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Factorial
Mixture
Case Study
A quality team is studying how a catalytic reaction converts substrate into a final product.
Temperature
Rev/min catalyst
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Response: Percent of substrate reacted
Data collection:
The team has enough budget to perform 35 runs. They could run a full factorial design (25=32). However, a better approach is to run a fractional design, analyze results, and decide on subsequent experimentation. Whats next? Create a fraction design.
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Create the design with Minitab Go to Stat > DOE > Factorial >
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Output
Note: Main effects confounded with 4-way interaction, 2-way interaction with 3-way interaction
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Worksheet
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Analyze the design with Minitab Go to Stat > DOE > Factorial > Analyze Factorial Design
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Normal Probability Plot of Effects
Percent
-10
-5
5 Effect
10
15
20
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Pareto chart of Effects
(response is Reacted, Alpha = .05) 4.82
B D BD DE E
F actor A B C D E N ame F eedrate C ataly st A gitation Temp C onc%
Term
CE A BC AB AE BE AD AC CD C
10 Effect
15
20
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Significant factors: Catalyst (B)
Temp (D)
Concentration (E) Catalyst x Temp (BD) Temp x Concentration (DE) Whats next: Remove non-significant effects and refit models.
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Output:
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Estimated coefficients:
Reacted = -88.37 32.75 x Catalyst + 1.02 x Temp +23.25 x Conc + 0.27 x Catelyst x Temp -0.16 x Temp x Conc. (Can be used to predict percent reacted settings)
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Residual plots
Residual Plots for Reacted
Normal Probability Plot
99 90 4
Versus Fits
Residual
-5.0 -2.5 0.0 Residual 2.5 5.0
Percent
50 10 1
2 0 -2 -4 50 60 70 80 Fitted Value 90
Histogram
4 4
Versus Order
Frequency
Residual
-4 -2 0 Residual 2 4
3 2 1 0
2 0 -2 -4
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Observation Order
Whats next?
Create factorial plots to find best settings.
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Factorial Plots
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C atalyst
75
Catalyst A B
60 90
75
T emp 60
C onc%
64.5 180
94.0
Temp
55.5
66.0 6 Conc% 3
62.0 B
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Conclusions: Feed rate and agitation do not have a significant impact
Followup experiment: The team had budget for 19 additional runs. They used Catalyst B and run a 22 full factorial design with 2 center points to detect curvature in the response. They centered experiment at currently known optimal settings,180C, 3%.
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Numerical output for the follow up experiment:
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Graphical output:
Mean
Data Means
95
Temp
Conc%
90
85
80
90
85
Mean
80
75
4
73
79
70 2 3 Conc% 4
Conc%
94
75 2 170 Temp
81 190
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Assessing Power: Design:
2 x 2, 1 replicate,
2 center points. Variance (MSE) = 1.28 St Dev = 1.131
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Power Curve for 2-Level Factorial Design
1.0
Reps, Ctr Pts Per Blk 1, 2
A ssumptions A lpha 0.05 S tDev 1.131 # F actors 2 # C orner P ts 4 # Blocks none # Terms O mitted 0 Term Included In M odel C enter P oints Yes
0.8
0.6
Power
0.4
0.2
0.0
-3
-2
-1
0 Effect
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Conclusions: A quadratic effect on catalytic reaction due to temperature and concentration is present. This design has low power, not the best choice. A better design would include 2 replicates, but would require 12 runs (assuming 2 center points per replicate) rather than 6.
Additional consideration: Consider using response surface methodology to model the curvature.