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ISSUE NO. 28
Introduction
When it comes to designing structures that can stand up to the wind, historical wind data are an indispensable tool in the engineers tool bag. In many parts of the world, however, these data are hard to come by. Satellite photo of a massive sandstorm sweeping over the Persian Gulf state of Qatar, February 15, 2004 Often, a bridge or high-rise structure is being designed for a location that is many tens of kilometers away from the nearest weather station that has a long record of reliable surface wind data. Significant differences in wind climate can occur over these distances.
Courtesy NASA/JPL-Caltech
In mountainous terrain, a project may be located fairly close to a weather station, but separated from it by topography, so that its local wind climate is vastly different. In coastal areas, the nearest weather station may be closer to, or farther from the coastline than the project, and is subjected to different effects from hurricanes and other coastal wind phenomena as a result. High wind events in some parts of the world have a unique vertical structure that may not be adequately predicted by conventional models of vertical wind profile (e.g., Chinook winds in mountainous regions of Alberta, Shamal winds over the Arabian Peninsula). Computer modeling is now able to accurately predict wind speeds and directions through an extensive vertical profile.
RWDI has encountered these issues often, in studying wind loads for projects throughout the world. In recent years, RWDI has taken advantage of sophisticated meteorological simulation tools to resolve the issues. Over three decades ago, numerical weather simulations emerged as a prominent tool for weather forecasting. These simulations were based on the idea that, by solving the fundamental equations of atmospheric physics on a 3-D grid and extrapolating those equations in time, one could predict future weather patterns. Not only could these equations be extrapolated in time, but they could also be extrapolated in space, to determine existing and future weather patterns in places where there are no observing stations. Continuous increases in computer power over the past 30 years have allowed these simulations to be run at ever-increasing resolution in both space and time. Today, high-resolution numerical weather simulations (i.e., meteorological models) are useful for a broad range of purposes. In the late 1990s, RWDI began to use numerical meteorological models to simulate large-scale weather patterns for air quality research. The 3-D meteorological fields produced by these models were used as input to air quality models that simulated the transport, diffusion and chemical transformation of air pollutants over large regions. Since then, RWDI has applied meteorological models to other applications, such as producing regional wind maps to assist developers in finding good sites for wind farms. Most recently, we have become the first engineering consulting firm to apply these models to the field of wind engineering.
To date, we have applied numerical meteorological models to the following wind engineering problems: Determining design wind speeds in locations that do not have suitable historical wind observations. An example of this is a recent project we undertook to determine the design wind speed for a remote mining site in a mountainous region of Madagascar. Assessing vertical wind profiles and turbulence intensity in areas affected by wind events with unusual vertical structure. A recent example is meteorological modeling of Shamal wind storms in the Dubai area. This was conducted for the Burj Dubai project (the soon to be the worlds tallest building).
Meteorological modeling of Shamal wind storms in the Dubai area were conducted for the Burj Dubai super tall building project located in the United Arab Emirates.
To address this problem, RWDI performed an hour-by-hour simulation of an entire year of weather conditions over Madagascar, using a set of nested model domains similar to that used for Dubai. Rather than using MM5, a new generation of meteorological model called WRF was used, which is the recent product of a joint development between the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), the Forecast System Laboratory (FSL), the Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA), and various universities in the US. A single year of simulated weather data is not enough to derive statistics for extreme wind speeds, but it is enough to make a side-by-side statistical comparison with the same year of data from the nearest weather station. This allows the development of correction factors that can be applied to the extreme wind statistics that were produced from over 30 years of data at that station. Figure 3, for example, shows the observed and predicted wind speed distribution for the historical weather station (Antananarivo). While not perfect, the model shows good agreement with the observed data.
Figure 3: Wind Speed Distribution for Antananarivo
A scattergram of hourly wind speeds at Antananarivo plotted against modelled hourly wind speeds at the mine site shows a tendency for lower wind speeds at the mine site (Figure 4). This is perhaps not surprising, as the mine is located in a valley setting. Based on a careful analysis of these data, we estimated that the 50-year wind speed at the mine site would be about 20% lower than that at Antananarivo.
Figure 4: Hourly Wind Speed Scatter Plot Comparing Antananarivo to the Mine Site
CONCLUSION
As RWDI continues to apply numerical weather simulations for Wind Engineering, new and exciting uses for the models will be discovered. One promising future use will be to link weather simulations like MM5 and WRF directly with CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) and other high-resolution flow modeling tools that RWDI is developing (see www.virtualwind.com). This will allow RWDI to predict local wind and weather effects on structures under a variety of meteorological conditions using computer simulations.
Rowan Williams Davies & Irwin Inc. (519).823.1311 www.rwdi.com RWDI Anemos Ltd. 01582.470250 www.rwdi-anemos.com
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