SUBMITTED TO :

SIR TANZEEL
SUBMITTED BY:

MUHAMMAD MUZAMMIL MUKHTAR 10-ME-117

LECTURE #4

1)ENERGY SYSTEM DESIGN 2)ENERGY PALNNING PROCESS 3)COMMON PRACTICES IN DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. 4)PRACTICES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES 5)METHODS OF DECISION MAKING 6)METHODS OF CATEGORIZATION 7)CHARACTERISTICS OF ENERGY MODEL

ENERGY DEMAND MODEL

There are two methods for this energy system design. Customization Improvement in existing methodology

ENERGY MODEL DESIGN/METHODLOGY

CONSIDERATION OF TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT

THE CONTEXT ARE Economically Acceptable Socially Acceptable Financial Acceptable Environmentally Acceptable

CONSIDERATION OF TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT

ENERGY PLANNING PROCESS

Problem identification Identification of alternative options Assessing and comparing options Appraising options Selecting an option

Common Practices In Developed Countries

Determine the future amounts and forms of demanded energy Identifying supply options that can meet future demands Finding ways to identify and express impacts of options Finding ways to mutually compare the options Appraising options Selecting the final energy infrastructure

Practices in developing countries

Lack of information on the range of options Applicability to developing regions is low Uncertainty is high Poor data availability and reliability in developing countries

Engineering Design Loop

Methods for decision making

Descriptive methods (Empirical & Observation base methods) Normative methods (Ideal behavior- rational decision making) Prescriptive methods (How to improve the quality of real decision making)

Constraints of existing energy planning tools

Context related issues are not addressed Impacts need to be quantifiable Technology is treated as a black box Local resources and sall scale energy systems are neglected

Categorization of methods
The rational or (bounded) rationality methods The political methods The chaos methods

Characteristics of energy models

The perspective on the future The specific purpose The model structure: internal & external Analytical approach: Top down vs bottom up The underlying methodology Geographical coverage Sectoral change Time horizon Data requirements

The perspective on the future

To predict or forecast the future To explore the future To look back from the future to the present (back forecasting)

THE SPECIFIC PURPOSE

Energy demands model Energy supply model Impact assessment model Appraisal models

Model structure Internal & External assumptions

The degree of endogenization The description of non-energy sector components of economy The description of energy end use The description of energy supply technologies

EUROPEAN 20-20-20 MODEL

DEFINITION: A 20% reduction in EU greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 levels; Raising the share of EU energy consumption produced from renewable resources to 20%; A 20% improvement in the EU's energy efficiency. OBJECTIVES: Commitment to low-carbon economy Promoting "green" growth and jobs

The End THANK YOU