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The Government and

Fiscal Policy
CHAPTER OUTLINE
Government in the Economy
Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable
Income (Yd)
The Determination of Equilibrium Output (Income)

Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects


The Government Spending Multiplier
The Tax Multiplier
The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

The Federal Budget

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The Budget in 2009


Fiscal Policy Since 1993: The Clinton, Bush, and Obama
Administrations
The Federal Government Debt

The Economys Influence on the Government


Budget
Automatic Stabilizers and Destabilizers
Full-Employment Budget

Looking Ahead
Appendix A: Deriving the Fiscal Policy Multipliers
Appendix B: The Case in Which Tax Revenues
Depend on Income
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PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Keyness analysis in The General


Theory, which suggest that
governments can use their taxing and
spending powers to increase
aggregate expenditure (and thereby
stimulate aggregate output) in
recession or depressions.

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PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

The government has a variety of


powers:
1.Regulating firms entry into and exit
from industry.
2.Setting standards of product quality
3.Setting minimum wage level
4.Regulating the disclosure of
information

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The government can affect


Macroeconomy through two policy
channels:

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

1.Fiscal policy The governments


spending and taxing policies in
other words, its budget policy.
Fiscal come from the root fisc, which
refers to treasury of government..

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PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Fiscal policy generally divided into


three categories:
1.Policies concerning government
purchases of goods and services.
2.Policies concerning taxes
3.Policies concerning transfer
payment ( unemployment
compensation, SSS benefits, welfare
payments, veterans benefits, etc

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PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

2. Monetary policy The behavior of


the nations central bank, concerning
the nations money supply.

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Government in the Economy


There are some matters over which they exert great control
and some are beyond their control.
tax rates are controlled by government.

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

income of the household sector are not controlled by


the government.
Government controls corporate tax rates but not the
size of corporate profits.

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Government in the Economy

Discretionary fiscal policy Changes in taxes or spending


that are the result of deliberate changes in government
policy.
Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable Income (Yd)

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Net taxes (T) Taxes paid by firms and households


to the government minus transfer payments made to
households by the government.
Disposable, or after-tax, income (Yd) Total income
minus net taxes: Y T.
disposable income total income net taxes

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Yd Y T
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Government in the Economy


Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable Income (Yd)

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

FIGURE 24.1
Adding Net Taxes (T)
and Government
Purchases (G) to the
Circular Flow of
Income

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Government in the Economy


Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable Income (Yd)
The disposable income (Yd) of households must end up as
either consumption (C) or saving (S). Thus,

Yd C S

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Because disposable income is aggregate income (Y) minus net


taxes (T), we can write another identity:

Y T C S
By adding T to both sides:

Y C S T
Planned aggregate expenditure (AE) is the sum of
consumption spending by households (C), planned investment
by business firms (I), and government purchases of goods and
services (G).

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AE C I G

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Government in the Economy


Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and
Disposable Income (Yd)

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Budget deficit The difference between what a


government spends and what it collects in taxes in a
given period: G T.
budget deficit G T
If G > T the govt will borrow to finance the
deficit
If G < T the govt is spending less than it is
collecting taxes, the government is
running a surplus.

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Government in the Economy

Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable Income (Yd)

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Adding Taxes to the Consumption Function

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To modify our aggregate consumption


function to incorporate disposable income
instead of before-tax income, instead of C =
a + bY, we write
C = a + bYd
Or
= a +now
b(Yhas
T)
Our consumption C
function
consumption
depending on disposable income instead of before-tax
income.
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Government in the Economy


Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and
Disposable Income (Yd)
Planned Investment

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

The government can affect investment


behavior through its tax treatment of
depreciation and other tax policies.

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Government in the Economy

The Determination of Equilibrium Output (Income)


Y = AE
Y=C+I+G
TABLE 24.1 Finding Equilibrium for I = 100, G = 100, and T = 100
(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

(9)

(10)

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Unplanned
Planned
Planned
Inventory Adjustment
Output
Net Disposable Consumption Saving Investment Government Aggregate
Income
Change
Spending
S
(Income) Taxes
Spending Purchases Expenditure
to DisequiY
Y

T
C
=
100
+
.75
Y
Y

C
Y

(C
+
I
+
G)
Y
T
I
G
C+I+G
librium
d
d
d

300
500

100
100

200
400

250
400

50
0

100
100

100
100

450
600

150
100

Output
Output

700

100

600

550

50

100

100

750

50

Output

900

100

800

700

100

100

100

900

Equilibrium

1,100

100

1,000

850

150

100

100

1,050

+ 50

Output

1,300

100

1,200

1,000

200

100

100

1,200

+ 100

Output

1,500

100

1,400

1,150

250

100

100

1,350

+ 150

Output

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Government in the Economy


The Determination of Equilibrium Output (Income)
FIGURE 24.2 Finding Equilibrium
Output/Income Graphically

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Because G and I are both fixed at


100, the aggregate expenditure
function is the new consumption
function displaced upward by I + G
= 200.
Equilibrium occurs at Y = C + I + G
= 900.

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Government in the Economy


The Determination of Equilibrium Output (Income)
The Saving/Investment Approach to Equilibrium
saving/investment approach to equilibrium:

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

S+T=I+G

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To derive this, we know that in equilibrium, aggregate


output (income) (Y) equals planned aggregate
expenditure (AE). By definition, AE equals C + I + G,
and by definition, Y equals C + S + T.
Therefore, at equilibrium:

C+S+T=C+I+G
Subtracting C from both sides leaves:

S+T=I+G

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

Fiscal Policy at work: Multiplier Effects


At this point, we are assuming that the government
controls G and T. In this section, we will review three
multipliers:

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Government spending multiplier


Tax multiplier
Balanced-budget multiplier

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

The Government Spending Multiplier

governmentspendingmultiplier

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

MPS

government spending multiplier The ratio


of the change in the equilibrium level of output
to a change in government spending.

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects


The Government Spending Multiplier
TABLE 24.2 Finding Equilibrium after a Government Spending Increase of 50 (G Has
Increased from 100 in Table 9.1 to 150 Here)
(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

(9)

(10)

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Unplanned
Inventory
Planned
Planned
Disposable
Change
Consumption Saving Investment Government Aggregate
Output
Net
Adjustment
Income
Spending
S
(Income) Taxes
Spending Purchases Expenditure Y (C + I +
to
Yd Y T C = 100 + .75 Yd Yd C
Y
T
I
G
C+I+G
G)
Disequilibrium

300

100

200

250

50

100

150

500

200

Output

500

100

400

400

100

150

650

150

Output

700

100

600

550

50

100

150

800

100

Output

900

100

800

700

100

100

150

950

50

Output

1,100

100

1,000

850

150

100

150

1,100

1,300

100

1,200

1,000

200

100

150

1,250

+ 50

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Equilibrium
Output

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects


The Government Spending Multiplier
FIGURE 24.3 The Government
Spending
Multiplier
Increasing
government spending by

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

50 shifts the AE function up by 50.


As Y rises in response, additional
consumption is generated.
Overall, the equilibrium level of Y
increases by 200, from 900 to
1,100.

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects


The Tax Multiplier
tax multiplier The ratio of change in the equilibrium level of output to
a change in taxes.

M PS

Y (in itia l in c re a s e in a g g re g a te e x p e n d itu re )

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Because the initial change in aggregate expenditure caused by a tax


change of T is (T MPC), we can solve for the tax multiplier by
substitution:

Y ( T MPC )

T MPC

MPS
MPS

Because a tax cut will cause an increase in consumption expenditures


and output and a tax increase will cause a reduction in consumption
expenditures and output, the tax multiplier is a negative multiplier:

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taxmultiplier


MPC
MPS

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

The Balanced-Budget Multiplier


balanced-budget multiplier The ratio of change in
the equilibrium level of output to a change in
government spending where the change in
government spending is balanced by a change in
taxes so as not to create any deficit. The balancedbudget multiplier is equal to 1: The change in Y
resulting from the change in G and the equal change
in T are exactly the same size as the initial change in
G or T.

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balancedbudgetmultiplier 1
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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects


The Balanced-Budget Multiplier
TABLE 24.3 Finding Equilibrium after a Balanced-Budget Increase in G and T of 200 Each
(Both G and T Have Increased from 100 in Table 9.1 to 300 Here)
(1)

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Output
(Income)
Y

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

(9)

Unplanned
Planned
Planned
Disposable
Inventory
Consumption
Net
Investment Government Aggregate
Adjustment
Income
Change
Spending
Taxes
Spending Purchases Expenditure
to
Yd Y T C = 100 + .75 Yd
T
I
G
C + I + G Y (C + I + G) Disequilibrium

500

300

200

250

100

300

650

150

Output

700

300

400

400

100

300

800

100

Output

900

300

600

550

100

300

950

50

Output

1,100

300

800

700

100

300

1,100

1,300

300

1,000

850

100

300

1,250

+ 50

Output

1,500

300

1,200

1,000

100

300

1,400

+ 100

Output

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Equilibrium

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects


The Balanced-Budget Multiplier
TABLE 24.4 Summary of Fiscal Policy Multipliers
Policy Stimulus

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Government
spending
multiplier

Increase or decrease in the


level of government
purchases: G

Tax multiplier Increase or decrease in the


level of net taxes: T

Balancedbudget
multiplier

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Simultaneous balancedbudget
increase or decrease in the
level of government
purchases
and net taxes: G = T

Multiplier

1
M PS
M PC
M PS

Final Impact on
Equilibrium Y

1
MPS

MPC
MPS

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects


The Balanced-Budget Multiplier
A Warning
Although we have added government, the story told
about the multiplier is still incomplete and
oversimplified.

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

We have been treating net taxes (T) as a lump-sum,


fixed amount, whereas in practice, taxes depend on
income.
Appendix B to this chapter shows that the size of the
multiplier is reduced when we make the more realistic
assumption that taxes depend on income.
We continue to add more realism and difficulty to our
analysis in the chapters that follow.

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The Economys Influence on the Government Budget


Automatic Stabilizers and Destabilizers
automatic stabilizers Revenue and expenditure items in the
federal budget that automatically change with the state of the
economy in such a way as to stabilize GDP.

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

automatic destabilizer Revenue and expenditure items in the


federal budget that automatically change with the state of the
economy in such a way as to destabilize GDP.
fiscal drag The negative effect on the economy that occurs
when average tax rates increase because taxpayers have
moved into higher income brackets during an expansion.

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The Economys Influence on the Government Budget


Full-Employment Budget

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

full-employment budget What the federal budget


would be if the economy were producing at the fullemployment level of output.
structural deficit The deficit that remains at full
employment.
cyclical deficit The deficit that occurs because of a
downturn in the business cycle.

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CHAPTER 24 APPENDIX A
Deriving the Fiscal Policy Multipliers
The Government Spending and Tax Multipliers

We can derive the multiplier algebraically using our hypothetical


consumption function:

C a b (Y T )

The equilibrium condition is

Y C I G

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

By substituting for C, we get

Y a b (Y T ) I G
Y a bY bT I G
This equation can be rearranged to yield

Y bY a I G bT
Y (1 b ) a I G b T
Now solve for Y by dividing through by (1 b):

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1
Y
(a I G bT )
1 b

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CHAPTER 24 APPENDIX A
Deriving the Fiscal Policy Multipliers
The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

It is easy to show formally that the balanced-budget multiplier = 1.

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

increase in spending:
decrease in spending:
= net increase in spending

G
C T ( MPC )
G T ( MPC )

In a balanced-budget increase, G = T; so we can substitute:

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net initial increase in spending:


G G (MPC) = G (1 MPC)

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CHAPTER 24 APPENDIX A
Deriving the Fiscal Policy Multipliers
The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

Because MPS = (1 MPC), the net initial increase in spending is:


G (MPS)

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

1
to this net initial
We can now apply the expenditure multiplier
MPS
increase in spending:

1
Y G ( MPS )
G
MPS
Thus, the final total increase in the equilibrium level of Y is just equal to the
initial balanced increase in G and T.

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CHAPTER 24 APPENDIX B
The Case in Which Tax Revenues Depend on Income
FIGURE 24B.1 The Tax Function

This graph shows net taxes (taxes


minus transfer payments) as a
function of aggregate income.

Yd Y T

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Yd Y (200 1 / 3Y )
Yd Y 200 1 / 3Y
C 100 .75Yd
C 100 .75(Y 200 1 / 3Y )

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CHAPTER 24 APPENDIX B
The Case in Which Tax Revenues Depend on Income

Y C I G
Y 100 .75(Y 200 1/ 3Y ) 100
100
{
1 4 4 4 4 2 4 4 4 43 {
I
G
C
Y 100 .75Y 150 25Y 100 100
Y 450 .5Y

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

.5Y 450

FIGURE 24B.2 Different Tax Systems

When taxes are strictly lump-sum (T =


100) and do not depend on income, the
aggregate expenditure function is steeper
than when taxes depend on income.

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CHAPTER 24 APPENDIX B
The Case in Which Tax Revenues Depend on Incomes
The Government Spending and Tax Multipliers Algebraically

C a b (Y T )
C a b(Y T0 tY )

C a bY bT0 btY
PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Through substitution we get

Y a bY bT btY I G
1 4 44 2 4 4 43
C
0

Solving for Y:

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1
1 b bt

(a I G b T0 )
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CHAPTER 24 APPENDIX B
The Case in Which Tax Revenues Depend on Incomes
The Government Spending and Tax Multipliers Algebraically

This means that a $1 increase in G or I (holding a and T0 constant) will


increase the equilibrium level of Y by

PART V The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

1
1 b bt
Holding a, I, and G constant, a fixed or lump-sum tax cut (a cut in T0) will
increase the equilibrium level of income by

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b
1 b bt
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