Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1989
2007
1989
2007
1989
2007
+ 5 years
5 years
Ocean
late summer sea-ice is projected to disappear almost completely towards the end of the 21st century
IPCC, WG I (2007)
The Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012 Dr Jay Zwally, NASA
No matter where we stand at the end of the melt season, its just reinforcing this notion that the Arctic ice is in its death spiral.
Mark Serreze, NSIDC
So what?
1989
2012?
Albedo
% of radiation reflected
0.3C
Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal
1672
billion tonnes
=1600mtc
Existing coupled climate models lack a robust treatment of soil carbon dynamics.
The [IPCC] range does not include contributions from rapid dynamic processes in the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets which could eventually raise sea level by many meters. Lacking such processes projections based on such models may seriously understate potential future increases. Oppenheimer et al.
Because understanding of some important effects driving sea-level rise is too limited, this report does not assess the likelihood, nor provide a best estimate or an upper bound for sea-level rise therefore the upper values of the ranges are not to be considered upper bounds for sea-level rise. IPCC, Synthesis (2007)
Additional
the