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Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan

for the St. Louis Region

Air Quality Conformity Determination


and Documentation

March 30, 2005

East-West Gateway Council of Governments


Table of Contents
Section Page

Executive Summary 1

Overview of the Air Quality Conformity Process 3

Regional Emission Analysis Tables 14

Declaration of Conformity 16

Appendix
A. Transportation Planning Assumptions and Regionally Significant Projects A-1

B. Population and Employment Forecasts B-1

C. Travel Demand Modeling Procedures, Assumptions and Forecasts C-1

D. Mobile Source Emissions Modeling and Forecasts D-1

E. Transportation Control Measures and the Evaluation of Emissions Benefits E-1

F. St. Louis Air Quality Conformity Determination F-1

G. Jersey County, Illinois G-1

Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region: Air Quality Conformity
Determination and Documentation March 2005
Executive Summary

This report describes the air quality Conformity Determination conducted as part of the development
of Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region. The long range transportation
plan has been prepared by the East-West Gateway Council of Governments (EWGCOG) which is
the designated Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) for the St. Louis region. In accordance
with the Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA) of 1990 and related Federal regulations, the
Transportation Plan must be found to be in conformity with all applicable State Implementation
Plans (SIPs) and with the motor vehicle emissions budgets as established by the SIPs before the
Transportation Plan may be approved by the MPO and the Federal Highway Administration.

In accordance with current U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) guidance, and in
consultation with the Inter Agency Consultation Group, EWGCOG has decided to adopt the
following mobile source emissions tests for determining conformity on Legacy 2030 which includes
the FY 2005-2009 Transportation Improvement Program (TIP). The analysis years are 2007, 2010,
2014, 2020 and 2030 (the horizon year for the Plan). This Conformity Determination has been
prepared in relation to the budgets and tests applicable in January 2005.

For the analysis years 2007 and 2010, emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOC) resulting
from implementation of the Plan will be less than the 2007 VOC motor vehicle emissions budget
for Missouri and the 2007 VOC motor vehicle emissions budget for Illinois, as set out in the relevant
one-hour ozone standard Maintenance Plans (74.460 tons per day in Missouri and 16.310 tons per
day in Illinois). Emissions of oxides of nitrogen (NOx) which are expected to result from
implementation of the Plan in Missouri and Illinois will be less than the 2007 NOx motor vehicle
emissions budgets for Missouri and Illinois, as set out in the one-hour ozone standard Maintenance
Plans (130.550 tons per day in Missouri and 36.870 tons per day in Illinois).

For the analysis years 2014, 2020 and 2030 (the horizon year for the Transportation Plan), emissions
of VOC resulting from implementation of the draft Plan will be less than the 2014 VOC motor
vehicle emissions budget for Missouri and the 2014 VOC motor vehicle emissions budget for
Illinois, as set out in the relevant one-hour ozone standard Maintenance Plans (47.140 tons per day
in Missouri and 10.130 tons per day in Illinois). Emissions of NOx which are expected to result from
implementation of the Plan in Missouri and Illinois will be less than the 2014 NOx motor vehicle
emissions budgets for Missouri and Illinois, as set out in the one-hour ozone standard Maintenance
Plans (68.590 tons per day in Missouri and 18.720 tons per day in Illinois).

A second component of a Conformity Determination is an assessment of progress in implementing


Transportation Control Measures (TCMs) identified in the respective SIPs. These measures are
intended to reduce emissions or concentrations of pollutants from transportation sources by reducing

Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region: Air Quality Conformity
Determination and Documentation March 2005
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vehicle use or otherwise reducing vehicle emissions. As part of the Conformity Determination,
EWGCOG has to certify that TCMs in the categories included in the SIPs which are eligible for
federal funding are on schedule for implementation and that no federal funds are being diverted
which might delay their timely implementation. The basis for this certification is contained in the
1997 report: Transportation Control Measures in the St. Louis Region: Completion Report. In
addition, the revised Missouri 15% Rate-of-Progress SIP, approved by USEPA in May 2000,
included additional TCMs which were funded and are being implemented through the Congestion
Mitigation and Air Quality (CMAQ) program. The quantified benefits from implemented or
programmed TCMs, as well as expected benefits from other CMAQ TCMs, contribute reductions
towards meeting the mobile source emissions tests described above.

The analysis described in this document has resulted in a Conformity Determination that the projects
and programs included in Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region, meet all
relevant regional emissions analysis and budget tests as described above and detailed in Table 3 and
therefore conform to the relevant sections of the Federal Conformity Rule and to the applicable
sections of the Missouri and Illinois SIPs for air quality. The Conformity Determination is made for
the entire eight-hour ozone non-attainment area. This area includes: Franklin, Jefferson, St. Charles
and St. Louis Counties and the City of St. Louis in Missouri; and Jersey, Madison, Monroe and St.
Clair Counties in Illinois. For more information about Jersey County, see Appendix G.

Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region: Air Quality Conformity
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Overview of the Air Quality Conformity Process
1. Background

This report describes the air quality Conformity Determination conducted as part of the development
of Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region. This Transportation Plan and
related air quality Conformity Determination was approved by the East-West Gateway Council of
Governments (EWGCOG) on March 30, 2005 and is then to be reviewed by the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency (USEPA) for compliance with Conformity rules and regulations in the Spring of
2005.

The Plan has been prepared by EWGCOG which is the designated Metropolitan Planning
Organization (MPO) for the St. Louis region. It includes the FY 2005-2009 Transportation
Improvement Program (TIP). In accordance with the Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA) of 1990
and related federal regulations, both the Transportation Plan and TIP must be found to be in
conformity with the requirements of those regulations and with all applicable State Implementation
Plans (SIPs) before the Plan may be approved by the MPO. The analysis described in this document
has resulted in a Determination that the projects and programs included in Legacy 2030 conform to
the relevant sections of the Federal Conformity Rule and to the applicable sections of the Missouri
and Illinois SIPs for air quality. This Conformity Determination also includes Jersey County,
Illinois.

At the January 26, 2005 meeting of the EWGCOG Board of Directors, the draft Legacy 2030, The
Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region was released for public consultation. The draft Air
Quality Conformity Determination and supporting analysis, as described in this document, was
issued for public consultation, review and comment. In accordance with federal and state regulation,
this document is available for public comment and is being circulated to interested agencies,
organizations and individuals. This Conformity Determination on Legacy 2030 is effective march
30, 2005 and is made in relation to the relevant federal and state regulations in force as of that date.
It is now being forwarded to the Dot for formal review.

The Conformity Determination relates to those pollutants produced by automobiles and other on-
road transportation, generally described as "mobile source emissions". While this chapter outlines
the complex technical evaluation process involved in the Conformity Determination, a more detailed
description is provided in the Appendices. Appendix A lists the transportation projects included in
the analysis. Appendices B, C and D describe the assumptions and methods used to forecast vehicle
travel and resulting emissions. Appendix E discusses various programs designed to reduce mobile
source emissions. Appendix F summarizes the calculations supporting the Conformity
Determination.

Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region: Air Quality Conformity
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2. Conformity Guidelines

The expectation of "a clean and healthy environment" is one of the regional goals of the Council,
as first set out in Transportation Redefined I. To that end, the Council has set out the following
objective for the transportation planning process:

" To reduce transportation related air pollution ..... in accordance with federal, state,
and local health standards and priorities."

The specific procedures for reaching that objective are those established under Federal law for
ensuring conformity between transportation plans and air quality improvement plans. The
Conformity Determination process is intended to ensure that the programs and activities proposed
in the Transportation Plan, the TIP and TIP amendments, conform to the purpose of the CAAA of
1990 and the SIPs. As stated in the CAAA of 1990, this means "...conformity to the
(implementation) plan's purpose of eliminating or reducing the severity and number of violations
of the national ambient air quality standards and achieving expeditious attainment of such
standards...". The provisions of the CAAA of 1990 in relation to conformity are amplified in the
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) Final Rule, 40 CFR Part 93, as amended July 1,
2004. The July 2004 revisions amends the current Conformity rule to provide: conformity
procedures under the new eight-hour ozone and PM2.5 air quality standards; incorporate existing
federal guidance into the Conformity rule consistent with the March 2, 1999 U.S. Court of Appeals
decisions; and streamlining and improving the rule.

USEPA uses the term "attainment area" to describe those areas where air quality meets health
standards for particular pollutants. In 2002, the St. Louis region attained the one-hour ozone
standard, based on three years of air quality monitoring data for the 2000-2002 time period. The re-
designation requests and Maintenance Plans prepared by the Missouri Department of Natural
Resources (MoDNR) and the Illinois Environmental Protection Agency (IEPA) were approved by
USEPA on May 12, 2003. As a result, the entire eight-county St. Louis region is now classified as
a maintenance area for the one-hour ozone standard.

In the April 30, 2004 Federal Register, the St. Louis area, and other metropolitan areas around the
nation, was designated by USEPA as a non-attainment area for the eight-hour ozone standard and
has been given a “moderate” non-attainment classification. The non-attainment area includes:
Franklin, Jefferson, St. Charles and St. Louis Counties and the City of St. Louis in Missouri; and
Jersey, Madison, Monroe and St. Clair Counties in Illinois. (See Figure 1) The effective date of this
designation was June 15, 2004. EWGCOG, as the MPO, has until June 15, 2005 to perform a
Conformity Determination under the eight-hour ozone standard. The Conformity Determination for
Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region will be performed with the
Conformity procedures for both the one-hour and the eight-hour ozone standards.

Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region: Air Quality Conformity
Determination and Documentation March 2005
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The eight-hour ozone standard non-attainment area is larger than the one-hour ozone maintenance
area. The regional emissions analysis provisions found in 40 CFR 93.109 (e)(2)(iii) of the
Conformity Rule are to be followed. For that portion of the eight-hour ozone non-attainment area
with approved Maintenance Plans, the one-hour ozone motor vehicle emissions budgets for volatile
organic compounds (VOC) and oxides of nitrogen (NOx) contained in these plans will be used in the
regional emissions analysis. This provision applies to the Missouri and Illinois portions of the St.
Louis region. The one-hour budgets will continue to be used in Conformity Determinations until
the eight-hour ozone motor vehicle emissions budgets which are to be developed by MoDNR and
IEPA are found adequate by USEPA. This requirement affects Franklin, Jefferson, St. Charles and
St. Louis Counties and the City of St. Louis in Missouri; and Madison, Monroe and St. Clair
Counties in Illinois.

Jersey County, Illinois was originally a stand-alone one-hour ozone standard limited maintenance
area which did not have VOC and NOx motor vehicle emissions budgets. However, the County has
been added to the eight-hour ozone St. Louis non-attainment area. Through the Inter Agency
Consultation process, consensus was reached that the Illinois Department of Transportation (IDOT)
would be the lead agency in overseeing the Jersey County Conformity Determination process.
Furthermore, IDOT has estimated the county-wide emissions for Jersey County for 2007, 2010,
2014, 2020 and 2030. These estimated and projected emissions were added to the three county
emission totals of Madison, Monroe and St. Clair Counties. Jersey County has been found to be in
compliance with all applicable Conformity rules and procedures (see Appendix G).

Part of the region, consisting of the City of St. Louis and that portion of St. Louis County within the
I-270 loop, is classified as a limited maintenance area for carbon monoxide (CO). On June 17, 1997
the Missouri Department of Natural Resources submitted The Missouri State Implementation Plan
for Carbon Monoxide - St. Louis Metropolitan Area: Maintenance Provisions and Re-designation
Request, October 1996 to USEPA. The re-designation request was approved by USEPA on March
31, 1999. As a result, the Limited Carbon Monoxide Maintenance Plan option allows plan
conformity without a technical analysis. However, individual projects remain subject to the
requirement for “hot spot” analysis by their project sponsors.

Under the provisions of the CAAA of 1990, the EWGCOG, as the MPO for the region, is the agency
responsible for making the Conformity Determination. The Conformity Determination described
in this document was performed in accordance with DOT and USEPA guidance and procedures.

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Procedures were implemented in accordance with 40 CFR Part 93, §§ 93.109, 113 and 118 relevant
guidelines and documentation issued by DOT and USEPA1.

For the Missouri part of the region, the procedures have also followed the guidelines in the St. Louis
Metropolitan Area Ozone and Carbon Monoxide Transportation Conformity State Implementation
Plan, adopted as State Regulation 10 CSR 10-5.480. As a consequence of Court decisions in 1999,
the USEPA returned Missouri’s second amendment to this SIP on March 31, 1999. However, in
accordance with local inter agency agreement, this Conformity Determination has followed the
applicable administrative procedures contained in the original Missouri Conformity SIP, effective
December 1996. As the Illinois Transportation Conformity SIP is still under review by USEPA, the
Illinois part of the region remains subject to the provisions of the Federal Transportation Conformity
Rule.

3. State Implementation Plans

The SIPs contain strategies for reducing ozone-forming emissions of volatile organic compounds
(VOC) and oxides of nitrogen (NOx). A Maintenance Plan delineates strategies so that an area can
continue to be in attainment of the ozone standard. Mobile sources, essentially road-based
transportation are one of several broad categories of pollution sources. For each category, the SIPs
establish the acceptable emissions limits which is consistent with the SIP strategy for meeting
national goals for cleaner and more healthy air. These limits are set out as an emissions budget.
Preparation of SIPs is the responsibility of each State. The SIPs must be submitted to USEPA in
accordance with a schedule delineated in Federal regulation. USEPA approval is required for all
SIPs. Motor vehicle emissions budgets contained in a submitted SIP may be used as a basis for
Conformity Determination findings before the SIP is formally approved, provided USEPA has issued
a specific Finding of Adequacy.

For the analysis years 2007, 2010, 2014, 2020 and 2030 (horizon year for the Plan), the Conformity
Determination for the Missouri part of the region is made in relation to the Missouri Maintenance
Plan for the one-hour ozone standard which contains 2007 and 2014 motor vehicle emissions
budgets. It was approved by USEPA on May 12, 2003. The Conformity Determination for the
Illinois part of the region for these analysis years is made in relation to the Illinois Maintenance Plan
for the one-hour ozone standard which also contains 2007 and 2014 motor vehicle emissions
budgets. This Maintenance Plan was approved by USEPA on May 12, 2003.

1
USEPA, Companion Guidance for the July 1, 2004 Final Transportation Conformity Rule: Conformity
Implementation in Multi-jurisdiction Nonattainment and Maintenance Areas for Existing and New Air Quality
Standards, July 2004; EPA, User's Guide to Mobile 6.1 and 6.2, August 2003; EPA, Volume IV: Mobile
Sources, Procedures for Emission Inventory Preparation, EPA-450/4-81-026d (revised), July 1992; DOT
Transportation Conformity Reference Guide, July 2001.

Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region: Air Quality Conformity
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4. Regional Emissions Analysis: Emissions Budget Tests

The principal step toward making a Conformity Determination for the analysis years 2007 and 2010
is to demonstrate that the anticipated emission levels of atmospheric pollutants which will result
from planned and programmed transportation projects (the "Action" scenario) will be less than the
level defined in the 2007 motor vehicle emissions budget established for each pollutant found in the
one-hour ozone standard Maintenance Plan for each respective state. The SIP motor vehicle
emissions budgets are established for the two sets of pollutants which are precursors of ozone
formation, VOC, primarily hydrocarbons, and NOx. On May 12, 2003, USEPA approved the one-
hour ozone standard Maintenance Plans for Missouri and Illinois. Both the approved Missouri Plan
and the approved Illinois Plan have 2007 motor vehicle emissions budgets for VOC and NOx. In a
letter to Missouri dated December 17, 2004, USEPA stated that the 2007 motor vehicle emissions
budgets from their Maintenance Plan were found to be adequate for Conformity Determination
purposes. USEPA sent a letter to Illinois on January 10, 2005 stating that the motor vehicle
emissions budgets from the Maintenance Plan for 2007 are adequate. Therefore, the 2007 motor
vehicle emissions budgets are to be utilized in the Regional Emissions Analysis for the 2007 and
2010 analysis years only. The 2007 motor vehicle emissions budgets are summarized in Table 1.

To make a Conformity Determination for analysis years 2014, 2020 and 2030, it is necessary to
demonstrate that the anticipated emission levels of atmospheric pollutants which will result from the
"Action" scenario will be less than the level defined in the 2014 motor vehicle emissions budget for
VOC and NOx found in the one-hour ozone standard Maintenance Plan for each respective state.
On May 12, 2003, USEPA approved the one-hour ozone standard Maintenance Plans for Missouri
and Illinois. Both the approved Missouri Maintenance Plan and the approved Illinois Maintenance
Plan have 2014 motor vehicle emissions budgets for VOC and NOx. The 2014 motor vehicle
emissions budgets are summarized below in Table 2.

Through the Inter Agency Consultation process, it was agreed that for each of the analysis years,
estimated emissions data for Jersey County would be added to the “Action” scenario for the
“Action”/Budget test.

The process USEPA uses to determine the adequacy of submitted SIP budgets for conformity is
contained in a May 14, 1999 Memorandum from USEPA entitled “Conformity Guidance on
Implementation of the March 2, 1999 Conformity Court Decision” and the July 2004 Conformity
rule revision.

Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region: Air Quality Conformity
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Table 1
2007 Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets
From Missouri and Illinois Maintenance Plans

Pollutant Missouri Illinois


Volatile Organic Compounds
(VOC) 74.460 tons per day 16.310 tons per day
Oxides of Nitrogen (NOx) 130.550 tons per day 36.870 tons per day

Table 2
2014 Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets
From Missouri and Illinois Maintenance Plans

Pollutant Missouri Illinois


Volatile Organic Compounds
(VOC) 47.140 tons per day 10.130 tons per day
Oxides of Nitrogen (NOx) 68.590 tons per day 18.720 tons per day

5. Conformity Tests: Analysis Years

For the Plan, the tests detailed in Sections 4 have to be satisfied for those transportation projects and
programs expected to be operational by 2030, which is the horizon year of Legacy 2030, The
Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region, and for the years 2007, 2010, 2014 and 2020.

6. Conformity Tests for Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region

In accordance with current USEPA guidance, and in consultation with the IACG, EWGCOG has
decided to adopt the following mobile source emissions tests for determining conformity on the
Plan. This Conformity Determination has been prepared in relation to the budgets and tests
applicable in January 2005 and on the most current planning assumptions as agreed to by the IACG.

Pollutants
Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC): separate tests required in Missouri and Illinois
Oxides of Nitrogen (NOx): separate tests required in Missouri and Illinois
Carbon Monoxide (CO): no tests are required in the limited maintenance area

Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region: Air Quality Conformity
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Analysis Years
2007 - First analysis year (One-hour ozone budget established for this year contained
in one-hour ozone Maintenance Plans for Missouri and Illinois)
2010 - Intermediate analysis year (Eight-hour ozone attainment year)
2014 - Intermediate analysis year (One-hour ozone budget established for this year
contained in one-hour ozone Maintenance Plans for Missouri and Illinois)
2020 - Intermediate analysis year
2030 - Horizon year for Transportation Plan

Tests of Conformity
“Action” scenario compared with the 2007 motor vehicle emissions budget from the
Maintenance Plans, for VOC in both States for 2007 and 2010
“Action” scenario compared with the 2007 motor vehicle emissions budget from the
Maintenance Plans, for NOx in both States for 2007 and 2010
“Action” scenario compared with the 2014 motor vehicle emissions budget from the
Maintenance Plans, for VOC in both States for 2014, 2020 and 2030
“Action” scenario compared with the 2014 motor vehicle emissions budget from the
Maintenance Plans, for NOx in both States for 2014, 2020 and 2030

7. Transportation Control Measures

A second component of a Conformity Determination is an assessment of progress in implementing


Transportation Control Measures (TCMs). These measures are intended to reduce emissions or
concentrations of pollutants from transportation sources by reducing vehicle use or otherwise
reducing vehicle emissions. For the St. Louis region, the SIPs included categories of control
measures, together with estimates of the anticipated emissions benefits.

As part of the conformity process, the Council has to certify that TCMs in the categories included
in the SIPs which are eligible for federal funding are on schedule for implementation and that no
Federal funds are being diverted from these projects which might delay their timely implementation.
The basis for this certification is contained in the 1997 report: Transportation Control Measures
in the St. Louis Region: Completion Report. In addition, the revised Missouri 15% Rate-of-Progress
SIP, approved by USEPA in May 2000, included additional TCMs which were funded and are being
implemented through the Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality (CMAQ) program.

In addition, the emission benefits associated with the implemented or programmed TCM projects
must be quantified. Expected benefits from TCMs, as well as benefits from other control measures
programmed in the Plan but not included in the SIP, contribute pollution reductions towards meeting
the mobile source emissions tests described above. The 1998 Federal Transportation Equity Act for
the 21st Century (TEA-21) included a major re-authorization of the CMAQ Program. The Surface
Transportation reauthorization bill is still waiting approval but the CMAQ Program has been
reauthorized under continuing resolution by Congress. The Plan which includes the FY 2005-2009

Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region: Air Quality Conformity
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TIP contains projects to be funded under this re-authorized program, all of which have been selected
on the basis of their potential benefits to air quality. The analysis includes the estimated emissions
benefits from these projects. The results of the analysis of TCMs, CMAQ projects and of other
control measures included in the conformity analysis are set out in Appendix E.

8. Consultation: Conformity Procedures

Federal regulation requires that Conformity Determinations must be made: each time a new regional
Transportation Plan or TIP is adopted; within 18 months from effective date of USEPA finding that
SIP motor vehicle emissions budgets are adequate for Conformity Determination purposes; approval
of SIP by USEPA; approval of SIP revision by USEPA; within 12 months of a newly designated
non-attainment area; or at least at three year intervals. MPOs responsible for making conformity
determinations must follow procedures for inter-agency and public consultation and review as
described in DOT and USEPA regulations. These include by reference the requirements of the
Missouri state conformity regulations (10CSR-5.480), as adopted by the Missouri Air Conservation
Commission in August 1996, effective in December 1996. USEPA, MoDNR and IEPA may
comment on Conformity Determinations.

The principal forum for the discussion of Inter Agency Consultation Group
technical issues relating to conformity is the
Inter Agency Consultation Group (IACG). The City of St. Louis Department of Health
role of this group in the conformity process is East-West Gateway Council of Governments
defined in both the Missouri and the Illinois Federal Highway Administration, Illinois Division
Federal Highway Administration, Missouri Division
Conformity Regulations. Membership in this Federal Transit Administration, Region VII
group is shown at the right. Illinois Department of Transportation
Illinois Environmental Protection Agency
During the preparation of Legacy 2030 and the Madison County Highway Department
development of the Conformity Determination Madison County Transit District
Metro
analysis, the IACG met on a regular basis. For Missouri Department of Natural Resources
the Plan, the general approach to the Missouri Department of Transportation
Conformity Determination, the procedures used St. Clair County Department of Roads and Bridges
and all of the major assumptions have been St. Clair County Transit District
St. Louis County Department of Health
subject to discussion, review and, where
St. Louis County Department of Highways and Traffic
appropriate, consensus approval by this group. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Region 5
In addition, many other agencies are involved U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Region 7
in the process leading to a Conformity
determination through their involvement in
EWGCOG’s Air Quality Advisory Committee and Executive Advisory Committee.

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9. Consultation: Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region Air Quality
Conformity Determination and Technical Documentation

Following preparation of the Plan and the Air Quality Conformity Determination, a series of six open
houses were held, as listed in the following table. They were open to the public from 4 p.m. to 7:30
p.m.

Date Area Open House Location


February 15 St. Louis County St. Louis County Library, Mid County Branch,
Clayton
February 16 Illinois IDOT District 8 Offices, Collinsville
February 17 Franklin County Franklin County Courthouse, Union
February 22 St. Charles County St. Charles County Adm. Building, St. Charles
February 24 Jefferson County Hillsboro City Hall, Hillsboro
March 1 City of St. Louis Third Baptist Church of St. Louis

The Air Quality Conformity Determination was publicized and made available for comment at these
meetings. Members of the public, organizations and public agencies were encouraged to comment
on the draft Plan and Conformity Determination via an on-line form, by fax or by mail.
Approximately 200 people attended the open houses and the document was circulated to interested
agencies, organizations and individuals.

The deadline for submitting comments on the draft Plan was Tuesday, March 15, 2005.

The Air Quality Conformity Determination was also being circulated for comment to all members
of the EWGCOG’s Air Quality Advisory Committee and of the Inter Agency Consultation Group.
Both bodies will have the opportunity to consider the Conformity Determination and Documentation
at their meetings.

The EWGCOG Board of Directors approved Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis
Region on March 30, 2005.

10. Conformity Determination Technical Methodology

The calculation of mobile source emissions is a three-stage process for each analysis year. First, all
regionally significant transportation facilities are included in the Council's regional travel demand
model. This includes all projects from the proposed Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the
St. Louis Region. Appendix A lists the projects included in the regional emissions analysis.

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Utilizing the project list from Appendix A, the travel demand model is used to forecast vehicle miles
of travel in the region. The underlying assumptions regarding population and employment changes
in the region are set out for reference in Appendix B. The modeling assumptions and procedures are
discussed in Appendix C.

Second, the Mobile 6.2 emissions model is used to develop emissions factors that indicate how much
of each pollutant is produced per vehicle mile of travel. These factors are applied to the forecasts
from the travel demand model to derive a modeled total of vehicle emissions for each of the two
pollutants in each of the four analysis periods. These procedures are discussed, and the results
summarized, in Appendix D and Appendix G.

The third stage evaluates the effect of TCMs in the categories included in the SIP and other control
measures proposed in the Plan. This is described in Appendix E. This includes projects included
in the approved TIP under the Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality program. The emissions
benefit from these control measures is then subtracted from the modeled vehicle emissions total to
produce estimates of mobile source emissions. In all, emissions have to be estimated for both
pollutants (i.e. VOC and NOx) related to three time periods (a.m. peak, p.m. peak and off-peak), for
both states in the Plan’s analysis years and for the inspection and maintenance (I/M) test area and
non I/M test area, giving multiple sets of emissions calculations.

The predicted emissions that result from these modeling procedures are then subject to each of the
tests of conformity outlined above. The results are shown in Table 3 below and also in Appendix
F, Table F-2.

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Table 3
Regional Emissions Analysis: Conformity Tests for Volatile Organic Compounds (tons per day)
Based on Conformity Requirements for One-Hour and Eight-Hour Ozone Standards

Tests
2007 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Missouri 51.940 / 74.460
Result Pass
Illinois 13.198 / 16.310
Result Pass
2010 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Missouri 39.205 / 74.460
Result Pass
Illinois 10.501 / 16.310
Result Pass
2014 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 27.526 / 47.140
Result Pass
Illinois 7.227 / 10.130
Result Pass
2020 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 18.502 / 47.140
Result Pass
Illinois 5.097 / 10.130
Result Pass
2030 Horizon Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 21.610 / 47.140
Result Pass
Illinois 4.686 / 10.130
Result Pass

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Table 3 ( continued )
Regional Emissions Analysis: Conformity Tests for Oxides of Nitrogen (tons per day)
Based on Conformity Requirements for One-Hour and Eight-Hour Ozone Standards

Tests
2007 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Missouri 94.915 / 130.550
Result Pass
Illinois 26.656 / 36.870
Result Pass
2010 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Missouri 73.040 / 130.550
Result Pass
Illinois 19.867 / 36.870
Result Pass
2014 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 45.058 / 68.590
Result Pass
Illinois 11.270 / 18.720
Result Pass
2020 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 22.165 / 68.590
Result Pass
Illinois 4.918 / 18.720
Result Pass
2030 Horizon Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 21.300 / 68.590
Result Pass
Illinois 2.279 / 18.720
Result Pass

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Declaration of Conformity

Based on the analysis, the projects and programs


included in Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the
St. Louis Region which includes the FY 2005-2009 TIP
are found to be in conformity with the requirements of
the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990, the relevant
sections of the Final Conformity Rule 40 CFR Part 93
and the procedures set forth in the Missouri State
Conformity Regulations 10 CSR 10-5.480. This
Conformity Determination covers the St. Louis eight-hour
ozone non-attainment area (Franklin, Jefferson, St.
Charles and St. Louis Counties and the City of St. Louis
in Missouri and Jersey, Madison, Monroe and St. Clair
Counties in Illinois).

Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region: Air Quality Conformity
Determination and Documentation March 2005
Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan
for the St. Louis Region

Air Quality Conformity Determination


and Documentation

Appendices

Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region: Air Quality Conformity
Determination and Documentation March 2005
Legacy 2030

Air Quality Conformity Determination and Documentation

Appendix A :: Transportation Planning Assumptions and Regionally


Significant Projects

The planning assumptions and project descriptions set out on the following pages were used for
the purposes of travel demand modeling and air quality analysis and form the basis of the Air
Quality Conformity Determination for Legacy 2030, The Long Range Transportation Plan for
the St. Louis Region. The FY 2005-2009 Transportation Improvement Program is included in
Legacy 2030. Information is listed on the route, the location and/or limits of the project, the
description of the project or planning assumptions made for the purposes of analysis, and the
analysis year in which the project is expected to be completed.

The list includes all regionally significant projects that involve changes to the capacity or
performance of the highway or transit system in ways that potentially affect mobile source
emissions. Certain types of projects, such as interchange improvements, may be deemed non-
exempt but are not regionally significant. In such case, these projects have been included in the
“regionally significant project” listing for tracking and informational purposes. Projects deemed
non-exempt but not regionally significant may not be able to be meaningfully defined and
analyzed in the regional travel demand model, therefore, an off model method of analysis has
been used to quantify its effects on travel. In addition, the list may include the planning
assumptions made with regard to Major Transportation Investment Analyses (MTIAs) and other
corridor studies.

In the following table, each project is categorized by its anticipated year of completion. As
noted in the Overview, air quality analyses have been performed for each of the three analysis
years: 2010, 2020 and 2030. The air quality analysis also includes emissions credits from
control measures that are beneficial to air quality. These projects are listed in Appendix D.

A-1
Table A-1
Legacy 2030 Regionally Significant Projects*
The following road improvement projects have been included in the regional travel demand modeling network for the indicated analysis year.
Project Sponsor Description County Location Year
I-55/70 partial IDOT/MoDOT Construct new bridge and connections St. Clair/St. Louis City Mississippi River 2010
I-44 MoDOT Revise interchange Franklin South Pacific interchange 2010
MO 21 MoDOT Relocate, four lane Jefferson Lake Lorraine to MO A 2010
US 40 partial MoDOT Upgrade to Interstate St. Charles MO K to MO DD 2010
MO 364 partial MoDOT Upgrade to freeway St. Charles e/o to w/o Harvester (MO 94) 2010
I-270 MoDOT Revise interchange St. Louis I-270/Page - north to west flyover 2010
I-64 partial MoDOT Upgrade, reconstruct interchanges St. Louis City/Co. Kingshighway/I-170 interchanges 2010
Project Sponsor Description County Location Year
I-55/70 partial IDOT/MoDOT Construct new bridge and connections St. Clair/St. Louis City Mississippi River 2020
IL 3 IDOT Relocate, four lane Madison/St. Clair Venice to Cahokia 2020
I-64 IDOT Construct tri-level interchange St. Clair I-64 and I-55/70 interchange 2020
I-44 MoDOT Revise interchange Franklin North Pacific interchange 2020
US 40 partial MoDOT Upgrade to Interstate St. Charles Lake St Louis to I-70 2020
MO 364 partial MoDOT Upgrade to freeway (MO 94) St. Charles w/o Harvester to MO N 2020
US 40 MoDOT Construct new bridge St. Charles/St. Louis Missouri River 2020
I-170 MoDOT Interchange/mainline improvements St. Louis MO D to I-64 2020
MO 141 MoDOT Relocate, four lane St. Louis I-64 to MO 340 2020
I-64 partial MoDOT Widen, Upgrade St. Louis City/Co. e/o and w/o I-170 interchange 2020
Project Sponsor Description County Location Year
I-55 MoDOT Revise interchange Jefferson MO M interchange 2030
I-55 MoDOT Add lanes, revise interchanges Jefferson MO M to US 67 2030
MO MM MoDOT Realign, upgrade existing Jefferson MO 21 to MO 30 2030
I-70 MoDOT Revise interchanges St. Charles e/o Zumbehl to MO 79 2030
I-70 MoDOT Revise interchange St. Charles MO K interchange 2030
I-70 MoDOT Add lanes St. Charles MO Z to Pearce 2030
I-44 MoDOT Revise interchange St. Louis Shrewsbury interchange 2030
I-44 MoDOT Revise interchange St. Louis MO 109 interchange 2030
I-170 MoDOT Interchange/mainline improvements St. Louis I-270 to MO D 2030
I-270 MoDOT Revise interchange St. Louis I-270/Page - south to east flyover 2030
MO D MoDOT Upgrade to expressway St. Louis Schuetz to Lindbergh 2030
Riverview Dr MoDOT Upgrade to parkway St. Louis City Hall St to I-270 2030
* Projects for which funding has been previously committed to in a prior long range plan or transportation improvement program are not included in this listing.
A-2
Legacy 2030

Air Quality Conformity Determination and Documentation

Appendix B :: Population and Employment Forecasts

B-1. Background

The key planning assumptions made as a foundation for this air quality emissions analysis and
Conformity Determination relate to projections of future population and employment. These
projections are used to determine future travel demand and travel patterns and the effect these will
have on mobile source emissions. The population and employment projections used in this analysis
are based upon those developed for Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region.
The projections extended out in ten-year increments to the year 2030, which is the horizon year of
the Plan.

B-2. 2005 Base Year

The population and employment projections were developed via traditional agency methodology
which incorporates data on population and employment change from local sources and individual
county-level population and employment growth outlook. They extend from 2000 (in order to base
them on the latest decennial census), with the 2005 base year selected here, excerpted from the 2000-
2005 series.

B-3. Projection methodology

The population projections were developed from both regional and county-level perspectives. The
actual county values were allotted based on historic development patterns, information collected on
local government plans and major transportation improvements, other major projects (planned
subdivisions, commercial developments, etc.) and small-area examination of growth prospects. The
small-area analysis involved a spatial assessment which focused attention on land available for
development or redevelopment, and physical environmental conditions that affect development. In
general, residential development was precluded from flood plains and low densities were assumed
for marginal areas for development.

Unlike the population projections which began from strictly Census 2000 data, the underpinning of
the employment projections represent a blending of employment data from the Census
Transportation Planning Package (CTPP) and jobs data from sources such as the Bureau of Labor
Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). This
blending process was done via staff review and analysis of these adjunct sources and their
implications vis a vis locally-derived perceptions.

B-1
Employment Projections were informed by review of alternative short-term projections series
developed by various sources. No found source projected beyond a ten-year horizon. The 2000 to
2005 projections represent an average growth rate of 1.4 percent, slightly above the rate of 1.2
percent forecasted by the Missouri Department of Labor for the period of 1996 through 2006.
Beginning in 2010, the rates decline over the ensuing 20 year period, providing the region a 2030
employment of 1,481,100. These projections represent adjustments to initial projections, as
warranted, based on comments requested from local planners asked to review the series.

The 2000 base data and projections were allocated to the transportation analysis zone level, which
is the disaggregate level of geography used in travel demand forecasting. This was achieved via a
Land Use Allocation Model (LUAM). Assumptions guiding the allocation included zonal
development attractiveness values1, the influence of existing development patterns and development
trends, and zonal holding capacity. Zonal adjustment factors were applied where the modeling of
generalized development patterns differed from general perceptions. The zonal allocations were
controlled to the externally derived county totals.

B-4. Summary of projections

The projections are summarized in Table B-1 and trends are indicated in the chart on the following
page. Projections of households and household size at the regional and county level are related to
population through assumptions about household structure. At the local and zonal level, the number
of households is used to establish the relationship between the anticipated number of dwelling units
and the projected population in each zone. Zonal households are used in the travel demand model
as an input into the process of generating estimates of future trip making.

B-5. Socio-economic indicators

Although generated independently, the projections of population and employment may be correlated
at the regional level using the 2000-based cohort projections and other broad socio-economic
indicators, as shown in Table B-2. It should be noted these indicators are not forecasts; they are the
implied results of the projections of population and employment change.

The projections anticipate a slight decline in the proportion of the population of working age, which
is consistent with expectations as the “baby boom” generation reaches retirement age. The basic
stability in labor force participation rates suggest the impact of a growing segment over 70. The
implied unemployment rate drop indicates an increased labor demand from an expanded jobs base

1
Aggregate development attractiveness values were derived for each zone via a spatial
analysis process which considered distances, by quarter-mile intervals, from the centroids of one-
acre grids to various spatial interaction factors. The factors considered during this process are:
employment location, interstate highway interchanges, major highway intersections, bus service,
metrolink service and free-standing communities.

B-2
created by the “baby boom” generation. The forecasts indicate that the net level of commuting into
the region rises; this again is consistent with a continuation of recent trends.

B-6. Projections by County


Projections by County are set out in Table B-3.

Table B-1
Population, households and employment in the St. Louis Region: 2005 - 2030

2005 2010 2020 2030

Population 2,522,700 2,577,800 2,685,200 2,770,500

Households 1,002,700 1,039,000 1,117,400 1,188,400

Ave household size 2.52 2.48 2.40 2.33

Employment 1,350,700 1,401,400 1,451,900 1,481,100

B-3
Table B-2
Changes in Regional Socio-Economic indicators: 2005 to 2030
2005 2030 Change
Regional population 2,522,700 2,770,500 10.23%

Population of working age (age 16 - 70) 1, 729,900 1,846,900 6.76%


Percent 68.6% 66.7%
Labor force 1,258,000 1,334,700 11.81%
Participation rate (age 16 - 70) 72.7% 72.3%
Unemployed 68,400 28,300 -54.75%
Unemployment rate 5.4% 2.1%

Jobs in the region 1,350,700 1,481,100 9.65%


Sources: U.S Census Bureau, Census Transportation Planning Package, U.S. Department of Lablo projected national labor force participation rates
and East-West Gateway projections and cohort-modeling

B-4
Table B-3
Population Projections by County: 2005 - 2030
County 2005 2010 2020 2030

St. Louis City 326,400 310,000 317,400 327,400


St. Louis County 1,018,100 1,021,800 1,008,700 1,004,200
St. Charles County 314,400 344,700 397,200 408,000
Jefferson County 210,000 224,700 255,500 263,800
Franklin County 98,700 106,900 135,000 144,400
Madison County 264,900 271,500 293,100 300,300
St. Clair County 260,100 265,800 279,600 284,100
Monroe County 30,100 32,400 36,900 38,300

Region 2,522,700 2,577,800 2,729,100 2,770,500


Source: East-West Gateway Council of Governments
Employment Projections by County: 2005 - 2030
County 2005 2010 2020 2030

St. Louis City 272,000 274,400 276,400 277,800

St. Louis 643,400 664,800 680,700 693,200


St. Charles 124,700 140,400 163,400 173,500
Jefferson 51,300 53,600 56,400 58,200
Franklin 40,200 42,000 44,400 46,100
Madison 105,200 108,300 110,200 110,900
St. Clair 106,000 109,400 111,200 111,800
Monroe 7,900 8,500 9,200 9,600

1,350,700 1,401,400 1,451,900 1,481,100


Sources: East-West Gateway Counci1of Governments

B-5
Legacy 2030

Air Quality Conformity Determination and Documentation

Appendix C :: Travel Demand Modeling Procedures, Assumptions and


Forecasts

C-1. Overview

The basic structure of the Travel Demand Model (TDM) used by the East-West Gateway
Coordinating Council (EWGCC) is described in the November 1997 report, “Travel Demand Model
Documentation”, available on request from the Council or on line at the EWGCC Web Site,
www.ewgateway.org. The following is a brief discussion of some of the aspects of the modeling
process, various assumptions used as inputs for modeling, and forecast results from the model used
in the conformity determination.

For any given network scenario, the TDM uses a four step process to calculate travel demand. The
four steps in the order of operation are: trip generation, trip distribution, mode choice, and
assignment. A trip distribution feedback loop methodology is applied to ensure that the travel times
used to generate traffic assignments are consistent with those resulting from the assignment.

C-2. Transportation networks

The development of a TDM network begins with the identification of type and location of the
recommended "regionally significant", capacity modifying transportation projects selected for
inclusion in the FY 2005 - 2009 TIP for each non-attainment area in each state. The model network
also includes all the "regionally significant", capacity modifying projects included in Legacy 2030,
The Long-Range Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region, and the current FY 2005 - 2009 TIP.
The projects included in the long-range plan were drawn from past long-range planning efforts,
Major Transportation Investment Analysis (MTIA), other corridor and subarea planning studies, and
an assessment of future network conditions. The definition of "regional significance" is that
contained in the St. Louis Transportation Conformity SIP, as amplified through the inter-agency
consultation procedures established in that document and in 40 CFR Part 93 §93.101.

Projects are categorized by anticipated year of completion, and built into a network representing each
of the three analysis years: 2010, 2020 and 2030. Projects attributes and location are identified
before being placed in the model network. Recommended projects selected from submitted projects
for the FY 2005 - 2009 TIP are included in an "Action" scenario.

Appendix A identifies projects that are included in the model analysis.

C-1
C-3. Trip generation

Appendix B documents the assumptions and projections for population, employment and households
that underlie this analysis and outlines how these are allocated to the zonal level for use in the travel
demand model analysis.

Trip generation is the process of developing estimates of trips produced in each zone through the
application of trip generation rates to zonal estimates of households and employment for each year.
As described in the 1997 Travel Demand Model Documentation report, the trip rates for 1990 are
based on a travel survey undertaken that year, supplemented by earlier data on attraction rates and
1990 Census journey to work data. Assumed future trends in trip rates are summarized in Table C-1
on the following pages.

C-4. Person trips

The number of person-trips made on an average weekday is obtained by applying the trip rates in
Table C-1 to the zonal estimates of households and employment. Table C-2 lists the number of
person-trips by purpose for each horizon year.

Table C-2
Person trips, St. Louis Region: 2010 - 2030

2010 2020 2030

Trip purpose

Home-Based Work 2,522,244 2,593,929 2,803,297

Home-Based Shopping 733,286 849,631 1,037,045

Home-Based Drop Passenger 774,296 866,267 1,015,377


(mainly school related)

Other Home-Based 1,664,319 1,933,136 2,368,323

Non-Home-Based 2,031,377 2,359,490 2,885,601

All purposes 7,725,522 8,602,453 10,109,643


Note: Certain totals may not balance due to rounding.

C-2
Table C-1a
Trip Generation Rates: Estimates and trends, 2010 - 2030.
Assumed trends in household production rates, 2010 - 2030

Household income tertile and size


Tertile I: Low income Tertile II: Medium income Tertile III: High income
1 pers 2 pers 3 pers 4 pers 5+ pers 1 pers 2 pers 3 pers 4 pers 5+ pers 1 pers 2 pers 3 pers 4 pers 5+ pers
2010 production rates
Home-Based Work 0.920 1.510 1.510 1.510 1.510 1.290 2.150 2.920 2.920 2.920 1.290 2.710 2.920 2.920 2.920
Home-Based Other 1.644 3.417 4.856 6.407 8.754 1.460 3.232 4.372 6.175 8.540 1.471 2.521 3.979 6.138 8.540
Home-Based Shopping 0.565 0.905 1.195 1.029 1.374 0.495 0.850 0.850 0.986 1.340 0.495 0.850 0.850 0.986 1.340
Home-Based Drop Pass 0.000 0.469 1.836 2.100 2.850 0.000 0.441 1.307 2.012 2.780 0.000 0.441 1.307 2.012 2.780
Other Home-Based 1.106 1.854 2.419 3.298 4.531 0.970 1.935 2.212 3.168 4.420 0.970 1.235 1.822 3.149 4.420
Non-Home-Based 1.072 1.621 2.482 3.043 2.386 1.450 2.218 3.208 3.705 3.580 1.439 2.369 3.601 3.742 3.580
Commercial Productions set equal to Attractions

2020 production rates


Home-Based Work 0.920 1.510 1.510 1.510 1.510 1.290 2.150 2.920 2.920 2.920 1.290 2.710 2.920 2.920 2.920
Home-Based Other 1.671 3.456 4.895 6.427 8.754 1.460 3.232 4.372 6.175 8.540 1.471 2.521 3.979 6.138 8.540
Home-Based Shopping 0.565 0.905 1.195 1.029 1.374 0.494 0.854 0.852 0.989 1.340 0.497 0.847 0.850 0.983 1.340
Home-Based Drop Pass 0.000 0.469 1.836 2.100 2.850 0.000 0.443 1.309 2.018 2.780 0.000 0.439 1.306 2.006 2.780
Other Home-Based 1.106 1.854 2.419 3.298 4.531 0.967 1.935 2.212 3.168 4.420 0.974 1.235 1.822 3.149 4.420
Non-Home-Based 1.072 1.621 2.482 2.557 2.386 1.450 2.218 3.208 3.705 3.580 1.439 2.369 3.601 3.742 3.580
Commercial Productions set equal to Attractions

2030 production rates


Home-Based Work 0.920 1.510 1.510 1.510 1.510 1.290 2.150 2.920 2.920 2.920 1.290 2.710 2.920 2.920 2.920
Home-Based Other 1.671 3.456 4.895 6.427 8.754 1.460 3.232 4.372 6.175 8.540 1.471 2.521 3.979 6.138 8.540
Home-Based Shopping 0.565 0.905 1.195 1.029 1.374 0.494 0.854 0.852 0.989 1.340 0.497 0.847 0.850 0.983 1.340
Home-Based Drop Pass 0.000 0.469 1.836 2.100 2.850 0.000 0.443 1.309 2.018 2.780 0.000 0.439 1.306 2.006 2.780
Other Home-Based 1.106 1.854 2.419 3.298 4.531 0.967 1.935 2.212 3.168 4.420 0.974 1.235 1.822 3.149 4.420
Non-Home-Based 1.072 1.621 2.482 2.557 2.386 1.450 2.218 3.208 3.705 3.580 1.439 2.369 3.601 3.742 3.580
Commercial Productions set equal to Attractions

C-3
Table C-1b
Assumed trends in attraction rates, 2010 - 2030

Employment classification Attractions


Commercial Industrial Public Extractive per
Total Retail Other H/hold
2010 attraction rates
Home-Based Work 1.473 1.360 1.060 1.472
Home-Based Other 3.707 0.146 3.100 0.027 0.561
Home-Based Shopping 5.000
Home-Based Drop Passenger Attractions set equal to Productions
Other Home-Based 2.855 0.146 3.100 0.027 0.561
Non-Home-Based 1.100 0.108 0.526 0.043 0.177
Commercial 0.652 0.462 0.224 0.462 0.468
2020 attraction rates
Home-Based Work 1.473 1.360 1.060 1.472
Home-Based Other 3.707 0.146 3.100 0.027 0.561
Home-Based Shopping 5.000
Home-Based Drop Passenger Attractions set equal to Productions
Other Home-Based 2.855 0.146 3.100 0.027 0.561
Non-Home-Based 1.100 0.108 0.526 0.043 0.177
Commercial 0.652 0.462 0.224 0.462 0.468

2030 attraction rates


Home-Based Work 1.473 1.360 1.060 1.472
Home-Based Other 3.707 0.146 3.100 0.027 0.561
Home-Based Shopping 5.000
Home-Based Drop Passenger Attractions set equal to Productions
Other Home-Based 2.855 0.146 3.100 0.027 0.561
Non-Home-Based 1.100 0.108 0.526 0.043 0.177
Commercial 0.652 0.462 0.224 0.462 0.468

C-4
C-5. Trip distribution

No significant changes have been made to the methodology described in the Documentation Report.

C-6. Transit assumptions and mode split

The principal transit agency for the St. Louis metropolitan area is Metro (formerly the Bi-State
Development Agency). The agency operates MetroLink, the regional light rail line, and bus service
in the City of St. Louis and St. Louis County with limited service in St. Charles County. Metro also
operates bus service in St. Clair and Monroe Counties under agreement with the St. Clair County
Transit District. Since 1985, the Madison County Transit District has assumed an expanding role
in the provision of bus service in that County, and now provides all scheduled bus service within and
between Madison County and other areas. There is no fixed route transit service in either Franklin
or Jefferson Counties.

Since Legacy 2025, Metro has undergone significant routing and service changes.

AMTRAK provides inter-city rail service to downtown St. Louis as well as to Alton, Illinois and
Kirkwood and Washington, Missouri. There is no commuter rail service in the region.

The only toll facility in the region was the McKinley Bridge over the Mississippi River. It is
currently closed for rehabilitation and will remain closed for the next few years. When it is
reopened, it will be a toll-free facility. The Eads Bridge was formerly a toll facility but after its
rehabilitation and reopening in 2003, it is toll free.

Estimates of ridership by mode and year are presented below for the region's public transportation
system, as well as estimates for riders using demand response and other paratransit services. It
should be noted that ridership includes passenger transfers and trips within the downtown "free-ride"
zone. As a result, these numbers are higher than the number of transit trips defined for modeling
purposes.

Table C-3
Annual transit ridership in the St. Louis Region: 1990 - 1999.

Total Demand Response


Mode MetroLink Metro bus Other bus
Transit & Paratransit

Year (million riders per year)

1990 -- 44.53 0.21 44.74 1.65

1997 14.49 38.50 1.30 54.28 2.24

1998 14.56 39.34 1.30 55.20 2.24

1999 14.98 37.98 1.30 54.26 2.24

C-5
An extension to MetroLink is included in the Plan and TIP. MetroLink currently extends from
Lambert International Airport in St. Louis County to Mid-America Airport in St. Clair County,
Illinois. The extension is from the Forest Park station in the City of St. Louis through Clayton to
Shrewsbury in St. Louis County. This is expected to be fully funded from local sources and is
included in the Plan as a “non-Federal” project. It is expected to be complete by 2006.

The Transportation Plan also identifies as illustrative projects five additional MetroLink extensions
that would be pursued if additional funding were available: MetroSouth, MetroNorth, Northside,
Daniel Boone, and Southside. The fiscally constrained Plan does not identify funding for these
extension and, therefore, they are not included in any “Action” scenario and no conformity analysis
has been conducted for them.

Apart from the above mentioned extensions of MetroLink and related changes to feeder bus routes
included in the MetroLink modeling, no other changes in transit operations are included in this
analysis. Some additional transit improvements are programmed which fall within the definition of
Transportation Control Measures (TCMs); their effect on emissions is included in the TCM
calculations, as described in Appendix E.

Projections of transit ridership have been made using zone-to-zone transit mode shares derived from
the travel demand modeling work performed by consultants in support of the St. Clair and Cross-
County MTIAs. These mode shares are then applied to the projections of person trips between each
pair of zones, as estimated by the trip distribution process.

Table C-4
Transit ridership and mode share, St. Louis Region: 2010 - 2030.

2010 2020 2030

Transit trips 138,972 155,841 184,496

Transit % of all trips 1.80 % 1.82 % 1.83%

C-7. Vehicle Occupancy

The number of vehicle trips is calculated, starting with the estimate of person trips summarized in
Table C-2. Zone-to-zone transit trips are subtracted to give the number of persons traveling by auto.
This is turned into an estimate of auto trips through the application of vehicle occupancy rates.
These are derived from the 1990 National Personal Transportation Survey and the 2000 Census and
are averaged by travel purpose. The numbers used in the travel analyses are set out in Table C-5.
Note that the term “auto” in this context includes light trucks and vans used for personal travel as
well as passenger cars.

Commercial vehicle trips (including light delivery and service trips as well as truck trips) are
separately forecast using the commercial trip rates in Table C-1. Trips through the region are

C-6
projected by applying growth factors to the estimate of 1990 through travel as described in the
Documentation report. These projections are added to number of auto trips to give total vehicle
trips, as summarized in Table C-6.

Table C-5
Projected vehicle occupancy rates by trip purpose: 2010 - 2030

Purpose Work Shopping "Drop Passenger" Other Home-Based Non-Home-Based Overall

Average number of people per vehicle

2014 1.100 1.326 1.600 1.326 1.228 1.255

2020 1.100 1.326 1.600 1.326 1.228 1.254

2030 1.100 1.326 1.600 1.326 1.228 1.254

Table C-6
Total vehicle trips (average weekday), St. Louis Region: 2010 - 2030

2010 2020 2030

Auto trips 6,117,303 6,785,914 7,940,394

Commercial vehicle trips 1,035,170 1,042,294 1,092,721

Through vehicle trips 31,906 48,314 50,651

Total vehicle trips 7,184,379 7,876,522 9,083,766

Note: Certain totals may not balance due to rounding.

C-8. Peak and off-peak travel

The travel demand model assigns vehicle trips to each network scenario separately for morning peak,
evening peak and off-peak conditions. As described in the 1997 Travel Demand Model
Documentation report, the proportions of travel for each purpose in each period were developed
using data from the 1990 Census and the National Personal Transportation Survey. They are set out
in the following table. An estimate of daily travel is derived by summing the results of the three
assignments. These assumptions are assumed to remain constant for all analysis years.

C-7
Table C-7
Peak period assumptions, St. Louis Region

Duration of Period A.m. peak: 7 to 9 P.m. peak: 3 to 6 Off-peak

Purpose Percent of trips in each period

Home-Based Work 27 % 30 % 43 %

Home-Based Shopping 3% 27 % 70 %

Home-Based Drop 33 % 22 % 45 %
Passenger

Other Home-Based 7% 21 % 72 %

Non-Home-Based 12 % 26 % 62 %

Commercial and Through 12 % 26 % 62 %


trips

C-9. Estimates of travel

Modeling of the various scenarios produces several reports and data which serve as input to the
analytical process. The assignment of vehicle trips to the roadway network can be summarized to
present the general effect of changes in the roadway network in relation to the population and
employment growth for each horizon year and network scenario. The following table presents
unadjusted travel forecast results for the St. Louis Region.

C-8
Table C-8
Traffic assignment summary, St. Louis Region 2010 to 2030

2,010 2020 2030

Vehicle Trips

a.m. .peak 1,189,292 1,276,390 1,439,782

p.m. peak 1,881,952 2,053,025 2,355,826

off-peak 4,113,135 4,547,107 5,288,158

Total Vehicle Trips 7,184,379 7,876,522 9,083,766

Intra-Zonal Trips 779,606 885,762 1,091,576

Trips Assigned 6,404,773 6,990,760 7,992,190

Vehicle-miles of travel 80,752,806 88,657,496 97,551,748

Ave trip length (miles) 12.6 12.7 12.2

Vehicle-hours of travel 2,145,920 2,369,412 2,709,320

Ave trip speed (mph) 37.6 37.0 36.0


Note: Certain totals may not balance due to rounding.

C-10. Travel data corrections and adjustments

A series of corrections and adjustments has to be made to the modeled forecasts of travel before they
can be used as a basis for estimating mobile source emissions. First, the model network includes
roads into and out of the region. These lie outside the non-attainment area boundary and hence the
travel assigned to these links must be excluded from the analysis. Typically this amounts to about
400,000 VMT.

Second, the data reported from the assignment process are an approximation of regional travel
demand. They have to be corrected to compensate for errors observed when the model is validated
against observed travel conditions. The VMT estimates used in the conformity process also have
to be consistent with estimates agreed to by both State Departments of Transportation. The modeled
link volumes are first adjusted to compensate for errors observed when model data is compared with
actual traffic counts. In general, the model is fairly accurate in its estimation of travel on the
Interstate and principal arterial systems, but is prone to under-estimate travel on the lower standard
facilities. This initial correction is performed using aggregate comparisons with count data by State
and Functional Class. The resulting VMT is then controlled to the estimates agreed with MoDOT
and IDOT. In the Illinois part of the region, this control uses factors originally developed from a
comparison of the 1990 model with the IDOT estimate of VMT that was used in the development
of the State Implementation Plans. Comparisons of adjusted model estimates for 1996 and IDOT

C-9
data for that year indicate that these correction factors remain valid. In the Missouri part of the
region, the estimates used to develop the SIP have been superceded by more recent data based on
an enhanced traffic count program, and provisional 1996 control totals based on these new methods
have been agreed as a basis for this conformity analysis.

Third, the model network excludes intra-zonal trips. These are short trips that the model predicts will
be made wholly on local roads and city streets. As indicated in Table C-8, the model estimates the
number of these trips but does not assign them to the roadway network or compute any other
characteristics such as VMT or average speed. Because of this, intra-zonal VMT is computed using
a parallel "off-model" process.

Finally, the travel projections are seasonally adjusted. The production of exhaust emissions is
actually highest during the colder months of the year. However, increased temperatures and sunlight
contribute to increased photochemical production of ozone, with the result that Ozone concentrations
typically reach their peak in the summer. Since the travel demand model projects annual average
travel, the output of the model is adjusted to provide an estimate of the travel that takes place under
typical summer conditions. The correction and adjustment process for 1996 is summarized in Table
C-9.

These correction and adjustment factors are applied consistently for all analysis years and Plan
scenarios. The following table, C-10, summarizes the projections of average summer weekday
travel (ASWVMT) that result from applying these correction, control and seasonal adjustment
factors.

These VMT projections are then stratified by speed (in increments of ½ mph) and used as the basis
for computing mobile source emissions using the procedures described in Appendix D.

Table C-9
1996 Base Year VMT adjustments

Region Missouri Illinois

Modeled VMT (from Table B-10) 55,677,500

subtract VMT outside region 425,800

Regional modeled VMT 55,251,800 42,489,900 12,761,900

Corrected network AADVMT 63,836,500 49,461,100 14,375,400

add Intra-zonal VMT 744,200 498,800 245,500

Total AADVMT 64,580,700 49,959,900 14,620,900

State DOT estimates (for comparison) 64,959,500 50,278,700 14,680,800

Estimated ASWVMT 68,196,900 52,805,600 15,391,200

C - 10
Table C-10
Projected Average Summer Weekday Vehicle-Miles of Travel

Missouri Illinois Region


Horizon Regional corrected and adjusted
year ASWVMT
2010 56,786,662 16,604,107 73,390,769
2020 62,260,676 18,194,079 80,454,755
2030 68,578,279 19,444,431 88,022,710

C - 11
Legacy 2030

Air Quality Conformity Determination and Documentation

Appendix D :: Mobile Source Emissions Modeling and Forecasts

D-1 Emissions methodology

The estimation of mobile source emissions is performed in two stages. The first uses the Mobile 6.2
emissions model to calculate a sets of emission factors for each pollutant. Mobile 6.2 is a version
of the model currently approved by EPA for regional emissions modeling and conformity analysis.
The second stage applies these emission factors to the projections of vehicle miles of travel
generated by the regional travel demand model discussed in the preceding section. The resulting
estimates of mobile source emissions are then modified by the application of emissions credits
attributable to control measures before being used in the various tests required to demonstrate
conformity.

D-2. MOBILE model emission factor development

Conformity determinations for the St. Louis non-attainment area are predicated on the development
of emission factors consistent with the travel environment of the region. Each State has proposed
different strategies to achieve attainment with national ambient air quality standards, and there are
further differences between the strategies in effect within different parts of the region. Given the
different operational and implementation program characteristics of Missouri and Illinois, emission
factors for Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC) and for the Oxides of Nitrogen (NOx) are developed
separately for each of four analysis areas (see Figure D-1 at the end of this section) , as follows:
Area 1:the area requiring vehicle emissions inspections in Missouri (Missouri I/M Area)
Area 2:the remainder of the Missouri part of the region (Missouri Non-I/M Area)
Area 3:the area requiring vehicle emissions inspections in Illinois (Illinois I/M Area)
Area 4:the remainder of the Illinois part of the region (Illinois Non-I/M Area)
Area 2 is part of the Missouri non-enhanced I/M program is and covered by the conformity
Determination analysis. Area 4 is also included in this analysis. Due to the approval by the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency of the request for redesignation of the Carbon Monoxide (CO)
area as a Limited Maintenance Area, emissions analysis is no longer required for CO.

Emission factors are developed using the Mobile 6.2 emissions model. The settings used in the
model to generate emission factors for each of four areas are listed in Table D-1. The assumptions
used to establish these settings result from interagency technical consultation and are consistent with
those used in the development of the State Implementation Plans. They also reflect the views of the
Inter Agency Consultation Group on the implications of regulatory changes that affect assumptions
regarding future trends in mobile source emission rates. The more important of these assumptions
are discussed in Section D-4.

D-1
Table D-1
Mobile 6.2 Modeling Assumptions for 2010, 2020 and 2030

ILLINOIS INSPECTION AND MAINTENANCE AREAS


MOBILE6 INPUT FILE :

POLLUTANTS : HC NOx

REPORT FILE : ILIM.OUT

RUN DATA :

EXPRESS HC AS VOC :

NO REFUELING :

I/M DESC FILE : ILLOBDIM.D

REG DIST : MERD01.D

SPEED VMT : SVMTME04.DEF

VMT BY HOUR : HVMTME04.DEF

VMT BY FACILITY : FVMT.DEF

SCENARIO RECORD : Metro-East Example for 2010


CALENDAR YEAR : 2010
EVALUATION MONTH : 7
FUEL PROGRAM :1
FUEL RVP : 7.2
OXYGENATED FUELS : .000 .300 .000 .035 2
ABSOLUTE HUMIDITY : 75.0
MIN/MAX TEMPERATURE: 74. 97.

SCENARIO RECORD : Metro-East Example for 2020


CALENDAR YEAR : 2020
EVALUATION MONTH : 7
FUEL PROGRAM :1
FUEL RVP : 7.2
OXYGENATED FUELS : .000 .300 .000 .035 2
ABSOLUTE HUMIDITY : 75.0
MIN/MAX TEMPERATURE: 74. 97.

SCENARIO RECORD : Metro-East Example for 2030


CALENDAR YEAR : 2030
EVALUATION MONTH : 7
FUEL PROGRAM :1
FUEL RVP : 7.2
OXYGENATED FUELS : .000 .300 .000 .035 2
ABSOLUTE HUMIDITY : 75.0
MIN/MAX TEMPERATURE: 74. 97.

END OF RUN

D-2
Table D-1 (continued)
Mobile 6.2 Modeling Assumptions for 2010, 2020 and 2030

ILLINOIS NON-INSPECTION AND MAINTENANCE AREAS

MOBILE6 INPUT FILE :

POLLUTANTS : HC NOx

REPORT FILE : ILXM.OUT

RUN DATA :

EXPRESS HC AS VOC :

NO REFUELING :

REG DIST : MERD01.D

SPEED VMT : SVMTME04.DEF

VMT BY HOUR : HVMTME04.DEF

VMT BY FACILITY : FVMT.DEF

SCENARIO RECORD : Metro-East Example for 2010


CALENDAR YEAR : 2010
EVALUATION MONTH : 7
FUEL PROGRAM :1
FUEL RVP : 7.2
OXYGENATED FUELS : .000 .300 .000 .035 2
ABSOLUTE HUMIDITY : 75.0
MIN/MAX TEMPERATURE: 74. 97.

SCENARIO RECORD : Metro-East Example for 2020


CALENDAR YEAR : 2020
EVALUATION MONTH : 7
FUEL PROGRAM :1
FUEL RVP : 7.2
OXYGENATED FUELS : .000 .300 .000 .035 2
ABSOLUTE HUMIDITY : 75.0
MIN/MAX TEMPERATURE: 74. 97.

SCENARIO RECORD : Metro-East Example for 2030


CALENDAR YEAR : 2030
EVALUATION MONTH : 7
FUEL PROGRAM :1
FUEL RVP : 7.2
OXYGENATED FUELS : .000 .300 .000 .035 2
ABSOLUTE HUMIDITY : 75.0
MIN/MAX TEMPERATURE: 74. 97.

END OF RUN

D-3
Table D-1 (continued)
Mobile 6.2 Modeling Assumptions for 2010, 2020 and 2030

MISSOURI INSPECTION AND MAINTENANCE AREAS

MOBILE6 INPUT FILE : (CONTINUED)


POLLUTANTS : HC NOX
REPORT FILE : ENHANCE.OUT * Calendar years 2003-2004. Enhanced I/M area, 1981-2004
RUN DATA : Model years.
I/M PROGRAM : 4 2003 2004 2 T/O IM240
EXPRESS HC AS VOC : I/M MODEL YEARS : 4 1981 2004
NO REFUELING : I/M VEHICLES : 4 22222 11111111 1
EXPAND EXHAUST : I/M STRINGENCY : 4 18.0
EXPAND EVAPORATIVE : I/M COMPLIANCE : 4 96.0
MIN/MAX TEMP : 74. 97. I/M WAIVER RATES : 4 5.0 5.0
FUEL RVP : 7.0 I/M CUTPOINTS : 4 CUTPOINT.f
ABSOLUTE HUMIDITY : 60.4 I/M GRACE PERIOD : 4 2
REG DIST : VRegStl.d
* Calendar years 2005-2020. Enhanced I/M area, 1981-1995
* Calendar years 1990-1999. Enhanced I/M area, 1971-1999 Model years.
Model years. I/M PROGRAM : 5 2005 2020 2 T/O IM240
I/M PROGRAM : 1 1990 1999 1 TRC IDLE I/M MODEL YEARS : 5 1981 1995
I/M MODEL YEARS : 1 1971 1999 I/M VEHICLES : 5 22222 11111111 1
I/M VEHICLES : 1 22222 11111111 1 I/M STRINGENCY : 5 18.0
I/M STRINGENCY : 1 18.0 I/M COMPLIANCE : 5 96.0
I/M COMPLIANCE : 1 96.0 I/M WAIVER RATES : 5 5.0 5.0
I/M WAIVER RATES : 1 0.0 0.0 I/M CUTPOINTS : 5 CUTPOINT.f
I/M GRACE PERIOD : 1 1 I/M GRACE PERIOD : 5 2
I/M EFFECTIVENESS : 0.50 0.50 0.00
NO I/M TTC CREDITS : 1 * Calendar years 2005-2020. Enhanced I/M area, 1996-2020
FUEL PROGRAM :2S Model years.
I/M PROGRAM : 6 2005 2020 2 T/O OBD I/M
* Calendar years 2000-2020. Enhanced I/M area, 1971-1980 I/M MODEL YEARS : 6 1996 2020
Model years. I/M VEHICLES : 6 22222 11111111 1
I/M PROGRAM : 2 2000 2020 2 T/O IDLE I/M STRINGENCY : 6 18.0
I/M MODEL YEARS : 2 1971 1980 I/M COMPLIANCE : 6 96.0
I/M VEHICLES : 2 22222 11111111 1 I/M WAIVER RATES : 6 5.0 5.0
I/M STRINGENCY : 2 18.0 I/M GRACE PERIOD : 6 2
I/M COMPLIANCE : 2 96.0
I/M WAIVER RATES : 2 20.7 5.0 * Evap I/M program for calendar years 2000-2020. Enhanced area.
I/M GRACE PERIOD : 2 2 I/M PROGRAM : 7 2000 2020 2 T/O GC
I/M MODEL YEARS : 7 1981 2020
*Calendar years 2000-2002. Enhanced I/M area, 1981-2002 I/M VEHICLES : 7 22222 11111111 1
Model years. I/M COMPLIANCE : 7 96.0
I/M PROGRAM : 3 2000 2002 2 T/O IM240 I/M GRACE PERIOD : 7 2
I/M MODEL YEARS : 3 1981 2002
I/M VEHICLES : 3 22222 11111111 1 SCENARIO REC : ST. LOUIS AREA - JULY 2010
I/M STRINGENCY : 3 18.0 CALENDAR YEAR : 2010
I/M COMPLIANCE : 3 96.0 EVALUATION MONTH : 7
I/M WAIVER RATES : 3 20.7 5.0
I/M CUTPOINTS : 3 CUTPOINT.p SCENARIO REC : ST. LOUIS AREA - JULY 2020
I/M GRACE PERIOD : 3 2 CALENDAR YEAR : 2020
EVALUATION MONTH : 7

SCENARIO REC : ST. LOUIS AREA - JULY 2030


CALENDAR YEAR : 2030
EVALUATION MONTH : 7

END OF RUN

D-4
Table D-1 (continued)
Mobile 6.2 Modeling Assumptions for 2010, 2020 and 2030

MISSOURI NON-INSPECTION AND MAINTENANCE AREAS

MOBILE6 INPUT FILE :


POLLUTANTS : HC NOX
REPORT FILE : FRANKLIN.OUT

RUN DATA :
MIN/MAX TEMP : 72. 93.
FUEL RVP : 7.0
ABSOLUTE HUMIDITY : 60.4
REG DIST : VREGSTL.D
SPEED VMT : FRCOSVMT.DEF
FUEL PROGRAM :2S

* Basic I/M program for calendar years 2000-2002 for Franklin County.
I/M PROGRAM : 1 2000 2002 1 T/O IDLE
I/M MODEL YEARS : 1 1971 2020
I/M VEHICLES : 1 22222 11111111 1
I/M STRINGENCY : 1 20.0
I/M COMPLIANCE : 1 96.0
I/M WAIVER RATES : 1 3.0 3.0

* I/M program for testing gas caps.


I/M PROGRAM : 2 2000 2020 1 T/O GC
I/M MODEL YEARS : 2 1981 2020
I/M VEHICLES : 2 22222 11111111 1
I/M STRINGENCY : 2 20.0
I/M COMPLIANCE : 2 96.0
I/M WAIVER RATES : 2 3.0 3.0

* Basic I/M program for calendar years 2003-2020 for Franklin County, biennial beginning 2003.
I/M PROGRAM : 3 2003 2020 2 T/O IDLE
I/M MODEL YEARS : 3 1971 2020
I/M VEHICLES : 3 22222 11111111 1
I/M STRINGENCY : 3 20.0
I/M COMPLIANCE : 3 96.0
I/M WAIVER RATES : 3 3.0 3.0

SCENARIO REC : FRANKLIN COUNTY 2010 - BIENNIAL IN 2003


EVALUATION MONTH : 7
CALENDAR YEAR : 2010

SCENARIO REC : FRANKLIN COUNTY 2020 - BIENNIAL IN 2003


EVALUATION MONTH : 7
CALENDAR YEAR : 2020

SCENARIO REC : FRANKLIN COUNTY 2030 - BIENNIAL IN 2003


EVALUATION MONTH : 7
CALENDAR YEAR : 2030

END OF RUN

D-5
D-3. Vehicle fleet profile

The amount of emissions produced by a vehicle is largely determined by the type of vehicle, the fuel it uses
(gasoline or diesel), its weight and its age. Generally, trucks produce more emissions than cars, heavy-duty
vehicles more than light-duty ones. Older vehicles may have less efficient engine designs, and engines
themselves typically generate more exhausts as they get older. The Mobile 6.2 emissions model breaks down
the vehicle fleet into sixteen categories, as follows:

* 1 LDV Light-Duty Vehicles (Passenger Cars)


* 2 LDT1 Light-Duty Trucks 1 (0-6,000 lbs. GVWR, 0-3750 lbs. LVW)
* 3 LDT2 Light Duty Trucks 2 (0-6,001 lbs. GVWR, 3751-5750 lbs. LVW)
* 4 LDT3 Light Duty Trucks 3 (6,001-8500 lbs. GVWR, 0-3750 lbs. LVW)
* 5 LDT4 Light Duty Trucks 4 (6,001-8500 lbs. GVWR, 3751-5750 lbs. LVW)
* 6 HDV2B Class 2b Heavy Duty Vehicles (8501-10,000 lbs. GVWR)
* 7 HDV3 Class 3 Heavy Duty Vehicles (10,001-14,000 lbs. GVWR)
* 8 HDV4 Class 4 Heavy Duty Vehicles (14,001-16,000 lbs. GVWR)
* 9 HDV5 Class 5 Heavy Duty Vehicles (16,001-19,500 lbs. GVWR)
* 10 HDV6 Class 6 Heavy Duty Vehicles (19,501-26,000 lbs. GVWR)
* 11 HDV7 Class 7 Heavy Duty Vehicles (26,001-33,000 lbs. GVWR)
* 12 HDV8A Class 8a Heavy Duty Vehicles (33,001-60,000 lbs. GVWR)
* 13 HDV8B Class 8b Heavy Duty Vehicles (>60,000 lbs. GVWR)
* 14 HDBS School Busses
* 15 HDBT Transit and Urban Busses
* 16 MC Motorcycles (All)

An estimate is made of the proportion of system-wide VMT that is generated by each of these categories. The
age of the fleet is specified in terms of the age of registered vehicles in each category in yearly increments
from new (less than a year old) up to 25 years. Data on these characteristics of the vehicle fleet can be derived
from vehicle registration data. The data used in the calculation of emissions in the St. Louis area is based on
2002 state-wide information in Missouri and 2001 state-wide information in Illinois, which has been provided
by their respective State Air and Transportation Agencies. Table D-2 sets out the percentage of VMT
attributed to each category in each State. Default VMT distribution values were used. Therefore, the numbers
represented in each table were automatically generated by Mobile 6.2 for each analysis year scenario. Table
D-3 summarizes the age profile for all categories. The numbers in Table D-3 apply to all future years and
scenarios.

The vehicle registration data in Table D-3 is formatted as follows: (number represents percentage of fleet that
old)

1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 4 Years 5 Years 6 Years 7 Years 8 Years 9 Years 10 Years

11 Years 12 Years 13 Years 14 Years 15 Years 16 Years 17 Years 18 Years 19 Years 20 Years

21 Years 22 Years 23 Years 24 Years 25+ yrs

D-6
Table D-2
VMT distribution by vehicle type for Missouri by analysis year

Mobile 6.2 generated default values for 2010


Veh Type LDGV LDGT12 LDGT34 HDGV LDDV LDDT HDDV MC
Percent 0.3169 0.3954 0.1542 0.0369 0.0003 0.0023 0.0886 0.0054

Mobile 6.2 generated default values for 2020


Veh Type LDGV LDGT12 LDGT34 HDGV LDDV LDDT HDDV MC
Percent 0.2854 0.4169 0.1626 0.0374 0.0003 0.0024 0.0898 0.0053

Mobile 6.2 generated default values for 2030


Veh Type LDGV LDGT12 LDGT34 HDGV LDDV LDDT HDDV MC

Percent 0.2854 0.4169 0.1626 0.0374 0.0003 0.0024 0.0898 0.0053

Table D-2 (continued)


VMT distribution by vehicle type for Illinois by analysis year

Mobile 6.2 generated default values for 2010


Veh Type LDGV LDGT12 LDGT34 HDGV LDDV LDDT HDDV MC
Percent 0.3069 0.4172 0.1480 0.0353 0.0003 0.0022 0.0849 0.0052

Mobile 6.2 generated default values for 2020


Veh Type LDGV LDGT12 LDGT34 HDGV LDDV LDDT HDDV MC
Percent 0.2759 0.4391 0.1557 0.0358 0.0002 0.0023 0.0859 0.0050

Mobile 6.2 generated default values for 2030


Veh Type LDGV LDGT12 LDGT34 HDGV LDDV LDDT HDDV MC
Percent 0.2759 0.4391 0.1557 0.0358 0.0002 0.0023 0.0859 0.0050

D-7
Table D-3
Age of vehicle fleet - 2002 registration data in MO
* LDV
1 0.0484 0.0757 0.0819 0.0822 0.0735 0.0682 0.0611 0.0662 0.0565 0.0525
0.0468 0.0438 0.0400 0.0382 0.0330 0.0267 0.0235 0.0190 0.0135 0.0079
0.0046 0.0036 0.0031 0.0046 0.0253
* LDT1
2 0.0331 0.0648 0.0678 0.0747 0.0736 0.0676 0.0527 0.0563 0.0639 0.0482
0.0438 0.0428 0.0346 0.0399 0.0384 0.0334 0.0324 0.0239 0.0182 0.0118
0.0089 0.0067 0.0053 0.0109 0.0465
* LDT2
3 0.0331 0.0648 0.0678 0.0747 0.0736 0.0676 0.0527 0.0563 0.0639 0.0482
0.0438 0.0428 0.0346 0.0399 0.0384 0.0334 0.0324 0.0239 0.0182 0.0118
0.0089 0.0067 0.0053 0.0109 0.0465
* LDT3
4 0.0495 0.0846 0.0839 0.0822 0.0566 0.0694 0.0535 0.0620 0.0511 0.0360
0.0329 0.0277 0.0336 0.0360 0.0335 0.0244 0.0272 0.0259 0.0191 0.0121
0.0099 0.0079 0.0086 0.0164 0.0558
* LDT4
5 0.0495 0.0846 0.0839 0.0822 0.0566 0.0694 0.0535 0.0620 0.0511 0.0360
0.0329 0.0277 0.0336 0.0360 0.0335 0.0244 0.0272 0.0259 0.0191 0.0121
0.0099 0.0079 0.0086 0.0164 0.0558
* HDV2B
6 0.0503 0.0916 0.0833 0.0758 0.0690 0.0627 0.0571 0.0519 0.0472 0.0430
0.0391 0.0356 0.0324 0.0294 0.0268 0.0244 0.0222 0.0202 0.0184 0.0167
0.0152 0.0138 0.0126 0.0114 0.0499
* HDV3
7 0.0503 0.0916 0.0833 0.0758 0.0690 0.0627 0.0571 0.0519 0.0472 0.0430
0.0391 0.0356 0.0324 0.0294 0.0268 0.0244 0.0222 0.0202 0.0184 0.0167
0.0152 0.0138 0.0126 0.0114 0.0499
* HDV4
8 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDV5
9 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDV6
10 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDV7
11 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDV8a
12 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDV8b
13 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDBS
14 0.0393 0.0734 0.0686 0.0641 0.0599 0.0559 0.0522 0.0488 0.0456 0.0426
0.0398 0.0372 0.0347 0.0324 0.0303 0.0283 0.0264 0.0247 0.0231 0.0216
0.0201 0.0188 0.0176 0.0165 0.0781
* HDBT
15 0.0307 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0613
0.0611 0.0607 0.0595 0.0568 0.0511 0.0406 0.0254 0.0121 0.0099 0.0081
0.0066 0.0054 0.0044 0.0037 0.0114
* Motorcycles
16 0.1440 0.1680 0.1350 0.1090 0.0880 0.0700 0.0560 0.0450 0.0360 0.0290
0.0230 0.0970 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

D-8
Table D-3 (continued)
Age of vehicle fleet - 2001 registration data in IL
* M6 LDV = (M5) LDGV Light-duty Vehicles--passenger cars for Metro-East
1 0.045 0.075 0.081 0.083 0.081 0.070 0.075 0.065 0.058 0.053
0.051 0.042 0.043 0.038 0.029 0.026 0.023 0.014 0.010 0.006
0.004 0.003 0.005 0.004 0.016
* M6 LDT1 = (M5) LDGT1 as in RDAge01 for Metro-East
2 0.053 0.081 0.096 0.076 0.071 0.069 0.074 0.064 0.059 0.047
0.045 0.045 0.047 0.041 0.027 0.026 0.020 0.013 0.011 0.008
0.005 0.002 0.005 0.002 0.013
* M6 LDT2 = (M5) LDGT1 as in RDAge01
3 0.053 0.081 0.096 0.076 0.071 0.069 0.074 0.064 0.059 0.047
0.045 0.045 0.047 0.041 0.027 0.026 0.020 0.013 0.011 0.008
0.005 0.002 0.005 0.002 0.013
* M6 LDT3 = (M5) LDGT2 as in RDAge01
4 0.046 0.086 0.065 0.055 0.062 0.075 0.064 0.078 0.059 0.049
0.045 0.047 0.038 0.042 0.027 0.030 0.016 0.017 0.011 0.010
0.004 0.006 0.021 0.021 0.026
* M6 LDT4 = (M5) LDGT2 as in RDAge01
5 0.046 0.086 0.065 0.055 0.062 0.075 0.064 0.078 0.059 0.049
0.045 0.047 0.038 0.042 0.027 0.030 0.016 0.017 0.011 0.010
0.004 0.006 0.021 0.021 0.026
* HDV2B (Heavy-duty vehicles 2B--M6 Default RDs)
6 0.0503 0.0916 0.0833 0.0758 0.0690 0.0627 0.0571 0.0519 0.0472 0.0430
0.0391 0.0356 0.0324 0.0294 0.0268 0.0244 0.0222 0.0202 0.0184 0.0167
0.0152 0.0138 0.0126 0.0114 0.0499
* HDV3 (Heavy-duty vehicles3, same RD as HDV2B, as in M6 Default RDs)
7 0.0503 0.0916 0.0833 0.0758 0.0690 0.0627 0.0571 0.0519 0.0472 0.0430
0.0391 0.0356 0.0324 0.0294 0.0268 0.0244 0.0222 0.0202 0.0184 0.0167
0.0152 0.0138 0.0126 0.0114 0.0499
* HDV4 (Heavy-duty vehicles 4, M6 default RDs)
8 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDV5 (Heavy-duty vehicles 5, same RD as HDV4, as in M6 Default)
9 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDV6 (Heavy-duty vehicless 6, same RD as HDV4, as in M6 Default)
10 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDV7 (Heavy-duty vehicles 7, same RD as HDV4, as in M6 Default)
11 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDV8A (Heavy-duty vehicles 8A same RD as HDV4, as in M6 Default)
12 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDV8B (Heavy-duty vehicles 8B,same RD as HDV4, as in M6 Default)
13 0.0388 0.0726 0.0679 0.0635 0.0594 0.0556 0.0520 0.0486 0.0455 0.0425
0.0398 0.0372 0.0348 0.0326 0.0304 0.0285 0.0266 0.0249 0.0233 0.0218
0.0204 0.0191 0.0178 0.0167 0.0797
* HDBS (HDV School buses; this M6 RD default is assumed)
14 0.0393 0.0734 0.0686 0.0641 0.0599 0.0559 0.0522 0.0488 0.0456 0.0426
0.0398 0.0372 0.0347 0.0324 0.0303 0.0283 0.0264 0.0247 0.0231 0.0216
0.0201 0.0188 0.0176 0.0165 0.0781
* HDBT (HDV Transit buses; this M6 RD default is assumed)
15 0.0307 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0614 0.0613
0.0611 0.0607 0.0595 0.0568 0.0511 0.0406 0.0254 0.0121 0.0099 0.0081
0.0066 0.0054 0.0044 0.0037 0.0114
* Motorcycles (this M6 default RD is the same as M5a/b's default RD)
16 0.1440 0.1680 0.1350 0.1090 0.0880 0.0700 0.0560 0.0450 0.0360 0.0290
0.0230 0.0970 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

D-9
D-4. Regulatory changes reflected in the Mobile 6.2 inputs
The following measures are enhancements to the Gateway Clean Air Program for the Missouri portion of the
region. These changes take effect January 1, 2003:

On-Board Diagnostics (OBD II) Testing


On-Board Diagnostics (OBDII) is a computer system installed on all 1996 and newer cars and light duty
trucks (less than 8,500 pounds Gross Vehicle Weight Rating). OBDII is an early-warning system that monitors
the vehicle's emissions control devices and other engine-related components to ensure that they are
functioning properly. If an irregular condition is detected, the system notifies drivers by illuminating a
malfunction indicator light (also known as the "MIL," "Check Engine Light" or "Service Engine Soon Light")
on the dashboard. OBDII systems provide valuable emissions information, possibly in advance of elevated
emissions, allowing motorists to invest in needed repairs and preventative maintenance to ensure that their
vehicles continue to perform efficiently.

Since the start of the Gateway Clean Air Program (GCAP) on April 5, 2000, OBDII systems have been
checked on an advisory basis only. Starting in 2003, the GCAP will begin the phase-in of OBDII testing.

Phase-In Test Period: Starting January 1, 2003, and lasting through December 31, 2004, all 1996 and
newer vehicles will be given a gas cap pressurization check at testing position one. The stations have
performed this check since the start of the program. The vehicle will then be moved to testing position
two and given an OBDII test. An inspector will plug into the vehicle's Data Link Connector. Once
connected, the station's testing equipment will download information from the vehicle's OBDII
system.

If the vehicle passes both the gas cap and OBDII tests, the program will provide
-
the motorist with the appropriate passing certificate and sticker.

If the vehicle fails the OBDII test, the vehicle will be given a second chance to
pass by receiving an IM240 tailpipe test. If the vehicle fails the tailpipe test, the
- motorist will be given the failing test certificate, a drive trace report and the "My
Vehicle Failed! What Do I Do Now?" booklet, so that repairs can be made to the
vehicle.

- If the vehicle fails the gas cap test, the entire process must be repeated whether or
not the vehicle passed the OBD or tailpipe tests.

- If a vehicle that fails the initial test returns for a retest after repairs have been
performed and fails again, the motorist may apply for a waiver, as long as the new
waiver requirements have been met.

Final Implementation Period: Starting January 1, 2005 OBDII testing will


replace the IM240 tailpipe test for all 1996 and newer vehicles in the GCAP area.
Vehicles that fail the OBDII test will be required to be repaired to pass the OBDII
standards. In Illinois, OBDII testing replaced the tailpipe test for 1996 and newer
vehicles on January 1, 2004. Vehicles that fail the OBDII test must be repaired to
pass the OBDII test.

D - 10
Vehicle Component Requirements
Exhaust systems must meet original manufacturer's equipment configurations. Vehicles with shortened
or turned-down tailpipes that do not meet the original certified configuration will be refused prior to
testing.

Where EPA aftermarket approval or a self-certification program exists for a particular class of subject
parts, vehicles will fail the anti-tampering inspection if the part is not from an original equipment
manufacturer or from an EPA approved or self-certified aftermarket manufacturer.

D-5. Modeled Mobile-Source Emissions

The Mobile 6.2 model evaluates the effects of mobile source emissions for each pollutant during a 24 hour
day cycle. Consideration is also given to four different facility types: freeways, arterials, locals and ramps.
For these four facility types, Speed VMT is calculated in five mile segments starting from the default
minimum of 2.5 mph, then regular intervals from 5.0 mph to a maximum of 65.0 mph. From this input data,
Mobile 6.2 produces sets of emission factors for each pollutant and each vehicle type. Separate sets of factors
are produced for each state and for those areas subject to different emissions control programs.

The travel demand model produces estimates of travel in each time period on each of the 13,000 directional
links in the modeled roadway network. Travel data includes directional volume and speed. Directional
volume is combined with link distance to produce estimated link VMT. This directional link VMT is then
aggregated by speed interval for all links within each analysis area. This aggregation is performed at the same
time as the computation of corrections and seasonal adjustments discussed above, this results in sets of tables
of projected summer travel by speed interval.

The emission factors for each speed interval are then applied to the corresponding aggregate VMT to produce
grams of pollutant emitted. The data for individual speed intervals is summed to produce total emissions for
each pollutant and facility type within each analysis area. Emissions for the three time periods are combined
to represent a 24 hour daily cycle and then converted to tons for compatibility with the emissions data in the
SIPs, which are expressed in terms of tons per day. This procedure is followed for each analysis year and
TIP scenario. The results are summarized in Table D-4.

D-6. Control Measures and Net Mobile Source Emissions

Modeled emissions are reduced through the application of credits for Transportation Control Measures
(TCMs) and other control measures before being used in the various conformity tests. As noted, the Legacy
2030 includes a number of air quality beneficial projects under the re-authorized Federal Congestion
Mitigation and Air Quality Program (CMAQ). Appendix E describes these projects and the results of their
evaluation, as well as the emissions benefits from control measures that are either already in place or
programmed through Legacy 2030 or previous TIPs. Appendix E details application of transportation control
measures and the resulting calculations which comprise the resulting estimate of net mobile source emissions
used in the conformity tests.

D - 11
Table D-4
Modeled mobile source emissions
( Without credits for Transportation Control Measures and other control measures )

Analysis year 2010 2020 2030


Scenario Action Action Action

Modeled emissions
VOC: Missouri 45.468 24.747 27.873

VOC: Illinois 11.450 6.276 5.845

Regional VOC 56.918 31.023 33.718

NOx: Missouri 80.912 30.033 29.198

NOx: Illinois 22.160 7.751 5.209

Regional NOx 103.072 37.784 34.407

D - 12
D - 13
Legacy 2030

Air Quality Conformity Determination and Documentation

Appendix E :: Transportation Control Measures and the Evaluation of


Emissions Benefits

E-1. Background

Transportation Control Measures (TCMs) are physical improvements and management strategies
which can be demonstrated to reduce vehicle-related emissions. The 1993 report, “St. Louis Region
TCM Analysis” identified five broad TCM strategies which had the potential to be implemented by
1996. Following consideration by MoDNR and IEPA, more conservative goals for emissions
reductions to be achieved through the implementation of TCMs were adopted. These are set out in
the following:
For Missouri, the June 1996 Update to the 15 % Rate-of-Progress SIP and the July 1995
Attainment Demonstration SIP (as submitted October 1995);
For Illinois, the November 1993 15 % Rate-of-Progress SIP and the November 1994
Attainment Demonstration SIP.

At present, the SIPs include only short-term TCMs involving four of the five potential strategies
identified in the 1993 report. These are:
Work Trip Reduction
Transit Improvements
Traffic Flow Improvements
Fuel Price Increases in the Missouri portion of the Region
No emissions reductions are assumed in either SIP for a vehicle buy-back program, which was the
fifth main strategy identified in the TCM Analysis report.

E-2. Demonstration of Reasonable Progress

Federal Regulations require that the TCMs identified in these SIPs were to be in place by November
1996 and that the conformity process must demonstrate progress towards timely implementation,
including the commitment of relevant federal and local funds for TCMs programmed in the TIP.
This demonstration of progress was documented in the 1997 report: “Transportation Control
Measures in the St. Louis Region: Completion Report”, prepared in conjunction with the TIP for FY
1998-2000. It documents the analysis performed for that TIP which showed that:

E-1
i) the projected VOC emissions benefit from implemented and programmed TCMs in the
Missouri portion of the region exceeds the goal for VOC emissions reduction
committed to in the July 1996 Update to the Missouri 15 % Rate-of-Progress SIP; and,
ii)the projected VOC emissions benefit from implemented and programmed TCMs in
the Illinois portion of the region exceeds the goal for VOC emissions reduction
committed to in the November 1993 Illinois 15 % Rate-of-Progress SIP and the
November 1994 Illinois Attainment Demonstration SIP.

The additional TCM projects identified in the October 2000 SIP update have all been implemented
as of 2003, and the relevant Federal and local funds are committed through the TIP.

This therefore constitutes the “demonstration of reasonable progress” required under Federal
Regulations regarding the implementation of TCMs.

E-3. Emissions Benefits from Control Measures

In making the demonstration of conformity, the estimate of future emissions developed through the
modeling process described in Appendices C and D may be reduced by the emissions benefit
expected to result from the implementation of TCMs. VOC emission reductions have been
estimated for TCM projects implemented by the November 1996 Federal deadline. Credit may also
be taken for the estimated emissions benefits from programs implemented after November 1996,
from other control measures not included in the SIPs, and estimated benefits for other pollutants.

The emissions benefits from all evaluated control measure projects expected to be operational by
each horizon year are set out in Table E-1. The baseline is defined in terms of emissions benefits
for projects that have already been awarded funds and are “in place” and deemed to be completed
by or before the horizon year indicated. The action is defined in terms of emissions benefits for
projects that are programmed for funding in or by the horizon year indicated. The total
transportation control measure emissions benefits credited comprises projects that are “in place”, as
well as, those that are programmed for funding by the horizon year indicated.

E-4. Emissions Credit

For each horizon year and scenario, the total emissions benefits from Table E-1 below, are applied
as a credit that reduces the projected modeled mobile source emissions from Table D-4. The
resulting net mobile source emissions then provide the basis for the required conformity tests.
These computations and the subsequent conformity tests are set out in Appendix F.

E-2
Table E-1

Transportation Control Measure emissions benefits for Legacy 2030

Analysis year 2010 2010 2010 2020 2020 2020 2030 2030 2030
Status
Baseline Action Total Baseline Action Total Baseline Action Total

Estimated benefits Tons Per Day

for VOC: Missouri 2.204 4.059 6.263 2.186 4.059 6.245 2.186 4.077 6.263

for VOC: Illinois 1.091 0.558 1.649 1.091 0.558 1.649 1.091 0.558 1.649

for NOx: Missouri 0.369 7.503 7.872 0.365 7.503 7.868 0.365 7.533 7.898

for NOx: Illinois 1.694 1.629 3.323 1.694 1.629 3.323 1.694 1.646 3.340

Table E-2
Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality program projects approved for funding in TIP for FY 2002-2006

Project Title Project ID# Sponsor Description VOC NOx


POPLAR ST ROUNDABOUTS 8203 HIGHLAND, IL TWO ROUNDABOUTS 0.001167 0.003098
OLD TROY ROAD 8200 EDWARDSVILLE, IL RIGHT TURN LANE 0.000371 0.000465
ITS 2003 8204 IDOT ITS 0.034000 0.377000
Ridership Development Program 8208 SCCTD educational program 0.653000 1.377000
ROGERS ST BIKE TRAIL 8206 MONROE COUNTY BIKE TRAIL 0.000503 0.000848
Lebanon Ave/Shiloh Station Rd 8205 shiloh, illinois intersection improvements 0.001865 0.003142
BUS REPLACEMENT 8213 bi-state development agency 9 NEW FULL SIZE BUSES 0.036000 0.061000
TOTAL 0.726906 1.822553

E-3
Table E-3
Transportation Control Measures - “in-place” and programmed emissions beneficial projects
(contact EWGCC staff for emissions by pollutant for individual projects)

NUM COUNTY SPONSOR PROJECT TITLE PROJECT LIMITS

3 St. Clair St. Clair County Transit District Park-ride Lot (Scctd#1) Us 50 and Hartman Ln
6 St. Clair St. Clair County Transit District Park-ride Lot (Scctd#3) Il 157 & I-64
10 St. Clair St. Clair County Transit District Park-ride Lot (Scctd#2) Lot Imps at Us Hwy 50 & I-158
59 St. Louis Modot Mo 100 At Holloway, Maple, Baxter, Brentwood
65 Multi-county-m Modot Districtwide its Intelligent Transportation System Operations
66 Multi-county-m Modot Districtwide its Intelligent Transportation System Operations
67 Multi-county-m Modot Districtwide its Intelligent Transportation System Operations
69 St. Louis City St. Louis Multi-modal Center Passenger Transfer Center & Road Improvements
83 Multi-county-m Modot Districtwide Signal Impr Various Locations-tba
89 St. Clair East St. Louis Exchange Street At Kansas City/southern Railroad
91 St. Louis City St. Louis Skinker-mccausland Signals Etzel to Canterbury
92 St. Louis City St. Louis Broadway-seventh Signal Imps Chouteau to Arsenal
93 St. Louis City St. Louis Gravois Ave Signal ComputerztnGravois/tucker - Chouteau Ave to River Des Peres
94 St. Louis City St. Louis Gravois Avenue Interconnect Geyer to Taft
126 Madison Idot Il 162 At Horseshoe Lake Rd & Mockingbird Ln
153 St. Clair Idot Il 159 At Morrison St in Collinsville
156 St. Clair Idot Collinsville Road At Black Lane
159 St. Clair Idot State Street At I-255 Ramps in East St. Louis
171 Madison Idot Us 40 New High School at Bethany Road, E/o Troy
172 Multi-county-i Idot Various Rr/hwy Crossings Interconnected Intersections in Metro-east
176 Multi-state Bi-state Development Agency Facility Improvements N. City Transfer Center, Building Improvements
183 St. Clair Bi-state Development Agency Vehicle Acquisition 9 Diesel Buses
209 Multi-county-m Care Cab Vehicle Purchase 34 Replacement Vans, New Radios, Modem
321 Multi-state Madison County Transit District Regional Rideshare Program(94)Replacement Vans & Service Expansion
332 St. Charles St. Peters Mid Rivers Mall Drive Signals Mid Rivers Mall Dr/i-70 Interchange and S/o I-70
339 St. Louis St. Louis County Closed Loop System Fy 2000 Big Bend Blvd, Clayton Rd, Millbrook Blvd
365 St. Louis Modot Olive Blvd Traffic Signals Coordinate Signals from Lindbergh to Woods Mill
366 St. Louis Webster Groves E Kirkham Avenue/n Elm AvenueElm at Kirkham,elm at Lockwood,kirkham at Newport
369 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement Replacement of 45 Full Size Buses
370 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement Replacement of 48 Full Size Buses
371 Multi-county-m Modot Bike & Breathe Easy Program St. Louis City & St. Louis County
372 St. Clair Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement Replacement of 6 Full Size & 10 Small Buses

E-4
NUM COUNTY SPONSOR PROJECT TITLE PROJECT LIMITS

374 St. Clair Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement Replacement of 6 Full Size Buses
376 Multi-county-m Citizens for Modern Transit Public Transportation Outreach Downtown St. Louis & Clayton Cbd
378 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Regional Clean Air Partnership Missouri Portion of Region
382 St. Louis Bi-state Development Agency West County Transfer Center Area: Olive Blvd & Lindbergh Blvd & Manchester Rd
383 St. Louis City Wutma Employee Transit Pass ProgramWashington University Medical Center
384 St. Charles St. Charles West Clay Corridor Signals Drost Rd to Westbury Dr
385 St. Charles St. Charles Fifth St Signal Modifications At Boonsslick & at Riverbluff
386 St. Clair Shiloh Seibert At Main St Intersection
391 St. Clair O'fallon West Highway 50 At Hartman Lane Intersection
392 Multi-county-i Idot Its I-55, I-64, I-270, Il 3, Mlk Bridge
395 Multi-county-i Bi-state Development Agency Regional Clean Air Partnership Illinois Portion of Region
396 St. Louis Wildwood Mo 100 Path Mo 100 at Eatherton Road to East City Limits
400 St. Louis Wildwood Mo 109 Manchester Rd to Mo Ba
401 St. Louis City St. Louis Traffic Signal Interconnect Chippewa,hampton,jefferson,union,forest Park Pkwy
402 St. Louis City St. Louis North & South Broadway E Taylor Ave to Gimblin Ave & Cherokee to Bates St
403 Jefferson Jefferson County Windsor Harbor At Us 61/67 Intersection
405 Jefferson Jefferson County Imperial Main Street At Old State Rd Intersection
406 Jefferson Jefferson County Old Mo 141 At Mo 141 Intersection
407 St. Clair East St. Louis 9th Street & 10th Street Broadway, 8th Ave, 11th St, Missouri Ave Limits
409 St. Louis Ferguson Bicycle Transportation Program 12 Mile Radius of Ferguson
411 St. Louis University City Asbury Drive At Forsyth Blvd Intersection
412 St. Louis Overland Lackland Road At Woodson Rd Intersection
413 St. Louis Bi-state Development Agency Chesterfield Shuttle Service For I-64 Corridor
414 Multi-state Madison County Transit District Ridefinders Program Regional Rideshare Program
417 Madison Madison County Transit District Wood River Transit Center Madison Ave in Wood River
422 Madison Madison County Transit District Us 40/i-70 Transit Corridor Troy to Madison County Line
424 Madison Madison County Transit District Edwardsville Ridership Program Il 143, Il 159, Il 157/203 Corridors
427 St. Louis Modot Us 61/67 Wb at Mo 21
429 Jefferson Modot Mo 30 Eb & Wb at Sugar Creek
430 St. Louis Modot Mo 231 Sappington Barracks Rd to Erb Rd
431 St. Louis Modot I-44 Eb off Ramp at Elm Ave
432 St. Louis Modot Mo 100 Mo Jj (Ballas Rd) to Bopp Ave
433 St. Louis Modot Mo 366 (Watson Road) At Laclede Station Rd Intersection
434 Multi-county-m Modot Freeway its I-270 & I-255 from I-55 to State Line
436 St. Louis Modot Mo 340 (Olive Blvd) River Valley to Coeur Devill
439 St. Louis Modot Mo 30 Us 61/67 to Siebert Ave

E-5
NUM COUNTY SPONSOR PROJECT TITLE PROJECT LIMITS

442 St. Louis Modot Mo 21 Wb at Butler Hill Rd Intersection


444 St. Louis St. Louis County Closed Loop System Fy 2001 W. Florissant Ave & Lucas-hunt
445 St. Louis St. Louis County Hanley Road Eager Rd to Elinore Ave
446 Madison Madison County Transit District Granite City Transit Center 19th St at Edison St in Granite City
449 Madison Madison County Transit District Alton Transit Center Il 3 at Us 67 in Alton
450 St. Charles O'fallon Mo K Mo N to Waterford Crossing
453 St. Charles St. Peters Mexico Road Salt Lick Rd to Belleau Creek Rd
456 St. Charles St. Peters Jungermann Road Country Creek Dr to Harvester Rd
457 St. Charles St. Peters Salt Lick Road Mexico Rd to I-70
460 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Bicycle Program, Ph 3 Bicycle Carriers for Buses & Marketing
467 St. Louis Kirkwood Kirkwood Rd Intermodal Impr Adams Ave to E. Clinton Pl, Downtown Kirkwood
469 Multi-state Madison County Transit District Regional Rideshare Program(95)Replacement Vans & Service Expansion
471 Franklin New Haven Downtown Walkway Front Street & along up Rr in Downtown
481 St. Louis City Bi-state Development Agency Grand Metrolink Station Landscaping, Bike Racks, Signs, Parking Spaces
482 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Neighborhood Bus Shelters, Ph2Bus Shelters at Four Locations
483 St. Louis Modot Bicycle Accomodations-north Mo 367, Us 67, Mo Ac, Mo 180, Mo 115
487 St. Louis Modot Bicycle Accomodations-south Mo 267,us 61/67,mo 21,mo 30,mo 141,mo P,mo 231
488 St. Louis Modot Bicycle Accomodations-west Mo 340, 100, 366, D, Jj, Hh, 109, Cc
513 Multi-county-m Modot Districtwide its Various Locations - Tba
535 St. Louis Modot I-44 Mo W & Mo 141
540 St. Charles Bi-state Development Agency Upgrade P-r Lot I-70 At mid Rivers Mall Drive
567 Madison Edwardsville Il 157 Country Club Dr/auerback Dr Intersections
569 St. Louis St. Louis County Traffic Signal Interconnects Nine Roadway Sections in St. Louis County
593 St. Charles St. Charles County Transit Authority Alternatives Analysis Study of St. Charles County Corridor
594 St. Louis City Bi-state Development Agency Forest Park Metrolink P-r Lot Forest Park Station; Const. Of a Surface Lot,
724 Multi-state Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement (Fixed Route) Replace Thirty-nine (39) Full-size Transit Coaches
765 St. Louis Creve Coeur Creve Coeur Tma Olive Blvd Corridor
825 Madison Madison County Transit District Edwardsville Transit Center Design/construct Transit Park & Ride/transfer
845 Madison Madison County Transit District Park-ride Lot - Collinsville I-55/70 & Il 157
917 Madison Idot Il 159 Collinsville Beltline & Pine Lakes
958 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement (Fixed Route) Replace Nine (9) Full-size Transit Coaches
958 Multi-state Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement (Fixed Route) Replace 11 Transit Coaches
958 Multi-state Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement (Fixed Route) Replace Nine (9) Full-size Transit Coaches
1160 St. Louis Modot Mo 340 (Olive Blvd) Mo 141 to Us 67
1208 St. Louis Modot Mo D (Page Avenue Extension) At Schuetz Rd
1237 Multi-state Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement (Fixed Route) Replace 20 Full Size Transit Coaches
1384 Multi-state Madison County Transit District Regional Rideshare Program(96)Purchase Replacement Vans & Expand Service

E-6
NUM COUNTY SPONSOR PROJECT TITLE PROJECT LIMITS

1385 Multi-state Madison County Transit District Regional Rideshare Program(97)Purchase Replacement Vans & Expand Service
1390 Multi-county-m Modot Incident Management Program Mo/il Metropolitan Area
1393 Madison Madison County Transit District Granite City Park-ride Lot Expansion of Existing Facility
1394 St. Clair Belleville East Main Street At Carlyle Ave
1395 Madison Idot Il 143 in Alton Piasa Street (Us 67) to Il 140
1396 Madison Idot Il 159 in Collinsville Wickliffe St to Church St
1397 St. Clair Idot Il 159 in Fairview Heights Salem to Long Acre and Bunkum to Schnucks Ent.
1398 St. Clair Idot Il 159 in Belleville Douglas Ave to Monroe St
1399 St. Clair Idot Il 161 in Belleville 57th St to North Belt West
1400 Madison Madison County Transit District Il 159 Bikeway Connector Esic Dr to Market Basket Commercial Area along Old
1401 Multi-county-i Illinois Epa Illinois Enhanced I/m Enhanced Inspection Maintenance Program
1436 Madison Idot Il 159 5 Intersections near Edwardsville and Glen Carbon;
1439 St. Clair Idot Little Oak Lane at Shiloh Rd Il 161 Intersections
1441 St. Clair Idot Il 157 Bunkum Road, I-64 Ramps, & Tucker Drive
1442 St. Clair Idot Lincoln Trail 4 Intersections in Fairview Heights
1461 Madison Madison County Transit District Vadalabene Nature Trail Esic Dr in Edwardsville to Long Lake
1478 Madison Collinsville Pine Lake Road, Phase 1 Il 159 to Pine Lake Manor
1499 St. Clair Idot Il 4 At I-64 (Eb) Exit, Terminal at Safb Entrance
1534 St. Clair O'fallon Multi-modal Transit Station Front St from Cherry St to Apple St
1543 Multi-county-i Illinois Epa Illinois Enhanced I/m Enhanced Inspection/maintenance Program
1545 Multi-county-m Modot Incident Management Program Mo/il Metropolitan Area
1561 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Metrolink Customer Service Imp Forest Park Metrolink Station
1562 Multi-county-i Bi-state Development Agency 5th & Mo P-r Lot Expansion 5th & Missouri Metrolink Station
1565 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement (Fixed Route) Transit Capital Equipment Purchase - 13 Cng Buses
1615 St. Charles O'fallon Mexico Road West Bryan Rd to Belleau Creek Rd
1617 St. Charles Modnr Rails to Trails (Katy Trail) St. Charles County Line to Machens
1621 St. Louis Brentwood Memorial & Hanley Park Trail Memorial Park and Haley Park
1623 St. Charles Lake Saint Louis I-70 Trail Lake St. Louis Blvd to Harbor Bend Ct
1625 St. Charles St. Peters Spencer Road Trail Spencer Rd Extension
1639 St. Louis Brentwood Parks Trail Connection Rogers Pkwy & Rosalie-eulalie Park Trail
1643 St. Louis Ellisville Bluebird Park Trail Bluebird Park to Oakwood Farms Subdivision
1651 St. Clair St. Clair County Metro-east Levee Trail Jefferson National Expansion Memorial to
1652 St. Clair Belleville East Belleville Bikeway Along Richland Ck., Abandoned Csx Rr, & Little Oak
1652 St. Clair Belleville East Belleville Bikeway 5th & Mo in East St. Louis to Mid-america Airport
1653 Madison Madison County Transit District Schoolhouse Trail Along Norfolk Southern Rr from Mckinley Jct
1670 St. Louis Bi-state Development Agency Wellston Metrolink-cornerstone Station Access, Acq. Veh., Support Service
1672 St. Louis St. Louis County Carondolet Greenway From Hoffmeister Ave to Tesshire Ave

E-7
NUM COUNTY SPONSOR PROJECT TITLE PROJECT LIMITS

1675 St. Louis St. Louis County College to College Bikeway From Umsl North to Adams Dr
1678 St. Louis City St. Louis North Riverfront Bike Trail Ferry Street to Lenore K. Sullivan Blvd
1684 St. Louis St. Louis County Meramec Bikeway Yarnell Rd Through Unger Park, Connecting with the
1700 Franklin Washington Jefferson Street Mo 100, 14th St, 8th St, 5th St
1712 Jefferson Modot Park-ride Facility - 67 & 110 Intersection of Us 67 and Hwy 110 - Upgrade Lot
1713 Jefferson Modot Park-ride Facility Us 61/i-55 Intersection of Us 61 and I-55 - Upgrade Lot
1714 Jefferson Modot Park-ride Facility - Gravois Intersection of Mo 30 & Lakenney - Upgrade Lot
1721 St. Charles St. Peters Telebusiness Center Reverse Incubator in St. Peters (Worklink)
1724 St. Charles St. Peters Cave Springs/i-70 Interchange Cave Springs/i-70 to Spencer Rd
1725 St. Charles St. Peters Mid Rivers Mall Drive Signals Grand Teton to St. Peters-howell Rd
1726 St. Charles St. Peters Mexico Road Church St to Spencer Rd
1727 St. Charles St. Peters Jungermann Road Mexico Rd to Willott Rd
1729 St. Charles St. Peters Mid Rivers Mall Dr At Mexico Rd
1733 Multi-county-m Citizens for Modern Transit Downtown and Clayton Tma Tma - Administration of a Three Year Program
1734 Multi-county-m Washington University Central West End Tma Tma - Administration of a Three Year Program
1735 St. Louis City St. Louis Central Corridor Signals Synchronization at Kiel Center, Busch Stadium &
1736 St. Louis City St. Louis City Wide Traffic Signal Mod City Wide Signal Controller Modernization
1737 St. Louis City St. Louis Four Way Stop Sign Reduction Education Program
1739 Multi-county-m St. Louis Community Col. - Forest Park Technician Emission Training Mechanic Training Course for I/m Program
1741 St. Louis St. Louis County Bicycle Transportation Program Throughout St. Louis County
1743 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Ozone Action Program Prog Reduce Sov Commuting on High Ozone Days
1745 Multi-county-m Modot Ivhs/its, Early Implementation Freeway Monitoring, Incident Detection System
1749 St. Louis City Bi-state Development Agency Park-ride Facility - Delmar Delmar Metrolink Station
1761 St. Louis Modot Mo 100 (Manchester) W/o I-270 Ballas Rd (Jj) to Mo 340 (Clarkson Rd)
1762 St. Louis Bi-state Development Agency Park-ride Facility - Eureka W/o Eureka near Allenton Rd
1763 Franklin Pacific Park-ride Facility - Pacific 1st St, 3rd St
1767 Multi-county-m Modot Signal Upgrades 29 Locations in St. Louis and St. Charles Counties
1777 St. Louis Bi-state Development Agency Hanley Station Garage Facility N. Hanley Metrolink Station; New 3-level Garage
1779 St. Louis Modot Us 67 (Lindbergh Blvd) I-270 to Flower Valley Shopping Center
1861 Madison Madison County Transit District Metrolink Express Shuttle Edwardsville Station to Siu-e, Eastport Park-ride
1878 St. Louis City St. Louis Bicycle Transportation Program Throughout St. Louis City
1879 St. Louis City St. Louis 11th Street Signal Improvement 11 St & 9 St at Salisbury (Mckinley Bridge
1888 Multi-state Bi-state Development Agency St. Louis Regional Grh Program Guaranteed Ride Home Benefits to Users of New
1898 Multi-state Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement (Fixed Route) Purchase 26 Buses to Replace Old Stock & Spare
1899 Multi-state Bi-state Development Agency Bicycle Facility Program At Selected Transit Stations
1908 Madison Idot Il 203-granite City St Clair St to Pontoon Rd
1909 Madison Idot Il 159 Edwardsville-glencarbon Glen Carbon Rd/cottonwood Rd to Franklin St

E-8
NUM COUNTY SPONSOR PROJECT TITLE PROJECT LIMITS

1910 Madison Idot Il 162 & Il 203-granite City Maryville Rd to Il 203


1911 St. Clair Idot Il 3-cahokia & Sauget Water St to 8th St
1912 Monroe Idot Il 3 Signal Coor/traf Study N Main St to S Main St in Columbia
1913 Madison Idot Il 157-collinsville Main St to Horseshoe Lake Rd
1914 St. Clair Idot W. Hwy 50-o'fallon Dean Dr to Venita Dr/regency Pk Dr
1915 Madison Idot Il 157 & Il 159-edwardsville Vandalia to Schwartz & Schwartz to Andrews
1916 Madison Idot Il 203 Big Bend Rd to 6th St
1924 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Light Rail Vehicles Metrolink Expansion--10 Lrvs
1927 St. Clair Bi-state Development Agency Metrolink Construction, Ph 2a Fifth Street to Belleville Area College
1927 St. Clair Bi-state Development Agency Metrolink Construction, Ph 2b Belleville Area College to Midamerica Airport
1955 Madison Idot Beltline Rd Greenfield Dr to Frederick Ave
1961 Madison Alton College Avenue Rock Springs Drive to Washington St
1962 Madison Edwardsville Rd Dist/idot Schwarz Road Extension of Road to Il 143
1963 Madison Fort Russell Twnsp Indian Hills Rd Up Rr Crossing
1965 Madison Fort Russell Twnsp Springfield Dr Up Rr Crossing
1966 Madison Fort Russell Twnsp Smith Rd Up Rr Crossing
1980 Madison Idot Il 159 At Goshen Rd
1981 Madison Idot Il 157 At Center Grove Rd
1983 Madison Madison County Old Rock Road Hw Rr Crossing
1984 Monroe Monroe County Ziebold Road At up Rr Crossing
1985 Monroe Monroe County Kk Road At up Rr Crossing
2281 St. Clair Idot Il 13 W/o Il 159 to Nocturnal Dr
2287 St. Clair Idot Il 157 Mopac Rr to Lazercheff Drive
2292 Multi-county-i Idot Various Locations-metro East Ivhs Projects (Highway Advisory Radio; Changeable
2375 Madison Idot Chain of Rocks Road-old Us 66 Chain of Rocks Canal Bridge
2387 Madison Madison County Transit District Vehicle Replacement Acquire 9 Fixed Route & 9 Comp Paratransit Service
2421 St. Louis Clayton Gay Ave Sidewalk Maryland Ave to City Limits
2422 Franklin Pacific Meramec Bikeway, Ph 2 Continuation of Meramec Bikeway to West City Limit
2423 St. Louis Cool Valley Evans Lane Pedestrian PassageSouth of North Hills Rd
2434 Multi-county-m Modnr Enhanced I-m Start-up Start-up Activities Associated with an Enhanced
2465 Madison Idot Il 157 Main Street to Schwarz Street
2469 Madison Idot Collinsville Beltline At Keebler Ave & Greenfield St
2473 St. Clair Idot Il 159 Rosewood Village Dr, Fullerton Road,
2535 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Vehicle Purchase 21 Call-a-ride Vans
2563 Madison Madison County Transit District Alton Wood River Metrolink Exp Alton, East Alton, Wood River to Metrolink
2587 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Replacement Buses Purchase 15 Buses to Replace Old Stock
2600 St. Clair Bi-state Development Agency St. Clair County Metrobikelink 5th & Missouri Ave in East St. Louis to Midamerica

E-9
NUM COUNTY SPONSOR PROJECT TITLE PROJECT LIMITS

2602 St. Clair Bi-state Development Agency East Riverfront P-r Facility Construction of a 300 Space Surface Parking Lot,
2616 St. Louis St. Louis County Meramec Greenway Bikeway Al Foster Section - Sherman to Wildwood
2617 St. Louis Modnr Meramec Greenway Bikeway Al Foster Section, Sherman to Glencoe
2618 St. Louis St. Louis County Grant's Trail, Ph 2 Tesshire Rd to Pardee Rd
2619 St. Louis St. Louis County North County Bikeway, Ph 2 Florissant Valley Cc to Mo Ac & Memorial Park
2621 St. Louis St. Louis County Sidewalk Enhancement (1997) New and Infill Sidewalks - Countywide
2624 St. Louis City St. Louis St. Louis Riverfront Trail Old Chain of Rocks Bridge to Riverfront Park
2625 St. Charles St. Charles County Mid Rivers Bike & Ped Trail From Dardenne Creek to Mo 94 to Katy Trail
2627 St. Louis Wildwood Wildwood Greenway, Ph 1 Mo 100 from Pierside Ln to Pond Rd & Mo 109
2636 St. Louis City Modot Old Chain of Rocks Bridge,ph 1 Renovate Bridge Deck for Bped Use
2671 Madison Idot Us 67 At 9th St in Alton
2671 St. Clair Idot 57th Street At Dapron Dr in Belleville
2671 Madison Idot Us 40 At St. Jacob/marine Rd in St. Jacob
2681 Madison Idot Il 157 At St. Louis Ave, Collinsville Ave, W Main St,
2686 Madison Idot Il 203 At Big Bend Rd & Harrison St
2704 St. Clair Idot Il 157 West Main St/state St in East St. Louis
2709 St. Clair Idot Il 161 57th Street & Drake Road
2712 St. Clair Idot Lebanon Road/west Blvd At West Blvd & Old Collinsville Road
2720 Madison East Alton Niagara Street At Sswn Railroad
2727 Franklin Modot Mo 100 At Mo M
2778 Multi-state Bi-state Development Agency Mis & Telecommunications Equipment Upgrades, Software
2780 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Metrolink Improvements Guard Towers, Signage, Maintenance Equipment
2783 Multi-state Bi-state Development Agency System Improvements Hvac Equipment, Passenger Amentities at Stns
2784 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Replacement Buses Purchase 72 Buses
2786 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Capital Maintenance Program Bus/paratransit Maintenance, Tire Lease Program
2787 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement Replace 8 Transit Coaches, Spare Assemblies
2788 Multi-county-i Bi-state Development Agency Bus Replacement Replace 24 Buses, Spare Assemblies
2789 Multi-county-m Bi-state Development Agency Park-ride Lots Development of Lots in Region
2800 Monroe Human Support Services Vehicle Purchase One Medium Duty Vehicle
2801 Madison Senior Services plus Vehicle Purchase One Raised Roof Van
2802 St. Clair St. Clair Associated Vocational Enterp. Vehicle Purchase One Medium Duty Vehicle
2803 Madison Ywca of Alton Vehicle Purchase One Medium Duty Vehicle
2804 Multi-county-m East-west Gateway Coordinating Council Equipment Purchase Software, Computers, Communications Equipment,
2805 St. Louis City Available City-wide Transportation Vehicle & Equipment Purchase 2 Minivans, 3 Wagons, 3 Minibuses, 3 Vans, 2 Pcs
2806 Multi-county-m Care Cab Vehicle Purchase 26 Vans, 8 W/lifts, 4 Minibuses, 2 W/lifts
2807 Franklin Franklin County Transportation Council Vehicle Purchase Replace 3 Vans W/ Lifts, Computer Equipment
2808 St. Louis Maryland Heights Vehicle Purchase Replace 1 Bus, Expand with 1 Minibus
2809 Multi-county-m Oats, Inc. Vehicle Purchase Replace 17 Vans, 20 Radios

E - 10
NUM COUNTY SPONSOR PROJECT TITLE PROJECT LIMITS

2810 St. Charles St. Charles Vehicle Purchase Replace 4 Minibuses W/lifts, Trolley
2811 St. Louis Wellston Vehicle Purchase Replace Van W/ Lift Van
2812 Multi-county-m Alexian Brothers Hospital Vehicle Purchase Replace 3 Vehicles
2813 Multi-county-m American Red Cross Vehicle Purchase Replace 1 Minibus W/lift
2814 Multi-county-m Cardinal Ritter Institute Vehicle Purchase Replace 1 Van
2815 Multi-county-m Crider Center for Mental Health Vehicle Purchase Replace Van
2816 St. Louis Jewish Community Center Association Vehicle Purchase Replace Regular Minibus W/ Lift
2817 Multi-county-m Metropolitan Employment & Vehicle Purchase Replace Van W/ Lift
Rehab Services
2818 Multi-county-m Paraquad, Inc. Vehicle Purchase Minibus W/ Lift
2819 St. Louis St. Louis Assoc. For Retarded Citizens Vehicle Purchase Replace Van with Station Wagon
2820 Multi-county-m St. Louis Regional Medical Center Vehicle Purchase Replace 2 Vehicles, Expand with 5 Vehicles
2821 Multi-county-m St. Mary's Special School Vehicle Purchase Replace 2 Station Wagons
2822 St. Louis City Youth Education & Health Vehicle Purchase Replace Van
2882 St. Louis St. Louis County Delmar Boulevard Old Bonhomme Rd to Westgate Ave
2883 St. Louis St. Louis County Mattis Road At Ambs Rd Intersection
2924 Madison Madison County Transit District Vehicle Surveillance Equipment Purchase 20 Units
2926 Madison Madison County Transit District Bus Replacement 14 Paratransit Buses
2931 Multi-state St. Charles County Work Connections Access to Jobs, Ph 1 Coordinated Regional Transportation
2935 Multi-county-i Illinois Environmental Protection Agency Enhanced Inspection & Maint. Madison, Monroe, St. Clair Counties
7033 St. Louis Creve Coeur Graeser Road At Olive Blvd
9465 St. Clair Idot Il 157 Il 3 to W/o I-255 in Cahokia

E - 11
Table E-4
Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality program projects approved for funding in TIP 2000-2002
Projec COUNTY SPONSOR TITLE – DESCRIPTION Emissions benefit
t (tons / day)
ID VOC NOX
8118 MULTI-COUNTY-M MODNR LOW INCOME VEHICLE REPAIR ASSISTANCE - ST. LOUIS OZONE 0.701000 1.643000
NONATTAINMENT AREA
8132 ST. LOUIS BSDA CHESTERFIELD SHUTTLE SERVICE – I-64 CORRIDOR 0.499000 1.392000
8108 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA REGIONAL CLEAN AIR PARTNERSHIP – MISSOURI PORTION OF REGION 0.295000 0.616000
8133 REGIONAL MCTD RIDEFINDERS PROGRAM – REGIONAL RIDESHARE PROGRAM 0.196000 0.332000
8102 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT – REPLACEMENT OF 48 FULL SIZE BUSES 0.573000 1.277000
8107 MULTI-COUNTY-M C.M.T. PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION OUTREACH – ST. LOUIS & CLAYTON CBDs 0.031000 0.047000
8100 ST. LOUIS WEBSTER GROVES SIGNAL INTERCONNECT - ELM AT KIRKHAM, ELM AT LOCKWOOD, 0.005000 0.001000
KIRKHAM AT NEWPORT
8121 ST. LOUIS WILDWOOD MO 109 – MANCHESTER RD TO MO BA 0.017000 0.032000
8101 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT – REPLACEMENT OF 45 FULL SIZE BUSES 0.275000 0.645000
8142 ST. LOUIS MODOT LACLEDE STATION ROAD – AT MO 366 INTERSECTION 0.002000 0.001000
8141 ST. LOUIS MODOT MO 100 – BALLAS RD TO BOPP AVE 0.002000 0.004000
8155 ST. CHARLES ST. PETERS MEXICO ROAD – SALT LICK RD TO BELLEAU CREEK RD 0.000794 0.001978
8145 ST. LOUIS MODOT MO 340 (OLIVE BLVD) – RIVER VALLEY TO COEUR DEVILL 0.001591 0.001342
8150 ST. LOUIS ST. LOUIS COUNTY HANLEY ROAD – EAGER RD TO ELINORE AVE 0.002000 0.001000
8147 ST. LOUIS MODOT MO 21 – WB AT BUTLER HILL RD INTERSECTION 0.001000 0.001000
8143 MULTI-COUNTY-M MODOT FREEWAY ITS – I-270 & I-255 FROM I-55 TO STATE LINE 0.025000 0.092000
8156 ST. CHARLES ST. PETERS JUNGERMANN ROAD – COUNTRY CREEK DR TO HARVESTER RD 0.000695 0.001493
8110 ST. LOUIS CITY WUTMA EMPLOYEE TRANSIT PASS PROGRAM – WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL 0.003000 0.007000
CENTER
8109 ST. LOUIS BSDA WEST COUNTY TRANSFER CENTER 0.005000 0.014000
8103 MULTI-COUNTY-M MODOT BIKE & BREATHE EASY PROGRAM – ST. LOUIS CITY & ST. LOUIS COUNTY 0.001371 0.003210
8129 ST. LOUIS FERGUSON BICYCLE TRANSPORTATION PROGRAM – 12 MILE RADIUS OF FERGUSON 0.000544 0.001274
8157 ST. CHARLES ST. PETERS SALT LICK ROAD – MEXICO RD TO I-70 0.000156 0.000408
8125 JEFFERSON J E F F E R S O N WINDSOR HARBOR – AT US 61/67 INTERSECTION 0.000202 0.000504
COUNTY
8139 MULTI-COUNTY-M MODOT MO 231 – SAPPINGTON BARRACKS TO ERB RD 0.000656 0.000551
8137 ST. LOUIS MODOT US 61/67 – WB AT MO 21 0.000450 0.001051
8140 ST. LOUIS MODOT I-44 – AT ELM AVE 0.000243 0.000480

E - 12
Table E-4 (continued)
Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality program projects approved for funding in TIP 2000-2002
Projec COUNTY SPONSOR TITLE – DESCRIPTION Emissions benefit
t (tons / day)
ID VOC NOX
8144 ST. CHARLES MODOT I-70 – MID RIVERS MALL DR TO MO 79 0.003000 0.034000
8130 ST. LOUIS UNIVERSITY CITY ASBURY DRIVE – AT FORSYTH BLVD INTERSECTION 0.000103 0.000205
8127 JEFFERSON J E F F E R S O N OLD MO 141 – AT MO 141 INTERSECTION 0.000086 0.000242
COUNTY
8146 ST. LOUIS MODOT MO 30 – US 61/67 TO SIEBERT AVE 0.000281 0.000356
8154 ST. LOUIS O'FALLON MO K – MO N TO WATERFORD CROSSING 0.000043 0.000143
8131 ST. LOUIS OVERLAND LACKLAND ROAD – AT WOODSON RD INTERSECTION 0.000066 0.000131
8114 ST. LOUIS BSDA PARKING GARAGE AT NORTH HANLEY METROLINK STATION 0.004000 0.009000
8120 ST. LOUIS WILDWOOD MO 100 PATH – MO 100 AT EATHERTON ROAD TO EAST CITY LIMITS 0.000237 0.000528
8112 ST. CHARLES ST. CHARLES FIFTH ST SIGNAL MODIFICATIONS – AT BOONSSLICK & AT RIVERBLUFF 0.000048 0.000149
8123 ST. LOUIS CITY ST. LOUIS NO. BROADWAY – E TAYLOR AVE TO GIMBLIN AVE 0.000819 0.001301
SO. BROADWAY - CHEROKEE TO BATES ST
8126 JEFFERSON J E F F E R S O N IMPERIAL MAIN STREET – AT OLD STATE RD INTERSECTION 0.000034 0.000063
COUNTY
8149 ST. LOUIS ST. LOUIS COUNTY CLOSED LOOP SYSTEM – BIG BEND BLVD, CLAYTON RD, MILLBROOK BLVD 0.000073 0.000162
8122 ST. LOUIS CITY ST. LOUIS SIGNAL INTERCONNECT – CHIPPEWA,HAMPTON,JEFFERSON,UNION,FOREST 0.001000 0.002000
PARK PKWY
8111 ST. CHARLES ST. CHARLES WEST CLAY CORRIDOR SIGNALS – DROSTE RD TO WESSTBURY DR 0.000036 0.000098
8138 JEFFERSON MODOT MO 30 – EB & WB AT SUGAR CREEK 0.000072 0.000179
8148 ST. LOUIS ST. LOUIS COUNTY CLOSED LOOP SYSTEM FY 2001 – W. FLORISSANT AVE & LUCAS-HUNT 0.000041 0.000109
8117 MADISON & ST.CLAIR IDOT ITS 0.084000 0.344000
8119 MADISON & ST.CLAIR BSDA AQ CARD AND EDUCATION PROGRAM 0.056000 0.117000
8105 MULTI-COUNTY - IL BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (6 FULL SIZE VEHIC) 0.011000 0.018000
8104 MULTI-COUNTY - IL BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (6 FULL SIZE, 10 SMALL VEHIC) 0.024000 0.039000
8151 MADISON MCTD PEDESTRIAN ZONE 0.000218 0.000371
8136 MADISON MCTD EDWARDSVILLE T.M.A AND RIDERSHIP PROGRAM 0.008000 0.005000
8134 MADISON MCTD WOOD RIVER TRANSIT CENTER 0.000099 0.000206
8152 MADISON MCTD ALTON TRANSIT CENTER 0.000460 0.000857
8135 MADISON MCTD MISC TRANSIT IMPROVEMENTS IN I-70 / US.40 CORRIDOR 0.003000 0.006000
8128 ST. CLAIR EAST ST. LOUIS SIGNAL COORDINATION - 9TH AND 10TH STREETS IN EAST ST. LOUIS 0.000284 0.000245
8116 ST. CLAIR O’FALLON. IL TURN LANE, WEST HWY. 50 0.019000 -0.006000
8113 ST. CLAIR SHILOH TURN LANES, SEIBERT RD 0.000000 0.000000

E - 13
Table E-5
Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality program projects approved for funding in TIP for FY 2001-2003
MISSOURI ID COUNTY SPONSOR TITLE-DESCRIPTION VOC NOX
8100 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA TRANSIT SYSTEM GUIDE 0.119000 0.220000
8136 FRANKLIN MODOT COMMUTER LOTS IMPROVEMENTS 0.008000 0.012000
8135 MULTI-COUNTY-M MODOT COMMUTER LOTS IMPROVEMENTS 0.004000 0.006000
8122 ST. LOUIS OLIVETTE MO 340 (OLIVE BLVD) 0.012460 0.002080
8128 ST. LOUIS CLAYTON BRENTWOOD BOULEVARD 0.002323 0.002219
8101 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (2001) A 0.073000 0.162000
8109 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (2003) C 0.073000 0.162000
8103 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (2001) C 0.056000 0.124000
8102 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (2001) B 0.056000 0.124000
8108 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (2003) B 0.056000 0.124000
8107 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (2003) A 0.056000 0.124000
8140 ST. CHARLES ST. PETERS SPENCER ROAD 0.001848 0.001168
8106 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (2002) C 0.041000 0.091000
8105 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (2002) B 0.028000 0.063000
8104 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (2002) A 0.028000 0.063000
8114 MULTI-COUNTY-M BSDA DIESEL DEVICE 0.001000 0.001000
8137 FRANKLIN MODOT US 50 VIDEO VEHICLE DETECTION 0.000894 0.001007
8124 ST. LOUIS MODNR GATEWAY CLEAN AIR PROGRAM STN 0.018000 0.030000
8127 ST. LOUIS CREVE COEUR BEACON HILL 0.001257 0.001812
8125 JEFFERSON ARNOLD CHURCH ROAD 0.001574 0.001831
8116 ST. CHARLES O'FALLON MO K 0.000227 0.000633
8138 ST. LOUIS MODOT MO 340 (CLARKSON/OLIVE) 0.001987 0.002278
8126 JEFFERSON ARNOLD JEFFCO BOULEVARD 0.000440 0.000087
8139 ST. LOUIS MODOT MO 100 (MANCHESTER ROAD) 0.000826 0.000951
8113 ST. CHARLES ST. CHARLES HACKMANN ROAD 0.000063 0.000131
8132 ST. LOUIS MODOT MO 267 (LEMAY FERRY RD) 0.000191 0.000190
8131 JEFFERSON MODOT US 61/67 0.000149 0.000148
8115 ST. CHARLES ST. CHARLES BUS REPLACEMENT 0.000036 0.000081
8129 ST. LOUIS MODOT PEDESTRIAN IMPROVEMENTS 0.000044 0.000099
8130 MULTI-COUNTY-M MODOT SIGNAL IMPROVEMENTS 0.000049 0.000139
8119 ST. LOUIS WILDWOOD TOWN CENTER SIDEWALKS 0.000152 0.000267
8141 ST. CHARLES ST. PETERS CAVE SPRINGS ROAD 0.000288 0.000080
8133 ST. LOUIS MODOT MO 366 (WATSON RD) 0.000187 0.000185
8134 ST. LOUIS MODOT US 61/67 (LINDBERGH BLVD) 0.000231 0.000229
8117 ST. CHARLES O'FALLON VETERAN'S MEMORIAL PARKWAY 0.000062 0.000122
8123 ST. LOUIS CITY ST. LOUIS CBD SIGNALS, PH 2 0.000103 0.000088
8118 ST. LOUIS WILDWOOD MO 109 PEDESTRIAN BRIDGE 0.000013 0.000022
ILLINOIS 8144 MULTI-COUNTY-I IDOT EMERGENCY VEHICLE REPLACEMENT 0.003000 0.006000
8110 MULTI-COUNTY-I BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (IL) A 0.006000 0.011000
8111 MULTI-COUNTY-I BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (IL) B 0.006000 0.011000
8112 MULTI-COUNTY-I BSDA BUS REPLACEMENT (IL) C 0.004000 0.006000
8120 MADISON MCTD SCHOOLHOUSE CONNECTOR TRAIL 0.002306 0.003885
8143 ST. CLAIR O'FALLON WEST US 50 0.000496 0.000806
8121 ST. CLAIR SWANSEA IL 159 0.000028 0.000047

E - 14
Table E-6
Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality program projects deprived of funding in TIP for FY 2003-2007**

REF. NO. PROJECT TITLE TYPE OF IMPROVEMENT VOC CO NOx STATE


8116 MO K SIGNAL INTERCONNECT 0.000227 0.001452 0.000633 MO
8129 BICYCLE TRANSP. PROG. BICYCLE PROMOTION & ED. 0.000544 0.003909 0.001274 MO
8122 Chippewa/Hampton/Union/FP SIGNAL INTERCONNECT 0.001000 0.009000 0.002000 MO
8127 MO 141/OLD MO 141 NEW SIGNAL @ INTRSCT 0.000086 0.001086 0.000242 MO
MO 2004 TOTAL CREDITS LOST 0.001857 0.015447 0.004149

8143 I-270 & I-255 ITS 0.025000 0.230000 0.092000 IL


IL 2004 TOTAL CREDITS LOST 0.025000 0.230000 0.092000

REG 2004 TOTAL CREDITS LOST 0.026857 0.245447 0.096149 REGION

**Previously approved projects listed in Table E-6 have been WITHDRAWN from the TIP, thus all beneficial emissions credits have been lost.

Table E-7
Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality program projects deprived of funding in TIP for FY 2004-2008**

REF. NO. PROJECT TITLE TYPE OF IMPROVEMENT VOC NOx STATE


8102 REPLACE 48 FULL SIZE BUSES BUS REPLACEMENT 0.275000 0.645000 MO
8125 WINDSOR HARBOR TRAFFIC FLOW 0.000202 0.000504 MO
8126 IMPERIAL MAIN STREET TRAFFIC FLOW 0.000034 0.000063 MO
MO 2004 TOTAL CREDITS LOST 0.275236 0.645567

**Previously approved projects listed in Table E-7 have been WITHDRAWN from the TIP, thus all beneficial emissions credits have been lost.

E - 15
Table E-8
Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality program projects awarded funding and “in-place” by TIP for FY 2005-2009**

PROJECT TITLE VOC NOX


1 IEPA - ENHANCED I/M STATION 0.002739 0.008027
2 POPLAR ST ROUNDABOUTS 0.001167 0.003098
3 RIDERSHIP DEV PROG - SCCTD 0.653000 1.377000
4 ROGERS ST BIKE TRAIL 0.000503 0.000848
5 PEDESTRIAN ZONE - MCTD 0.000218 0.000371
6 BUS REPL (2001C) - 44 BUSES 0.056000 0.124000
7 JEFFCO BLVD 0.000440 0.000087
8 SCHOOLHOUSE CONNECTOR TRAIL 0.002306 0.003885
TOTAL (TONS/DAY) 0.716373 1.517316

**Previously approved projects listed in Table E-8 are deemed COMPLETED, thus emissions benefits have been removed from the ACTION
scenario and credited to the BASELINE transportation control measures.

Table E-9
Congestion Mitigation and Air Quality program projects deprived of funding in TIP for FY 2005-2009**

ID COUNTY SPONSOR TITLE-DESCRIPTION VOC NOX

8124 ST. LOUIS MODNR GATEWAY CLEAN AIR PROGRAM 0.018000 0.030000
INSPECTION STATION

**Previously funded projects listed in Table E-9 have been DISCONTINUED, thus all beneficial emissions credits have been DROPPED.

E - 16
Legacy 2030

Air Quality Conformity Determination and Documentation

Appendix F :: Air Quality Conformity Determination

F-1. Net Mobile Source Emissions

The various tests of conformity are based upon projected net mobile source emissions. To calculate
these net emissions, the projected level of network-based emissions described in Appendix D are
modified by the application of the control measure emissions credits described in Appendix E.

As noted in Appendix E, the Baseline scenario for all analysis years includes control measure
emissions credits only from those measures already in place. All other previously programmed
control measures are included in the Action scenario, based upon the year in which the measure is
expected to come into effect. The emissions benefit from these control measures is then subtracted
from the modeled vehicle emissions total to produce estimates of mobile source emissions. These
calculations are summarized in the following Table F-1.

F-2. Summary of Requirements for the Regional Emissions Analysis

For the analysis year 2007and 2010, emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOC) resulting from
implementation of the draft Plan will be less than the 2007 VOC motor vehicle emissions budget for
Missouri and the 2007 VOC motor vehicle emissions budget for Illinois, as set out in the relevant
one-hour ozone standard Maintenance Plans (74.460 tons per day in Missouri and 16.310 tons per
day in Illinois). Emissions of oxides of nitrogen (NOx) which are expected to result from
implementation of the draft Plan in Missouri and Illinois will be less than the 2007 NOx motor
vehicle emissions budgets for Missouri and Illinois, as set out in the one-hour ozone standard
Maintenance Plans (130.550 tons per day in Missouri and 36.870 tons per day in Illinois).

For the analysis years 2014, 2020 and 2030 (the horizon year for the Transportation Plan), emissions
of VOC resulting from implementation of the draft Plan will be less than the 2014 VOC motor
vehicle emissions budget for Missouri and the 2014 VOC motor vehicle emissions budget for
Illinois, as set out in the relevant one-hour ozone standard Maintenance Plans (47.140 tons per day
in Missouri and 10.130 tons per day in Illinois). Emissions of NOx which are expected to result from
implementation of the draft Plan in Missouri and Illinois will be less than the 2014 NOx motor
vehicle emissions budgets for Missouri and Illinois, as set out in the one-hour ozone standard
Maintenance Plans (68.590 tons per day in Missouri and 18.720 tons per day in Illinois).

With the inclusion of Jersey County, the eight-hour ozone standard non-attainment area is larger than
the one-hour ozone maintenance area. The regional emissions analysis provisions found in 40 CFR

F-1
Table F-1
Net Mobile Source Emissions
Analysis Year 2010 2020 2030

Scenario Action Action Action

Pollutant Analysis

VOC Analysis: Missouri


Modeled 45.468 24.747 27.873
TCM credit - 6.263 - 6.245 - 6.263
Missouri VOC 39.205 18.502 21.610

VOC Analysis: Illinois


Modeled 11.450 6.276 5.845
TCM credit - 1.649 -1.649 -1.649
Illinois VOC 9.801 4.627 4.196

Regional VOC 49.006 23.129 25.806

NOx Analysis: Missouri


Modeled 80.912 30.033 29.198
TCM credit - 7.872 - 7.868 - 7.898
Missouri NOx 73.040 22.165 21.300
NOx Analysis: Illinois
Modeled 22.160 7.751 5.209
TCM credit - 3.323 -3.323 -3.340
Illinois NOx 18.837 4.428 1.869

Regional NOx 91.877 26.593 23.169

93.109 (e)(2)(iii) of the Conformity Rule are to be followed. For that portion of the eight-hour ozone
non-attainment area with approved Maintenance Plans, the one-hour ozone motor vehicle emissions
budgets are to be used in the regional emissions analysis. This provision applies to the Missouri and
Illinois portions of the St. Louis region. These budgets will continue to be used in Conformity
Determinations until the eight-hour ozone motor vehicle emissions budgets which are to be
developed by the Missouri Department of Natural Resources (MoDNR) and the Illinois
Environmental Protection Agency (IEPA) are found adequate by the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency (USEPA). This requirement affects Franklin, Jefferson, St. Charles and St. Louis Counties
and the City of St. Louis in Missouri; and Madison, Monroe and St. Clair Counties in Illinois.

Jersey County, Illinois was a stand-alone one-hour ozone standard limited maintenance area which
did not have motor vehicle emissions budgets. Through the Inter Agency Consultation process,
consensus was reached that the Illinois Department of Transportation (IDOT) would be the lead

F-2
agency in overseeing the Jersey County Conformity Determination process. In the weeks following
the January 27, 2005 meeting of the Inter Agency Consultation Group (IACG), the IDOT
representatives announced that there would be one regionally significant project proposed for Jersey
County. Utilizing the IACG process, it was decided that a emissions estimates and projections for
Jersey County would be required, calculated and certified by IDOT and added to the Metro East
three county analysis and budgets. Therefore Jersey County was found to be in compliance with all
applicable Conformity rules and procedures (see Appendix G for a more detailed analysis).

Part of the region, consisting of the City of St. Louis and that portion of St. Louis County within the
I-270 loop, is classified as a limited maintenance area for carbon monoxide (CO). On June 17, 1997
the Missouri Department of Natural Resources submitted The Missouri State Implementation Plan
for Carbon Monoxide - St. Louis Metropolitan Area: Maintenance Provisions and Re-designation
Request, October 1996 to USEPA. The re-designation request was approved by USEPA on March
31, 1999. As a result, the Limited Carbon Monoxide Maintenance Plan option allows plan
conformity without a technical analysis. However, individual projects remain subject to the
requirement for “hot spot” analysis by their project sponsors.

F-3. Summary of Results for the Regional Emissions Analysis

To establish conformity, the projected net mobile source emissions are then subject to each of the
required tests. The results are set out in Table F-2, which shows all the required tests are passed .
This provides the basis for the Conformity Determination in respect of the projects and programs
included in Legacy 2030, the long range transportation plan for the St. Louis Region.

On May 12, 2003, USEPA approved the one-hour ozone standard Maintenance Plans for Missouri
and Illinois. Both the approved Missouri Plan and the approved Illinois Plan have 2007 motor
vehicle emissions budgets for VOC and NOx. In a letter to Missouri dated December 17, 2004,
USEPA stated that the 2007 motor vehicle emissions budgets from the Maintenance Plan were found
to be adequate for Conformity Determination purposes. USEPA sent a letter to Illinois on January
10, 2005 stating that the motor vehicle emissions budgets from the Maintenance Plan for 2007 are
adequate. Therefore, the 2007 motor vehicle emissions budgets are to be utilized in the Regional
Emissions Analysis for the 2007 and 2010 analysis year only. The results of the conformity
determination for emissions analysis of VOC and NOx in 2010 are summarized in Table F-2.

For analysis years 2014, 2020 and 2030, it is necessary to demonstrate that the anticipated emission
levels of atmospheric pollutants which will result from the "Action" scenario will be less than the
level defined in the 2014 motor vehicle emissions budget for VOC and NOx contained in the one-
hour ozone standard Maintenance Plan for each respective state. On May 12, 2003, USEPA
approved the one-hour ozone standard Maintenance Plans for Missouri and Illinois. Both the
approved Missouri Maintenance Plan and the approved Illinois Maintenance Plan have 2014 motor
vehicle emissions budgets for VOC and NOx. The results of the conformity determination for
emissions analysis of VOC and NOx in 2014, 2020 and 2030 are summarized in Table F-2.

F-3
Table F-2
Regional Emissions Analysis: Missouri

Volatile Organic Compounds (tons per day)


Test
2007 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Missouri 51.940 / 74.460
Result Pass
2010 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Missouri 39.205 / 74.460
Result Pass
2014 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 27.526 / 47.140
Result Pass
2020 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 18.502 / 47.140
Result Pass
2030 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 21.610 / 47.140
Result Pass

F-4
Table F-2 (Continued)
Regional Emissions Analysis: Missouri

Oxides of Nitrogen (tons per day)


Test
2007 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Missouri 94.915 / 130.50
Result Pass
2010 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Missouri 73.040 / 130.550
Result Pass
2014 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 45.058 / 68.590
Result Pass
2020 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 22.165 / 68.590
Result Pass
2030 Horizon Year Action / 2014 Budget
Missouri 21.300 / 68.590
Result Pass

F-5
Table F-2 (Continued)
Regional Emissions Analysis: Illinois

Volatile Organic Compounds (tons per day)


Test
2007 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Illinois 13.198 / 16.310
Result Pass
2010 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Illinois 10.501 / 16.310
Result Pass
2014 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Illinois 7.227 / 10.130
Result Pass
2020 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Illinois 5.097 / 10.130
Result Pass
2030 Horizon Year Action / 2014 Budget
Illinois 4.686 / 10.130
Result Pass

F-6
Table F-2 (Continued)
Regional Emissions Analysis: Illinois

Oxides of Nitrogen (tons per day)


Test
2007 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Illinois 26.656 / 36.870
Result Pass
2010 Analysis Year Action / 2007 Budget
Illinois 19.867 / 36.870
Result Pass
2014 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Illinois 11.270 / 18.720
Result Pass
2020 Analysis Year Action / 2014 Budget
Illinois 4.918 / 18.720
Result Pass
2030 Horizon Year Action / 2014 Budget
Illinois 2.279 / 18.720
Result Pass

This Conformity Determination is made for the entire eight-hour ozone non-attainment area.
This area includes: Franklin, Jefferson, St. Charles and St. Louis Counties and the City of St.
Louis in Missouri; and Jersey, Madison, Monroe and St. Clair Counties in Illinois. For more
information about Jersey County, see Appendix G.

F-7
Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St. Louis Region

Air Quality Conformity Determination and Documentation

Appendix G:: Jersey County, Illinois

In the April 30, 2004 Federal Register, the St. Louis area was designated by USEPA as a non-
attainment area for the eight-hour ozone standard and has been given a “moderate” non-attainment
classification. The non-attainment area includes: Franklin, Jefferson, St. Charles and St. Louis
Counties and the City of St. Louis in Missouri; and Jersey, Madison, Monroe and St. Clair Counties
in Illinois. The Conformity Determination for Legacy 2030, The Transportation Plan for the St.
Louis Region will be performed using the Conformity procedures for the eight-hour ozone standard.

With the inclusion of Jersey County, the eight-hour ozone standard non-attainment area is larger than
the one-hour ozone maintenance area. The regional emissions analysis provisions found in 40 CFR
93.109 (e)(2)(iii) of the Conformity Rule are to be followed. For that portion of the eight-hour ozone
non-attainment area with approved Maintenance Plans, the one-hour ozone motor vehicle emissions
budgets for volatile organic compounds (VOC) and oxides of nitrogen (NOx) contained in the plans
will be used in the regional emissions analysis. This provision applies to the Missouri and Illinois
portions of the St. Louis region. The one-hour budgets will continue to be used in Conformity
Determinations until the eight-hour ozone motor vehicle emissions budgets for VOC and NOx which
are to be developed by Missouri Department of Natural Resources (MoDNR) and the Illinois
Environmental Protection Agency (IEPA) are found adequate by USEPA. This requirement affects
Franklin, Jefferson, St. Charles and St. Louis Counties and the City of St. Louis in Missouri and
Madison, Monroe and St. Clair Counties in Illinois. Jersey County, Illinois was originally a stand-
alone one-hour ozone standard limited maintenance area which did not have motor vehicle emissions
budgets. Interim emissions tests are to be conducted for the Conformity Determination until the
eight-hour ozone motor vehicle emissions budgets which are to be developed by IEPA are found
adequate by USEPA.

Jersey County is outside the boundaries of the East-West Gateway Council of Governments
(EWGCOG). Through the Inter Agency Consultation process, consensus was reached that the
Illinois Department of Transportation (IDOT) would be the lead agency in overseeing the Jersey
County Conformity Determination process. IDOT has indicated that there is one regionally
significant project, U.S. 67, in the County. Through the Inter Agency Consultation process, it was
agreed to add emissions data for Jersey County to the regional emissions analysis for the three
Illinois counties and add analysis years 2007 and 2014, using interpolated VMT figures, in the final
determination. The Jersey County analysis is addressed in supplements G-1, G-2 and G-3. Jersey
County was found to be in compliance with all applicable Conformity rules and procedures.

The Conformity Determination finding for the St. Louis eight-hour ozone non-attainment area can
be found on page 16 of this report.

G-1
Supplement G-1
Steps for showing conformity in Jersey County

1. A historical annual VMT figure for Jersey County was found in the publication Illinois Travel
Statistics which is produced by the Illinois Department of Transportation Using software a linear
regression analysis was performed to get future forecasts to determine the level of VMT growth
for analysis years 2007, 2010, 2014, 2020 and 2030.

2. From the Federally approved Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) for the expansion of
US67, and background data used in the creation of the EIS, we obtained forecasted traffic figures
for the new US67 facility (improved).

3. From the IDOT Website we obtained current ADT levels for the existing US67 (unimproved)
facility. Using the segment lengths, we multiplied the ADT times the segment length to obtain
the VMT for each segment. Taking the VMT we applied the VMT growth factors from the first
step and were able to forecast VMT on each segment for the future analysis years for the
unimproved US67.

4. Next using the forecasted ADT levels from step 2 for the proposed/improved US67, we
obtained VMT using the same methodology as described in step 3. We calculated the future
VMT on the improved US67 for the analysis years using the growth rate developed in Step 1.

5. Finally, to obtain the VMT difference between the improved facility versus the existing
facility we took the difference between the two scenarios by future forecast year by using the
numbers developed in steps 3 and 4.

6. The above steps show us the increase in VMT for the build and no-build scenarios for Jersey
county. To show that the future emissions are equal to or less than the baseline, we used the
historical VMT growth rate determined in Step 1.

7. This information was then combined with the emissions factors of MOBILE 6 to determine
emission levels for Jersey County. The emissions settings in the MOBILE 6 model have
remained the same for the comparative analysis’.

G-2
Supplement G-2
VMT Estimates for Jersey County

G-3
Supplement G-3
Emissions for Jersey County

grown at IEPA's 2%/year growth factor


Jersey ASWVMT 2002 2007 2010 2014 2020 2030
No-Build Scenario VMT 612,129 675,840 717,207 776,328 874,272 1,065,732
Increase in VMT from Rte 67 0 0 0 12,676 13,673 15,337
improvements

Build Scenario VMT 612,129 675,840 717,207 789,005 887,945 1,081,070

All-Vehicle Emission Rate, g/mi (AVER), summer


Pollutant 2002 2007 2010 2014 2020 2030
VOC 1.550 1.050 0.883 0.658 0.485 0.409
CO 18.152 10.123 8.235 6.740 5.858 5.488
NOx 2.482 1.726 1.297 0.832 0.504 0.342

Jersey County NO BUILD On-Highway Emissions, TPD


Pollutant 2002 2007 2010 2014 2020 2030
VOC 1.04 0.78 0.70 0.56 0.47 0.48
CO 12.23 7.54 6.51 5.77 5.64 6.45
NOx 1.67 1.29 1.03 0.71 0.49 0.40

Jersey County BUILD On-Highway Emissions, TPD


Pollutant 2002 2007 2010 2014 2020 2030
VOC 1.04 0.78 0.70 0.57 0.47 0.49
CO 12.23 7.54 6.51 5.86 5.73 6.54
NOx 1.67 1.29 1.03 0.72 0.49 0.41

Increase in Jersey County On-Highway Emissions due to BUILD Scenario, TPD


Pollutant 2002 2007 2010 2014 2020 2030
VOC 0 0 0 0.009 0.007 0.007
CO 0 0 0 0.094 0.088 0.093
NOx 0 0 0 0.012 0.008 0.006

G-4

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