The Impact of

Abortion on Society
4th International Youth Pro-Life Conference

Scotland needs
more children
Paisley - May 13th 2000
2000 - Scotland is Dying
2000 - Scotland’s population is falling…again

5,300
‘000 Chart Title
5,250

5,200

5,150

5,100

5,050

5,000

4,950
1971

1995
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969

1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993

1997
1999
(Source: General Register Office for Scotland)
In 2000 – deaths greater than births

Births

Deaths
DUNDEE: POPULATION

FALLING
 INVERCLYDE:

FASTEST
DECLINING AREA
 ABORTIONS
Over 3,000 in 1969 - Over 12,000 in 1999
 2011
SCOTLAND APPEARS TO
HAVE RECOVERED
The Scots woke up to the threat

Standards of living will fall

if Scotland’s population
decline remains
unchecked
Scotland’s population rises fast from 2004

‘000

(Source: General Register Office for Scotland

After 2003 – Births rose & Deaths fell

Births

Deaths

(Source: 1961-1999 General Register Office for Scotland)

 DUNDEE
2008-9: POPULATION ROSE BY

900
 INVERCLYDE:

MORE
STILL
DEATHS THAN BIRTHS
2009: DECLINING POPULATION

(Source: General Register Office for Scotland)

2009: DEATHS EQUAL TO OR
GREATER THAN BIRTHS

(Source: General Register Office for Scotland)

ABORTIONS: ABORTIONS HIT 14,000 IN 2008
 SUMMARY
POPULATION UP 150,000
6,000 MORE BIRTHS PER YEAR
1,000 MORE
ABORTIONS

PER YEAR
SO WHAT HAPPENED IN
SCOTLAND
TO INCREASE ITS
POPULATION?
IMMIGRATION FROM
OVERSEAS
WHAT IS FRESH TALENT?
 WHAT IS FRESH TALENT?

KEY MESSAGES
WE NEED BRIGHT, TALENTED,
HARD-WORKING INDIVIDUALS

AUDIENCES
MIGRANT WORKERS, INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS…

DESIRED OUTCOMES
POPULATION GROWTH
 GOVERNMENT
ECONOMIC STRATEGY

The Scottish government

sets a target to match
European population
growth over the period
2007 to 2017
 FRESH TALENT
INITIATIVE:
“SCOTTISH SUCCESS
STORY”

About 100,000 Eastern

European workers
and international graduates
attracted & retained
 FRESH TALENT
INITIATIVE:
“SCOTTISH SUCCESS
STORY”

BUTAbout
- IS 100,000IT?
Eastern
European workers
and international graduates
attracted & retained
 YES

Immigration supplies the

workers who were not born in
the past in Scotland
 YES

“Immigrants are vital to the

national economy”
Herald 31/7/10
Immigration brings into
Scotland women
willing to have children –
increasing the level of
births

YES
 YES

“Scotland will be a retirement home

without new migrants”
 NO
Relying on immigration
from Poland & Eastern
Europe is not viable
 NO
Immigration is volatile

Can Scotland hold onto its

immigrants?

Will they go elsewhere?

 NO

Scotland will struggle

to compete with
richer, more attractive
neighbours
Source: Financial Times August 4th 2010
 NO – NOT A SUCCESS
Scotland takes many immigrants from poor
countries with declining populations
1.4
1.3
1.2

1.3
 NO
Immigration increases pressure
on health & education services
Immigration is probably
not large enough to
solve Scotland’s
demographic problems
WHY?
Scotland - Total Fertility Rate 1951-2009
Scotland - Total Fertility Rate 1951-2009

Births above replacement

Births below replacement

Scotland - Total Fertility Rate 1951-2009

Births above replacement

Births below replacement

 SCOTLAND’S
DEMOGRAPHIC BOMB

Total Births below Population

replacement since 1974

450,000
births below
 So to repeat – Is Immigration large
enough to solve Scotland’s problems?
 NO
SCOTLAND IS STILL DYING

It’s on partial
life support
But - one day - the
life support will be
switched off
 NO
Immigration will not solve the problem of
too few births in Scotland in the past

Not enough taxpaying immigrants

to pay the pensions & benefits

Non-tax paying immigrants

lead to higher costs
 SCOTLAND STILL HAS
A DEMOGRAPHIC
TIME BOMB

What will happen when it explodes?

Over the next 15 years about

200,000
more people will retire than
will enter the workforce

By 2050 Scotland will have

1 MILLION
pensioners
 Fewer Taxpayers
Supporting More Old

Higher Taxes
Lower levels of Healthcare
Lower Pensions
 Who is going to nurse the
Boomers & the DINKs?

Other People’s Children?

Who’s going to pay their Pensions?
 GOVERNMENT
ECONOMIC STRATEGY

The Scottish government

sets a target to match
European population
growth over the period
2007 to 2017
 GOVERNMENT
ECONOMIC STRATEGY

eett?? ?
The Scottish aarrgg government iits
ts ?
tt eeff
g
g
setsooann target to match een
n
rr nn b
b
WW
European population thhaa
ttss t
growth over c ss
oo the period
e r
r c
t e
2007rreetoaat 2017
GG
Can anything solve Scotland’s
demographic problem?

Births above replacement

Births below replacement

Can anything solve Scotland’s
demographic problem?

Births above replacement

Births below replacement

The Elephant in the room
The real issue is
the level of

BIRTHS
in Scotland
Why did births in Scotland fall in the
first place?

Births

Deaths
SCOTLAND’S DEMOGRAPHIC
BOMB

Contraception &
Abortion
Sterilisation

330,000 120,000
FOR EVERY CHILD ABORTED

Another 3 children are “lost”

through Contraception
and Sterilisation
IS THE ‘CONTRACEPTIVE PILL’
SCOTLAND’S SUICIDE PILL?
Why did the Scots not realise that
fewer births would lead to a
demographic timebomb?

? ?
Did people go mad?

Did they suffer from

delusions?

Didn’t they connect their

actions with Scotland’s
future ability to pay their
benefits & pensions?
 FANTASY IN
INVERCLYDE
NO MENTION OF BIRTHS

“Inverclyde’s population has been

declining for over 20 years
Depopulation is a critical issue.
Slowing the rate of decline in population
is a priority for Inverclyde
(Inverclyde Alliance)
 SELFISH FANTASY
“CHILD FREE”

BUT SOMEONE HAS TO PAY THE

CONSEQUENCES
 “CHILD FREE”
BY STERILISATION
 BEING CHILD FREE

“I
“I may
may be
be Selfish
Selfish -- “Do
“Do II worry
worry that
that
but
but I’m
I’m not
not letting
letting my
my No-one
No-one will
will look
look
Selfishness
Selfishness affect
affect after
after me
me when
when I’mI’m
others”
others” old?
old? Not
Not really”
really”

“We
“We revel
revel in
in “I
“I don’t
don’t want
want
our
our Freedom”
Freedom” Children
Children -- we’re
we’re
Happy
Happy asas we
we are”
are”
 MANY OF US
did not think about
such issues

DID WE
- really care?
- think we would be OK?

WE CAN
- do what we want
- have it all
MANY HAVE
FANTASIES ABOUT THE
STATE

The State CAN and WILL

pay for all the consequences
of people’s actions

It can pay big pensions and

allow early retirement
REALITIES ABOUT THE STATE

The State is running out of

money and is being
overwhelmed by the costs
& burdens of peoples actions
PEOPLE BELIEVED IN GOD
THE STATE OR IN A “FAIRY
GODMOTHER” STATE

and in its power to pay us pensions

despite not having enough children to pay

the taxes to pay the pensions
Facing many is the question

WHO WILL
PAY FOR
YOUR
LIFESTYLE?
 Many do not want to pay
for the costs of their
behaviour

But someone always pays

Someone always has to bear
the burden
Who?

Future generations?
 IT’S HAPPENED
BEFORE – IN GERMANY
Nazi
Nazi ideas,
ideas, delusions
delusions
&
& fantasies
fantasies

The March into the Grave - 1932

IS IT HAPPENING IN
SCOTLAND?
Contraception,
Contraception,
Sterilisation
Sterilisation
&
& Abortion
Abortion Fantasies
Fantasies
&
& Self
Self Delusions
Delusions
 POPULATION
REDUCTION FANTASIES

OPT's Stop at Two pledge

Make a difference!
Having a smaller family - just one or two
children instead of three or more
And by reversing population growth, we'd
be taking another green step towards
environmental survival for all.
Pledge I'm going to try not
to have more than two
children!
 “I THINK PEOPLE
SHOULD HAVE ONLY
ONE CHILD”

“I’ve never seen a problem that

wouldn’t be easier to solve with
fewer people”
“Population control is the greatest
challenge facing the planet”
“Frightening population growth –
Sir David Attenborough
explosion in human numbers”
(2009)
WHAT ARE THE
REALITIES?
 Countries with TFR’s lower
than replacement - 2.2

2.1
1.5
1.2
2.3 2.6

2.2
2.3

2.3 2.3

Source: CIA Factbook

Countries with falling populations - 2010

Source: CIA Factbook

 European Countries with
TFR below Replacement
1.9
1.7
1.7
1.8

1.4
1.7
1.7 1.2
1.8 1.7
1.4 1.3
1.6 1.3
1.4
2.0 1.4
1.3
1.5 1.3
1.4 2.2
1m Japan
BIRTHS

1.1m
DEATHS

1m?
ABORTIONS
Russia 1.5m
BIRTHS

2.5m
DEATHS

1.6m
ABORTIONS
Abortion rates of European countries

50%

20%
5%

15%
China - Impact of One Child Policy

60m
FEMALES “MISSING”
 Scotland needs a
sustainable population policy

based on realities & not

fantasies
That means building a pro-children culture
 WHEN YOU ARE
FIGHTING ABORTION

you are fighting the delusions

& fantasies behind abortion
YOU ARE FIGHTING
DELUSIONISTS
some may seek lower births
through state coercion
 SCOTLAND FACES A TRIPLE
WHAMMY

1 2 3
DEBT DEMOGRAPHIC ABORTION
BOMB BOMB BOMB
State running Not enough Unmarried women
out of money children conceiving
too many children
IT IS TIME FOR SCOTS
TO FACE REALITY

We’ve had too few children

Immigration won’t save us

Scotland needs
children
 Scotland needs
lots more children
As you work for an
end to abortion
As you work for an
end to abortion
You are working
for the very future
of Scotland
Long Live Scotland!
How did Scotland get into this awful situation?

Did it not know what it was doing?

It built its own Demographic Bomb

Immigration gets foreign countries
to pay for the consequences of

- our selfishness

- our dysfunctional lifestyles

- inadequacies of the State

 The Scots woke up to the threat

Scotland will be a retirement home without

new migrants

Standards of living will fall if Scotland’s

population decline remains unchecked
Everyone
Using the has a Religion
ABC Model to answer why

A Set of Ideas, Thoughts &

Opinions about themselves

B
Which drives their
Behaviour/Lifestyle

C Which has consequences &

costs - on ourselves/others
Everyone has a Religion
Scotland’s ABC

A Which ideas, thoughts

& opinions??

B
Contraception, Sterilisation
& Abortion

C Below Replacement level

of Births
 Yes

Population
Change = Births - Deaths
+ Immigration
- Emigration
Atomic Bomb dropped
on Hiroshima
Monday, August 6th 1945
200,000
But it’s Nothing New,
It’s Happened Before

Ancient Rome
A • Materialism & Wealth
• Moral Decay

• Contraception/Abortion
B • Sex without parentage
• Childlessness

• “Barbarian Multiplication”
C • Decline of Rome
Source: Will Durant, Caesar & Christ
 DOCTORS FANTASIES

“Don’t touch our pensions”

“Doctors & NHS staff were

willing to be reasonable on pay
but would not accept any job
losses or changes to their
Dr Hamish Meldrum
pensions”
Chairman
British Medical Association
“…if you really want a crisis in
the NHS, start meddling with
the NHS pension scheme”
 Countries with falling populations plus
populations are increasing by less than 0.5%

Source: CIA Factbook

Selective Abortion in India
“Where have all the girls gone?”

40m women “missing”

Female foeticide - 0.5m a year

Female infanticide
HOW MANY BABIES CONCEIVED IN
SCOTLAND ARE ABORTED?

ABOUT 1 IN 5
GOOD NEWS
Abortion rate for single
women has probably fallen

from 30% to 26%

 “IF YOU WANT TO SAVE
THE PLANET, STOP
BREEDING”

“We’ve got to stop our own

human race breeding so fast”
“We must study China’s
example…”
(Times August 28th 2010 p19)
Matthew Parris
Times journalist