Professional Documents
Culture Documents
LOGO
S lc v CA
Din bin CA
Chnh sch CP
5/4/2012 2 Thm ht cn cn vng lai
LOGO
LOGO
5/4/2012
LOGO
Xut khu Nhp khu Vn ti Du lch Cc dch v khc
1. Cn cn thng mi
4. Cn cn chuyn giao vng lai mt Qu tng chiu Vin tr khng
hon li Chuyn tin
5/4/2012
T gi
Cn cn vng lai
Ro cn thng mi
Lm pht
5/4/2012 6 Thm ht cn cn vng lai
LOGO
Thm ht CA ngy cng rng ra T 2000 n nay CA ln u tin thng d Nm 1999 Thm ht CA vi mc ngy cng ln Nm 1993 Thm ht CA gim mnh
Nm 1989
5/4/2012 7 Thm ht cn cn vng lai
LOGO
Biu 1. Cn cn thng mi, cn cn vng lai, cn cn thanh ton giai on 2000 - 2010
5/4/2012
LOGO
Biu 1. Cc cu phn trong Cn cn vng lai ca Vit Nam giai on 1997 -2008
LOGO
Chnh sch t gi
Tng trng nng ca th trng chng khon (2006-2008)
Thm ht ngn sch NN
5/4/2012
10
LOGO
94.0 28.7 31.2 32.7 35.1 39.6 45.5 52.9 60.9 71.1 89.4 101 5 27.6 29.6 31.2 33.2 35.4 35.5 35.6 36.8 41.6 41.5 42.4 46.1
30.6 32
Ngun: Tng hp t IMF Country Report 09/110 (tr.24), Moodys Investors ServiceGlobal Credit Research, May 2010
5/4/2012 11
LOGO
Chnh sch t gi c coi l c nh linh hot ca Vit Nam gn vi ng la M. T gi danh ngha USD/VND c xu hng tng ln theo thi gian nhng t gi thc RER v REER c xu hng gim dn trong nhng nm gn y lm gim sc cnh tranh v gi hng ha Vit Nam trn th trng th gii.
5/4/2012 12 Thm ht cn cn vng lai
LOGO Biu 2: T gi thc song phng, a phng v t l xut khu so vi nhp khu (X/M) ca VN trong thi gian qua
5/4/2012
Ngun: Tnh ton da trn s liu ca CEIC Database cn vng lai Thm ht cn 13
LOGO
LOGO
(Ngun B Ti Chnh) 16
LOGO
Hn ch u t
Tng tit kim
LOGO
Ngy 24/2/1999,Thng c ngn hng nh nc c quyt nh s 64/1999/Q/NHNN v quyt nh s 65/1999/QQ/NHNN ban hnh c ch iu hnh t gi bnh qun trn th trng ngoi t lin ngn hng
cn i cung cu ngoi t, to iu kin kim sot cung tin, khuyn khch xut khu, hn ch nhp khu
5/4/2012 18 Thm ht cn cn vng lai
LOGO
Theo quy nh ti Php lnh Ngoi hi v Ngh nh 160/2006/N-CP c ch t gi hi oi ca ng Vit Nam l c ch t gi th ni c qun l. T gi c iu hnh theo tn hiu th trng v ph hp vi s thay i ca li sut VND nhm cn i hi ha cung cu ngoi t, tng cng thanh khon trn th trng ngoi t, gp phn kim sot nhp siu
5/4/2012
19
LOGO
Thc hin chnh sch ti kha tht cht, ct gim u t cng, gim bi chi ngn sch nh nc Thc y sn xut, kinh doanh, khuyn khch xut khu, kim ch nhp siu, s dng tit kim nng lng
20 Thm ht cn cn vng lai
LOGO
n nh li sut mc 14% Tht cht chnh sch tin t Hn ch tng trng tn dng
5/4/2012
21
LOGO
LOGO
Ngn hn
Tng thu nhp khu gim nhu cu nhp khu
5/4/2012 23
LOGO
Duy tr chnh sch t gi ph hp vi chin lc pht trin kinh t trong tng giai on
p dng hn ch nhp khu ph hp vi qui nh trong nc v cam kt quc t24 Thm ht cn cn vng lai
5/4/2012
LOGO
5/4/2012
25