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What is Value?
Liquidation
value represents the amount of money that could be realized if an asset or group of assets is sold separately from its operating organization. Going-concern value represents the amount a firm could be sold for as a continuing operating business.
What is Value?
Book
(1) an asset: the accounting value of an asset -- the assets cost minus its accumulated depreciation; (2) a firm: total assets minus liabilities and preferred stock as listed on the balance sheet.
What is Value?
Market
value represents the market price at which an asset trades. Intrinsic value represents the price a security ought to have based on all factors bearing on valuation.
Bond Valuation
Important Terms
Types of Bonds
Valuation of Bonds
Handling Semiannual Compounding
V=
I
(1 + kd)1
I
(1 + kd)2
+ ... +
I
(1 + kd)
=S
I
(1 + kd)t
or
t=1
I (PVIFA k
) , d
V = I / kd
[Reduced Form]
= I / kd
[Reduced Form]
= 80 / 10% = 800.
V=
I
(1 + kd)1
n
I
(1 + kd)2
+ ... +
I + MV
(1 + kd)n
=S
t=1
I
(1 + kd)t
+
) , n d
MV
(1 + kd)n
V = I (PVIFA k
+ MV (PVIF kd, n)
V=
MV
(1 + kd)n
= MV (PVIFk
) n , d
Semiannual Compounding
Most bonds pay interest twice a year (1/2 of the annual coupon).
Adjustments needed: (1) Divide kd by 2
(2) Multiply n by 2
(3) Divide I by 2
Semiannual Compounding
A non-zero coupon bond adjusted for semiannual compounding.
=S
2*n
t=1
I/2
(1 + kd /2 )t
MV
(1 + kd /2 ) 2*n
= I/2 (PVIFAk
d /2 ,2*n
) + MV (PVIFkd /2 , 2*n)
84.628%
2.
84.628%
DivP
(1 + kP
)1
+ (1 + k
DivP
2 ) P
+ ... +
DivP
(1 + kP)
=S
DivP
(1 + kP)t
t=1
or DivP(PVIFA k
) , P
V = DivP / kP
V=
Div1
(1 + ke)1
Div2
(1 + ke)2
Div
+ ... +
(1 + ke)
=S
Divt
(1 + ke)t
t=1
V=
n:
Div1
(1 + ke)1
Div2
(1 + ke)2
Pricen:
The year in which the firms shares are expected to be sold. The expected share price in year n.
Constant Growth
No Growth
Growth Phases
D1 = (ke - g)
D1:
g:
ke:
D1
(1 + ke)1
D2
(1 + ke)2
D1: ke:
+ ... +
D
(1 + ke)
D1 ke
V =S
D0(1+g1)t (1 + ke)t
t=1
S t=n+1
Dn(1+g2)t
(1 + ke)t
V =S
D0(1+g1)t (1 + ke)t
t=1
Dn+1
Growth of 8% to infinity!
Stock GP has two phases of growth. The first, 16%, starts at time t=0 for 3 years and is followed by 8% thereafter starting at time t=3. We should view the time line as two separate time lines in the valuation.
5 D5
6 D6
Note that we can value Phase #2 using the Constant Growth Model
4 D4
5 D5
6 D6
Note that we can now replace all dividends from Year 4 to infinity with the value at time t=3, V3! Simpler!!
D4 V3 = k-g
Now we only need to find the first four dividends to calculate the necessary cash flows.
V=S
t=1
+ t
D4
(1+.15)n (.15-.08)
3. Solve for the market required rate of return that equates the discounted cash flows to the market price.
P0 =
S
t=1
I
(1 + kd )t
MV + (1 + k
n ) d
= I (PVIFA k
kd = YTM
) , n d
+ MV (PVIF kd , n)
X = .0024
P0 =
S t=1
I/2
(1 + kd /2 )t
MV
(1 + kd /2 )2n
= (I/2)(PVIFAk
) , 2 n /2 d
+ MV(PVIFkd /2 , 2n)
[ 1 + (kd / 2) ]2 -1 = YTM
Premium Bond -- The coupon rate exceeds the market required rate of return (P0 > Par).
Par Bond -- The coupon rate equals the market required rate of return (P0 = Par).
BOND PRICE ()
1400 1200
1000 Par
600 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Coupon Rate 14 16
5 Year 15 Year
18
BOND PRICE ()
1400 1200
1000 Par
600 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Coupon Rate 14 16
5 Year 15 Year
18
BOND PRICE ()
1400 1200
1000 Par
600 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Coupon Rate 14 16
5 Year 15 Year
18
BOND PRICE ()
1400 1200
1000 Par
600 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Coupon Rate 14 16
5 Year 15 Year
18
The price for Bond L will rise from 848 to 1,000 (+17.9%). It rises faster!
kP = DivP / P0
kP = 10 / 100.
kP = 10%.
ke = ( 3 / 30 ) + 5%
ke = 15%