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In this exclel we are analyzing the stochastic rel between the rel between x, y, z by using

x records.
Charascterising this stochastic rel, we choose as depenedt variable the profit rate
depending on turnover variation.Between these 2 var we have a high positive
correlation=if turn increases or is higher, then we can expect to have a higher profit rate
in the sample.because the coeff of corr in positive and over 0.9-it’s a high intensity
correlation. Turnover is a significant influence factor cos it explains 83.49% out of profit
rate variation(from r square) . Between these variables we have a linear relation or the
relation is expressed using the 1st degree equation cos we have checked the relation
R=RADICAL R square=r and in this care if multiple r equals the previous the rel is based
in the 1st degree equation.

Rsquare =ssr/sst

Adjusted r sq=ssr/k over sst


Considering the other factors of infl-having a constant infl, their influence is not
evaluated-in this case 83,49 is due to turnover variation. The infl of each factor we
identity can be less then 50%-important factor. We can identify several influence factors.

The linear regression model is the 1st degree eq/the function .


Y hat i=0,0533+0.00000002turnover
If the slope is larger then 45 degrees, the correlation is elastis
=45-unitary
45< inelastic.

No nedd for a really high slope to have a high intension

This is a valid model sio it can be used for predinctions.


Validity=sig f<0.05=>valid in 95% of the cases
It if this way cos f calc was larger compared to the theoretical value in the tables.

The coeffs:
The average profit rate of the typical company independently copmputed from
turnover(not depending) is 5.33%.
In the overall population we can expwect for the average pr rate to be min 1.48% and
max 9.18% based on sample evidence in 95% of cases.
The value of the test t calculated 2.97 is larger compared to the value of the theoretical
student t test.
The slope is expressed as a marginal measure- the reaction of profit rate abs change
induced by turnover absolute change with one unit. If turnover is higher with one unit, for
a company in the sample, we can expect for that company to have a higher profit rate
with 0.00000002 or with 0.000002%. So, assuming that pr rate is 5,32, if turnover
increases with 1 unit, pr rate will be …(cat o fii)
A higher profit rate with the slope value, induced by a higher turnover with 1 unit is valid
only for the sample. In the overall population, if turnover is larger with 1 unit we can
expect to have a higher profit rate with minimum 0.0000012% and with max
0.000002045%. The upper limit is larger then the val in the sample and the lower one is
smaller.
Comparing this model with the multiple regression one(also libnear) we constructed
another model with an extra variable-nb of employees.Adding this extra var dertermined
a higher coeff of corr(multiple r). If the coeff is higher, the level of trust in this model is
higher also. So, for predinction, we will not use the simple model, but we will use the
second model. B
Both explanatory variables are explaining 85.92% out or profit rate variation(r square).
The model is the following linear function

Y hat i= 0.063-0.0000249nb emp+0.000000018turn


If explanatory variables are 2, we have a plain, not lines, for 3, we don’t know.
The intercept is not statistically significant for 95% probab, meaning we cannot trust the
confidence class in at least 95% of the cases.We can trusrt it in 94 percent when alfa
equals 6%. The average turnover value not dependin on nb emp &turn can be min
0.0216% max, 0.104%-because p value is larger then 5% and less then 6%.
The slope of the plain is negative showin a neg corr between the variables.If employees
increase, profit decreases with 0.000249(or in %). We cannot make a statement about the
variation of the change in the profit rate due to the population=cos p val is larger then
0.05.
Judging the rel between turnover and pr rate, the slope of the plain along turnover x is
0.000000018. The smallness of it has no connection. If turnover is higher with 1 unit, the
p0r rate will also be higher with0.0000000814, or 0.00000184%. This increase can be
extended to the overall population. The slope along turnover is relevant even in 99%
cases because p val <1%. For overall pop, 1 unit increase in turnover can induce an
increase in pr rate with minimum 0.00000129% an max 0.00000238%.

Graphs:
Line fit plot

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