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P Kandaswamy
pgkswamy@yahoo.co.in
Fibonacci's Rabbits
Let's look first at the Rabbit Puzzle that Fibonacci
wrote about and then at two adaptations of it to make it
more realistic. This introduces you to the Fibonacci
Number series and the simple definition of the whole
never-ending series.
V = V t - FV t
V
V FV
t
V
Lt
V FV
Vt 0 t
That is
dV/dt = ( - F)V
(1)
C F (t )V (t )t c C t
C
FV c c
t
C
Lt
FV c C
Vt 0 t
dC
FV c c
dt
(2)
F C t FV f F t
The first term on the RHS represents the generation of
antibodies by plasma cells and is the rate of production of
antibodies by one plasma cell. While deriving equation (1) it was
noted that the number of viruses eliminated during the time interval
t due to their neutralization by antibodies was given by FVt. If
the neutralization of one antigen requires antibodies then FVt
is the number of antibodies neutralized.
F
C FV f F t
t
F
Lt
C FV f F
Vt 0 t
Thus
dF/dt = C - FV - f F
(3)
m V t m mt
m
V m m
t
m
Lt
V m m
Vt 0 t
that is,
dm/dt = V - m m
(4)
Usually for equations with delay the initial conditions are given
on an interval [t0-, t0]. But for the problem in hand until the moment
of infection t = t0 there were no virus in the organism: V(t) 0 for t < t0;
and therefore the initial conditions can be given at the point t = t 0.
Thus we have
V(to) = Vo , C(to) = Co
(5)
F(to) = Fo , m(to) = mo
as the initial conditions. Thus equations (1) to (4) along with initial data
(5) constitute the simplest model of a disease.
Thus we have
dV
F V
dt
dC
FV c C
dt
dF
C FV f F
dt
dm
V m m
dt
with
V t0 V 0 , C t 0 C 0
F t0 F 0 , m t 0 m 0
V(t)0
as
dm/dt + m m = Vo et
m = (Vo / +m )(et-e-mt)
(V,F,m) (V0 e-t,O,((V0)/())(et-1)
is
(
m
set to zero)
dV/dt = (-F*)V
possessing
V(t) = V0 e( - F*)t as solution.
V = V0 e- F* t
as the second limiting solution.
Thus, we have found two limit solutions corresponding to the
lethal outcome and a high immunologic barrier. For given coefficients of
the model and initial conditions, the entire family of diverse dynamics of
the disease lies in the dotted area in the figure below
ln V
V0 e(t)
ln V0
V0 e(-F*t)
t
Dynamics of a disease, High immunologic barries and
lethal outcome as limit solutions.
V
V max
V0
t1
t1
Fmax
/
F#
t1
The acute form of a disease
t2
V
Vmax
V0
t1
t2
t3
t4
t1
t2
t3
t4
Physical Models
Consider the melting of a snow ball. Let r be the radius of the snow ball.
Let half of the snow ball melt in one hour. How long will it take for the
remainder to melt? Conditions remain unchanged.
If is the density of the snow ball, M(t) its mass, V(t) its volume
and time t in hours.
Then
4
M (t ) r 3 (t )
3 change of mass is
The time rate of
dM
dr
4r 2
dt
dt
dM
ie
4r 2 k
dt
(1)
( 2)
(3)
We get
dr
k
,
dt
( 4)
Thus according to this model the radius of the snow ball decreases
uniformly with time. Integrating (4) and using the initial condition,
we get
t
t
r (t ) R t R(1
) R(1 )
R /
tm
(5)
V (1) 1 r 3 (1)
ie
3
V (0) 2
R
( 6)
So that
r (1) 2
1 / 3
R 0.79 R .
R
tm
R r (1)
Thus
(7 )
R
1
1
tm
4.8 hrs.
R 0.79 R 1 0.79 0.21
Applications of Mathematics:
Awards
Fields Medal,
Abel Prize,
Millennium Prize,
Shanti Swarup Bhatnagar Prize for Science and
Technology
Young Scientist Award,
National Academy Sciences Scopus Award,
Nobel Prize for Economics etc.