National economics university

TI

LM PHT V BIN PHP GII QUYT TRIT VN LM PHT VN HIN NAY

December 13

Nhm 5

Thc hin:
Lp: Ti chnh tin t_2
1. Trn Th Thu Thy 2. Th Ngc Thy 3. Nguyn Th Thy 4. Trn Th Th 5. Chu c Ton 6. Trng Vn Ton 7. Nguyn c Tn 8. Phan Th Huyn Trang 9. Nguyn Minh Tr 10. Tun T 11.Nguyn Anh T 12.Ng Th T Uyn 13.ng Cm Vn 14.nh Th Bo Yn 15.Nguyn Hi Yn 16.Trn Th Hi Yn 2

December 13

Nhm 5

MC LC

I. L lun chung v lm pht

Ni Dung Chnh

II. Thc trng lm pht Vit Nam 2009 n nay

III. Nguyn nhn ca lm pht Vit Nam IV. Gii php khc phc lm pht
December 13 Nhm 5 3

I. L lun chung v lm pht

c trng

Lng tin trong lu thng vt qu nhu cu cn thit

Mc gi c chung tng ln

December 13

Nhm 5

I. L lun chung v lm pht

Cc thc o lm pht:

December 13

Nhm 5

I. L lun chung v lm pht

2. Phn loi theo nh tnh Lm pht va phi Lm pht thun ty Phn loi lm pht Lm pht cn bng v lm pht khng Lm pht cao cn bng Lm pht c d on trc lm v lmSiu pht btpht: thng. 1. Phn loi theo 2. Phn loi nh lng theo.nh tnh Lm pht cao v lm pht thp

December 13

Nhm 5

I. L lun chung v lm pht

Lm pht do cu ko

Nguyn nhn gy ra lm pht

Tng cu cao hn tng cung

December 13

Nhm 5

I. L lun chung v lm pht

Lm pht do chi ph y

Nguyn nhn gy ra lm pht

Chi ph u vo cho sn xut tng hoc nng lc sn xut ca nn kinh t gim st

December 13

Nhm 5

I. L lun chung v lm pht

Lm pht do c cu

Nguyn nhn gy ra lm pht

Ngnh kinh doanh km hiu qu tng gi thnh sn phm.

December 13

Nhm 5

I. L lun chung v lm pht

Lm pht tin t

Nguyn nhn gy ra lm pht

Cung tin tng

December 13

Nhm 5

10

I. L lun chung v lm pht

Lm pht do chi ph y

Lm pht do xut khu Nguyn nhn gy ra lm pht Lm pht do nhp khu

Lm pht ra lm pht

December 13

Nhm 5

11

II.Thc trng lm pht Vit Nam

1. Lm pht nm 2009

Ngun: Tng cc thng k

December 13 Nhm 5 12

1. Lm pht nm 2009
CPI nm 2009 c mc tng chm hn so vi cc nm trc, khng c nhng t bin ln, khng bt thng v quy lut

Thp hn mc tiu Lm pht c nm 2009 c cng b chnh thc l 6.88%. 7%

December 13

Nhm 5

13

1. Lm pht nm 2009

Ngun: Tng cc thng k

December 13 Nhm 5 14

1. Lm pht nm 2009

Nhm Bu chnh vin thng gim 5,27%

Nhm nh v vt liu xy dng tng 11,02% so vi mc tng chung 5,07%

December 13

Nhm 5

15

2. Lm pht nm 2010

Ngun: Tng cc thng k

December 13 Nhm 5 16

2. Lm pht nm 2010
Gi c trong nhng thng u nm 2010 tng kh cao so vi cc nm trc:
CPI T3/2010 tng 4,12% so vi T12/2009

CPI nm 2010 c nhng bin ng ng k

December 13

Nhm 5

17

2. Lm pht nm 2010

Ngun: Tng cc thng k

December 13 Nhm 5 18

2. Lm pht nm 2010

18/8 t gi bnh qun lin ngn hng gia VND vi USD ln mc 18,932 (tng gn 2,1%)

9/8 gi xng du tng ln khong 2,5%

December 13 Nhm 5 19

3. Lm pht nhng thng u nm 2011

Ngun: Tng cc thng k

Din bin ch s gi tiu dng 6 thng u nm 2011

December 13 Nhm 5 20

3. Lm pht nhng thng u nm 2011

Lm pht cao

nh hng tiu cc n i sng nhn dn

Hot ng sn xut ca cc DN Chnh sch v m ca Chnh ph

December 13

Nim tin ca cc nh uNhm t 5

21

3. Lm pht nhng thng u nm 2011

Ngun: Tng cc thng k

Din bin ch s gi tiu dng 6 thng u nm 2011

December 13 Nhm 5 22

3. Lm pht nhng thng u nm 2011

Ch s gi vng thng 6/2011 tng 0,36% so

vi thng 5; tng 5,18% so vi thng 12/2010 vLm tngpht 36,33% so vi cngvn k nm 2010. ang tr thnh nan ithng vi VN Ch s gi gii la M 6/2011 gim 0,78% so vi thng 5; tng 0,24% so vi thng 12/2010 v tng 9,49% so vi cng k nm 2010.

December 13

Nhm 5

23

4. Mt s hu qu ca lm pht giai on 2009 n nay

Nm 2009 2010

Tc tng GDP (%) 5.32 6.78

T l lm pht (%) 6.88 11.75

2011(6 thng u)

5.6

13.29

So snh tc tng GDP vi t l lm pht

December 13 Nhm 5 24

4. Mt s hu qu ca lm pht t nm 2009 n nay

Thu nhp thc t ca ngi lao ng gim

Cc DN va v nh i mt vi vn tr li

December 13

Nhm 5

25

4. Mt s hu qu ca lm pht t nm 2009 n nay

Lng vn FDI ng k 4 thng u nm nay ch bng 52% cng k nm ngoi

Th trng tin t b la ha
December 13 Nhm 5 26

4. Mt s hu qu ca lm pht t nm 2009 n nay

Ngun: SBV, d liu ca TVSC

Din bin t gi USD/VND thng 11/2009 - 12/2010

December 13 Nhm 5 27

III. Nguyn nhn ca lm pht Vit Nam

Th nht: Tc tng trng tn dng qu cao nhng cht lng thp

Nguyn nhn ca lm pht

Th hai: Tnh trng u t cng dn tri v thiu hiu qu

Th ba: Tnh trng thm ht ngn sch v thm ht thng mi din ra trong thi gian di
December 13 Nhm 5 28

III. Nguyn nhn ca lm pht Vit Nam Ngun: B ti chnh

140000 120000 100000 80000 60000 40700 40000 20000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 % GDP 2011 (F) 4.85% 5% 5% 56500 48500 4.95% 66200 117200 115900 6.90% 120000 8.00% 7.00%

5.80%

6.00% 5.50% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00%

Thm ht ngn sch (t .)

Thm ht ngn sch VN giai on 2005-2011

December 13 Nhm 5 29

III. Nguyn nhn ca lm pht Vit Nam

p lc tng gi trong nc l do gi th gii tng

Nhp khu lm pht

Ph thuc vo tm l ngi tiu dng

Tc ng ca lng tin lu thng tng ln

December 13 Nhm 5 30

IV. Gii php khc phc lm pht

Solution ???

December 13

Nhm 5

31

IV. Gii php khc phc lm pht

H thng phng php

Tht cht tin t

Chnh sch ti kha Kim sot u t cng cho Nh nc

Nhm 5

Chnh sch t gi

Tng li sut cho vay

Hn ch mc tng tn dng

Tht cht chi tiu Chnh ph

Tng u t t nhn v nc ngoi

Tng gi VND lm gim gi NK, tng ngun cung

32

December 13

IV. Gii php khc phc lm pht

Hin nay v trong thi gian ti

Kim ch tng trng tn dng

Ct gim u t cng, gim bi chi ngn sch

3
December 13

Khuyn khch xut khu, hn ch nhp khu

Nhm 5

33

IV. Gii php khc phc lm pht

Cng tc kim tra, qun l th trng Ci cch h thng ngn hng, pht trin th trng vn S can thip ca Chnh ph vo th trng
Nhm 5 34

6
December 13

IV. Gii php khc phc lm pht

Mt s chnh sch chin lc trong di hn

n nh gi tr ng ni t

chnh sch tin t

Kin ton b my nh nc, ct gim bin ch qun l hnh chnh

chnh sch ti kho

December 13

Nhm 5

35

IV. Gii php khc phc lm pht

Thc hin ng b nhng gii php iu tit kinh t v m:

Mi quan h gia kim ch lm pht v y mnh pht trin

Mi quan h ca tnh cp bch ca yu cu kim ch lm pht v cch x l vi ci nhn thc t

Mi quan h gia li ch ca tng nhm dn c vi li ch ca ton dn, gia li ch cc b v li ch ton cc

Mi quan h gia cc c quan nh nc v cng chng

December 13 Nhm 5 36

December 13

Nhm 5

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