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PowerPoint Presentation

to Accompany
Management, 10/e
John R. Schermerhorn, Jr.

Chapter 6:
The Decision Making Process

Prepared by: Jim LoPresti


University of Colorado, Boulder
Published by: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Planning Ahead Chapter 6 Study Questions

What is the role of information in


the management process?
How do managers use information
to make decisions?
What are the steps in the decision-
making process?
What are the current issues in
managerial decision making?

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 2


Study Question 1:What is the role of information in
the management process?

Information and knowledge basic


linkages:
Knowledge and knowledge workers provide a
decisive competitive factor in todays economy.
Knowledge worker.
Someone whose value to the organization

rests with intellect, not physical capabilities.


Intellectual capital.
Shared knowledge of a workforce that can be

used to create wealth.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 3


Study Question 1:What is the role of information in
the management process?

Information and knowledge basic


linkages (cont.)
Knowledge and intellectual capital are
irreplaceable organizational resources.
The productivity of knowledge and knowledge
workers depends on:
Computer competency.
Information competency.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 4


Figure 6.1 Internal and external information needs of
an organization

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 5


Study Question 1:What is the role of
information in the management process?

Implications of IT within
organizations:
Facilitation of communication and
information sharing.
Operating with fewer middle managers.
Flattening of organizational structures.
Faster decision making.
Increased coordination and control.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 6


Study Question 1: What is the role of
information in the management process?

What is useful information?


Data.
Raw facts and observations.
Information.
Data made useful for decision making.
Information drives management
functions.
Characteristics of useful information:
Timely.
High quality.
Complete.
Relevant.
Understandable.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 7


Study Question 1:What is the role of information in
the management process?

Implications of IT for relationships


with external environment:
Helps with customer relationship
management.
Helps organizations with supply chain
management.
Helps in monitoring outsourcing and
other business contracts.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 8


Figure 6.2 Information technology is breaking
barriers and changing organizations.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 9


Study Question 1: What is the role of information in
the management process?

Information needs of organizations.


Information exchanges with the
external environment:
Gather intelligence information.
Provide public information.

Information exchanges within the


organization:
Facilitate decision making.
Facilitate problem solving.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 10


Study Question 1: What is the role of information in
the management process?

Basic information system concepts:


Information system.
Use of the latest IT to collect, organize, and
distribute data for use in decision making.
Management Information System (MIS).
Specifically designed to meet the
information needs of managers in daily
decision making.

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Study Question 2: How do managers use information
to make decisions?

Managerial advantages of IT
utilization:
Planning advantages.
Better and more timely access to useful
information.
Involving more people in planning.

Organizing advantages.
More ongoing and informed communication
among all parts of the organization.
Improved coordination and integration.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 12


Study Question 2: How do managers use information
to make decisions?

Managerial advantages of IT
utilization (cont.):
Leading advantages.
Improved communication with staff and
stakeholders.
Keeping objectives clear.

Controlling advantages.
More immediate measures of performance
results.
Allows real-time solutions to performance

problems.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 13


Figure 6.3 The manager as an information-
processing nerve center.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 14


Study Question 2: How do managers use
information to make decisions?

A performance deficiency
Actual performance being less than desired
performance.
A performance opportunity
Actual performance being better than desired
performance.
Problem solving
The process of identifying a discrepancy
between actual and desired performance and
taking action to resolve it.
A decision
A choice among possible alternative course of
action.
Management 10/e - Chapter 6 15
Study Question 2: How do managers use
information to make decisions?

Problem-solving approaches or styles:


Problem avoiders.
Inactive in information gathering and solving
problems.
Problem solvers.
Reactive in gathering information and solving
problems.
Problem seekers.
Proactive in anticipating problems and
opportunities and taking appropriate action to gain
an advantage.
Management 10/e - Chapter 6 16
Study Question 2: How do managers use
information to make decisions?

Systematic versus intuitive thinking.


Systematic thinking approaches problems in a
rational, step-by-step, and analytical fashion.
Intuitive thinking approaches problems in a
flexible and spontaneous fashion.
Multidimensional thinking applies both intuitive
and systematic thinking.
Effective multidimensional thinking requires
skill at strategic opportunism.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 17


Study Question 2: How do managers use
information to make decisions?

Cognitive styles.
Sensation Thinkers emphasize the impersonal
rather than the personal and take a realistic
approach to problem solving.
Intuitive Thinkers are comfortable with abstraction
and tend to be idealistic. spontaneous fashion.
Intuitive Feelers prefer broad and global issues and
are comfortable with intangibles.
Sensation Feelers emphasize analysis and human
relations and tend to be realistic and prefer facts.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 18


Study Question 2: How do managers use
information to make decisions?

Programmed decisions.
Apply solutions that are readily available from
past experiences to solve structured problems.
Structured problems are ones that are familiar,
straightforward, and clear with respect to
information needs.
Best applied to routine problems that can be
anticipated.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 19


Study Question 2: How do managers use
information to make decisions?

Nonprogrammed decisions.
Developnovel solutions to meet the
demands of unique situation that
present unstructured problems.
Unstructured problems are ones that
are full of ambiguities and information
deficiencies.
Commonly
faced by higher-level
management.
Management 10/e - Chapter 6 20
Study Question 2: How do managers use
information to make decisions?

Crisis decision making.


A crisis involves an unexpected problem
that can lead to disaster if not resolved
quickly and appropriately.
Rules for crisis management:
Figure out what is going on.

Remember that speed matters.

Remember that slow counts, too.

Respect the danger of the unfamiliar.

Value the skeptic.

Be ready to fight fire with fire.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 21


Study Question 2: How do managers use
information to make decisions?

Decision environments:
Certain environments.
Offer complete information about possible action
alternatives and their outcomes.
Risk environments.
Lack complete information about action
alternatives and their consequences, but offer
some estimates of probabilities of outcomes for
possible action alternatives.
Uncertain environments
Information is so poor that probabilities cannot be
assigned to likely outcomes of known action
alternatives.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 22


Figure 6.4 Three environments for managerial
decision making and problem solving.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 23


Study Question 3: What are the steps in the
decision-making process?

Five-step decision-making process:


Identify and define the problem.
Generate and evaluate possible
solutions.
Choose a preferred course of action
and conduct the ethics double check.
Implement the decision.
Evaluate results.

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Figure 6.5 Steps in managerial decision making and
problem solving.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 25


Study Question 3: What are the steps in the
decision-making process?

Step 1 identify and define the


problem.
Focuses on information gathering,
information processing, and deliberation.
Decision objectives should be established.
Common mistakes in defining problems:
Defining the problem too broadly or too
narrowly.
Focusing on symptoms instead of causes.

Choosing the wrong problem.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 26


Study Question 3: What are the steps in the
decision-making process?

Step 2 generate and evaluate


possible solutions.
Potential solutions are formulated and
more information is gathered, data are
analyzed , the advantages and
disadvantages of alternative solutions
are identified
Approaches for evaluating alternatives:
Stakeholder analysis.
Cost-benefit analysis.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 27


Study Question 3: What are the steps in the
decision-making process?

Step 2 generate and evaluate


possible solutions (cont.).
Criteria for evaluating alternatives:
Benefits.
Costs.
Timeliness.
Acceptability.
Ethical soundness.
Common mistakes:
Selecting a particular solution too quickly.
Choosing a convenient alternative that may have
damaging side effects or may not be as good as other
alternatives.

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Study Question 3: What are the steps in the
decision-making process?

Step 3 decide on a preferred


course of action.
Classical decision model.
Managers act rationally in a certain world.
Managers face clearly defined problems
and have complete knowledge of all
possible alternatives and their
consequences.
Results in an optimizing decision.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 29


Study Question 3: What are the steps in the
decision-making process?

Step 3 decide on a preferred


course of action (cont.).
Behavioral decision model
Managers act in terms of what they
perceive about a given situation.
Recognizes limits to human information-
processing capabilities.
Cognitive limitations.
Bounded rationality.
Results in a satisficing decision.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 30


Study Question 3: What are the steps in the
decision-making process?

Step 4 implement the decision


solution.
Involves taking action to make sure the
solution decided upon becomes a reality.
Managers need to have willingness and
ability to implement action plans.
Lack-of-participation error should be
avoided.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 31


Figure 6.6 Differences in the classical and behavioral
models of managerial decision making.

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Study Question 3: What are the steps in the
decision-making process?

Step 5 evaluate results.


Involves comparing actual and desired
results.
Positive and negative consequences of
chosen course of action should be
examined.
If actual results fall short of desired
results, the manager returns to earlier
steps in the decision-making process.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 33


Study Question 4: What are the current issues in
managerial decision making?

Types of heuristics for simplifying


decision making:
Availability heuristic.
People use information readily available from
memory as a basis for assessing a current event or
situation.
Representativeness heuristic.
People assess the likelihood of something happening
based upon its similarity to a stereotyped set of
occurrences.
Anchoring and adjustment heuristic.
People make decisions based on adjustments to a
previously existing value or starting point.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 34


Study Question 4: What are the current issues in
managerial decision making?

Framing Error.
The tendency to evaluate and resolve a
problem in the context in which it is
perceived either positively or
negatively.
Confirmation Error.
the tendency to focus only on
information that confirms a decision
already made.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 35


Study Question 4: What are the current issues in
managerial decision making?

Escalating commitment.
The tendency to increase effort and apply more
resources to a course of action that is not
working.
Ways to avoid the escalation trap:
Set advance limits and stick to them.
Make your own decisions.
Carefully determine why you are continuing a
course of action.
Remind yourself of the costs.
Watch for escalation tendencies.

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Study Question 4: What are the current issues in
managerial decision making?

Creative Decision making:


Creativityis the generation of a novel
idea or unique approach that solves a
problem or crafts an opportunity.
creativity is more likely when decision
makers are highly task motivated.
Organizationsshould create an
environment that supports and
encourages creativity.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 37


Study Question 4: What are the current issues in
managerial decision making?

Potential advantages of group


decision making:
Greater amounts of information,
knowledge, and expertise are available.
More action alternatives are
considered.
Increased understanding and
acceptance of outcomes.
Increased commitment to implement
final plans.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 38


Study Question 4: What are the current issues in
managerial decision making?

Potential disadvantages of group


decision making:
Pressure to conform.
Minority domination may occur.
Decision making takes longer.

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Study Question 4: What are the current issues in
managerial decision making?

When group decision making works


best:
Individual lacks expertise or information.
Problem is unclear and hard to define.
Acceptance by others needed for effective
implementation
Time is sufficient for group involvement.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 40


Study Question 4: What are the current issues in
managerial decision making?

Ethical decision making.


Any decision should meet ethics
double check. mentioned in step 3 of
the decision-making process.
How would I feel if my family found out
about this decision?
How would I feel if this decision were

published in the local newspaper?


Any discomfort in answering these

questions indicates the decision has


ethical shortcomings.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 41


Study Question 4: What are the current issues in
managerial decision making?

Ethical decision making (cont.)


Considering the ethics of a proposed
decision may result in better decisions
and prevention of costly litigation.
Ethical decisions satisfy the following
criteria:
Utility.
Rights.

Justice.

Caring.

Management 10/e - Chapter 6 42


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