EuroMoney is currently conducting its Middle East Research and Best Managed Companies Survey. To vote for EFG hermes, go to www.euromoney.com / middleeast2011. The survey runs until 24 June 2011.
EuroMoney is currently conducting its Middle East Research and Best Managed Companies Survey. To vote for EFG hermes, go to www.euromoney.com / middleeast2011. The survey runs until 24 June 2011.
EuroMoney is currently conducting its Middle East Research and Best Managed Companies Survey. To vote for EFG hermes, go to www.euromoney.com / middleeast2011. The survey runs until 24 June 2011.
EuroMoney
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Managed
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2011.
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Hermes,
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Thank
you
for
your
support.
UAE
UAE
issues
guidelines
to
better
bank
liquidity
management
ADCB
may
sell
RHB
stake
to
affiliate
Kuwait
PM
Nasser’s
questioning
postponed
on
his
request
Qatar
Qatar’s
CPI
rises
1.5%
Y-o-Y
in
April
2011
QEWC
eyes
Indian
electricity
sector
Qatar
and
Russia
face
pressure
to
scrap
gas-oil
link
as
crude
jumps
Launch
of
Ras
Girtas
Plant
increases
Qatar’s
total
power
capacity
to
9,000
MW
Bahrain
King
Hamad
calls
for
talks
on
reforms
from
July
EFG
Hermes
Research
Gulf
Navigation
Holding
(GulfNav)
-
Share
Price
Rally
Overdone;
Downgrade
to
Sell
-
Flash
Note
-
31
May
2011
Agenda
Qatar
Wed
1
June
>>
Al
Khaliji
Commercial
Bank
BOD
meeting
Sun
5
June
>>
Mannai
Corporation
BOD
meeting
Sun
12
June
>>
Vodafone
Qatar
AGM
&
EGM
Mon
13
June
>>
Zad
Holding
EGM
UAE
News
UAE
issues
guidelines
to
better
bank
liquidity
management
The
Central
Bank
of
the
UAE
has
imposed
new
guidelines
on
banks,
including
mandatory
monthly
liquidity
reports
and
periodic
stress
tests,
as
it
looks
to
tighten
liquidity
management
through
qualitative
requirements.
The
requirements
are
effective
on
1
September
2011
and
are
aimed
at
reducing
“the
frequency
and
severity
of
banks’
liquidity
problems,”
according
to
a
circular
distributed
by
the
Central
Bank
of
the
UAE.
(Bloomberg)
ADCB
may
sell
RHB
stake
to
affiliate
Abu
Dhabi
Commercial
Bank
(ADCB)
[ADCB.AD]
may
sell
its
25%
stake
in
Malaysia’s
RHB
Capital
to
its
affiliate
Abu
Dhabi
Investment
Council,
the
Star
reported
citing
an
unidentified
person.
ADCB
identified
three
top
bidders
for
the
stake
in
a
board
meeting
on
31
May
2011.
The
bidders
have
offered
between
2x
and
2.5x
book
value
for
the
stake
in
RHB,
the
report
said.
(Bloomberg)
PM
Nasser’s
questioning
postponed
on
his
request
Prime
Minister
Sheikh
Nasser
Mohammad
Al-‐Ahmad
Al-‐Sabah
and
Deputy
Prime
Minister
Sheikh
Ahmad
Al-‐ Fahd
Al-‐Sabah
managed
to
delay
the
debate
on
their
questioning
for
two
weeks.
PM
Nasser
used
his
constitutional
right
to
delay
the
questioning
for
two
weeks
and
was
granted
the
right
without
voting.
The
questioning
is
based
on
accusations
that
PM
Nasser
favours
good
relations
with
Iran
at
the
expense
of
Gulf
Arab
states
and
for
inviting
the
Iranian
foreign
minister
to
visit
Kuwait
two
weeks
ago.
The
most
significant
development
in
yesterday’s
session,
however,
remains
the
voting
over
Sheikh
Ahmad’s
request
to
refer
his
questioning
to
the
National
Assembly’s
legal
and
legislative
committee
and
to
delay
the
debate
for
two
weeks;
35
members,
including
15
Cabinet
ministers,
voted
in
favour
of
the
request,
while
as
many
as
27
MPs
voted
against
it,
with
one
abstention.
(Kuwait
Times)
Qatar
News
Qatar’s
CPI
rises
1.5%
Y-o-Y
in
April
2011
Qatar’s
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI)
rose
1.5%
Y-‐o-‐Y
in
April,
according
to
data
from
Qatar’s
Statistics
Authority.
Consumer
prices
edged
up
0.1%
M-‐o-‐M
in
April
after
staying
flat
in
March
as
a
decline
in
food
prices
helped
offset
a
rise
in
transport
costs.
Transport
costs
were
up
0.7%
M-‐o-‐M,
while
food
prices
dropped
0.2%
M-‐o-‐M
in
April.
We
expect
an
average
inflation
of
1.9%
in
2011.
(Reuters,
Bloomberg,
Monica
Malik)
QEWC
eyes
Indian
electricity
sector
Qatar
Electricity
&
Water
Company
(QEWC)
[QEWC.QA]
announced
that
it
is
studying
the
possibility
of
investing
in
India’s
power
sector
in
the
coming
years,
The
Gulf
Times
reported.
Moreover,
QEWC
has
joined
Marubeni
Corp.
to
bid
for
the
construction
of
the
Sur
Power
Plant
in
Oman,
Bloomberg
reported.
QEWC
expects
a
decision
on
which
companies
will
be
awarded
the
project
by
the
end
of
July,
the
company’s
Chairman
and
General
Manager,
Fahd
Al-‐Mohannadi,
was
quoted
as
saying.
The
company
was
recently
“pre-‐qualified”
for
a
project
to
build
a
1,500
MW
electric
generating
plant
in
Dubai,
Al-‐Mohannadi
added.
QEWC
is
also
planning
to
invest
in
the
power
sector
of
Saudi
Arabia
and
Kuwait.
(Bloomberg,
The
Gulf
Times)
Qatar
and
Russia
face
pressure
to
scrap
gas-oil
link
as
crude
jumps
Qatar
and
Russia
are
facing
growing
pressure
from
Europe’s
largest
utilities
to
scrap
a
40-‐year-‐old
system
that
links
natural
gas
prices
to
oil
prices
after
Brent
crude
jumped
23%
this
year,
Bloomberg
reported.
“As
delegates
from
countries
that
hold
two-‐thirds
of
the
world’s
reserves
will
gather
in
Cairo
tomorrow
for
a
one-‐day
meeting
of
the
Gas
Exporting
Countries
Forum,
customers
from
France’s
GDF
Suez
SA
to
EON
AG
of
Germany
are
urging
producers
to
link
prices
to
spot
markets
instead
of
insisting
on
long-‐term
contracts
that
shadow
the
fluctuations
of
oil,”
according
to
Bloomberg.
(Bloomberg)
Launch
of
Ras
Girtas
Plant
increases
Qatar’s
total
power
capacity
to
9,000
MW
Qatar’s
total
power
capacity
and
potable
water
have
reached
around
9,000
megawatts
(MW)
and
325
million
imperial
gallons
per
day
(MIGD)
following
the
launch
of
the
Ras
Girtas
Plant,
Qatar
News
Agency
quoted
HE
the
Minister
of
Energy
and
Industry,
Dr.
Mohamed
bin
Saleh
Al
Sada,
as
saying.
Qatar
is
expected
to
have
a
power
surplus
of
2,500
MW,
which
will
be
used
to
support
the
country’s
development
projects.
Qatar
is
also
willing
to
sell
its
power
production
surplus
to
neighbouring
Gulf
countries,
Al
Sada
added.
The
Ras
Girtas
Plant,
the
largest
integrated
independent
water
and
power
(IWPP)
facility
in
Qatar
and
one
of
the
world’s
largest
single-‐site
producers
of
power
and
water,
has
a
production
capacity
of
2,730
MW
of
power
and
63
MIGD
of
water.
The
Qatar
General
Electricity
&
Water
Corporation
(Kahramaa)
has
proposed
expanding
the
Ras
Girtas
Plant
to
increase
power
capacity
by
550
MW
and
water
capacity
by
35
MIGD.
(Qatar
News
Agency,
The
Peninsula
Qatar)
Bahrain
News
King
Hamad
calls
for
talks
on
reforms
from
July
Bahrain’s
King
Hamad
called
for
talks
on
reform
from
July,
Bahrain
News
Agency
reported
on
31
May
2011
citing
a
speech
by
the
King.
King
Hamad
said
that
he
wants
a
“dialogue
of
national
consensus”
and
for
talks
to
be
held
without
pre-‐conditions.
The
call
for
dialogue
comes
as
the
emergency
rule,
which
was
declared
in
March,
comes
to
an
end
on
1
June
2011.
(Bloomberg)
EFG
Hermes
Research
Gulf
Navigation
Holding
(GulfNav)
-
Share
Price
Rally
Overdone;
Downgrade
to
Sell
-
Flash
Note
-
31
May
2011
Downgrade
to
Sell;
Share
Price
Rally
Leaves
Stock
Looking
Expensive:
We
downgrade
our
rating
to
Sell
from
Neutral,
as
our
unchanged
fair
value
(FV)
of
AED0.335/share
offers
12%
downside
potential.
Gulf
Navigation’s
share
price
has
risen
by
more
than
20%
since
beginning
of
March
2011
on
a
general
market
rally
and
news
that
the
group
is
looking
to
IPO
its
VLCC
business
in
Saudi
Arabia.
However,
we
believe
the
price
appreciation
is
unwarranted,
as
shipping
market
conditions
remain
difficult,
and
we
do
not
forecast
a
near-‐term
recovery.
Furthermore,
we
believe
that
there
is
significant
execution
risk
in
potentially
listing
the
VLCC
division.
1Q2011
Results
Broadly
in
Line
with
Expectations:
Gulf
Navigation
reported
a
1Q2011
net
profit
of
AED0.2
million
versus
our
expectations
of
a
AED1.2
million
net
loss.
Revenues
rose
12%
Q-‐o-‐Q
to
AED59.1
million
to
come
in
line
with
our
expectations;
1Q2011
operating
profit
came
in
at
AED15.2
million,
significantly
ahead
of
expectations
due
to
lower-‐than-‐forecasted
depreciation
charges.
Shares
Expensive;
Execution
Risk
Remains
High:
Gulf
Navigation’s
shares,
trading
on
24.8x
estimated
2012
earnings,
appear
expensive
and
are
pricing
in
a
strong
recovery
that
is
unlikely
to
materialise,
in
our
view.
Furthermore,
our
2013
earnings
estimate
is
dependent
on
the
group
acquiring
two
further
VLCCs,
and
we
are
unsure
about
how
the
group
will
finance
these
acquisitions.
Nearer
term,
we
are
pricing
in
the
disposal
of
the
six
PROBO
vessels
by
end-‐1H2011,
which
management
had
expected
to
sell
by
end-‐1Q2011.
We
could
see
further
negative
pressure
on
our
2011
earnings
forecast,
should
these
vessels
remain
unsold.
(Redwan
Ahmed)
[Note
–
EFG
Hermes
is
not
responsible
for
the
accuracy
of
news
items
taken
from
other
media.]
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Our
investment
recommendations
take
into
account
both
risk
and
expected
return.
We
base
our
fair
value
estimate
on
a
fundamental
analysis
of
the
company’s
future
prospects,
after
having
taken
perceived
risk
into
consideration.
We
have
conducted
extensive
research
to
arrive
at
our
investment
recommendations
and
fair
value
estimates
for
the
company
or
companies
mentioned
in
this
report.
Although
the
information
in
this
report
has
been
obtained
from
sources
that
EFG
Hermes
believes
to
be
reliable,
we
do
not
guarantee
its
accuracy,
and
such
information
may
be
condensed
or
incomplete.
Readers
should
understand
that
financial
projections,
fair
value
estimates
and
statements
regarding
future
prospects
may
not
be
realized.
All
opinions
and
estimates
included
in
this
report
constitute
our
judgment
as
of
this
date
and
are
subject
to
change
without
notice.
This
research
report
is
prepared
for
general
circulation
and
is
intended
for
general
information
purposes
only.
It
is
not
intended
as
an
offer
or
solicitation
with
respect
to
the
purchase
or
sale
of
any
security.
It
is
not
tailored
to
the
specific
investment
objectives,
financial
situation
or
needs
of
any
specific
person
that
may
receive
this
report.
We
strongly
advise
potential
investors
to
seek
financial
guidance
when
determining
whether
an
investment
is
appropriate
to
their
needs.
No
part
of
this
document
may
be
reproduced
without
the
written
permission
of
EFG
Hermes.
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