and With more than 700 attorneys and other professionals, and a robust global
makes visible potentially critical differ- network of venture capital and investment banking firms from Silicon Valley
ences. “For our cancer prognosis proj- to Boston and New York, we focus on removing hurdles to your success.
ects, we don’t need to know the identity
of the components,” Dovichi says. SM
L
ast year, Eric Miller, an MIT-affiliated computer sci- Already, these techniques are helping developers stitch
entist, stood on a beach in southern France, watch- together complex applications or bring once-inaccessible
ing the sun set, studying a document he’d printed data sources online. Semantic Web tools now in use improve
earlier that afternoon. A March rain had begun to and automate database searches, helping people choose
fall, and the ink was beginning to smear. vacation destinations or sort through complicated finan-
Five years before, he’d agreed to lead a diverse group cial data more efficiently. It may be years before the Web is
of researchers working on a project called the Semantic populated by truly intelligent software agents automatically
Web, which seeks to give computers the ability—the seem- doing our bidding, but their precursors are helping people
ing intelligence—to understand content on the World Wide find better answers to questions today.
Web. At the time, he’d made a list of goals, a copy of which The “3.0” claim is ambitious, casting these new tools as
he now held in his hand. If he’d achieved those goals, his successors to several earlier—but still viable—generations of
part of the job was done. Net technology. Web 1.0 refers to the first generation of the
Taking stock on the beach, he crossed off items one by commercial Internet, dominated by content that was only
one. The Semantic Web initiative’s basic standards were in marginally interactive. Web 2.0, characterized by features
place; big companies were involved; startups were merging such as tagging, social networks, and user-created taxono-
or being purchased; analysts and national and international mies of content called “folksonomies,” added a new layer of
newspapers, not just technical publications, were writing interactivity, represented by sites such as Flickr, Del.icio.us,
about the project. Only a single item remained: taking the and Wikipedia.
technology mainstream. Maybe it was time to make this Analysts, researchers, and pundits have subsequently
happen himself, he thought. Time to move into the busi- argued over what, if anything, would deserve to be called
ness world at last. “3.0.” Definitions have ranged from widespread mobile
“For the Semantic Web, it was no longer a matter of if broadband access to a Web full of on-demand software ser-
but of when,” Miller says. “I felt I could be more useful by vices. A much-read article in the New York Times last Novem-
helping people get on with it.” ber clarified the debate, however. In it, John Markoff defined
Now, six months after the launch of his own Zepheira, a Web 3.0 as a set of technologies that offer efficient new ways
consulting company that helps businesses link fragmented to help computers organize and draw conclusions from online
data sources into easily searched wholes, Miller’s beachside data, and that definition has since dominated discussions at
decision seems increasingly prescient. The Semantic Web conferences, on blogs, and among entrepreneurs.
community’s grandest visions, of data-surfing computer ser- The 3.0 moniker has its critics. Miller himself, like many
vants that automatically reason their way through problems, in his research community, frowns at the idea of apply-
have yet to be fulfilled. But the basic technologies that Miller ing old-fashioned software release numbers to a Web that
shepherded through research labs and standards commit- evolves continually and on many fronts. Yet even skeptics
tees are joining the everyday Web. They can be found every- acknowledge the advent of something qualitatively different.
where—on entertainment and travel sites, in business and Early versions of technologies that meet Markoff’s defini-
scientific databases—and are forming the core of what some tion are being built into the new online TV service Joost.
promoters call a nascent “Web 3.0.” They’ve been used to organize Yahoo’s food section and
Moderator:
“The Future of RFID” Jason Pontin
Editor in Chief and Publisher,
What is the future of RFID? The adoption of this promising technol- Technology Review
ogy has been slowed by the lack of global standards and rising privacy
concerns. What is being done to address these issues? Panelists:
John Greaves
RFID Pioneer and Former Vice
Technology Review, the authority on the future of technology, focuses President, NCR’s Global RFID Group
on RFID as the first topic in our Expert Webcast Series. We have
assembled a panel of experts in the field to explore the current state David Jacoby
of RFID and the future impact of this revolutionary technology. President, Boston Logistics Group
Yael Maguire
Themes to be discussed: Cofounder and CTO, ThingMagic
• The creation of effective global standards
• Marketplace expansion and potential impact Sanjay Sarma
Cofounder, Auto-ID Center, MIT
• Promising new technologies and EPCGlobal Board Member
sponsored by
Be remarkable. (AIT).
We arrived by rental car and parked next to a delivery van in the lot closest
to the freeway on-ramp. The van hid us from the security cam atop a nearby
light pole. We were early, traffic being lighter than expected. As we waited,
we touched up our disguises. ¶ At 09:55, we left the car singly and pro-
ceeded to our target site by separate mall entrances. I rode the escalators
to the food court on the third level, while G, C, and B quickly reconned the
lower floors, where shops were just opening their grates.
I started at the burger stand and ordered a break- my shares in Toodle-Do and took the most demeaning,
fast sandwich. The girl behind the counter was pretty, most mindless ‘real job’ I could find!” She gestured to
mid-20s, talking on her cell. She snapped it shut and take in the whole burger stand. “See that?” She pointed
asked, without making eye contact, if I wanted some- at the deep-fat fryers, where a pimply boy was racking
thing to drink with that. She looked as if she’d been baskets of fries. “I stand next to boiling grease all day.
crying. I said no thanks, and she rang up and assem- When I go home, I don’t even have to open my mouth.
bled my order. As she did so, I ticked off the mental No way! It’s in my hair. It’s in my clothes. It’s in my
checklist we had memorized: slurring of speech— skin.” She raised both wrists to her nose and inhaled. “I
negative; loss of balance or coördination—negative. smell like a freakin’ exhaust fan, and it drives her mad!
About two dozen data points in all. Oh, it pushes her right over the edge! My grandmother
When my receipt printed out, she tore it off with died of a stroke when she was only in her 50s, and every
a deft flick of her wrist and glanced up at me. Appar- night I pray to God to give my mother one too!”
ently that was all it took, because she said, “I’m only She went on like this, and the fries boy came over
working here to kill my mother.” to add masturbatory sins of his own, but I’d heard
I made no reply, as per instructions, and fresh tears enough and took my egg sandwich to the seating area.
welled in her eyes. “Oh, it’s true!” she declared. “I’m a I spied a middle-aged man in a rumpled suit talking
spiteful daughter who only lives to torment her mother. on a cell phone. He had a cup of coffee, so I went over
I admit it! I have a freakin’ master’s degree in market- to sit near him. He was so engrossed in his conversa-
ing from NYU, and I was a founding owner of Toodle- tion that he didn’t notice me eavesdropping.
Do.biz. I practically ran Toodle-Do from my bedroom. “Uh-huh … uh-huh,” he said while pushing dough-
Sixteen hours a day! But did she care? No! She was nut crumbs around the tabletop with his finger. “The
all, ‘Why don’t you find a real job?’ She couldn’t even reason I called … uh-huh … the reason I called … uh-
comprehend what Toodle-Do was. I mean, I could tie huh.” He took a final sip of coffee and said, “Listen,
her to a chair and put a fucking laptop in her fucking Ted, shut up for a minute, will you? I have something
lap and use her own finger to point at the screen, and important to say. Yeah … that’s right. You’re my brother,
still she can’t see it. I mean, what do I have to do?” and I love you, but I’ve been holding this back for too
Once she was rolling, the young woman’s confession long. Uh-huh … You know Billy? Yeah, your kid, Billy,
built up momentum and volume, and her coworkers only he’s”—the man wiped his brow with a paper nap-
glanced nervously at us. “I’ll tell you what I did! I sold kin—“he’s not your son. He’s your nephew.”
There was a long pause, and then the man contin- full of pulled pork, bragged that our old college crowd
ued, “What the hell do I mean? I’ll tell you what the could form such an organization. Even better—because
hell I mean.” And he did so, in excruciating detail. I we weren’t limited to box-cutter technology, we could
half listened as I checked off my list: muscle twitch- out-qaeda al-Qaeda.
ing—negative; bizarre behavior—negative. Out of the ● ● ●
corner of my eye I watched G, C, and B working the It was a beer-soaked boast, soon forgotten. But not a
other tables, approaching anyone drinking coffee from week later, the president of the United States held a
one of our vendors. news conference at the White House. When reporters
● ● ● asked him about Osama bin Laden, who had recently
We compared notes on the drive back to the motel. escaped capture by our troops in Afghanistan, he said,
Beyond a doubt, True Confessions was a keeper. The “I truly am not that concerned about him.”
early reports on its harmlessness seemed justified. Nev- ● ● ●
ertheless, C’s idea of delivering test doses via adulterated In all honesty, this presidential statement floored
coffee was a brilliant precaution, because no children me. Not concerned about bin Laden? How could our
became involved. We’re patriots, not monsters. president not be concerned about him? Was there
● ● ● anything our government could have found to say to
M’s part in the operation had concluded that morning, the American people that day more knuckleheaded
and when we arrived at the motel room, she was in than this?
the bathroom removing tattoos. We quickly changed A few of my friends gathered again, this time stone
our clothes and cleaned the room for final departure, sober. We played one of bin Laden’s videotaped ser-
meanwhile logging our test results. M came out of the mons to the West. This lunatic with a Kalashnikov,
bathroom a new brunette with scrubbed pink arms, wagging his finger at our whole culture, had some-
and B and G went in to remove their disguises. M how slipped through our military’s grasp at Tora Bora.
walked around the room gathering up her things and We should have had him—but we didn’t. And then—
asking how it all went. C looked up from his handset according to the president—he and his whole murder-
long enough to say, “It’s true! No offense is too large ous crew dropped off our radar altogether?
or too small for a detailed accounting.” That didn’t sit well with my friends and me, but we
M nodded thoughtfully, then turned to me and weren’t sure what to make of it. The news-conference
said, “And this is a good thing, why?” dismissal might have been nothing more than our
I just grinned, and she let it drop, said she had to president’s sometimes difficult way with words. Or
go get her kid, and left. his inability to admit to failure. But we didn’t think
G, meanwhile, was in the bathroom brewing up a so. Most likely it was the president’s way of admit-
celebratory pot of coffee. His idea of a joke. ting that the hunt for bin Laden had gotten lost in the
● ● ● shuffle on the road to war in Iraq. It made us wonder
Six years ago, in March 2002, I happened to attend if there wasn’t a place for private citizens in the war
a barbecue in the backyard of some good friends. As on terror. Perhaps we could lend a hand.
the flesh sizzled on the grill, we attempted small talk ● ● ●
to pass the time, as we usually did. But in those early An affinity group can form around any mutual interest:
months, feelings were still too raw for small talk. tasting Beaujolais wines, singing in a choir, attending
Fortunately, there was beer. a communal sauna. We called our group the Ameri-
Someone had read an article—“The Battle of the can Curling Club. We are a small group of men and
Organizational Charts”—comparing the relative effi- women who roomed and/or socialized together in col-
cacies of a classical top-down hierarchy like General lege back in the day. We came from middle-class families
Motors and a distributed network like al-Qaeda. and attended a prestigious, but not Ivy League, school.
Apparently, the term “al-Qaeda” means “the data- There wasn’t a legacy among us. We pretty much put
base” in Arabic and was coined in the 1980s, when we ourselves through school with student loans, scholarships
were fielding freedom fighters in our Afghan proxy and grants, parental handouts, and part-time jobs.
war against the Soviets. Not an operational organiza- After graduation, we went our separate ways but
tion itself, al-Qaeda is a sort of “Ford Foundation for kept in touch. We attended each other’s weddings,
jihadist startups,” as a pundit put it, that provides sup- and we are watching each other’s kids grow up. We
port in the form of financing, expertise, and coördina- have built comfortable lives. We have climbed to
tion. In an “ah-ha moment,” one of us, with a mouth upper-management positions in our chosen fields.
We firmly believe in freedom and free markets. We What if we afflicted all adult males taller than six foot
are Christians, or at least most of us are. We’re your three in the tribal regions of Pakistan with the mother of
average janes and joes with no particular ax to grind, all tooth abscesses, requiring immediate dental surgery
except this one—Osama bin Laden must pay in full in Peshawar, and then watched the dentists?
measure for what he has done. With righteous fervor, in sessions that lasted
● ● ● through the night, we loosed the dogs of ingenuity
The American Curling Club formed in order to play upon the Sheikh of Saudi Arabia.
a key role in bringing bin Laden to justice: namely, to What if we made the mountains of eastern Afghani-
locate him. It seemed to us to be an important and stan begin to hum? An unrelenting low-frequency
doable project. If our government couldn’t or wouldn’t thrumming that seemed to rise from the very rocks
find him, we would. And when we found him, if only and that drove people out into open spaces scream-
his grave, we would forward his coördinates to the rele- ing and tearing their hair?
vant agencies. We would do this as a public service, not ● ● ●
for the $25 million State Department bounty on him. My own résumé nominated me to form and coördi-
Though our mission was lawful, we realized that nate our go-to cells, including an elite cell that I headed
pursuing it might require us to bend a few rules and myself. Among my first recruits were several Desert
make a few enemies. So we pledged our own lives and Storm vets whose toughness and loyalty were known
liberty to each other and swore an oath of secrecy. We to me. They, in turn, helped me do background checks
established appropriate security protocols to shield and interviews to fill out their own cells.
the ACC core group. People claim that this nation of ours is too polar-
Collectively, we had expertise in a number of fields, ized, that we hardly recognize the other half that
including telecommunications, biochemistry, the mili- doesn’t think as we do. But I’m here to say there’s
tary, civil government, and finance, but our contacts one issue that all Americans can agree on, no matter
extended far into other areas. Each of us was charged where they stand on most everything else: our nation
with organizing further assets—networked cells and won’t rest until Osama bin Laden faces justice. This
task groups—behind strong firewalls. Initially we truth alone was our most effective recruitment tool.
chipped in our own savings to bootstrap our enter- We characterized the ACC as an off-the-books gov-
prise, but eventually our swifty cells became adept ernment black op with one simple mission. The fact
at targeting bank transfers in large offshore money- that we paid well, and in cash, helped, too.
laundering operations. Soon we were able to finance ● ● ●
ourselves by imposing “sin taxes” on drug cartels and Eventually it was time to tether our brainstorming
playboy dictators. To name a few. to reality. Our wizard cells were up and running, and
● ● ● we passed them our favorite ideas for critical feed-
In the summer and fall of 2002, while we were back. They, in turn, fed us weekly “News-to-Use”
recruiting our go-to, wizard, swifty, lineman, and summaries of developments across a broad range of
expat cells, we met frequently to bat around ideas fields. Our brilliant ideas became somewhat tempered
for achieving mission success. Because truly brilliant by scientific reality.
ideas can sound crazy at first, and because committees For instance, geneticists are cultivating plants that
smother ideas, we declared that during our freewheel- grow medicines in their leaves and fruit. They already
ing brainstorming sessions no idea was too outra- have a potato rabies vaccine and a tomato HIV drug.
geous to say out loud. Transgenic tobacco plants alone produce dozens of
What if we invented a surrender dust, keyed to “farmaceuticals,” everything from human growth hor-
bin Laden’s DNA? mone to cancer drugs.
Or what about informer dust storms? What if we engineered a hybrid tomato or lettuce
Our powers of imagination were running a bit hot crop that contained a therapeutic dose of Xanax or Prozac
in those days. What with all the news of war and and introduced it to the Middle East? Could that help
rumors of war. What with the anthrax, Saddam, and reduce the bloodshed? Seriously, treat a whole region
the shoe bomber who ruined air travel forever. like a patient.
What if we embedded artificial memories in Or: Does Osama use sunscreen? For decades, sun-
people throughout the Middle East so that they were screen was whitish and opaque because of the properties
certain they remembered Osama mocking the Prophet of one of its chief ingredients, zinc oxide. In the 1990s,
in public? researchers found that if they made the zinc oxide mole-
cules really tiny, they could produce a much more pleas- se. But lately our government has taken to quietly mon-
ing clear sunscreen. It was one of the first commercial itoring sales of even innocuous gear like beakers and
successes of nanotechnology, and the source of the first pipettes, and we took great pains to leave no trail.
nanotech-related product liability lawsuits. ● ● ●
The problem was that nanoparticles are so small they We knew from the start that one of the ACC’s strengths
pass through the skin and enter the bloodstream. They was its position in the telecom industry, and we soon
even cross the blood-brain barrier and come to rest, like realized that Uncle Sam had provided us an easy leg
shells on a beach, in the sun worshiper’s brain. up in prosecuting our mission.
Researchers wondered if nanoparticles could be Al-Qaeda is notorious for passing communication by
designed to collect in other kinds of tissue—feathers, hand in order to circumvent electronic surveillance. One
for instance. That’s what one radar ornithology group reason for this has to do with bin Laden’s own personal
is attempting to find out in an avian-flu-related study experience in the 1990s. According to news accounts at
for the DoI. They are sizing and shaping nanoparticles the time, Osama bin Laden really liked talking on his
of various materials to pass through the birds’ skin Inmarsat satellite phone. He especially enjoyed calling
and collect in developing feathers. Their ultimate goal his mother in Saudi Arabia from his Afghan camps. We
know this because the NSA was lis-
tening in on their conversations from
at least 1996. This happy arrange-
ment, along with Osama’s charm-
ing naïveté, came to an abrupt halt
one day in August 1998, when he
phoned his mother and told her he
wouldn’t be able to call “for a while.”
After hanging up, he turned off his
sat phone. The next day, the presi-
dent of the United States ordered a
cruise missile strike on the phone’s
last known coördinates. We blew up
a desert training camp that day, but
the Dark Prince had already flown.
Is it any wonder that bin Laden
became phone-shy after that? Most
reasonable people would. At some
point, the NSA decided that if it
could no longer tap bin Laden’s
is to nanobrand entire flocks of birds on the wing for phone, the next best thing to do was tap everyone else’s.
precise tracking across the globe by radar. This was actually not a bad idea, but it required com-
What if we found nanoparticles that collect in hair pliant telecom companies to shunt complex spur lines
and beards instead? Our flocks would be the occu- into secret listening posts, often small rooms inside
pants of jihadist camps, caves, and villages. We could switching stations, where NSA spooks could sift bil-
detect and track them remotely. lions of calls through their voodoo supercomputers. In
● ● ● creating this system, the NSA had done the heavy lift-
While the core group was still wrastling the angels of ing for us, and our linemen inside the same telecoms
inspiration, my go-to cells were employed in prelimi- tapped their taps. Soon we were channeling the same
nary logistical tasks: establishing safe houses, moving floodwaters of chatter, and we set our wizards trolling
cash, rounding up supplies for the wizard cells. In this for keywords and casting social nets.
latter effort, C came to the fore with his experience in ● ● ●
corporate R&D. We purchased several whole laborato- I made it a point to become acquainted with the mem-
ries’ worth of gear and dropped it in self-storage units bers of my go-to cells and their families, usually with-
on both coasts. Because the ACC had rightly ruled out out anyone’s knowledge. I confirmed that we had
the use of germs or bombs (we’re patriots, not terror- recruited outstanding individuals. Smart, gutsy, none
ists), we weren’t trafficking in restricted material per of your house-in-the-burbs, corporate-treadmill types.
These were the cutups in middle school, the teenage genius boy woke up the next morning with two little
pregnancies, the try-everything-once crowd. A little surprised expressions lying on the pillow next to him.
older now, a little more God-fearing and respectful End of bulletproof youth.
of real realities. Solid. When M returned, she was very upset. She asked
After the initial flurry of organization, I kept these if that had really been necessary. Couldn’t G have sim-
folks busy every other weekend or so (kinda like it used ply dognapped them for a few days to make a point?
to be for the national guard). I kept my own elite group I said I would talk to him about it.
busier, if only with training exercises, several days or ● ● ●
nights a week. Before long we were a pretty tight unit. In early 2003, our weekly “News-to-Use” included
I had already worked with G, and he introduced three disparate bits of intel that, when put together,
me to C. And when I first recruited B, she told me made an intriguing picture: (1) Pakistanis in the tribal
about M, with whom she had served two tours. M was regions were sneezing; (2) a 60-year-old DoD skunk
trained to pilot UAV combat drones, but lately she was works project had borne fruit; and (3) dandelions
back at home styling hair and raising a kid. can make you high.
M had three kids, actually, but the older two had (1) Ambrosia, commonly known as ragweed and
lived with their granny since they were born. Only the native to North and South America, hitched a ride to
baby, a spoiled eight-year-old, lived with M. I found Europe in the 19th century. The joy of hay fever has
the kid hard to fool, but easy to bribe. been spreading across Europe ever since. Apparently,
● ● ● the winds of recent wars have carried ragweed farther
In late 2002, one of our wizards presented us with a east, where it has found a suitable niche in the valley
tantalizing what-if. He owned a startup that had devel- ecosystems of northern Pakistan bordering Afghani-
oped a gobsmackingly elegant algorithm for creating stan. It’s been found in Waziristan province as well,
and identifying pretty good voiceprints from poor- and as far south as Quetta. We requested specimens
quality audio. It processed voices acoustically with and seeds from an expat cell, and what we received
no regard to the language spoken and no use of key- seemed to be a cross between A. artemisiifolia, the
word recognition. most widespread species in North America, and A.
What if we trained all the phones in the world to dumosa, one that thrives in the Sonoran Desert. The
recognize bin Laden’s voice? His and his people’s. Pakistani species was said to be a particularly noxious
And whenever a phone anywhere recognized one of weed that pumped out clouds of pollen.
these voices speaking into it, it would discreetly send (2) Since World War I, the U.S. Army’s Edgewood
us a text message with its GPS coördinates and call Arsenal and its successor unit have explored the use
details. And what if phones could be trained to do this of chemicals in warfare, conducting open-air nerve-
remotely by a phone virus? Voiceprint libraries could gas tests in Maryland and even dosing unsuspecting
be updated automatically. It looked as if we had finally soldiers with superhallucinogens. Their perennial
found our 21st-century Yankee box cutter. hobbyhorse has been a reliable truth serum, or at
● ● ● least one better than the problematic sodium pento-
Because of the firewalls we had set in place, I learned thal. In recent decades much of the unit’s preliminary
who was in other cells and groups only on a need-to- work has been outsourced to civilian researchers. In
know basis. Some of our groups included young people 2003, there was buzz of a breakthrough: MDMOEP,
at the beginning of their careers. Like young people a phenethylamine compound and kissing cousin of
everywhere, they sometimes let their issues get in the MDMA (or ecstasy). Dubbed True Confessions, it
way of their work. On occasion, my team was directed to was said to induce a state of abject self-reproach. Sub-
remind individuals of the confidential nature of our mis- jects were anxious to unburden themselves of their
sion. One such action involved a young computer genius life’s misdeeds, and they actively sought out receptive
in the Pacific Northwest. I sent M out there to investi- listeners, including parties they might have injured.
gate (Granny taking the kid temporarily). She reported The drug was tested on volunteers and was said to
back a few days later that the genius was a fool for pillow be safe, with no lasting side effects. What a boon to
talk. To hear him speak, he was practically in charge of the war on terror! If only it had been ready in time to
a counterterror task force. M also reported that the real avert the Abu Ghraib mess. In any case, the U.S. Army
loves of his life were his two Jack Russell terriers. Chemical Corps swooped down on the private lab that
So I sent G up there to tutor the kid in the art of had made the discovery, confiscated all records, and
discretion. G did a Godfather on the pooches, and reminded all involved of the Patriot Act.
(3) A brilliant young geneticist on the West Coast proved to be unapproachable, but one of his research-
was doing groundbreaking work in biopharma- ers had full-blown civil-liberties remorse. She had
ceuticals, especially in the mechanics of directing what been caching her lab notes from the start and was
part of the plant would store the finished drug—leaf, trying to decide whether or not to post them anony-
root, seed, or fruit. mously on the Internet (as if that might absolve
Moreover, according to our private sources, this her). She was only too glad to turn them over to us—
same professor was also conducting a little biopharma Amnesty International.
project outside the purview of his university depart- Before we could proceed any further, we had to
ment. He was attempting to genetically modify the test the drug ourselves in a real-world situation.
common dandelion to produce the marijuana canna- There was no open or ethical way to do this, but at
binoid THC. According to our report, once his stoner least we could do it in a controlled setting. So our
dandelion was perfected, the professor intended to wizards mixed up a test batch of TC, and my team
take a sabbatical in order to scatter little parachute performed our shopping-mall field trial. TC lived
seeds of Mellow Yellow along roadways all over the up to its billing, and the fact was not lost on us that
temperate zone. many of our subjects turned to their cell phones for
What galvanized us about these three items was impromptu confessionals.
the observation that both ragweed and dandelion are Next was enlisting Professor Mellow Yellow. I
members of the same Asteraceae family. It made us wanted to soften him up first, so I sent G and C to
wonder. It definitely got the wheels turning. his university office posing as DEA agents to scare the
● ● ● bejesus out of him. I was waiting for him in his home
Development of our Yankee “vox cutter” proceeded greenhouse when he showed up an hour later. I was
quickly. The phone virus was coming along, and we sitting on a stool next to a potting bench that held
had a SIMM chip in the works. However, we realized trays of dandelions. Some of the cheery yellow flow-
that even if we trained a million strategically located ers were sugar-frosted with sticky cannabis resin. I
phone slaves to call us whenever they heard Osama’s introduced myself as Mr. Homeland Security and told
voice, or any voice in our voiceprint library, what good him about all the kinds of trouble he was in. Then,
would that do us if Laden & Co. never lifted a receiver? in true TV cop-show fashion, I offered to call off the
We needed something to drive al-Qaeda to a phone. drug dicks if he volunteered to serve his country in a
What we needed was a special friends-and-family very important mission. As it turned out, Prof. Mellow
calling plan for them, and we wondered if the army’s was so enthused by our mission and the sheer com-
new guilt serum might do the trick. plexity of his part in it that I almost regretted siccing
Not that we imagined for a moment that bin Laden the DEA crew on him.
felt any guilt or remorse over murdering three thou- I turned Prof. Mellow over to one of our wizard
sand Americans. But a crime doesn’t have to be an handlers and later learned that we set him up in a
atrocity to stimulate the TC effect: everyday misde- special complex of greenhouses, ostensibly doing
meanors might do, like shorting waiters or telling off- research on new allergy meds for major pharma.
color jokes. Bin Laden is human and not an angel, and In order to spread our voiceprint traps, the ACC
he must regret something he has done. He does have set up several NGOs to integrate vox-cutter tech into
four wives, after all. And what about his 53 brothers the public-call-office landline systems in Pakistani
and sisters and innumerable nephews and nieces? villages and to subsidize the extension of cell cover-
Just how many weddings and funerals did he have to age in remote areas. Back at home, we sent go-tos on
miss while hiding in a cave? He inherited $80 million shopping trips to stockpile cheap prepaid cell phones.
from his father and quickly turned it into $250 mil- We made cash purchases of handsets at every Wal-
lion. Even if that kind of return was earned honestly, Mart and Radio Shack across America. We shipped
how to explain to his 24 children that Daddy blew it boxloads of them to linemen who replaced their chips
all on jihad? And how to explain to them his thing with our own vox-cutter SIMMs and bundled them
for Whitney Houston? for distribution with hand-crank chargers.
● ● ● Our wizards were keeping tabs on the town where
We set things in motion. First off was sizing up the we staged our shopping-center test. We were moni-
deposed skunk works PI on the True Confessions toring for any possible fallout or aftereffects, such as
project. I sent M and C up there to see if he wasn’t a change in homicide, suicide, or domestic-violence
suffering a case of defense-contractor hangover. He rates. The only aftereffect we detected was the linger-
ing spell M seemed to have cast on the coffee whole- ing no alternative, with or without prejudice, I called
saler whose stock we had adulterated. Shortly after my go-to team together and broke the bad news. M
the test, he phoned his sister in Texas and told her was off the team, permanently. She should never have
about a woman he’d met on a recent Sunday after involved the kid. I told them that at the conclusion of
church. They had hit it off in a big way. She had a the meeting, I would be escorting M and daughter to
precocious little girl who after only two days was call- a safe house, where a relocation specialist would pick
ing him Uncle Duane. Uncle Duane was perplexed them up. M was to have cosmetic surgery and, just as
when all of a sudden his two special girls left town important, a voice change. The ACC would cover all
without so much as a good-bye, and he wondered if costs, including a monthly stipend. And a cash bonus
they were in any kind of trouble. when the bastard was captured or killed. But there
A year later he continued to wonder, in rambling would be no further contact between her and any of
weekly calls to his sister. And I was unhappy with M us, ever. B took it the worst, but the whole team was
about involving her kid in an operation. troubled. M said she knew she had screwed up royal
● ● ● but didn’t want to put her daughter through a life on
Time passed, and Project Phone Home burbled along. the run and asked if she could leave her with Granny.
Prof. Mellow was making great strides in realizing I said that was probably not such a hot idea, since
two of our requirements for Ambrosia osamum. First, the kid could ID us all. Besides, if she left her kid
the drug was to accumulate not in the ragweed leaf or she would be miserable, and the kid would be mis-
flower but on the surface of its pollen, where it could be erable. In the end, my reasoning prevailed, and M
readily absorbed by the mucous membranes of the eyes and the team made their last farewells. M’s parting
and nose. Second, the TC genes were to be expressed words were “I’m gonna watch the news every night,
only in the first generation of ragweed plants. After that and when we win, I’m going to raise a glass to all of
they turned themselves off. The last thing we wanted you. God bless and good-bye.”
was for this guiltweed to get away from us and spread I drove M to pick up the kid, then to their place
to wild plants. Unlike Prof. Mellow with his pet dande- to pack, and then on to the first leg of their brave
lions, the ACC is opposed to letting GM Frankensteins new life.
loose. We’re patriots, not God. ● ● ●
When the time came for human trials, the prof During the next two years, work on Project Phone
rounded up volunteers among the greenhouse work- Home proceeded smoothly. There were no further
ers. The results were positive: red, runny noses; itchy signs of the army or anyone else on our tail. Mean-
eyes; and inflamed consciences. while, the ACC developed several backup plans for
● ● ● locating bin Laden, and my go-tos were engaged in
Then some bad news arrived to spoil the mood. The implementing them.
civilian researchers from the army TC project were ● ● ●
being called in for lengthy interviews. We felt pretty Seed day. We made final prep for handing off the
confident about our contact, since her neck was on the GM ragweed to an expat in time for spring sowing
same block as ours. But there was the possibility the in the lush valleys of northwest Pakistan. Six hun-
army might interview her with the help of the drug dred hermetically sealed bags, 50 pounds each, of
itself. M and C had become compromised. washed seed. I had sent C to the greenhouses to
On top of that, Uncle Duane was still obsessing guarantee a pollen-free shipment. Some deluded soul
about M. By now she and the kid were the lost loves over there, possibly Prof. Mellow high on dandeli-
of his life, and he posted photos of them on Flickr and ons, had plastered the shipping pallets with “Clinton
on sites for missing and exploited children. Worse, in ’08” stickers.
his sister in Texas had persuaded him to hire a detec- Our immediate task was to double-bag the ship-
tive, for his own peace of mind. ment in USAID-imprinted gunnysacks and transship
It was only a matter of time before Duane and the it to a dummy agri-coöp in Peshawar as high-yield rye
army bumped into each other, so in accordance with seed, which it resembled. Taking no chances, I had
ACC firewall protocol, the core group ordered me to linemen rig up an industrial HEPA-filtered ventila-
contain the damage. With prejudice, if necessary. I tion hood in the warehouse for us to work under. And
thought long and hard about how best to accomplish I made my crew wear full hazmat gear. It was heavy
this. We could hardly strong-arm Uncle Duane at work, and despite the January night and unheated ware-
that point, and we sure couldn’t stop the army. See- house, we fogged up our face masks with the effort.
We finished at dawn, and after cleaning up and “At the warehouse. Listen, I sold the plans for a
disposing of used filters, I sent the crew home. B and shitload of money. You want to know who to?”
G waited with me for the freight company to pick up I ordered him to destroy his phone and stay put till
the seeds and a final pallet of phones, and then we someone came for him. Then I hung up and told G to
went to an IHOP for breakfast. forget the warehouse and head for the bridge instead.
We were in a celebratory mood; this marked He made a sharp U-turn and nearly hit an SUV. He
the completion of our part in the vox-cutter project. had to brake so hard he stalled the engine. But instead
From then on its success was up to strangers. We of restarting it, he just sat there staring out the wind-
wolfed down a breakfast of cakes, eggs, and sausages. shield. In the back seat, B said, “They showed us color
We proposed toasts with orange juice and coffee. photos of aborted fetuses. They said a baby as old as
G toasted to Operation Ragweed for Ragheads. B mine already had perfect little fingernails.”
toasted to M and her kid, wherever they were and I ordered her to shut up and Gus to drive, but he
whoever they had become. turned around in his seat and said, “I saw my father
When the waitress came over with more coffee, kill my mother, and I lied to the police about it.”
she said, “I know it’s petty of me and wrong, but “Drive! Drive!”
I resent happy people like you.” She spoke calmly, “I was only five years old. He made it out to look
refilled our cups, and went away. like an accident, but he never fooled me.”
We gaped at each other. I stood up to peer over I ordered them to hand over their cell phones, but
the booth partitions and saw patrons crying into their Bella dialed a number, and as it rang she told us, “And
phones. We left immediately. The woman at the reg- perfect little eyelashes.” When her party answered,
ister told us how sometimes she pilfered from the tip she began to weep.
jar. Her eyes and nose were not inflamed, so what- “Stop crying!” I barked at her. But she didn’t stop,
ever vector was involved in dispersing the TC, it and Gus joined her. A sight to behold—Gus Ostermann
wasn’t our pollen. On the sidewalk outside, a guy on pressing the heels of his hands against his temples. “All
a mountain bike and a woman with a shopping cart the poor dogs!” he cried. “And all the poor cats.”
were trying to unburden themselves to each other. So We sat there for a long time, traffic piling up and
it probably wasn’t the coffee or restaurant food either. passing around us as we talked to the people we
In fact, all up and down the street we saw penitents loved. Before army intelligence arrived, I received a
fessing up to one another. text message from the ACC. A single word, backed
G craned his neck and peered into the sky. “Aerial by the authority of the core group—“JUG.” Short for
spraying?” he said. “An area-wide dragnet?” We jugulate, which was what they were directing me to
wondered if we were the target. But we didn’t stick do in order to protect the ACC. I couldn’t allow us to
around to find out. be taken alive, that much was clear. I have sworn an
A woman was slumped against the bumper of our oath to lay down my life for the group, and I will, only
car. She looked at us and said, “Is this all I get?” I not right now. Right now I actually feel like answer-
helped her to her feet. “I mean, I know I’m ugly. I’ve ing a few questions.
known that since I was a child, but does it mean my My name is William B. Boothtipple. My number is
life has to be so small and empty and meaningless?” 973-555-0979. If it’s busy, leave voice mail or keep try-
I turned her toward the intersection and told her ing; no doubt I’m on the other line spilling my guts.
to find a taxi and go home. And if she had a phone, And now some shout-outs:
to use it. —To Melody and her awesome kid, Kimmie, wher-
We jumped into the car, G behind the wheel. ever you are and whoever you’ve become. Duane
“Where to?” he yelled, pulling into traffic. wasn’t the only one you bewitched; I think of you
I told him to drive back to the warehouse. No mat- guys all the time. If I had known how much I’d miss
ter how the TC was being dispersed, our hazmat gear you, I would never have let you go.
there had protected us. My plan was for us to suit up —To Osama. Hey, man, seriously, phone home. It’s
before evacuating the area. Then my phone rang, a been years since they’ve heard your voice, and every-
call from C. I asked him where he was. one’s worried sick.
He said, “I feel like telling you that 10 years ago
David Marusek lives in Fairbanks, AK, where he is working
I acquired a complete microfiche set of engineering
on the sequel to his first novel, Counting Heads. His collection
plans for the Trans-Alaska Pipeline.” of stories, Getting to Know You, has just been published by
“I don’t care about that. Where are you?” Subterranean Press.
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Chinese English (UK) French Hebrew Italian Latin Portuguese Spanish (Spain) Tagalog Vietnamese
Danish English (US) German Hindi Japanese Pashto Russian Swahili Thai Welsh
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B
y the time Klaus Draeger, GM’s focus is on a futuristic fuel-cell car. produced by automakers who should
BMW’s manager of research The BMW version uses internal com- be taking stronger immediate action to
and development, took the bustion: it burns hydrogen rather than reduce the greenhouse-gas emissions
microphone at a Berlin hotel last fall, skimming off its electrons. Same mes- of their cars. As of 2003, transportation
the assembled journalists’ bellies were sage, though: hydrogen is the answer. emissions accounted for one-third of all
full of mint juleps—and it all started “Experts will tell you that hydrogen U.S. carbon dioxide emissions.
to make sense. Maybe the world’s oil has the biggest possibility to replace fos- Nobody has made this point more
crisis and the threat of climate change sil fuels,” Draeger explained, as the wine clearly than Joseph Romm does in
could be sensibly addressed by using flowed. “Please see the Hydrogen 7 as Hell and High Water. Romm is an
hydrogen as a transportation fuel. an offer. We can only make this car a MIT-trained physicist who managed
Draeger sketched the alluring vision reality with our partners in political sci- energy-efficiency programs in the U.S.
of a future in which high- ence, the world of business, Department of Energy during Presi-
HYDROGEN 7
performance luxury cars BMW the energy industry.” He dent Clinton’s administration and now
burn hydrogen and emit HELL AND HIGH WATER: concluded with an appeal runs a consultancy called the Center
mostly water vapor. The GLOBAL WARMING— to “politicians the world for Energy and Climate Solutions. His
THE SOLUTION AND
hydrogen could someday THE POLITICS—AND over” to make the produc- book provides an accurate summary
be provided by renewable WHAT WE SHOULD DO tion, delivery, and storage of of what is known about global warm-
By Joseph J. Romm
sources of energy, he said, William Morrow, 2007, $24.95 clean hydrogen affordable. ing and climate change, a sensible
and nobody would have to The next day, I got a agenda for technology and policy, and
make any sacrifices. And we journal- look at the Hydrogen 7. From the out- a primer on how political disinforma-
ists would get to drive the first such side it looked like a normal BMW four- tion has undermined climate science.
cars the following day. door luxury sedan. I opened the trunk In his view, the rhetoric of “technology
“You’ll be pioneers! You will be sit- and marveled at the heavy steel tank breakthroughs”—including the empha-
ting at the wheel of the Hydrogen 7, that held liquid hydrogen at –253 ºC. sis by President Bush and some in the
driving through Berlin and the country- While driving, I touched a button on auto industry on a future hydrogen
side. And for the first time, you will the steering wheel to switch from gaso- economy—provides little more than
drive this hydrogen-powered luxury line to hydrogen; I noted no hiccup, just official cover for near-term inaction.
saloon,” Draeger exclaimed, using the a higher-pitched engine noise. The car Romm reminds us of the growing
Britishism for “sedan.” BMW will lend is very nice. But does it make environ- scientific consensus: we must quickly
100 of these cars to yet-unnamed public mental sense? reduce greenhouse-gas emissions to
figures as part of its global clean-energy The simple answer is no. In the con- avoid the worst effects of global warm-
promotional campaign. In some ways, text of the overall energy economy, a ing. Therefore, Romm argues, the job
the campaign resembles GM’s effort car like the Hydrogen 7 would proba- of political leaders is clear. Among other
to tout its own hydrogen-car program. bly produce far more carbon dioxide things, they must rapidly adopt tighter
efficiency standards for homes, offices, up this approach, envisioning elec- dioxide emissions of today’s most effi-
and industry; mandate strict increases tricity that would ultimately be sup- cient gasoline cars.
in automobile fuel economy, which plied by renewable sources. BMW And the numbers for the Hydrogen
means widespread adoption of ultra- brochures feature the Hydrogen 7 7 are worse, because it burns hydro-
efficient cars, including hybrids; and parked in front of wind turbines and gen. Combustion produces thrilling
build as many wind and solar plants as shiny photovoltaic arrays. But renew- torque, but it’s far less efficient than
possible, while cautiously expanding able sources furnish only 2 percent fuel-cell technology. Also counting
nuclear power. Romm even argues that of the world’s electricity (not count- against the Hydrogen 7 is the fact that
we could cut nationwide carbon dioxide ing hydropower’s 16 percent). Coal, it stores hydrogen as a liquid; chilling
emissions by two-thirds without increas- by contrast, supplies 39 percent—and hydrogen and compressing it into liq-
ing anyone’s annual electric bill. He cites is the worst emitter of carbon diox- uid form consumes more energy than
California’s three-decade record of ide, watt for watt. Clearly, a great use storing it as a compressed gas. “It’s
aggressive investment in cleaner energy for renewable power is to replace coal safe to say this is a pointless activity,”
technologies and energy-efficiency pro- power. But is it worthwhile to divert Romm says. “BMW has managed to
grams. When these investments are even a small part of it to the task of develop the least efficient conceivable
amortized, costs stay flat while power manufacturing hydrogen? vehicle that you could invent.”
consumption and carbon dioxide emis- According to Romm’s analysis, the BMW’s new car is a marvelous
sions plunge. Today, Romm writes, a math for hydrogen cars simply doesn’t piece of engineering. But it is also a
Californian has an electric bill no larger work out. Burning coal to generate one distraction from the real issues: we
than the average American’s but gener- megawatt-hour of electricity produces must burn less fossil fuel and reduce
ates just one-third the carbon dioxide. about 2,100 pounds of carbon dioxide. our greenhouse-gas emissions today.
The reason hydrogen-powered cars It follows that one megawatt-hour of Innovative automakers like BMW
would produce more carbon dioxide renewable power can avert those emis- should turn their remarkable skills to
emissions than regular cars starts with sions. Using that electricity to make making cars that are more efficient—
the fact that it takes energy to create hydrogen would yield enough fuel for a such as BMW’s new 118d economy
hydrogen. One way to produce hydro- fuel-cell car to travel about 1,000 miles, hatchback, which on average gets 50
gen is to extract it directly from fossil Romm says. But driving those 1,000 miles to the gallon. But the Hydrogen
fuels; indeed, a 2004 National Acad- miles in a gasoline-powered car that 7 is hardly the “new standard of sus-
emy of Sciences study predicted that gets 40 miles per gallon would pro- tainable pollutant-free mobility” that
fossil fuels would be the main source duce just 485 pounds of carbon diox- BMW proclaims. Draeger’s offer is
C O U RTE SY O F B MW
of hydrogen for “several decades.” The ide. In this sense, Romm says, a vehicle one we would be wise to refuse.
other way is to split water molecules powered by hydrogen fuel cells would David Talbot is Technology Review’s chief
using electricity. Naturally, BMW talks indirectly create four times the carbon correspondent.
T
here’s a lovely jar of night cream nanotech slightly differs from the nano- According to the Project on Emerging
that’s been sitting on my dresser tech that’s made by most companies,” Nanotechnologies, which is run by the
for a month. According to the he said. “We are not talking about nano- Woodrow Wilson International Cen-
salesperson who spent a half-hour on particles but about nano quantities.” ter for Scholars in Washington, DC,
the phone with me extolling its virtues, I still didn’t understand how the nearly 400 products on the market
the cream will dig up the gunk that’s product could be called nanotech if claim to use nanotechnology, and 64
clogging my pores, soak up excess oil, it didn’t actually use nano-sized par- of those are cosmetics. And yet no one
and “teach” my cells to make less of it. ticles. Sepper seemed to agree. in the federal government is responsi-
Sounds fantastic, doesn’t it? Too “You know, I should be honest with ble for overseeing the safety of nano-
bad I’m too scared to use it. you. In the beginning, we called them technology. “People are miniaturizing
The cream, which cost me $163 for simply biocomplexes,” he said. “When the particles, nanosizing them,” says
half an ounce, is made by New York nanotech came and everyone started to Andrew Maynard, science advisor for
City–based Bionova. The company’s claim nanotech, nanotech, nanotech, the Woodrow Wilson project, but he
website makes much of its “nano tech of course the marketing people came says that companies don’t necessarily
platform,” and explana- to us and demanded that recognize the risks associated with the
tions of its products feature BIONOVA we have to accommodate unique properties of nanoparticles.
N1-CUSTOM CARE
incomprehensible phrases $163 for .5 oz. the present situation. My That nanoparticles have unique
such as “restoration of the (price varies depending on understanding as a scien- properties is, of course, exactly the
customized formulation)
malfunctioning biological www.ibionova.com tist is it’s more marketing point of using them. When particles
information transfer.” But than science.” According of some materials become extremely
details in plain English of how any of to Sepper, revenues from the product, small, they can exhibit unusual—and
this would actually work are sketchy. which is sold in upscale stores such as interesting—physical and chemical
And the saleswoman’s explanation Barneys, went up when Bionova began characteristics. Gold nanoparticles,
was similarly cryptic. The cream, she calling it nanotech. But when I pushed for example, are red and are much
informed me, has various “nano com- him a bit on the use of the word in more reactive than larger chunks of the
plexes” in an exact ratio that is cus- marketing the cream, he quickly back- metal. Nanoparticle versions of some
tomized for my age, my gender, and tracked. “When I said we are using ingredients used in cosmetics are more
my face’s precise degree of oiliness— nano quantities, I thought you already stable, improve product texture, and
information gleaned from a number of knew that we are using nanoparticles. are absorbed better.
probing questions she asked me. We are using nano quantities of the Titanium dioxide and zinc oxide,
How, I asked, did I know these tiny nanoparticles.” which have been used for decades
particles weren’t going to creep under Confused yet? So was I. And so, in sunscreens, are two examples of
my skin and wreak havoc with my it seems, is nearly everyone involved substances that benefit from nano-
body? No, she assured me, the cream in the marketing of nanotech-based technology. Normally, each mate-
uses chemicals of a regular size, just in products. The fact is, Bionova is not rial forms a thick whitish coating, but
nano amounts. “See the difference?” an exception. Cosmetics are among the nanosizing their particles makes them
Not really. Scientists have for de- first consumer products to make use of translucent—and, naturally, more pop-
cades been doing experiments using nanotechnology—or at least to tout its ular among consumers. Some cosmet-
chemicals in nanomolar quantities, benefits—but nobody, it appears, has ics companies use other nanoparticles,
which simply means that they’re a handle on exactly what is in these such as the 60-carbon soccer-ball-
extraordinarily dilute. So how was products, or how those mystery ingre- shaped molecules known as fuller-
Bionova’s product special? Alexander dients might affect people’s health. enes or buckyballs. Zelens, a company
Sepper, Bionova’s vice president for “You’ve got this situation where based in London, England, claims that
research and development, at first people are putting chemicals on the fullerenes in its skin cream help to suck
echoed the sales rep’s statements. “Our skin when we know very little about up free radicals and slow aging.
But here’s the rub: though some conventional safety tests for cosmetics That kind of oversight might not
nanomaterials clearly have advantages, and other products might not pick up be welcomed by the cosmetics indus-
such materials might also pose risks. the special risks nanoparticles pose. try, but without it, the entire promis-
Will the smaller particles penetrate For example, NIH’s Sally Tinkle ing field of nanotechnology could be
the skin? Can they clog airways and has found that under certain condi- in danger. If a safety problem is asso-
trigger immune responses? Will they tions—if the skin is stretched a certain ciated with a cosmetic product mar-
lodge in the body’s tissues, including way or rubbed with enough force— keted for its nano ingredients (even if it
the brain? nanoparticles can move below its doesn’t really have any), the public per-
The simple answer is that no one top, dead layer. If the skin has cuts ception of nanotech could be affected
knows. The U.S. Food and Drug and abrasions or has been damaged more generally. In Germany, there’s
Administration, the Environmental in some other way, particles can get already been one scare with a spurious
Protection Agency, and other federal through to the layers underneath. nano product. In March 2006, after the
agencies have research programs in “That’s well established,” says Tinkle. “Magic Nano” spray bathroom cleaner
place that may eventually answer some What happens once these particles was released, a number of people who
questions about the toxicity and envi- reach the bloodstream is unclear. had used it fell ill. Amid the confusion
ronmental impact of nanoparticles. Some studies have found that smaller that followed, nobody, including the
But such research will take time and particles are cleared faster than larger manufacturers, seemed to know exactly
a great deal more money. Through ones and so are safer, but others sug- what was in the product. But the dam-
the federal government’s National age to nanotech’s reputation had
Nanotechnology Initiative, the United been done. “What it really high-
States has spent an estimated $6.5 bil- lights is the confusion about what
lion on various types of nanotechnol- people actually mean by the terms,”
ogy research, but only 4 percent of last says Maynard. “We need transpar-
year’s budget went to assessing poten- ency in this whole area.”
tial risks. In the meantime, the best In Bionova’s case, I’m still not
the FDA can do is to say it has “no evi- sure whether the cream on my
dence at present to suggest that any of dresser contains any nanoparticles,
the materials currently in use pose a and if it does, whether they will
major safety concern.” help or hurt me. Since the small
dark-blue jar arrived, salespeople
Nano Mysteries from the company have called me
Unlike pharmaceuticals, cosmetics four times—ostensibly to check on
don’t have to pass safety tests before whether I have any questions. Dur-
they are sold. Cosmetics companies ing the first call, the sales rep told
are free to sell their products without me that for the first few days of
such testing—at least until a problem use, when the cream is opening up
crops up. And so far, nanoparticles my pores and cleaning them out,
used in cosmetics seem to have a gest that once inside the body, nano- “your skin is going to look aggravated.
clean record. particles travel through the blood, It’s going to look itchy; it’s going to
John Bailey, executive vice presi- lodge in the lungs and brain, and look flaky.”
dent for science at the Cosmetic, Toi- accumulate over time, with eff ects I’ve yet to do more than smell the
letry, and Fragrance Association, an that are still poorly understood. cream, and I doubt I ever will, so I
industry trade group in Washington, Definitive answers to these tox- won’t know whether glowing skin
DC, points out that sunscreens using icity questions may take some time to would follow the flakiness, as the sales-
titanium dioxide and zinc oxide nano- emerge. But given that nanoparticles person assured me. No matter how
particles have been used “safely and behave differently from their larger lovely the jar is or what lofty promises
effectively by consumers for decades” counterparts, it makes sense to have are made on behalf of its contents, the
and have been reviewed and approved a regulatory system that is able to rec- specter of tiny little nano-whatevers
by the FDA. But whether that record ognize this size-dependent behavior. making their way through my body is
J U LI ETTE B O R DA
of safety can be extrapolated to other And it makes sense to provide regu- enough to keep me away.
nanoparticles in other types of cosmet- latory oversight based on the unique Apoorva Mandavilli is senior news editor at
ics is less certain. The danger is that chemistry of nanoparticles. Nature Medicine.
A
38-year-old woman with fertility start. As more genes associated with genetic variants associated with a
problems has three sons but the likelihood of disease are uncov- thousand conditions, including deadly
wants a daughter to round out ered, the possibility of a truly preven- childhood illnesses and adult-onset
the family. She uses in vitro fertiliza- tive medicine is within the grasp of cancers, and more genes associated
tion (IVF) to conceive and asks her doc- many parents. But with that possibil- with disease risk are being discovered
tors to transfer only female embryos; ity come risks. How well will any one every day. Any such gene could be a
the male embryos are destroyed. Is this test deliver on its promise of a healthy target of PGD. Santiago Munné, direc-
use of reproductive technology accept- child? Will parents feel obligated to tor of Reprogenetics, a genetics labo-
able? What if a couple with a family use genetic testing without adequately ratory headquartered in Livingston,
history of diabetes wants to understanding its benefits? NJ, says his lab has tested embryos
use IVF to select an embryo GENETIC TESTING OF What kinds of genetic tests for more than 150 diseases or risk
EMBRYOS: PRACTICES
without a particular gene AND PERSPECTIVES OF
will parents want? Recent genes—most recently for a gene vari-
linked to diabetes risk? If U.S. IVF CLINICS findings suggest that an ant known as BRCA1, which raises
Susannah Baruch et al.
afflicted family members Fertility and Sterility, September increasing number of par- the risk of breast cancer.
largely have the disease 2006 ents using IVF are choos- Little data yet exists on the use
under control, are the pro- ing embryos according to of preimplantation genetic tests. But
spective parents justified in choosing in sex, and it’s possible to imagine them late last year, the Genetics and Public
vitro fertilization so that they can bear one day choosing embryos based on Policy Center at Johns Hopkins Uni-
a child with a lower chance of develop- other nonmedical traits, such as hair versity released a report in the journal
ing it at all? color, height, or IQ. Fertility and Sterility presenting some
Such questions are becoming more Preimplantation genetic testing is of the first statistics on the use of PGD
common as preimplantation genetic available only to those who opt for nationwide. “We wanted to get a sense
diagnosis (PGD)—testing performed IVF—which now generally means of how much PGD was being done, and
after an egg is fertilized in vitro but people with fertility problems or a why,” says Susannah Baruch, the cen-
before the resulting embryo is trans- family history of a fatal genetic illness. ter’s director of reproductive genetics
ferred to the womb—makes it possible Though IVF is gaining in popularity, and lead author of the report. “Without
for some prospective parents to select it remains an expensive and often dif- solid data, it’s difficult to analyze out-
specific embryos before a pregnancy ficult procedure. But the grounds for comes for PGD babies or to help pro-
begins. Originally developed more choosing it are changing: some people, spective parents make decisions about
than a decade ago to identify the rela- for example, are now using it to select whether to pursue PGD.”
tively small number of embryos at embryos without genes linked to par- The researchers surveyed all the
high risk for serious or fatal genetic ticular cancers—even if the correlation fertility clinics in the United States
diseases, such as Tay-Sachs, the tech- is fairly weak. If parents increasingly that offer IVF, asking questions about
nology now encompasses genetic tests choose IVF because it will offer them the types of preimplantation tests
for a growing number of illnesses, the opportunity to tailor their children’s they administer, how they make ethi-
including some that are not neces- genetic traits, will the economic divi- cal decisions, and how they think test-
sarily fatal. And these tests are avail- sion of society become even deeper— ing should be regulated. About half of
able to more and more parents as the separating those who can afford IVF those clinics responded. According
popularity of in vitro fertilization sky- (clinics in the United States generally to the survey, screening for chromo-
rockets; approximately 50,000 babies charge between $6,000 and $16,000) somal abnormalities that can lead to
are born through IVF in the United from those who cannot? implantation failure or miscarriage,
States every year. “This is a potentially disruptive or for disorders linked to chromo-
All this heightens the ethical con- technology, one that can change the some duplication or deletion (such as
cerns that have plagued PGD from the social structure and order,” says David Down’s syndrome), represents two-
ing for freckles or blond hair or musi- genetic combination will produce the and in the application of tests,” says
cal aptitude is a morally bad thing to healthiest child. Adamson. “But the final choice, once
do,” says Arthur Caplan, director of In the United Kingdom, a govern- tests are considered to be scientifi-
the Center for Bioethics at the Univer- ment body licenses fertility labs and cally legitimate, should be left up to
sity of Pennsylvania. “I think parents regulates which tests can be adminis- patients and physicians.”
will want to do it, so I think this will tered. But the United States has fewer Emily Singer is the biotechnology and life
expand rapidly.” rules; it is one of the few countries, sciences editor of Technology Review.
F
or Daniel Cohn, a senior research By way of explaining that technology, for economy cars into muscular engines
scientist at MIT’s Plasma Science he shows off a turbocharger that could with more than enough power for SUVs
and Fusion Center, the century- be bolted to the 2.4-liter engine; the or sports cars. By extracting better per-
old internal-combustion engine is still a engine, he adds, uses direct fuel injection formance from smaller, more efficient
source of inspiration. As he strides past rather than the port injection currently engines, the technology could lead to
the machinery and test equipment in found in most cars. Both turbocharg- vehicles whose fuel economy rivals that
P H OTO G RAP H S BY P O RTE R G I F FO R D
the MIT Sloan Automotive Laboratory, ing and direct injection are preëxisting of hybrids, which use both an electric
his usually reserved demeanor drops technologies, and neither looks partic- motor and a gasoline engine. And that
away. “An engine this size,” he says, ularly impressive. Indeed, used sepa- fuel efficiency could come at a fraction
pointing out an ordinary-looking 2.4- rately, they would lead to only marginal of the cost.
liter midsize gasoline engine, “would improvements in the performance of Cohn says that his colleagues—
be a rocket with our technology.” an internal-combustion engine. But by Leslie Bromberg, a principal research
far better. But a vehicle using ethanol A cutaway view of a gasoline engine (left)
at the Sloan Auto Lab reveals a combus-
gets fewer miles per gallon than one
tion chamber (center of photo), into which
using gasoline, because its fuel has a a piston has partially advanced. In a new
lower energy density. Cohn and his system, which Leslie Bromberg (below)
colleagues say they’ve found a way to modeled on a computer, direct injectors
would spray a fine mist of ethanol into the
use both fuels that takes advantage of
chamber, where it would instantly vapor-
each one’s strengths while avoiding ize before the fuel mixture is compressed
its weaknesses. by the piston and ignited by a spark plug.
The MIT researchers focused on a
key property of ethanol: when it vapor- ufacturing a smaller engine. In total,
izes, it has a pronounced cooling effect, an engine equipped with the new
much like rubbing alcohol evaporating technology would cost about $1,000
from skin. Increased turbocharging and to $1,500 more than a conventional
engine. Hybrid systems, which are
expensive because they require both
an internal-combustion engine and
an electric motor powered by batter-
ies, add $3,000 to $5,000 to the cost of
a small to midsize vehicle—and even
more to the cost of a larger vehicle.
When the MIT group first hatched
its idea, Bromberg created a detailed
computer model to estimate the effect
of using ethanol to enable more turbo-
charging and cylinder compression.
The model showed that the technique
could greatly increase the knock-free
engine’s torque and horsepower. Sub-
sequent tests by Ford have shown
results consistent with the MIT com-
puter model’s predictions. And since
the new system would require rela-
tively minor modifications to existing
technologies, it could be ready soon.
Ethanol Boosting Systems, a company
cylinder compression raise the tempera- ventional means. Ethanol would be the researchers have started in Cam-
ture in the cylinder, which is why they stored in its own tank or compart- bridge, MA, is working to commer-
lead to knock. But Cohn and his col- ment and would be introduced by a cialize the technology. Cohn says that
leagues found that if ethanol is intro- separate direct-injection system. The with an aggressive development pro-
duced into the combustion chamber at ethanol would have to be replenished gram, the design could be in produc-
just the right moment through the rela- only once every few months, roughly tion vehicles as early as 2011.
tively new technology of direct injection, as often as the oil is changed. A vehicle While Cohn applauds the benefits
it keeps the temperature down, prevent- that used this approach would operate of hybrids and says his technology
ing spontaneous combustion. Similar around 25 percent more efficiently than could be used to improve them, too,
approaches, some of which used water a vehicle with a conventional engine. he notes that the popularity of hybrid
to cool the cylinder, had been tried A turbocharger and a direct- technology is still limited by its cost.
before. But the combination of direct injection system would add to the cost Cheaper technology will be adopted
injection and ethanol, Cohn says, had of an engine, as would strengthening faster, he suggests, and will thus
much more dramatic results. its walls to allow for a higher level of reduce gasoline consumption more
The researchers devised a system turbocharging. The added equipment rapidly. “It’s a lot more useful,” he
in which gasoline would be injected costs, however, would be partially off- says, “to have an engine that a lot of
into the combustion chamber by con- set by the reduced expense of man- people will buy.”
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From the Labs
Current research in nanotechnology, biotechnology, and information technology
N A N OT E C H N O LO GY
Tough
Nanomaterials
Potential applications include tear-
resistant fabrics and fuel-saving
car parts
application that takes advantage of its other new elastic materials. within a tangle of polymer chains. The
heat resistance, it could replace some M ETHODS: The process uses two clay nanoparticles are selected to have
metal car body parts exposed to ele- solvents. In one, the clay nanoparticles a chemical affinity for the crystalline
held sensors that can screen for faint tiple cell types, making them suitable as likely to pass tests of mental agility
traces of hundreds of pathogens or for for therapeutic and research uses. as those with a different version of the
early signs of cancer. The new tech- METHODS: The researchers, led by gene. Among 124 people, aged 75 to
nique could also make it much easier Anthony Atala at Wake Forest , col- 85, from an unrelated Ashkenazi popu-
to integrate nanosensors and the elec- lected samples of amniotic fluid and lation, those individuals with the gene
tronics that process their signals on isolated cells that expressed a mole- variant were five times as likely to be
individual chips. Such sensors would cule unique to stem cells. They then free of dementia and perform well in
be more practical to mass-produce. grew the cells under different envi- memory tests.
WHY IT MATTE RS: Scientists would W H Y I T M AT T E R S : Numer ical equations to simulate a wider range
like to create drugs that can mimic the approaches commonly used in com- of natural phenomena.
effects of age-defying genes. But first, puter animation and in aerodynam-
they must identify the genetic variations ics simulations contain inaccuracies
that allow some people to stay physi- that can cause graphically depicted Extra Room for
cally and mentally healthier in old age. liquids to appear to flow unnaturally. Transistors
In a previous study of Ashkenazi Jews, For instance, when used to model New architecture could make chips
Nir Barzilai and colleagues found that whirlpools, these equations predict faster and keep Moore’s Law alive
this gene variant is seen three times an exaggerated decrease in energy,
as often in centenarians as in others. so animations of swirling water slow
SOU RCE: “Nano/CMOS Architectures
People with the variant also seem to down for no apparent reason. Ani- Using a Field-Programmable Nanowire
have larger cholesterol particles in their mators need to spend time correct- Interconnect”
blood, providing a hint at the gene’s ing these errors by hand. A numerical Gregory S. Snider and R. Stanley Williams
Nanotechnology 18: 035204
mechanism. Now the researchers have
linked the gene to preservation of men- R E S U LT S : Hewlett-Packard Labs
tal function. Taken together, the find- researchers R. Stanley Williams and
ings point to a potential target for drugs Greg Snider have redesigned the chips
that could protect against dementia and known as field-programmable gate
otherwise delay the aging process. arrays to make room for eight times
M ETHODS: Barzilai and his col- as many transistors, without shrinking
league Gil Atzmonran tested people of the transistors themselves.
Ashkenazi Jewish descent who were W HY IT MAT TE R S: As electronic
95 or older and confirmed the results devices, such as transistors, grow
in a group of 75- to 85-year-olds of the smaller, engineers can pack them
same descent. Medical geneticists often closer together, producing faster and
study groups, such as the Ashkenazi, more powerful computer chips. In the
descended from a relatively small num- The spinning liquid in this snow globe is next decade, however, the standard
ber of ancestors because they’re more the product of a new animation technique techniques for shrinking transistors
genetically homogenous, making it developed at Caltech. The researchers say will run up against fundamental physi-
their geometric approach yields more real-
easier to identify genetic associations. istic simulations of moving liquid.
cal limits, so engineers are looking for
N E XT STE P S: Scientists are now new ways to increase the density of
examining the frequency of the gene treatment that better respects liquids’ chip circuitry.
variant in people with Alzheimer’s. actual behavior could save animation M ETHODS: In today’s chips, some
They also plan to study how expres- studios time and money. of the silicon real estate is taken up
sion of the protein produced by the M ETHODS: The researchers used a by aluminum-wire interconnects
gene affects the brain in animals. new type of mathematics called dis- that supply power and instructions
crete differential geometry to calculate to the transistors. To make room for
I N F O R M AT I O N T E C H N O LO GY the flux of a flowing liquid, a prop- more transistors, the HP researchers
erty that determines the velocity and designed a chip whose wires are on top
More-Realistic position of the liquid at any time. The of instead of in between the transistors.
Fluid Animations researchers say that because their equa- They used what they called a “cross-
A new approach helps computer- tions use flux, rather than just fluid bar structure,” a sort of nanoscale wire
animated fluids flow more naturally velocity, they more accurately capture mesh developed at HP. Each junction
MATH I E U D E S B R U N, AP P LI E D G E O M ETRY LAB, CALTE C H
the behavior of swirling liquids. in the mesh acts as a switch that con-
SOU RCE: “Stable, Circulation-Preserving, NEXT STEPS: The new approach trols the flow of electrons to and from
Simplicial Fluids” should yield simulations that better the transistor beneath it.
Mathieu Desbrun et al.
predict the flow of fluids—say, water N EXT STE PS: The researchers are
ACM Transactions on Graphics 26(1)
or air turbulence around planes or developing a laboratory prototype that
RESULTS: Researchers at the California boats. Eventually, the approach could uses the design, and Williams expects
Institute of Technology have developed be incorporated into software for it to be complete by the end of the year.
a new geometric approach to simulat- movie studios, but that will require By 2010, he says, the technology should
ing fluid flow that’s more realistic. more research on how to modify the be ready for manufacturing.
Classifieds
A BETTER MOUSETRAP !
Jump-Starting
Solar Energy
The potential of solar energy
remains unfulfilled.
By Katherine Bourzac
I
n October 1973, the Organization
of the Petroleum Exporting Coun-
tries raised oil prices by 70 percent;
by December, it had raised prices an
additional 130 percent, and its Arab
members embargoed oil shipments to
the United States.
The U.S. began to look at alter-
native sources of energy, like solar,
wind, and geothermal. Citing the
solar energy available at the rate of
1,400 watts per square meter just out-
side Earth’s atmosphere, an article in
the December 1973 TR argued in its
title, “Solar Energy: Its Time Is Near.”
The article, by Walter E. Morrow Jr.,
associate director of MIT Lincoln
Laboratory, provided an economic
analysis of solar’s potential to trans-
form the country’s energy landscape. Residential solar heaters: $4,000 each A design for a satellite solar-power sta-
tion proposed by the consultancy Arthur D.
Morrow recommended that the Total-energy plants: $50/m2 of building
Little. The satellite would stay in synchro-
country spend $300 billion over 27 supplied, or $100/m2 of collector area nous Earth orbit for a clear view of the Sun;
years researching, developing, and Electric base-load power plants: $700/ energy from the panels would be beamed
implementing solar-energy systems— kw of electrical output power, or $40/ to an antenna on Earth via microwaves.
from solar-panel-equipped satellites m2 of collector involved by the year 2020, about 104
that would use microwaves to beam Hydrogen production plants: $40/m2 km2, would be much less than that
energy back to Earth, to household of collector used currently for highways. In fact,
water heaters, to fields of solar pan- … a substantial fraction of the collector
els like the one featured in this issue’s Combining the cost of research and area needed could be accommodated
photo essay (see “Good Day Sun- development, production facilities, on ... land shared with farming or
shine,” p. 36). The return on an invest- and the systems themselves gives a grazing.
ment of more than $11 billion a year, total solar-energy investment of about But gas prices fell, and the United
he argued, would be huge: by 2000, $300 billion in the next 27 years. … States did not spend nearly this much
solar could provide 13 percent of the investment at that level would mean money on solar. In its entire existence,
country’s energy, by 2020, 26 percent. that 13 per cent of projected U.S. the U.S. Department of Energy has
But if these rapid advances are to energy requirements could be filled by spent $5.8 billion on the technology.
occur, large capital investments will solar systems in the year 2000, 26 per In 2004, solar supplied only .0628
also be required. … the cost of the vari- cent in 2020. percent of the country’s energy. And
ous types of solar energy systems can While substantial collector areas President Bush’s 2008 budget calls for
be projected as follows: would be required, the total area only $148 million for solar research.
Technology Review (ISSN 1099-274X), Reg. U.S. Patent Office, is published bimonthly by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Entire contents ©2007. The editors seek diverse views, and authors’ opinions do not represent
the official policies of their institutions or those of MIT. Printed by Brown Printing Company, Waseca, MN. Periodicals postage paid at Boston, MA, and additional mailing offices. Postmaster: send address changes to Technology
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