DEMAND AND SUPPLY

EAST JAVA – WEST PAPUA

BY MAKARA GROUP
 ALIEF JAISYUL
 BAHRUL ILMI
 TEUKU RACHMATTRA
 DANIEL PARDOMUAN
 LOCATION

Origin East Java Desatination West Papua

Port of Tanjung Perak, Surabaya Port of manokwari, manokwari

1899 Nm ; 15 Knots

Total Voyage : 245 Hours / 11 days

Ship Operasional
1 Year : 365 days
22,5 Nm ; 3 Knots 10 Nm ; 3 Knots
Annual Docking : 20 days
Maintenance : 20 days
Loading – Unloading : 24 Hours Operational Days : 325 days: 7200 hours Loading – Unloading : 24 Hours
Sailing to bouy zero : 7,5 Hours Total Voyage : 31 Voyage/Year Port Sailing 1,2 Hours
 Gap/Kebutuhan: 45000Ton

Berapa persen yg disuplai: 20000ton

Load Capacity: 1000Ton

CAPACITY=LFxVOYAGE
Kecepatan kapal: 15knot =700 X 31= 21700
Jarak pelabuhan 1899nm

satu voyage:

LF 100% 1000

70% 700

30% 300
TYPE OF SHIP = RO RO VESSEL
 Ships name : KMP. SEBUKU
 LOA : 109,4 m
 Breadth : 19,6 m
 Draught : 4,1 m
 Vs : 15 knot

 Flag : Indonesia
 Year Built : 2001 japan
 Class : BKI
 GrossTonnage : 5330 GT
 Net Tonnage :-
CARGO FROM EAST JAVA TO WEST PAPUA

Rice inside sacks Cocoa in sacks

 MARKET SUPPLY AND DEMAND
 PT. Cargill Indonesia - Cargill Cocoa & Chocolate Gresik needs 70.000 ton cacao seed per year.
 Source : http://www.kemenperin.go.id/artikel/6240/Cargill-Bangun-Pabrik-Kakao-USS-100-Juta

 West papua needs 95.430 ton rice per year

according to the bps provinsi papua barat
 COMPETITOR

 First competitor
 Perum Bulog Regional Papua
Bulog Papua collect 30.000 ton rice production of Papua and west Papua farmer. and to full the demand Bulog Papua got
supply from government stock rice which located on java island
source : www.papuapaos.com/index.php/ekonomi-papuapos/item/7288-bulog-sebut-serapa-beras-dari-luar-papua-baru-24-persen

 Second competitor
 PT. Perkebunan Nusantara XII (Persero) PTPN XII give supply robusta/arabika coffee, Kakao Eder/Bulk, rubber and tea from
the garden of east java
Produksi per tahun :
Kakao Eder : 6.015 ton
Kakao Bulk : 6.760 ton

Sumber : kpbn.co.id/profileptpn-25-0-.html
INVESTMENT SCENARIO

No Tahun Keuntungan 21 2037 80

1 2017 -84,5
2 2018 5
22 2038 85
3 2019 50 23 2039 90
4 2020 55 24 2040 97
5 2021 70
25 2041 100
6 2022 65
7 2023 70 26 2042 -10
8 2024 85 27 2043 15
9 2025 90
28 2044 23
10 2026 55
11 2027 45 29 2045 30
12 2028 50 30 2046 50
13 2029 65 31 2047 40
14 2030 70
15 2031 85 32 2048 60
16 2032 -66 33 2049 75
17 2033 10 34 2050 90
18 2034 50
19 2035 65
35 2051 105
20 2036 90 36 2052 100
Tahun Investasi jumlah harga satuan total
2017 Kantor 1 2.500.000.000 2.500.000.000
Kapal ro-ro 2 25.000.000.000 50.000.000.000
Truk beras 80 400.000.000 32.000.000.000
84.500.000.000

2018 Truk 40 400.000.000 16000000000

2032 Kapal 2 25.000.000.000 50.000.000.000

Truk beras 40 400.000.000 16000000000
66.000.000.000
RESIKO PENURUNAN KEUNTUNGAN

 Repair Kapal setiap 5 Tahun Sekali

 Gagal Panen karena cuaca tidak menentu
 Investasi Kapal Baru
 Kapal mengalami kecelakaan
 Harga jual pasar fluktuatif
THANK YOU