Lee Xin Yi Lee Jing Mei Tzai Yin Yin Implications of policies on macroeconomics variable Monetary Policy UBS with high debt level Contractionary monetary policy Government sell its securities & uses the fund to inject capital into UBS Reduces distrust among banks Interbank rate charged on each other decreases 1)On 2008, 2)Following the event of euro debt crisis, Swiss franc has been extremely overvalued: Expansionary monetary policy Government buy unlimited quantities of foreign currency value of Swiss Franc fall Increase back Export Balance of trade increase.
3)Unconventional monetary policy Fixing target range for LIBOR, -> Expansionary monetary policy : decrease interest rate -> Contractionary monetary policy: Increase interest rate maintain price stability and prevent high levels of inflation and deflation Fiscal policy Nov 2008, government increase spending in public investment ( building airports, bridge) Increase projects decrease unemployment increase disposable income consumption increase aggregate demand increase
Government increase spending on short-time working schemes Increase subsidies on wages& training system for youth equipped with necessary skill to meet employers need Unemployed youth decrease Government reduce carbon taxes on those who successfully reduce CO2 emission Firm does not have to pay extra cost for carbon taxes cost of production decrease price goes down Disposable income increase Consumption increase Aggregate demand increase.
Introduce debt brake on fiscal policy During 1990s, Government debt increase debt brake introduced on 2003 This rule-based fiscal policy ensure government expenditure balance with its income Finally reduces the government debt Increase in Public confidence Interest on long-term government debt decrease. Rationale for implementation of Monetary Policy adjusting the interest rate. more obvious effect interest rate is controllable in a regular intervals.
expansionary monetary policy decrease short- term nominal interest rate demand in investment increased Output increased and unemployment decreased Nominal interest rate very near to zero indifferent between holding more bonds or money preferred to hold less bonds and more money at the same interest rates. unconventional monetary policy Keep nominal interest rates in a lower rate for a longer period increase inflation expectation Reduce current and future expected real interest rate increase spending today Effectiveness Monetary policy - Goals Conditional inflation forecast Fix target range of the reference interest rates 3- months CHF LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rates) Control price stability 0-2%
Average inflation rates 2000-2006 : Close to 1% 2007 : 0.73% 2008 : 2.43% 2009 : -0.48% 2010 : 0.69% 2 priority goals during crisis 1 st : To rebuild confidence in the financial system. 2 nd : To resist an economic downturn and avoid deflation.
3 unconventional measures 1 st : increase medium-term repo transaction 2 nd : purchase CHF-denominated bonds issued by private sector 3 rd : Buy foreign currency on the open market
Effectiveness Fiscal Policy- Debt Brake -To stabilize Swisss federal debt -Started to implement during year 2003
Why implement?? - In year 1990- 2005, Switzerlands federal debt was increase significantly, rose from 38billion Swiss Franc to more than 130billion Swiss Franc.
Debt Brake rules: Expenditure does not exceed the income during each economic cycle not allowed to have any new long-term borrowing, yet it is still possible to have new short-term borrowing
At first, Swiss federal government was struggling with high structural deficit In year 2006, the debt brake was fully implemented. The government was able to achieve balanced budget and to the following years.