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ABSTRACT This chapter considers the two main approaches rules are used to derive conclusions from the represen-
to deductive thinking: theories based on formal rules of infer-
tations of premises. These "prepositional" representa-
ence postulate that deduction is a syntactic process akin to a
logical proof; the mental model theory postulates that it is a tions are syntactically structured strings of symbols in a
semantic process akin to the search for counterexamples. mental language, and the chain of deductive steps is
Experimental evidence bears out the predictions of the supposedly analogous to a logical proof (see, e.g., the
model theory: the more models needed for a deduction, the theories of Braine, Reiser, and Rumain, 1984; Osher-
harder it is; erroneous conclusions are consistent with the son, 1974-1976; Rips, 1983). An alternative account
premises; and ^general knowledge affects the process of
postulates a central role for mental models. This ac-
search. Recent neurological evidence bears out, as the model
theory predicts, a significant involvement of the right hemi- count does not reject prepositional representations, but
sphere in reasoning. it treats them as the input to a process that constructs a
mental model corresponding to the situation described
If deduction is a purely verbal process then by the verbal discourse. The process of deduction—as
it will not be affected by damage to the well as induction and creation (Johnson-Laird, 1993)
right hemisphere. —is carried out on such models rather than on preposi-
It is affected by such damage. tional representations. Models are the natural way in
It is not a purely verbal process. which the human mind constructs reality, conceives
alternatives to it, and searches out the consequences of
This argument is an example of a valid deduction: Its
assumptions. They are, as Craik (1943) proposed, the
conclusion must be true if its premises are true. (They
medium of thought. But what is a mental model?
may not be, of course.) Deductive reasoning is under
The underlying idea is that the understanding of
intensive investigation by cognitive scientists, and
discourse leads to a model of the relevant situation akin
more is known about it than about any other variety of
to one created by perceiving or imagining events in-
thinking. The aim of this chapter is to explain its na-
stead of merely being told about them (Johnson-Laird,
ture and to relate it to the brain. "The cerebral organi-
1970). Experimental studies have indeed found evi-
zation of thinking has no history whatsoever," Luria
dence for both initial propositional representations and
remarked (1973, 323); and Fodor (1983,' 119) sug-
mental models (see e.g., Johnson-Laird, 1983; van Dijk
gested that nothing can be known about the topic,
and Kintsch, 1983; Garnham, 1987). The same idea
because thinking does not depend on separate "infor-
has led to the model theory of deductive reasoning.
mationally encapsulated" modules (but cf. Shallice,
The theory was not cut from whole cloth, but was
1988, 271). Many regions of the brain are likely to
gradually extended from one domain to another. From
underlie it, but as we shall see, a start has been made
a logical standpoint, there are at least four main do-
on the neuropsychology of reasoning.
mains of deduction:
Many cognitive scientists have argued that deduc-
tive reasoning depends on formal rules of inference like 1. Relational inferences based on the logical prop-
those-'of a logical calculus, and that these unconscious erties of such relations as greater than, on the right of, and
after.
PHILIP N. JOHNSON-LAIRD Department of Psychology, 2. Propositional inferences based on negation and on
Princeton University, Princeton, N.J. such connectives as if, or, and and.
*
3. Syllogisms based on pairs of premises that each that depend on the meanings of these relations:
contain a single quantifier, such as all or some. For any x,y, if x is on the left ofjy, thenj is on the
4. Multiply quantified inferences based on premises
right of x.
containing more than one quantifier, such as Some For any AT, y, z, if x is on the right ofj, and y is on the
pictures by Turner are more valuable than any by any other
right of z, then x is on the right of z-
English painter.
With these postulates the conclusion can be derived:
Logicians have formalized a predicate calculus that
covers all four domains and includes the prepositional The Turner painting is on the right of the Corot,
calculus, which deals with inferences based on con- using various rules of inference, including modus ponens:
nectives. The model theory was developed first for
ifp then q
relational inferences and syllogisms, and recently for
prepositional and multiply quantified inferences. In P
contrast, psychological theories based on formal rules
:. q
exist for relational and prepositional inferences, but where p and q denote any propositions whatsoever.
not for syllogisms or for multiply quantified inferences. The formal derivation for this simple inference is sur-
Theories and evidence have been reviewed in detail prisingly long: It calls for eight steps, but that is the
elsewhere (Johnson-Laird and Byrne, 1991, 1993; price to be paid for using formal rules.
Holyoak and Spellman, 1993). In this chapter, we will The theory of mental models takes a different ap-
stand back from the details and present an integrated proach. It treats prepositional representations as in-
account of mental models based on all of this work. We structions for the construction of models. The meaning
will also bring the story up to date and relate it to the of, say, on the right of consists in the appropriate incre-
neuropsychology of thinking. The chapter begins with ments to the Cartesian coordinates of one object, j, in
relational inferences and establishes that a model- order to locate another object, x, so that: x is on the
based system does not require postulates specifying the right ofj. Hence, the prepositional representation of
logical properties of relations. It then shows how mod- the assertion:
els can underlie reasoning with sentential connectives, The Turner painting is on the right of the Daumier
such as or, and quantifiers, such as all. Next, it shows
how certain sorts of diagrams inspired by the model can be used to construct a spatial model:
theory can help reasoners to cope with disjunctions. d t
Finally, it considers the neuropsychological findings,
where (/denotes the Daumier and / denotes the Turner.
and draws some conclusions about the assumptions un-
The information in the second premise:
derlying mental models.
The Corot sketch is on the left of the Daumier
Relational inferences and emergent logical properties can De added to yield:
The Turner painting is on the right of the Daumier. This model supports the conclusion:
The Corot sketch is on the left of the Daumier. The Turner painting is on the right of the Corot
What follows? sketch.
A valid answer is that the Turner painting is on the The conclusion is true in the model, but does it follow
right of the Corot sketch. Psychological theories based validly from the premises? The crucial manipulation to
on formal rules of inference (e.g., Hagert, 1984; Ohls- test validity is to search for alternative models of the
son, 1984) explain the derivation of the answer in premises that refute the conclusion. In fact, there are
terms of a formal proof. It depends on the logical prop- no alternative models of the premises in which the con-
erties of the relations: on the left of is the converse of on clusion is false, and so it is valid. The model-based
the right of, and both are transitive relations. These method of reasoning accordingly has no need of mean-
properties have to be added to the premises by stating ing postulates or formal rules of inference. The logical
them in so-called meaning postulates, that is, postulates properties of a relation, such as its transitivity, are not
P
1
A conditional of the form-: where r denotes a greater risk. The principles for com-
bining seta of models are simple: A new model is made,
If/>, then q if possible, from each pairwise combination of a model
calls—at least initially—for one explicit model (of the from one set with a model from the other set, accord-
antecedent and consequent) and one implicit model of ing to the principles in Johnson-Laird, Byrne, and
an alternative situation: Schaeken (1992, 425):
1. If the model in one set is implicit and the model in
the other set is implicit, then the result is an implicit
The implicit model symbolized by the three dots may model.
subsequently be rendered explicit, but for many in- 2. If the model in one set is implicit but the model in
ferences the implicit model suffices. We have im- the other set is not, then no new model is formed from
plemented a computer program (Propsych) that them.
computes the numbers of explicit models required by , 3. If the pair of models is inconsistent, that is, one
inferences (see Johnson-Laird, Byrne, and Schaeken, contains the representation of a proposition and the
other contains a representation of its negation, then no
1992). Consider, for example, the following argument:
new model is formed from them.
Studies have shown that children of people who smoke more 4. Otherwise the two models are joined together,
than two packs per day have a greater exposure than others eliminating any redundancies.
to secondhand smoke or a lowered resistance to viral infec-
tion. Children exposed to secondhand smoke have an in- The result of combining the sets of models for the first
creased risk of lung cancer. Children with lowered resistance two premises is, accordingly:
to viral infection are harder to treat with chemotherapy.
These two factors make for intractable cases of lung cancer.
Thus, these children risk contracting untreatable lung
cancer.
Hence, so far, the process of inference has called for the
The first step is to represent the underlying preposi- construction of five explicit models. The set of premises
tional connectives in the premises: as a whole calls for the construction of nine explicit
If child of smoker then (exposed to smoke or models. Initial models of this sort suffice for all the 61
lowered resistance). direct inferences used in a study by Braine, Reiser, and
If exposed to smoke then greater risk, Rumain (1984), and the program was used to count
.//lowered resistance then chemotherapy harder, them: They predicted the difficulty of the problems as
//"greater risk or chemotherapy harder then risk of well as these authors' rule-based theory.
untreatable cancer. Although many inferences in daily life can be made
If child of smoker then risk of untreatable cancer. with such models, sometimes one has to think more
carefully and flesh out the models completely. Given
We can then use the Propsych program to work out the
the conditional
total number of explicit models that have to be con-
structed to carry out the inference. Thus, the first If there is a triangle then there is a circle,
premise calls for two explicit models and one implicit could there be a circle without a triangle? Presumably
model: so, given one interpretation of the conditional. Could
where -i is an annotation representing negation. Be- When the second premise is instead:
cause there is no longer any implicit model, there is no Some of the gourmets are Italians
need for symbols representing exhaustive representa-
the initial model supports the unbelievable conclusion:
tions. Exhaustion is thus a device that allows the infer-
ential system to represent certain information implic- Some of the Frenchmen are Italians
itly—it can be made explicit, but at the cost of fleshing and hardly any subjects err now. In other words,
out the models. reasoners tend to "satisfice" (see Simon, 1959): If
The same principles suffice for the representation of they reach a congenial conclusion they tend not to
quantifiers. The interpretation of an assertion, such as search for alternative models. Satisficing is a frequent
All the Frenchmen in the restaurant are gourmets cause of everyday disasters, both major and minor. It
seems an obvious danger, yet it cannot be predicted by
calls for a model of the following sort, in which each
rule theories, which contain no elements corresponding
line no longer represents a separate model, but rather
to models of situations.
a separate individual in one and the same model:
The model theory generalizes to multiply quantified
[/] g assertions. For example, the premises:
in g None of the Avon letters is in the same place as
any of the Bury letters
where f denotes a Frenchman, g denotes a gourmet, All of the Bury letters are in the same place as
and the three dots represent implicit individuals. As all of the Caton letters
SCHAEKEN, VV., and P. N. JOHNSON-LAIRD, 1993. Mental \\'APNER, \V., S. HAMBY, and H. GARDNER, 1981. The role of
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SIMON, H. A., 1959. Theories of decision making in econom- age. Paper presented at the annual INS meeting, San
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TOMPKINS, C., and C. A. MATHER, 1985. Right hemisphere ZAIDEL, E., D. VV. ZAIDEL, and R. W. SPERRY, 1981. Left
appreciation of prosodic and linguistic indications of im- and right intelligence: Case studies of Raven's Progressive
plicit attitude. Brain Lang. 24:185-203. Matrices following brain bisection and hemi-decortication.
VAN DIJK, T. A., and W. KINTSCH, 1983. Strategies of Discourse Cortex 17:167-186.
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A BRADFORD BOOK
THE MIT PRESS
CAMBRIDGE, MASSACHUSETTS
LONDON,ENGLAND
Third printing, 1996
© 1995 Massachusetts Institute of Technology