Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Analysis
&
Portfolio
Management
Contents
Part-A: Investment fundamentals
Understanding investment
Some definitions
Sources and types of risk
Risk-return trade-off in different types of securities
Important considerations in investment process
Part-B: Securities Analysis
Securities analysis concept and types
Framework of fundamental securities analysis
Intrinsic valuation & relative valuation
Part-C: Portfolio Management
Portfolio concept
Modern Portfolio Theory: Markowitz Portfolio Theory
Determination of optimum portfolio
Single-Index model, Multi-Index model
Capital Market Theory
Portfolio performance measurement
Part-A
Investment Fundamentals
Understanding investment
Some definitions:
Definitions conti.
net effect on market prices cannot be reliably exploited to make an abnormal profit,
especially when considering transaction costs (including commissions and spreads).
Thus, any one person can be wrong about the marketindeed, everyone can be
but the market as a whole is always right .
Definitions Conti.
Sources of Risk:
Broad Types:
Systematic/Market Risk
Non-systematic/Non-market/Company-specific
Risk
RF
Risk
Factors Affecting
Security Prices
Stock splits
Dividend announcements
Initial public offerings
Reactions to macro and micro economic
news
Demand/supply of securities in the market
Marketability of securities
Dividend payments
Many others
Important considerations in
Investment decision
investment
decision
process:
should be considered
based on economy,
Part-B
Securities Analysis
Growth Stock:
Top-down Approach
In this approach
investors begin with economy/market
considering interest rates and inflation to find
out favorable time to invest in common stock
then consider future industry/sector prospect
to determine which industry/sector to invest
in
Finally promising individual companies of
interest in the prospective sectors are
analyzed for investment decision.
Fundamental Analysis at
Company Level:
Relative Valuation
Determinants
of
P/E
For a constant growth model of DDM,
Ratio:
Part-C
Portfolio Management
Standard deviation
of portfolio return
Risk Diversification
Diversification types:
Random or naive diversification
Efficient diversification
Random or naive
diversification:
It refers to the act of randomly
Efficient diversification
Efficient Frontiers
E(R)
Global minimum
portfolio
Risk
and
the company-specific component(ei) which is a random
residual error caused by micro events.
Model Diagram
i
R
i2=i2[M2}+ ei2
=Market risk + company-specific risk
p2=p2[
}+
M2
ep2
Multi-Index Model
Capital Market
Theory(CMT)
Capital market theory hypothesizes how investors behave
CMT Graphs:
Borrowing
M1
Market portfolio
M
Return
E(R) M2
Lending
RF
RF
Risk
CML:
E(R)
E(Rp)=RF+(E(RM)-RF)p/
RF
Risk of market
portfolio M, M
Risk
M2
SML:
SML (Security Market Line): It says that the expected
rate of return from an asset is function of the two
components of the required rate of return- the risk free
rate and risk premium, and can be written by,
Required rate of return
RF
underval
X
ued
=1.
Overvalued
Y
SML..
Portfolio Performance
Rate of
return
appropriate
benchmarks
X
Z
Rate of
return
Portfolio Performance
Measurement
Treynors measure(Reward to Volatility Ratio,
benchmarks
It measures the excess return per unit of systematic risk (p) of the portfolio
The higher the RVOR, the better the portfolio performance
Portfolios can be ranked by RVOR and best performing one can be
determined
Portfolio Performance
Measurement
Rp - RF
RM - RF
Y
Z
Thank You