Professional Documents
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Impacts on agriculture For agricultural production, cropping pattern and livestock may be changed in some
regions, e.g. winter crop in the North would be shortened or even no longer exist, whereas the main crop would
prolong. Temperature rise with higher variability (both maximum and minimum temperatures) will combine with
other climatic extremes and natural disasters to induce pestilent insects and diseases to wide spread.
Consequently, agricultural production and food security would be seriously threatened (source: Vietnam NTP).
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Impacts on Infrastructure and Industry: Temperature rise would also badly affect such
sectors as energy, transportation, industry, construction, tourism, trade, etc. due to the
fact that higher cost would be spent for cooling, ventilation, and maintenance. The
operation of offshore based oil rigs, gas pipe system and gas-fuelled power plants
located near the sea will be affected, making the operation and maintenance of machine
and equipments more costly (source: Vietnam NTP) Inundation effect map of
construction with elevation under 2.0 m, scenario SLR 50 cm
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MC1 Model
Is a dynamic global vegetation
model (DGVM) including three
biogeographic modules (MAPSS),
biogeochemistry model (modified
CENTURY) and fire module
(MCFIRE)
It simulates plant life form and
vegetation classes; the movement
of carbon, nitrogen and water fluxes
for ecosystems; and fire
disturbances
Can generate models of tens to
hundreds of years from now
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Impacts on Public Health: High temperature and humidity would elevate
pressures on human health, especially for old people and children, and cause
diseases, particularly tropical and infectious diseases by favoring growing
condition of bacteria, insects and diseases vectors (source: VN NTP).
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Vulnerability
“The degree to which a a system is susceptible to, and unable to
cope with, adverse effects of climate change, including climate
variability and extremes” (IPCC, 2007).
Climate change conditions are intersecting with increasingly
vulnerable populations
• Climate change impacts will affect regions and countries
unevenly, with the poorest countries suffering most from the
negative consequences of climate change
• Poorest countries are in the are in areas most exposed to
disaster and experience extreme climate events already
• Poorest countries lack resources to coping with damage after
being affected or even to gather information on what can be
done beforehand (IPCC)
• The nature and intensity of impacts will vary depending on the
vulnerability of different PLACES.
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Vulnerability is…
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The Vulnerable in Vietnam
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GIS data can be very helpful to assist the vulnerable, but you need
to be careful in choosing which data to use for what purpose
Source: Socio-Economic Atlas of Vietnam
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Policy Makers: What are your
Options?
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IPCC Models’ Influence on
Mitigation and Adaptation
• Very Influential in prompting policy
responses in measures to mitigate
climate change (for example, reduce
energy demand, conserve energy,
promote alternative energies)
• But adaptation to climate change has
been a slow area of policy to develop
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But some say…
Mitigation and
Adaptation should best
be pursued together
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Vietnam is working on both, as we will see….
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Adaptation is a Must for Vietnam
Where do we start?
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Goal of Adaptation in the
Netherlands:
• To “Climate-Proof” the Country
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Mainstreaming Climate
Change
• Second difficulty in
implementing the NTP is the
lack of coordination to respond
to climate change in developing
the policies, plans and
programs in sectors/regions,
even in climate highly sensitive
sectors/regions. There are still
not awareness of the necessity
to integrate climate change
information into policies/plans.
Integrating the climate change
in the developing master plans,
designing and implementing the
policies do not almost exist, in
particular, the links between the
climate change and the
activities of poverty reduction
and hunger eradication,
livelihood are missing
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What is Spatial Planning?
• “Actions and Interventions Based on
Critical Thinking of Space and Place”
• Spatial Planning is Place-Based
Problem-Solving Aimed at Sustainable
Development
• Spatial Planning involves the processes
through which the options for the
development of places are envisioned,
assessed, negotiated, agreed, and
expressed in policy, regulatory and
investment terms
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• Spatial planning has a key role in
“Climate Proofing the Netherlands”
• The major research program is
“Climate Changes Spatial Planning”
(CCSP)
• The national spatial strategy or “Spatial
Planning and Adaptation Strategy”
(ARK), involves departments of state,
provinces, municipalities and water
boards
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What about Risk?
• The concept of risk becomes a guiding principle of
adaptation policy. Social acceptability of risk can only
be established in context of decision making, that is in
trade off with other costs and benefits related to
alternatives
• A fundamental aspect of risk is uncertainty, and so
adaptation policy accepts substantial uncertainty
• The Dutch Government decided that a large part of
uncertainty could be taken away by doing research
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Let’s get back to Vietnam
• GIS scenarios of climate change allow
us to see issues previously hidden
• They can be used to provide a
systematic evaluation of spatial plans
and to generate alternative policy paths
• Planning can broaden its
preoccupation with space
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Adaptation in the NTP
• Climate change
adaptation has become
a crucial, immediate
and long-term issue.
Key adaptation
activities are included
in the NTP.
• a) Climate change
adaptation in different
sectors- water
resources, agriculture;
public and human
health;
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MONRE Minister Dr. Pham Khoi Nguyen’s 5
Point Copenhagen Priorities Include…
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Climate Change Adaptation (source: Vietnam CCWG)
• Climate Change Adaptation (CCA) is defined by the group as the
practical process of adjusting what we do, where and how, to reflect
changing climatic realities; and helping others adjust to the impacts of
climate change. This includes:
• “Soft measures” such as raising people’s awareness of and capacity to
cope with climate variability and helping local authorities and communities
develop and access a range of adaptive measures and related enabling
policies; and
• “Hard measures” such as reforestation, planting agricultural crops and
trees more suited to warmer temperatures and drier soil conditions,
investing in infrastructure (e.g. drainage systems and dykes), and
establishing disaster early warning systems.
• CCA includes both Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and community-
based adaptation to chronic conditions such as higher temperatures, more
or less rainfall, less predictable seasons, sea level rise and saline
intrusions. While there may some overlap between DRR and community-
based adaptation measures, DRR focuses on reducing the risk of and
protecting against the impact of catastrophic weather related events.
•
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A concluding note on adaptation
(and another preview of
Dr. Pearson’s talk)
IPCC: “A wide array of adaptation
options is available, but more extensive
adaptation than is currently occurring
is required to reduce vulnerability to
climate change. There are barriers,
limits and costs which are not fully
understood.”
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MONRE’s Institute for Hydrometeorology
and Environment (IMHEN), under Director
Dr. Tran Thuc, tranthuc@vkttv.edu.vn
(their critical mission discussed earlier)
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DRAGON
• “Delta Research and Global Observation Network”
(DRAGON)
• Focuses on climate change affecting the world’s
great deltas, including the Mekong
• Vietnam research conducted through Can Tho
University, with first focus on local effects (contact
Dr. Nguyen Hieu Trung, Vice Director of the
DRAGON institute and Head of its GIS research
group; nhtrung@ctu.edu.vn)
• Support in part from USGS (contact Dr. Gregory
Smith, smithg@usgs.gov) and U.S. Embassy in
Hanoi
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ICARG, INTERNATIONAL
CENTER FOR ADVANCED
RESEARCH ON GLOBAL
CHANGE
Pham Van Cu, Director
Vietnam National University, Hanoi
pvchanoi@vnn.vn
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For geospatial data on
Vietnam, be sure to check
out:
• GIT4You (www.git4you.com/GIS/)
• Ditagis
www.ditagis.hcmut.edu.vn/tvct/index.p
hp; You can find out about training
courses at the Ditagis site, and even
download some geodata. But to use
these data you will need software.
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Needs
• Climate change in Vietnam is a
complex decision problem
• It requires a careful decision situation
assessment – which can be GIS-based
• But there are some outstanding needs
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Needs: Data Standardization,
Generation and Access
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Obstacle but opportunity
• Vietnam does not yet have a national spatial data
infrastructure available though government channels
to authorized users.
• There are numerous private companies, government
agencies, universities and research institutions with
geodatabases, but standards and compatibility
problems have yet to be resolved.
• GIS Data for Vietnam are typically in non-
standardized formats, with each institution creating
their own datasets for their specific purposes
• This will make it very difficult to take on the
problems
• A national database accessible to approved users
across a variety of institutions would be a good
investment 121
Crime
Monitoring Education Planning
DPW
Services Asset Maintenance
Topographic/Raster
Health & Social Cadastre
Services Geo-coded Address Service/Call Centers
Street Center Lines
Assets
Environmental Health
Transport
Education Health/Social services Planning
Education
Crime
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Construction of such a
national clearinghouse
can be done methodically
• After strategic process, an
additional 200-300 trained
staff may be needed to
assemble this national
database
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Needs for MONRE
Hardware: IBM Server xSeries X3850-M2 (7141-1RA), Soil and
Sediment analysis equipment, a Swoffer stream flow meter, a
Velmex tree-ring measuring system and surveying tools that include
GPS receivers, a total station, and an auto-level.
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Discussion
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