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Note that there are two additional worksheets in this workbook: Weekly and Monthly. This is
because ValueLine uses weekly data and Merrill Lynch uses monthly data to calculate their
respective betas. We will calculate both types using both data frequencies and the return
calculations favored by the providers. It should be noted that a "plain" (or, unadjusted) beta is
normally calculated using the Merrill Lynch methodology without the adjustment. The next few
boxes describe each technique.
The purpose of calculating the adjusted betas is to account for the well-documented tendency for
betas to "regress to the mean."
1) Calculate the periodic (usually monthly) returns for a security and an index (usually the S&P
500). This is a total return (dividend yield plus capital gains yield).
2) Calculate the covariance of the two return streams and the variance of the index returns. Note
that we should use the population variance to be consistent with the population covariance that
Excel provides. Use the Covar() and VarP() functions for these calculations.
3) To calculate the beta, divide the covariance of returns by the variance of the index returns. This
is your unadjusted beta.
3) Note that ML uses a simple percentage change to calculate the monthly capital gains yield.
3) To get the exact number as VL, you should round the result to two decimal places.
4) Note that VL uses log price relatives (i.e., the natural log of one plus the total return - this
gives a continuously compounded return) and weekly data.
References
"A Comparison of Published Betas," by Reilly and Wright, The Journal of Portfolio
Management, Spring 1988 (pp. 64-69).
"Betas and Their Regression Tendencies," by Blume, Journal of Finance 30, June 1975 (pp. 785-
795).
This worksheet shows how to calculate the unadjusted beta and the
ValueLine beta. Note that we are using weekly data, log price
relative (i.e., continuously compounded) returns, and I'm ignoring
dividends for simplicity.
MSFT
Unadj Beta 1.03
VL Beta 1.04
MSFT
Unadj Beta 1.25
ML Beta 1.17