CASE: Going local

Applying & developing sub-national analysis

Issue

 Increasing ‘localism’
–More power at a local and sub-local level
–Reducing role of central government:
–Not imposing from above

BUT...
 Limited resources locally to exploit social science
Local needs

 Data: Base-lining, benchmarking, transparency,

accountability
 Analysis: Business cases, policy options
 Evidence: relevance, effectiveness and
persuasiveness (partnerships)
 Others?
What CASE has - Data

 Baselining, benchmarking, accountability

–‘Regional Insights’ Investment, tourism, education, place-
shaping, communities and well-being and engagement

Toolkit for asset mapping

 Data (for making evidence)

–Understanding Society (longitudinal data)
What CASE has - Analysis

 Drivers, Impact and Value project

–Understanding local population (Drivers)
–Policy simulation tool (Drivers)
–Valuing policy impacts (Value)
 Issues:
–Drivers work based on Taking Part
–Local conditions not fully accounted for
2. Statistical analysis
of participation Results for Heritage
The effects of ethnicity and media use on
participation
Drivers of engagement: simulation

1,254 models: 38 activities, 33 cohorts

Drivers of engagement: simulation

30% increase in theatre attendance in young males of low

income
SWB Gains: actual and predicted
engagement
SWB Change
Illustration of income compensation

Equivalent:
c£20k pa 
in income

E.g. engagement:  SWB from 2 to 4

Value of engagement: well-being

Actual engagement
Equivalent annual income increase required to get SWB
increase (£K) Weekly Once a year
Sport 11 -
Concert 9 5
Cinema 9 4
Internal consistency: increased frequency = greater SWB

New innovative method, with methodological challenges

What CASE has - Evidence

 Drivers, Impact and Value project

–Sound evidence for learning effects in young
people
–Research database: practical benefit
 Issue
–Not geographic specific
–Need to make the ‘generalisation’ leap
Where next?

 No guarantee of a future for CASE

BUT...
 Could focus on a number of areas:
–More data at local level
–More analysis at local level
–Better access to data for local areas
Marshal more data...

 CIPFA data
 Audience data
 Wider economic and social data
 Drawing together local datasets on assets etc

 What else?
More analysis at a local level...

 Eg. GIS analysis

 Nearest neighbour etc
BUT...
 Danger of top-down analysis
 Resource-heavy for centre
 Needs demand from local areas to justify
Density of all arts, museums, libraries and sports and heritage assets
per head of population as at 2008/9

This map shows the steep differences

in both privately- and publicly-funded
culture and sport opportunities by local
authority.

Fewer than 8% of authorities have over

25% of the assets

1-3 assets per 1000

3-4 assets per 1000
4-7 assets per 1000
7-34 assets per 1000
Count of all arts, museums, libraries and sports and heritage assets
per local authority as at 2008/9

Removing the population figures from

the analysis has little effect overall, with
rural areas remaining higher up the
scale. However, small town type areas
now tend the lower part of the scale

Fewer than 8% of authorities have over

25% of the assets

9-250 assets
251-385 assets
386-558 assets
559-4056 assets
 Accessibility is very unevenly
distributed. A rural-urban divide exists,
but is not consistent.

Density of arts, museums, galleries, Highest accessibility is in London and

libraries, sport and heritage
assets per hectare per 10,000 people
for each local authority
areas of the south coast. Larger, rural
counties have much lower
accessibility. Key metropolitan areas
such as Leeds and Birmingham are
317th & 303rd out of 324.
Better access to data...

 Already got Taking Part Netquest

 Could go further with ‘regional insights’ data?
 E.g. Dynamic website, bespoke analysis
BUT...
 Skills available locally?
 Demand for this?
 Requires resources to develop...
Your views

 We are exploring different channels

QUESTION IS...
 How do you think CASE can be more relevant for
local areas?